1. FUTURE POLICY
MODELLING (FUPOL)
WP4 – Policy Simulation Software
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2. FUPOL – WP4 - Objectives
 To design and implement simulator modules for the priority domains uses
cases models elaborated in WP2
 To design and implement simulator modules for the pilots
 To create interfaces for data import from core platform and export to
analytical and visualisation facilities
 To assess FUPOL simulator quality and functionality on pilot applications
demonstrator bases
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3. FUPOL – WP4 - DOW
 Through analysis of different policy modelling cases and policy models
specification (from WP2) it is necessary to define the set of requirements to
software packages useable for designing of FUPOL simulator software. The
simulator software must ensure data import/export from the Open core
platform (WP3) to ensure initial data input for predefined simulation case
and have export facilities to analytic and visualisation subsystem (WP5).
 The software must be verified and validated, but finally FUPOL vision must
be checked on the specific case defined by the industrial partners. The
demonstrator which will be designed will serve for quality assessment of the
FUPOL simulator software solutions.
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4. FUPOL – WP4 – Task 4.1
 Task 4.1: The Simulator Requirements Analysis
The aim of the task is to review and select most applicable set of simulation
software useable for different cases of policy modelling. To achieve the aim
different policy decision making modelling and simulation cases must be
analysed to define the set of appropriate requirements to the set of
simulation software platforms useable for policy modelling and influence
forecasting. The selection must be agreed with policy models specification
forms defined in WP2.
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5. FUPOL – WP4 – Task 4.2
 Task 4.2: Development of Interfaces
The aim of this task is to prepare a requirement set for a modern and
flexible data import/export interface that would be compatible with
simulation software tools (see Figure 4.1).
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6. FUPOL – WP4 – Task 4.3
 Task 4.3: Integrated FUPOL Simulator Software Environment
Design
The aim of this task is to develop recommendations for translation
processes, as a result of which the policy model, which has been described
in industry terms using natural language, possibly even graphical notation,
and/or Systems Specifications (A-translation, WP2), will be transformed to
the specific Simulation Tools notation.
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7. FUPOL – WP4 – Task 4.4
 Task 4.4: Validation and Verification (V&V)
• The aim of this task is to verify and validate the developed FUPOL
simulator software in accordance with typical practice.
• Test examples
• Face validation
• Statistical validation (Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, Anderson-Darling test
etc.)
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8. FUPOL – WP4 – Task 4.5
 Task 4.5: The FUPOL Simulation Assessment
The aim of this task is to test the FUPOL simulator software using specific
pilot application – demonstrator, the content (cases) of which is provided by
the industrial partners.
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9. FUPOL – WP4 – Deliverables-1
 D4.1: FUPOL Simulator Software Requirements Report
(PM17-M12)
Elaboration the requirements list for simulation software tools selection;
Policy modelling cases review and classification to consider the most
important demands to the simulation software tools.
 D4.2: FUPOL Simulator Software Interfaces Specification
(PM23-M16)
The requirements for input and output interfaces of FUPOL Simulator
software to insure data import for core platform and export to analytic and
visualisation subsystem.
 D4.3: FUPOL Simulator Software Prototype
(PM1-M24)
First version, which includes a first set of policy models translated into a
simulator software package.
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10. FUPOL – WP4 – Deliverables-2
 D4.4: FUPOL Simulator Software Environment First Prototype
(PM52-M28)
The recommendations for policy model notation translation to the model
on simulation software language in conformity of the complexity,
homogeneity and integrity of the policy model; Designing of simulator
software pilot package.
 D4.5: FUPOL Simulator Software Demonstrator I
(PM22-M36)
FUPOL Simulator software, including a all policy models foreseen in the
demonstrator translated into a simulator software package.
 D4.6: FUPOL Simulator Software Demonstrator II
(PM6-M44)
Statistical and face validation of Simulator. FUPOL Simulator software
including a all policy models foreseen in the demonstrator translated into
a simulator software package with all documentation. Verification and
validation during piloting have been done.
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11. FUPOL – WP4 – Role of Partners
CELENT AG (PM12) – interface with WP3
Fraunhofer (PM6) – interface with WP5
ZAGREB (PM5) – initial data and models preparation for simulation cases on
demonstrator; verification and validation the simulator
YANTAI-CHINA (PM5) - initial data and models preparation for simulation
cases on demonstrator; verification and validation the simulator
SOCSIM (PM58) – WP4 management; simulator design and maintenance
UAB (PM8) – interface with WP2
CDP (PM5) - initial data and models preparation for simulation cases on
demonstrator; verification and validation the simulator
BMBC (PM5) - initial data and models preparation for simulation cases on
demonstrator; verification and validation the simulator
PEGEIA (PM3) - initial data and models preparation for simulation cases on
demonstrator; verification and validation the simulator
RAU (PM14) – simulator assessment (statistical validation); demonstrators
running and users manual design; interface with WP2
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12. THANK YOU
FOR YOUR ATTENTION
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