Insights from Discussions Building on an Initial Perspective by an initial perspective on the future of ageing by Prof. Laura Carstensen, Ken Smith and Dominika Jaworski at Stanford Center on Longevity. This includes insights from events already completed building on the starting point for the global future agenda futureagenda2.0 programme. www.futureagenda.org

1. The
Future
of
Ageing
Insights
from
Discussions
Building
on
an
Ini4al
Perspec4ve
by:
Laura
Carstensen
|
Ken
Smith
|
Dominika
Jaworski
|
Stanford
Center
on
Longevity

2. Context
The
ini4al
perspec4ve
on
the
Future
of
Ageing
kicked
off
the
Future
Agenda
2.0
global
discussions
taking
place
through
2015.
This
summary
builds
on
the
ini4al
view
and
is
updated
as
we
progress.
Ini4al
Perspec4ves
Q4
2014
Global
Discussions
Q1/2
2015
Insight
Synthesis
Q3
2015
Sharing
Output
Q4
2015

3. Lifespan
Limits
On
a
global
scale,
life
expectancies
in
developed
regions
are
con4nuing
to
rise
in
the
21st
century
and,
although
most
people
assume
that
there
are
biological
limits
on
life
span,
so
far
there
is
liUle
evidence
that
we
are
approaching
them.

4. Age
Diversified
Workforces
The
demographic
changes
underway
are
fundamentally
altering
virtually
all
aspects
of
life
as
we
know
it.
Workforces
are
becoming
older
and
more
age
diversified
than
ever
in
history.

5. Culture
Shi?
The
culture
that
guides
people
through
life
today
is
a
culture
that
evolved
around
shorter
lives.
The
urgent
challenge
now
is
to
create
cultures
that
support
people
through
ten
and
more
decades
of
life.

6. Looking
Ahead
Rather
than
move
forward
by
happenstance,
we
need
strategic
thinking
about
how
to
best
use
added
decades
of
life.
Helping
individuals
and
na4ons
visualize
and
prepare
is
essen4al
to
ensure
that
longer
lives
are
high
quality.

7. Societal
Benefit
85%
of
Americans
aged
65-­‐69
report
no
health-­‐based
limita4ons
on
paid
work
or
housework.
Similar
trends
are
evident
in
Europe.
Socie4es
that
find
ways
to
tap
older
peoples’
contribu4ons
will
benefit
greatly.

8. Infeasible
ReDrement
For
many,
re4rement
at
age
65
is
economically
infeasible.
The
reality
is
that
few
workers
can
fund
a
30
year
re4rement
with
a
40
year
career.
Neither
can
socie4es.

9. Increased
Wellbeing
Both
paid
and
unpaid
work
are
associated
with
enhanced
well-­‐being,
delayed
disability,
decreased
mortality
risk,
and
onset
of
fewer
diseases
and
associated
func4onal
impairments.

10. Working
Longer
For
those
who
have
inadequate
re4rement
savings,
the
most
obvious
solu4on
is
to
work
longer.
One
major
poten4al
barrier,
however,
is
that
employers
remain
ambivalent
about
older
workers.

11. Cost
of
Older
Workers
The
cost
of
older
workers
is
a
real
issue
for
employers.
Offering
bridge
jobs
or
flexible
work
arrangements
such
as
flex
hours
and
part-­‐4me
work
will
allow
employers
to
retain
the
exper4se
of
older
workers
while
reducing
costs.

12. The
Bigger
Opportunity
Predic4ons
about
economic
disaster
change
to
discussions
of
economic
growth
if
people
remain
produc4ve
into
advanced
ages.
We
are
experiencing
one
of
the
greatest
opportuni4es
to
improve
quality
of
life
at
all
ages.

13. Life
Worth
Living
We
shif
the
system
from
one
focused
on
care
with
the
needs
of
the
ins4tu4on
a
priority
to
one
focused
on
enhancing
quality
of
life
and
dignity.
There
is
a
rise
in
pallia4ve
care
and
societal
par4cipa4on
giving
more
meaning
to
later
life.

14. Intra
and
Inter-­‐generaDonal
Harmony
Mutually
nega4ve
stereotypes
between
young
and
old
and
inequality
are
replaced
with
a
growing
interest
in
youth
serving
the
elderly.
The
wisdom
of
elders
is
again
respected
and
sought
by
younger
genera4ons.

15. Care
for
the
Ageing
As
the
popula4on
ages,
the
healthcare
sector
changes
the
way
in
which
it
delivers
support,
with
more
coordina4on
among
service
providers
and
more
in-­‐home
care.
There
is
also
a
frank
conversa4on
about
people’s
“right
to
die”.

16. AdapDng
for
Ageing
PopulaDons
In
developed
countries,
80%
of
older
people
will
live
in
ci4es
by
2050,
while
ci4es
in
developing
countries
will
house
25%
of
the
older
popula4on.
Planners
are
adap4ng
urban
environments
to
support
healthy
ageing
of
popula4ons.

17. MulD-­‐GeneraDonal
Travel
Many
elect
to
travel
together
as
mul4-­‐genera4on
groups
of
both
families
and
mixed
friends.
They
look
for
vaca4ons
that
keep
everyone
happy
and,
as
such,
stress
many
systems
based
on
delivering
segmented
experiences.

18. SupporDng
the
Ageing
Workforce
As
major
economies
suffer
from
increasing
dependency
ra4os,
the
challenge
of
suppor4ng
an
increasingly
older
workforce
demands
rethinking
of
life-­‐long
learning
and
broader
acceptance
of
the
cost
of
part-­‐4me
flexible
jobs.

19. DisrupDve
Voices,
DisrupDve
Impacts
Senior
ac4vism
will
grow
with
the
demographic.
Policy
will
increasingly
reflect
the
will
of
older
people:
especially
in
housing/communi4es,
health
and
employment,
leading
to
intergenera4onal
tensions
over
choices
made.

20. Wisdom
Over
Experience
Differences
between
working
styles
of
young
and
old
will
decrease.
Older
workers
will
also
become
flexible,
auto-­‐didacts
exploring
mul4ple-­‐careers,
but
with
a
unique
proposi4on
to
employers
valuing
wisdom
over
experience.
We
have
one
similar
to
this
already.
I
thought
our
group
added
depth
and
nuance
but
not
necessarily
novelty

21. Senior-­‐preneurship
Flourishes
Products
and
services
aimed
at
the
ageing
popula4on
will
proliferate.
But
seniors
will
also
be
ac4vely
involved
in
innova4on
themselves,
developing
new
economic
opportuni4es
for
all,
both
within
and
beyond
the
ageing
space.

22. HolisiDc
Health
Planning
There
will
be
a
wholesale
shif
in
health
focus
from
short-­‐term
problem-­‐
solving
to
long-­‐term,
healthy-­‐life
planning
and
management,
with
GPs
(ini4ally)
shifing
their
role
to
become
whole-­‐life
health
coaches.

23. Living
While
Dying
We
will
see
policy,
product
and
service
innova4ons
in
the
field
of
end-­‐of-­‐life
planning.
Businesses
and
professions
will
come
to
recognise
the
need
to
provide
more
(end-­‐of)
life-­‐style
choices
to
individuals
and
consumers.

24. Re-­‐defining
Purpose
Life-­‐plans
will
need
to
recognise
lengthy
‘old-­‐age’,
driving
a
search
for
purpose
into
and
beyond
the
tradi4onal,
but
arbitrary,
no4on
of
re4rement.

25. Unequal
Futures
New
technologies,
new
economic
opportuni4es
and
new
lifestyle
choices
for
older
people
will
be
very
unevenly
distributed,
leading
to
extreme
inequali4es
within
and
between
ageing
popula4ons.

26. Cross-­‐generaDonal
CollaboraDon
Tapping
into
the
exper4se
of
part-­‐4me
older
workers
and
the
re4red
is
supported
both
by
the
elderly,
who
seek
to
remain
ac4ve
and
make
a
difference,
and
the
young
who
can
help
share
and
apply
their
knowledge.

27. The
GeneraDon
Divide
The
perspec4ve
gap
grows
between
the
expecta4ons
of
the
young,
who
are
increasingly
global
in
their
outlook,
and
the
more
tradi4onal
views
of
more
senior
and
experienced
colleagues.

28. The
Healthcare
Debt
Time-­‐Bomb
The
rising
cost
of
healthcare
results
in
ra4oning
and
the
end
of
universal
healthcare.
Individual
health
budgets,
preven4on
technology,
migra4on
and
working
longer
all
increase
as
new
approaches
seek
to
improve
efficiency.

29. Parent
Care
A
widening
recogni4on
of
connec4ng
across
genera4ons
drives
deeper
awareness
of
social
and
economic
benefits.
Organisa4ons
modify
employment
prac4ces:
Leave
for
‘parent
care’
is
as
important
as
4me-­‐off
for
child-­‐care.

30. Visualising
Future
Needs
Predic4ve
analysis,
gene4c
profiling
and
credit
systems
combine
to
give
us
sight
of
our
personal
future
care
needs.
We
adjust
behaviours;
we
are
aware
of
long-­‐term
impacts
of
our
ac4ons
and
take
ownership
of
personal
care
budgets.

31. Welfare
Reboot
As
increasing
inequality
in
Europe
leads
to
social
unrest,
healthcare
and
welfare
systems
are
stressed
and
rethought.
Ideological
views
are
replaced
by
pragma4c
solu4ons
that
recognise
the
fundamentals
for
an
ageing
popula4on.

32. Living
Longer
-­‐
Not
Lonelier
In
some
countries
we
shape
a
more
connected
world
in
which
older
people
feel
significant
and
worth
something.
Physical
solu4ons
such
as
co-­‐located
care
homes
and
crèches
recreate
historical
connec4ons
between
the
ageing
and
wider
society.

33. Ageing
in
Community
Individuals,
families
as
well
as
healthcare
payers
desire
to
keep
older
people
living
healthy
and
independent
for
as
long
as
possible.
This
requires
upgraded,
intelligent
housing
and
smart,
connected
infrastructure.

34. Caregiver
Marketplaces
Recogni4on
of
the
trillion
dollar
informal
caregiver
economy
drives
new
solu4ons
aimed
at
educa4ng,
suppor4ng
and
empowering
family
caregivers.

35. Commodifying
InDmacy
Increasing
isola4on
drives
adop4on
of
innova4ve
products
(such
as
social
robots),
new
services
and
business
models
that
help
people
meet
physical
and
emo4onal
needs
for
connec4on.

36. Mainstreaming
of
Design
for
Ageing
Consumer
products
increasingly
incorporate
the
perspec4ve
of
older
users
into
the
design
process
–
and
in
so
doing,
make
them
simpler
and
easier
to
use
for
all.

37. Future
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