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GBR HOSPITALITY QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER

       Greek Hospitality Industry Performance


                                   2010 Q4
Introduction
 This newsletter provides a snapshot of the performance of Greek hotels based on a sample of more than 180 hotels
 & resorts in Greece. The hotel permorfmance data is complemented by data from other sources so as to place the
 Greek hospitality industry in the context of Greek tourism and of the International Hospitality Industry. Finally, the
 outlook of the industry, as seen by hoteliers themselves, is given.

 International arrivals1 in Greek airports, 2010 compared to 2009

     Region                 % Change in International arrivals -- Q4              % Change in International Arrivals – ytd Q4

         Athens                                                        0.5%   -4.6%




   Thessaloniki                                           0.1%                        -3.5%




Rest of Greece         -0.9%                                                                                               2.1%




   Source: SETE, processed by GBR Consulting


 RevPAR2 in Greek hotels, 2010 compared to 2009

     Region            % Change in RevPAR of Greek hotels -- Q4                 % Change in RevPAR of Greek hotels – ytd Q4

         Athens                      -13.3%
                                                                                                       -7.4%



                   -23.2%
   Thessaloniki                                                                   -20.0%


                                                                       3.6%
         Resorts                                                                                                         0.2%




   Source: GBR Consulting


 RevPAR in Competitive Destinations, 2010 compared to 2009

     Region            % < in RevPAR of Comp. Dest.inations -- Q4               % < in RevPAR of Comp. Destinations – ytd Q4

                                                         9.7%                                                    6.6%
     S. Europe
                                                                                                                          7.9%
          Rome                                              10.4%



         Madrid                   2.8%                                                                                         8.3%



          Cairo                                                     12.2%                                               7.6%



   Source: STR Global, processed by GBR Consulting


     1
           The international arrivals statistics are based on SETE calculations compiling the data from 13 major airports of Greece,
           representing 95% of foreigners’ arrivals by plane in Greece and 72% of total foreigners’ arrivals. Thessaloniki airport
           does not distinguish between arrivals of Greeks and foreigners.
     2
           RevPAR : Revenue per Available Room; for Greek resorts, calculations are based on TRevPAR (i.e. Total RevPAR).



 Hotels • Resorts • Spas • Marinas • Casinos • Conference Centers • Theme Parks • Golf                                   Page 2 of 4
Commentary
    International arrivals by air showed an increase (+0.5%) for Athens this quarter, for the first time in 2010. This
    can be attributed to the 2500 years anniversary Marathon Run last October, which attracted a large number of
    foreign runners, and has helped to contain the overall drop to 4.6%. However the RevPAR developments
    continued to be negative, with Q4 showing the largest quarterly drop (-13.3%) of 2010, leading to an overall
    drop of 7.4% for the year. As a result of this performance, five downtown hotels in Athens have seized operations
    in the last 6 months.
    Thessaloniki showed a similar, if more marked, picture with a marginal increase (0.1%) in arrivals in Q4 and a
    sharp drop in the RevPAR of the quarter (-23.2%), leading to an annual RevPAR drop of 20%.
    This disappointing performance for city hotels is even more striking in comparison to competitive destinations and
    Southern Europe, which showed considerable improvements in their RevPAR in 2010.
    Resorts, however, performed better by holding their position on an annual basis (an annual increase in RevPAR of
    +0,2% and in arrivals of +2.1%); the feared collapse, in the wake of the adverse debt developments and
    associated publicity for the country, of the traditional Greek tourism product eventually did not materialise.


Hotel & Other News
    VAT on hotel services was reduced to 6.5% (effective Jan. 1st,, 2011) from 11%, in an effort to increase the
    competitiveness of the sector. According to our survey ‘Tourism Barometer’, www.gbrconsulting.gr/barometer,
    conducted among Greek hoteliers, 77% of hoteliers will use this reduction, either in its entirety (28%) or partially
    (49%), to boost competitiveness, while 10% remain indecisive and 13% will use it to increase their profitability.


Things to consider for the next Quarter
    The government has announced the start of the “Athens every week” marketing campaign in the aftermath of the
    successful staging of the Athens Marathon Run commemorating 2500 years from the original Marathon run. The
    2500 Marathon Run attracted approximately 20,000 runners making a substantial impact to the occupancy of
    Athens hotels. The “Athens every week” campaign will create unique events for every week in Athens to increase
    its attractiveness as a destination. Furthermore, the two main parties have declared their intention to collaborate
    so as to preserve the centre of the town functional and avoid the social unrest of 2009 and 2010.


Outlook
    In our Tourism Barometer survey (see above), hoteliers expect further deterioration in terms of Occupancy and
    ARR (see graph below). Pessimism is greater among city hoteliers than resort hoteliers.
                                                                  «MY HOTEL»


                                                        44%
                                                                                       19%            41%
                                             8%
                                                                17%

                                       20%                                       21%                        14%
                                                                  12%
                                                                                                             5%

                                                    CC                                         ARR



                                                              «MARKET IN GENERAL»


                                                          37%
                                                                                       23%           39%
                                             19%

                                                                18%
                                                                                 23%                        11%
                                       19%
                                                                  7%                                          5%

                                                    CC                                         ARR



                                                              % of respondents that expected
                                             Decrease         Decrease     Stability     Increase      Increase
                                             >5%              2 – 5%       -2% - +2%     2 – 5%        >5%



Hotels • Resorts • Spas • Marinas • Casinos • Conference Centers • Theme Parks • Golf                              Page 3 of 4
The two segments that differ and show optimism in terms of Occupancy and ARR expectations, are the hoteliers
    of Crete and the hoteliers of 5* properties.
                                   Hotels in Crete                                                                        5* Hotels
                                   «MY HOTEL»                                                                       «MY HOTEL»


                                                                                                            27%                                      43%
                         27%                              49%                              48%
             38%
                                                                       27%
                                                                                                                                   20%                      24%
                                                     6%
       3%                         27%                                                  4%                           15%
                                                    9%                      9%        6%                                           8%                          6%
        6%

                    CC                                          ARR                                    CC                                     ARR



                           «MARKET IN GENERAL»
                             «56 75 689:;5»                                                                 «MARKET IN GENERAL»
                                                                                                              «56 75 689:;5»

                                                                                                 44%                                          41%
                          32%                              46%
             32%
                                                                      24%                                         27%               28%
                                                    12%                                17%
                                  21%
                                                                                                                                                             18%
        9%                                                                                                                        12%
                                                   9%                       9%                                                                                 2%
       6%                                                                             6%                            6%

                    CC                                          ARR                                    CC                                     ARR



                               % of respondents that expected                                                % of respondents that expected
             Decrease          Decrease     Stability     Increase    Increase              Decrease         Decrease       Stability     Increase         Increase
             >5%               2 – 5%       -2% - +2%     2 – 5%      >5%                   >5%              2 – 5%         -2% - +2%     2 – 5%           >5%




GBR Consulting is the leading hospitality and tourism consultancy in Greece. Its experience includes market and
financial feasibility studies as well as valuations and development plans for Hotels, Resorts, Spas, Marinas, Casinos
& Gaming, Conference Centers & Arenas, Theme Parks, Golf Courses etc.
GBR Consulting is affiliated to CBRE Atria, the Greek arm of CB Richard Ellis, providing together a specialized
service for Tourism Properties Transactions.
GBR Consulting possesses a database with financial data for over 1,000 hotel establishments in Greece and has a
datashare agreement with STR Global, the word’s largest databank of hotel operational data.

            Feasibility Studies                    Valuations                    Market Audits                             Sales/Acquisitions

            Strategic Positioning                  Concept Validation            Benchmarking                              Management Contracts

            Repositioning                          Expert Testimony              Competition Audit                         Managerial Audit

            Best Use Studies                       Litigation Support            Classifications                           Asset Management



Contact Details
GBR Consulting
Voukourestiou 23, 106 71 Athens, Greece
T (+30) 210 36 05 002
F (+30) 210 36 06 935
www.gbrconsulting.gr
info@gbrconsulting.gr

            To receive your own copy of this newsletter, you may register at www.gbrconsulting.gr/newsletter.
                          Past Issues of the Newsletter are also available at the same address.

                   © GBR Consulting Ltd. - copying is permitted, provided the source is clearly mentioned.

Hotels • Resorts • Spas • Marinas • Casinos • Conference Centers • Theme Parks • Golf                                                                       Page 4 of 4

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GBR hospitality newsletter 2010 Q4

  • 1. GBR HOSPITALITY QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Greek Hospitality Industry Performance 2010 Q4
  • 2. Introduction This newsletter provides a snapshot of the performance of Greek hotels based on a sample of more than 180 hotels & resorts in Greece. The hotel permorfmance data is complemented by data from other sources so as to place the Greek hospitality industry in the context of Greek tourism and of the International Hospitality Industry. Finally, the outlook of the industry, as seen by hoteliers themselves, is given. International arrivals1 in Greek airports, 2010 compared to 2009 Region % Change in International arrivals -- Q4 % Change in International Arrivals – ytd Q4 Athens 0.5% -4.6% Thessaloniki 0.1% -3.5% Rest of Greece -0.9% 2.1% Source: SETE, processed by GBR Consulting RevPAR2 in Greek hotels, 2010 compared to 2009 Region % Change in RevPAR of Greek hotels -- Q4 % Change in RevPAR of Greek hotels – ytd Q4 Athens -13.3% -7.4% -23.2% Thessaloniki -20.0% 3.6% Resorts 0.2% Source: GBR Consulting RevPAR in Competitive Destinations, 2010 compared to 2009 Region % < in RevPAR of Comp. Dest.inations -- Q4 % < in RevPAR of Comp. Destinations – ytd Q4 9.7% 6.6% S. Europe 7.9% Rome 10.4% Madrid 2.8% 8.3% Cairo 12.2% 7.6% Source: STR Global, processed by GBR Consulting 1 The international arrivals statistics are based on SETE calculations compiling the data from 13 major airports of Greece, representing 95% of foreigners’ arrivals by plane in Greece and 72% of total foreigners’ arrivals. Thessaloniki airport does not distinguish between arrivals of Greeks and foreigners. 2 RevPAR : Revenue per Available Room; for Greek resorts, calculations are based on TRevPAR (i.e. Total RevPAR). Hotels • Resorts • Spas • Marinas • Casinos • Conference Centers • Theme Parks • Golf Page 2 of 4
  • 3. Commentary International arrivals by air showed an increase (+0.5%) for Athens this quarter, for the first time in 2010. This can be attributed to the 2500 years anniversary Marathon Run last October, which attracted a large number of foreign runners, and has helped to contain the overall drop to 4.6%. However the RevPAR developments continued to be negative, with Q4 showing the largest quarterly drop (-13.3%) of 2010, leading to an overall drop of 7.4% for the year. As a result of this performance, five downtown hotels in Athens have seized operations in the last 6 months. Thessaloniki showed a similar, if more marked, picture with a marginal increase (0.1%) in arrivals in Q4 and a sharp drop in the RevPAR of the quarter (-23.2%), leading to an annual RevPAR drop of 20%. This disappointing performance for city hotels is even more striking in comparison to competitive destinations and Southern Europe, which showed considerable improvements in their RevPAR in 2010. Resorts, however, performed better by holding their position on an annual basis (an annual increase in RevPAR of +0,2% and in arrivals of +2.1%); the feared collapse, in the wake of the adverse debt developments and associated publicity for the country, of the traditional Greek tourism product eventually did not materialise. Hotel & Other News VAT on hotel services was reduced to 6.5% (effective Jan. 1st,, 2011) from 11%, in an effort to increase the competitiveness of the sector. According to our survey ‘Tourism Barometer’, www.gbrconsulting.gr/barometer, conducted among Greek hoteliers, 77% of hoteliers will use this reduction, either in its entirety (28%) or partially (49%), to boost competitiveness, while 10% remain indecisive and 13% will use it to increase their profitability. Things to consider for the next Quarter The government has announced the start of the “Athens every week” marketing campaign in the aftermath of the successful staging of the Athens Marathon Run commemorating 2500 years from the original Marathon run. The 2500 Marathon Run attracted approximately 20,000 runners making a substantial impact to the occupancy of Athens hotels. The “Athens every week” campaign will create unique events for every week in Athens to increase its attractiveness as a destination. Furthermore, the two main parties have declared their intention to collaborate so as to preserve the centre of the town functional and avoid the social unrest of 2009 and 2010. Outlook In our Tourism Barometer survey (see above), hoteliers expect further deterioration in terms of Occupancy and ARR (see graph below). Pessimism is greater among city hoteliers than resort hoteliers. «MY HOTEL» 44% 19% 41% 8% 17% 20% 21% 14% 12% 5% CC ARR «MARKET IN GENERAL» 37% 23% 39% 19% 18% 23% 11% 19% 7% 5% CC ARR % of respondents that expected Decrease Decrease Stability Increase Increase >5% 2 – 5% -2% - +2% 2 – 5% >5% Hotels • Resorts • Spas • Marinas • Casinos • Conference Centers • Theme Parks • Golf Page 3 of 4
  • 4. The two segments that differ and show optimism in terms of Occupancy and ARR expectations, are the hoteliers of Crete and the hoteliers of 5* properties. Hotels in Crete 5* Hotels «MY HOTEL» «MY HOTEL» 27% 43% 27% 49% 48% 38% 27% 20% 24% 6% 3% 27% 4% 15% 9% 9% 6% 8% 6% 6% CC ARR CC ARR «MARKET IN GENERAL» «56 75 689:;5» «MARKET IN GENERAL» «56 75 689:;5» 44% 41% 32% 46% 32% 24% 27% 28% 12% 17% 21% 18% 9% 12% 9% 9% 2% 6% 6% 6% CC ARR CC ARR % of respondents that expected % of respondents that expected Decrease Decrease Stability Increase Increase Decrease Decrease Stability Increase Increase >5% 2 – 5% -2% - +2% 2 – 5% >5% >5% 2 – 5% -2% - +2% 2 – 5% >5% GBR Consulting is the leading hospitality and tourism consultancy in Greece. Its experience includes market and financial feasibility studies as well as valuations and development plans for Hotels, Resorts, Spas, Marinas, Casinos & Gaming, Conference Centers & Arenas, Theme Parks, Golf Courses etc. GBR Consulting is affiliated to CBRE Atria, the Greek arm of CB Richard Ellis, providing together a specialized service for Tourism Properties Transactions. GBR Consulting possesses a database with financial data for over 1,000 hotel establishments in Greece and has a datashare agreement with STR Global, the word’s largest databank of hotel operational data. Feasibility Studies Valuations Market Audits Sales/Acquisitions Strategic Positioning Concept Validation Benchmarking Management Contracts Repositioning Expert Testimony Competition Audit Managerial Audit Best Use Studies Litigation Support Classifications Asset Management Contact Details GBR Consulting Voukourestiou 23, 106 71 Athens, Greece T (+30) 210 36 05 002 F (+30) 210 36 06 935 www.gbrconsulting.gr info@gbrconsulting.gr To receive your own copy of this newsletter, you may register at www.gbrconsulting.gr/newsletter. Past Issues of the Newsletter are also available at the same address. © GBR Consulting Ltd. - copying is permitted, provided the source is clearly mentioned. Hotels • Resorts • Spas • Marinas • Casinos • Conference Centers • Theme Parks • Golf Page 4 of 4