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1Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
February 5th, 2016
Fourth Quarter 2015 Results
2Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
Forward-looking and
non-IFRS statements
DRIVING VALUE THROUGH CUSTOMIZED SERVICE EXPERIENCE
Public communications, including oral or written communications such as this document, relating to Genworth MI Canada Inc. (the
“Company”, “Genworth Canada” or “MIC”) often contain certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements
include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the Company’s future operating and financial results, expectations
regarding premiums written, losses on claims and investment income, the Canadian housing market, and other statements that are
not historical facts. These forward-looking statements may be identified by their use of words such as “may”, “would”, “could”, “will,”
“intend”, “plan”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “seek”, “propose”, “estimate”, “expect”, and similar expressions. These statements are based
on the Company’s current assumptions, including assumptions regarding economic, global, political, business, competitive, market
and regulatory matters. These forward-looking statements are inherently subject to significant risks, uncertainties and changes in
circumstances, many of which are beyond the control of the Company. The Company’s actual results may differ materially from
those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including as a result of changes in the facts underlying the
Company’s assumptions, and the other risks described in the Company’s Annual Information Form dated March 23, 2015, its Short
Form Base Shelf Prospectus dated June 18, 2014, the Prospectus Supplements thereto, its most recently issued Management’s
Discussion and Analysis and all documents incorporated by reference in such documents. Management’s current views regarding
the Company’s financial outlook are stated as of the date hereof and may not be appropriate for other purposes. Other than as
required by applicable laws, the Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement,
whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.
To supplement its financial statements, the Company uses select non-IFRS financial measures. Non-IFRS financial measures
include net operating income, interest and dividend income (net of investment expenses), operating earnings per common share
(basic), operating earnings per common share (diluted), shareholders’ equity excluding accumulated other comprehensive income
(“AOCI”), operating return on equity and underwriting ratios such as loss ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio. The Company
believes that these non-IFRS financial measures provide meaningful supplemental information regarding its performance and may
be useful to investors because they allow for greater transparency with respect to key metrics used by management in its financial
and operational decision making. Non-IFRS measures do not have standardized meanings and are unlikely to be comparable to any
similar measures presented by other companies. These measures are defined in the Company’s glossary, which is posted on the
Company’s website at http://investor.genworthmicanada.ca. A reconciliation from non-IFRS financial measures to the most readily
comparable measures calculated in accordance with IFRS, where applicable can be found in the Company’s most recent
management’s discussion and analysis, which is posted on the Company’s website and is also available at www.sedar.com.
3Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
2015 financial results
$MM except
ROE, EPS &
MCT
Q4
2015
Q / Q Y / Y 2015 Y / Y
Premiums
written
$213 -18% +20% $809 +26%
Loss ratio 23% +2 pts -3 pts 21% +1 pt
Operating
Income
$95 +3% +14% $375 +3%
Operating ROE 12% Flat +1% 12% Flat
Operating EPS
(dil.)
$1.03 +3% +16% $4.05 +5%
MCT1 233% +5 pts +5 pts 233% +5 pts
2015 key highlights
• Strong 2015 top line growth of +26% Y/Y
• Loss ratio of 21%, at lower end of stated range
• Operating income +3% and Op. EPS +5% Y/Y
• Consistent ROE performance at 12%
• Ongoing capital strength with MCT ratio at 233%1
• Book value per share2 growth of 5%
Operating EPS (diluted)
0.96 1.03
1.04 0.99
0.97 1.00
0.89 1.03
2014 2015
Q1
Q2
Q3
$3.86 $4.05
Book Value Per Share (diluted, incl. AOCI)
35.02
36.07 36.18 36.14 36.82
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
+5%
YoY
Q4
+5%
YoY
1. Year end MCT based on company estimates. Actual year-end MCT for 2014 was 225%, pro-forma under 2015 guidelines was 228%.
2. Book value per share, diluted, including AOCI.
4Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
2015 key accomplishments
PROVEN BUSINESS MODEL .... WELL POSITIONED GOING INTO 2016
Strong but prudent
top line growth
High quality and
diversified insurance
portfolio, with a strong
risk culture1
21% loss ratio at lower
end of stated range
~34%
Current
market
share CREDIT
SCORE
20% to 30% range
Note: Company sources
1. Average credit score for 2015 volumes.
25%
25% cumulative price
increases since 2013
translate into earnings
tailwinds
Credit score
743
5Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
2016 key themes
• New standardized
capital test for mortgage
insurers
• More risk sensitive
• Increased capital on
new business if
regional house price
to income threshold is
exceeded
• 2017 implementation
• Regulatory rule change
may reduce demand for
portfolio insurance
Regulatory changesEconomic environment
• Modestly smaller
mortgage originations
market
• Fiscally disciplined
first-time homebuyers
• Minimal impact from
downpayment rule
changes
• Focus on underwriting
quality throughout the
lending industry
Market dynamics
• Moderately lower total
premiums written
• Flat to modestly
lower transactional
premiums written
• Lower portfolio
insurance volumes
• Moderate growth of
5%+ expected in
premiums earned
• Loss ratio range for
2016 of 25% to 40%
• MCT ratio to remain
modestly above 220%
Implications
• Low oil prices
• Modest economic
growth (GDP)
• Slowing house price
appreciation
• Consumer
indebtedness and
regional affordability
pressures
6Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
Regional risk assessment
Prudent underwriting
actions in Alberta &
Saskatchewan
Monitoring
housing risk in
GTA and GVA
Balanced risk
profile in
Quebec
and Ontario
Note: Based on Company estimates.
Housingrisk
Economic riskLow High
High
GTA
GVA
Quebec
Alberta
Atlantic
Ontario
(ex GTA)
Prairies
Key Metrics
 Price-to-income
 Affordability
 Price-to-rent
Key Metrics: GDP; UE Rate; Economic diversity
Pacific
(ex GVA)
7Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
Portfolio quality improving
NATIONAL PORTFOLIO QUALITY SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED COMPARED TO ‘07/08
Note: Company sources for transactional new insurance written.
2015 highlights
Credit score Average gross debt service ratio (%)
Steady credit score
improvement year-over-year
Modest home
price increases
Stable debt
servicing ratios
Median home price (In ‘$000s)
16%
5%
716
743
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
'12
'13
'14
'15
% Score <660 (R) Avg score (L)
24%
23%
22%
24%
25%
24%
23%
24%
24%
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
'12
'13
'14
'15
$225
$232
$240
$255
$270
$275
$280
$291
$295
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
'12
'13
'14
'15
8Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
Outstanding delinquencies
Highlights
• Delinquencies up 7% Q/Q, primarily reflecting
seasonality
• Increases in Alberta, Quebec & Ontario
partially offset by a decrease in BC
• Delinquencies decreased in Ontario & B.C. Y/Y
• Delinquency rates relatively stable over the past
year395 407 344 365 385
271 263
228 203 181
222 220
227 258 303
569 584
579 578
624
207 216
191 198
204
92 102
97 113
132
Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15
1,756 1,792
1,666
1,715
1,829
Ontario
BC2
Alberta
Quebec
Atlantic
Prairies1
Based on reported outstanding balances
Delinquency Rates3 Q1’15 Q2’15 Q3’15 Q4’154
Transactional 0.31% 0.29% 0.29% n.a.
Portfolio 0.08% 0.07% 0.08% n.a.
Total 0.22% 0.20% 0.21% n.a.
1 Prairies include MB and SK. 2 BC includes the Territories. 3 Delinquency rates are based on outstanding insured mortgages as at the end of the quarter and exclude
delinquencies that have been incurred but not reported. 4 Outstanding mortgage insured balances are reported on a one quarter lag.
9Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
2016 annual loss ratio expectations
MIC loss ratio1 & CBA delinquency rates1,2
2016 ANNUAL LOSS RATIO ESTIMATED RANGE: 25% TO 40%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
0.7%
0.8%
0.9%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*
Canada loss ratio - MIC (RS)
2016 Loss
Ratio Range
Alberta delq.
rate (CBA) (LS)
Canada delq.
rate (CBA) (LS)
1 Source: Canadian Bankers Association (CBA, annual averages) and Company sources.
2 2009 excludes the impact of the change to the premium recognition curve in 1Q’09
3 Based on Company’s estimate of outstanding balance of insured mortgages as at September 30, 2015 of $184B.
* CBA delinquency rates as of Q3 2015.
Alberta National
Unemployment rate 7.8 to 9.0% 7.4 to 8.0%
Home price appreciation (depreciation) (8) to (12)% 1 to (3)%
Assumptions for
loss ratio range
47%
50%
67%
71%
76%
81%
87%
91%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Portfolio <=2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Portfolio 2015
Effective Loan-to-Value by Book Year
National, as at September 30, 2015
> 20% Equity
O/S Insured Mortgage
Balances3 ($B)
Transactional Segment
$67 $24 $10 $13 $15 $16 $20 $18
Transactional
10Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
Solid financial performance
$MM except EPS & BVPS Q4’15 Q3’15 Q4’14
Transactional premiums written $181 $236 $165
Portfolio premiums written 32 24 13
Total premiums written $213 $260 $178
Premiums earned 151 148 143
Losses on claims (35) (31) (37)
Expenses (27) (28) (30)
Underwriting income $90 $89 $76
Net investment income
(excl. realized gains / losses)
44 42 43
Net operating income $95 $92 $84
Operating EPS
(diluted)
$1.03 $1.00 $0.89
Book value per share
(diluted, incl. AOCI)
$36.82 $36.14 $35.02
Q4 highlights
• Transactional premiums written higher by
10% Y/Y primarily due to premium rate
increases
• Premiums Earned increased by 3% Q/Q
and 6% Y/Y as a result of the larger
recent books and price increases
• Loss ratio of 23%, up 2 pts Q/Q consistent
with typical seasonality, and emerging
Alberta pressure, but down 3 pts Y/Y
• Net investment income modestly higher
Q/Q primarily due to higher invested
assets
• Net operating income modestly higher
Q/Q
• Book value per share up 5% Y/Y
11Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
Transactional insurance
$19.5
$3.1 $3.9
$5.4
$6.8
$7.4
$8.3
$6.2
$6.2
2013 2014 2015
+$2.6B
+$3.1B
SOLID BUSINESS FUNDAMENTALS; FLAT TO MODESTLY LOWER
PREMIUMS WRITTEN FROM TRANSACTIONAL INSURANCE IN 2016
New insurance written ($ billions)
+$148M
Net premiums written ($ millions)
+$110M
Note: Company sources.
$19.5
$22.1
$25.2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
$447
$71 $104
$129
$183
$192
$236
$165
$181
2013 2014 2015
$447
$557
$705
Price = ~$43M
Vol. = ~$67M
Price = ~$67M
Vol. = ~$81M
2015
average
premium
rates
2.90%
2.83%
2.71%
2.65%Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2015 highlights 2016 outlook
Average market share increase of ~4 percentage
points in 2015; modestly larger origination market
Maintain market share in a
modestly smaller origination
market
Average premium rate
should be marginally
higher than 2.90%
2.29% 2.51% 2.79%
Average
premium rate
12Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
Portfolio insurance
+$4.6B
+$18M
New insurance written ($ billions) Net premiums written ($ millions)
PORTFOLIO INSURANCE IS A KEY PART OF VALUE PROPOSITION
Note: Company sources.
+$5.7B
$15
$20
$6
$4
$6
$10
2013 2014 2015
+$21M
$65
$13
$26
$32
$22
$25 $24
$13
$32
2013 2014 2015
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Avg. score
Avg. LTV
756 750 756
63% 62% 65%
2015 highlights 2016 outlook
Large wins
at banks
Leveraging proprietary
risk models to drive
portfolio quality
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
$26
Regulatory rule change expected to moderate demand in 2H16 as
portfolio insurance could be limited to mortgages backing gov’t MBS
$82
$104
13Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
Premiums earned growth
LARGER RECENT BOOKS PROVIDE TAILWIND FOR PREMIUMS EARNED
PREMIUMS EARNED IN 2016 TO GROW BY 5%+ DRIVEN BY LARGER RECENT BOOKS
$244 $209 $228
$999 $991 $1,025
$481 $599
$767
2013 2014 2015
6 years & prior Previous 4 books Most recent
+25% +28%
-1% +3%
-14% +9%
$144 $141 $143
$143 $141 $144
$143 $140 $148
$142 $143 $151
2013 2014 2015
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Unearned premiums reserve ($ millions) Premiums earned ($ millions)
FY $573 FY $565$1.7B $1.8B
$2.0B
Note: Company sources.
FY $586
-1%
+4%
(2013 book)
(2014 book)
(2015 book)
(2011-2014
books)
(2010-2013
books)
(2009-2012
books)
+4%+12%
14Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
Solid underwriting profitability
76 87 90 89 90
30
24 29 28 27
37 31 25 31 35
Q4' 14 Q1' 15 Q2' 15 Q3' 15 Q4' 15
Underwriting profitability ($ millions)
Underwriting
profit
Expenses
Losses on claims
Loss ratio 26% 22% 17% 21% 23%
Expense ratio 21% 17% 20% 19% 18%
Combined
ratio
47% 39% 37% 40% 41%
New
delinquencies
net of cures
489 432 319 440 487
Highlights
• 2015 loss ratio of 21% at lower
end of stated range of 20 to 30%
• New delinquencies net of cures
modestly higher, primarily due to
Quebec and Alberta
• Expense ratio of 18% in line with
management expectations
• Loss mitigation programs continue
to be effective
Premiums earned $143 $151$143 $144 $148
2016 ANNUAL LOSS RATIO ESTIMATED RANGE: 25% TO 40%
15Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
Fed. Agency / NHA MBS
Federal bonds
Preferred shares
Emerging markets debt2
Investment grade
corporates3
Provincials
5%
29%
17%
33%
5%
7%
4%
$4,000
4Q14 4Q15
Investments contribute steady
income
$5.9B portfolio1
Duration: 3.7 years1
Book yield: 3.1%1
Growth in invested assets
(C$ millions)
Note: Company sources.
1. Represents market value. Book yield represents pre-tax equivalent book yield after dividend gross-up of portfolio (as at Dec. 31, 2015).
2. 98% investment grade. 3. Market value, includes CLOs.
Total Invested Assets
Cash
2015 highlights
89% of portfolio is high-quality fixed
income
Limited energy exposure
6% of portfolio
2016 outlook
Impact of low rate environment
should be largely offset by growth in
invested assets
Investment Income ($ millions)
$172 $165
$6
$8
$22 $32
2014 2015
$195
$201
Net Investment Gains
Dividends
Interest
$5,443
$474
or 9%
$5,917
16Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
Capital management
INTEND TO OPERATE MODESTLY ABOVE THE 220% MCT HOLDING TARGET IN 2016
Capital required at 220% MCT ($ millions)1Transactional new insurance written ($ billions)
$3,159
$3,329
$3,432
$38
$116
$200
2013 Jan. 1/15 4Q15
Holdco cash2 $85M $143M $121M
MCT ratio 223% 228% 233%
$3,197
$3,632
+$248M
+$187M
Flexibility Efficiency
Strength
Note: Company sources.
1. MCT denotes ratio for operating insurance company. 4Q15 MCT based on company estimates.
2. Represents capital in addition to capital in operating insurance company.
$19.5
$22.1
$25.2
2013 2014 2015
+$2.6B
+$3.1B Excess
capital over
220%
Capital at
220%
2016 outlook
Maintain holdco cash and liquid securities above
$100 million
New capital test under development for 2017 will be more risk
sensitive and will include additional capital for new business if
regional home price to income threshold is exceeded
$3,445
(pro-forma)
17Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
Key takeaways
Proven
business model
has positioned
MIC for
future
performance
Market share retention
Navigating 2016 with a keen
focus on risk management
Proactive loss mitigation
programs
Investing in our customer
experience strategy
18Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results
investor@genworth.cominvestor.genworthmicanada.ca
Investor Relations
Jonathan A. Pinto, MBA, LL.M
Vice President, Investor Relations
jonathan.pinto@genworth.com905.287.5482

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Slides q4 2015_final

  • 1. 1Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results February 5th, 2016 Fourth Quarter 2015 Results
  • 2. 2Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results Forward-looking and non-IFRS statements DRIVING VALUE THROUGH CUSTOMIZED SERVICE EXPERIENCE Public communications, including oral or written communications such as this document, relating to Genworth MI Canada Inc. (the “Company”, “Genworth Canada” or “MIC”) often contain certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the Company’s future operating and financial results, expectations regarding premiums written, losses on claims and investment income, the Canadian housing market, and other statements that are not historical facts. These forward-looking statements may be identified by their use of words such as “may”, “would”, “could”, “will,” “intend”, “plan”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “seek”, “propose”, “estimate”, “expect”, and similar expressions. These statements are based on the Company’s current assumptions, including assumptions regarding economic, global, political, business, competitive, market and regulatory matters. These forward-looking statements are inherently subject to significant risks, uncertainties and changes in circumstances, many of which are beyond the control of the Company. The Company’s actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including as a result of changes in the facts underlying the Company’s assumptions, and the other risks described in the Company’s Annual Information Form dated March 23, 2015, its Short Form Base Shelf Prospectus dated June 18, 2014, the Prospectus Supplements thereto, its most recently issued Management’s Discussion and Analysis and all documents incorporated by reference in such documents. Management’s current views regarding the Company’s financial outlook are stated as of the date hereof and may not be appropriate for other purposes. Other than as required by applicable laws, the Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise. To supplement its financial statements, the Company uses select non-IFRS financial measures. Non-IFRS financial measures include net operating income, interest and dividend income (net of investment expenses), operating earnings per common share (basic), operating earnings per common share (diluted), shareholders’ equity excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (“AOCI”), operating return on equity and underwriting ratios such as loss ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio. The Company believes that these non-IFRS financial measures provide meaningful supplemental information regarding its performance and may be useful to investors because they allow for greater transparency with respect to key metrics used by management in its financial and operational decision making. Non-IFRS measures do not have standardized meanings and are unlikely to be comparable to any similar measures presented by other companies. These measures are defined in the Company’s glossary, which is posted on the Company’s website at http://investor.genworthmicanada.ca. A reconciliation from non-IFRS financial measures to the most readily comparable measures calculated in accordance with IFRS, where applicable can be found in the Company’s most recent management’s discussion and analysis, which is posted on the Company’s website and is also available at www.sedar.com.
  • 3. 3Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results 2015 financial results $MM except ROE, EPS & MCT Q4 2015 Q / Q Y / Y 2015 Y / Y Premiums written $213 -18% +20% $809 +26% Loss ratio 23% +2 pts -3 pts 21% +1 pt Operating Income $95 +3% +14% $375 +3% Operating ROE 12% Flat +1% 12% Flat Operating EPS (dil.) $1.03 +3% +16% $4.05 +5% MCT1 233% +5 pts +5 pts 233% +5 pts 2015 key highlights • Strong 2015 top line growth of +26% Y/Y • Loss ratio of 21%, at lower end of stated range • Operating income +3% and Op. EPS +5% Y/Y • Consistent ROE performance at 12% • Ongoing capital strength with MCT ratio at 233%1 • Book value per share2 growth of 5% Operating EPS (diluted) 0.96 1.03 1.04 0.99 0.97 1.00 0.89 1.03 2014 2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 $3.86 $4.05 Book Value Per Share (diluted, incl. AOCI) 35.02 36.07 36.18 36.14 36.82 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 +5% YoY Q4 +5% YoY 1. Year end MCT based on company estimates. Actual year-end MCT for 2014 was 225%, pro-forma under 2015 guidelines was 228%. 2. Book value per share, diluted, including AOCI.
  • 4. 4Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results 2015 key accomplishments PROVEN BUSINESS MODEL .... WELL POSITIONED GOING INTO 2016 Strong but prudent top line growth High quality and diversified insurance portfolio, with a strong risk culture1 21% loss ratio at lower end of stated range ~34% Current market share CREDIT SCORE 20% to 30% range Note: Company sources 1. Average credit score for 2015 volumes. 25% 25% cumulative price increases since 2013 translate into earnings tailwinds Credit score 743
  • 5. 5Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results 2016 key themes • New standardized capital test for mortgage insurers • More risk sensitive • Increased capital on new business if regional house price to income threshold is exceeded • 2017 implementation • Regulatory rule change may reduce demand for portfolio insurance Regulatory changesEconomic environment • Modestly smaller mortgage originations market • Fiscally disciplined first-time homebuyers • Minimal impact from downpayment rule changes • Focus on underwriting quality throughout the lending industry Market dynamics • Moderately lower total premiums written • Flat to modestly lower transactional premiums written • Lower portfolio insurance volumes • Moderate growth of 5%+ expected in premiums earned • Loss ratio range for 2016 of 25% to 40% • MCT ratio to remain modestly above 220% Implications • Low oil prices • Modest economic growth (GDP) • Slowing house price appreciation • Consumer indebtedness and regional affordability pressures
  • 6. 6Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results Regional risk assessment Prudent underwriting actions in Alberta & Saskatchewan Monitoring housing risk in GTA and GVA Balanced risk profile in Quebec and Ontario Note: Based on Company estimates. Housingrisk Economic riskLow High High GTA GVA Quebec Alberta Atlantic Ontario (ex GTA) Prairies Key Metrics  Price-to-income  Affordability  Price-to-rent Key Metrics: GDP; UE Rate; Economic diversity Pacific (ex GVA)
  • 7. 7Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results Portfolio quality improving NATIONAL PORTFOLIO QUALITY SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED COMPARED TO ‘07/08 Note: Company sources for transactional new insurance written. 2015 highlights Credit score Average gross debt service ratio (%) Steady credit score improvement year-over-year Modest home price increases Stable debt servicing ratios Median home price (In ‘$000s) 16% 5% 716 743 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 % Score <660 (R) Avg score (L) 24% 23% 22% 24% 25% 24% 23% 24% 24% '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 $225 $232 $240 $255 $270 $275 $280 $291 $295 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15
  • 8. 8Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results Outstanding delinquencies Highlights • Delinquencies up 7% Q/Q, primarily reflecting seasonality • Increases in Alberta, Quebec & Ontario partially offset by a decrease in BC • Delinquencies decreased in Ontario & B.C. Y/Y • Delinquency rates relatively stable over the past year395 407 344 365 385 271 263 228 203 181 222 220 227 258 303 569 584 579 578 624 207 216 191 198 204 92 102 97 113 132 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 1,756 1,792 1,666 1,715 1,829 Ontario BC2 Alberta Quebec Atlantic Prairies1 Based on reported outstanding balances Delinquency Rates3 Q1’15 Q2’15 Q3’15 Q4’154 Transactional 0.31% 0.29% 0.29% n.a. Portfolio 0.08% 0.07% 0.08% n.a. Total 0.22% 0.20% 0.21% n.a. 1 Prairies include MB and SK. 2 BC includes the Territories. 3 Delinquency rates are based on outstanding insured mortgages as at the end of the quarter and exclude delinquencies that have been incurred but not reported. 4 Outstanding mortgage insured balances are reported on a one quarter lag.
  • 9. 9Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results 2016 annual loss ratio expectations MIC loss ratio1 & CBA delinquency rates1,2 2016 ANNUAL LOSS RATIO ESTIMATED RANGE: 25% TO 40% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015* Canada loss ratio - MIC (RS) 2016 Loss Ratio Range Alberta delq. rate (CBA) (LS) Canada delq. rate (CBA) (LS) 1 Source: Canadian Bankers Association (CBA, annual averages) and Company sources. 2 2009 excludes the impact of the change to the premium recognition curve in 1Q’09 3 Based on Company’s estimate of outstanding balance of insured mortgages as at September 30, 2015 of $184B. * CBA delinquency rates as of Q3 2015. Alberta National Unemployment rate 7.8 to 9.0% 7.4 to 8.0% Home price appreciation (depreciation) (8) to (12)% 1 to (3)% Assumptions for loss ratio range 47% 50% 67% 71% 76% 81% 87% 91% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Portfolio <=2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Portfolio 2015 Effective Loan-to-Value by Book Year National, as at September 30, 2015 > 20% Equity O/S Insured Mortgage Balances3 ($B) Transactional Segment $67 $24 $10 $13 $15 $16 $20 $18 Transactional
  • 10. 10Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results Solid financial performance $MM except EPS & BVPS Q4’15 Q3’15 Q4’14 Transactional premiums written $181 $236 $165 Portfolio premiums written 32 24 13 Total premiums written $213 $260 $178 Premiums earned 151 148 143 Losses on claims (35) (31) (37) Expenses (27) (28) (30) Underwriting income $90 $89 $76 Net investment income (excl. realized gains / losses) 44 42 43 Net operating income $95 $92 $84 Operating EPS (diluted) $1.03 $1.00 $0.89 Book value per share (diluted, incl. AOCI) $36.82 $36.14 $35.02 Q4 highlights • Transactional premiums written higher by 10% Y/Y primarily due to premium rate increases • Premiums Earned increased by 3% Q/Q and 6% Y/Y as a result of the larger recent books and price increases • Loss ratio of 23%, up 2 pts Q/Q consistent with typical seasonality, and emerging Alberta pressure, but down 3 pts Y/Y • Net investment income modestly higher Q/Q primarily due to higher invested assets • Net operating income modestly higher Q/Q • Book value per share up 5% Y/Y
  • 11. 11Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results Transactional insurance $19.5 $3.1 $3.9 $5.4 $6.8 $7.4 $8.3 $6.2 $6.2 2013 2014 2015 +$2.6B +$3.1B SOLID BUSINESS FUNDAMENTALS; FLAT TO MODESTLY LOWER PREMIUMS WRITTEN FROM TRANSACTIONAL INSURANCE IN 2016 New insurance written ($ billions) +$148M Net premiums written ($ millions) +$110M Note: Company sources. $19.5 $22.1 $25.2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 $447 $71 $104 $129 $183 $192 $236 $165 $181 2013 2014 2015 $447 $557 $705 Price = ~$43M Vol. = ~$67M Price = ~$67M Vol. = ~$81M 2015 average premium rates 2.90% 2.83% 2.71% 2.65%Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 highlights 2016 outlook Average market share increase of ~4 percentage points in 2015; modestly larger origination market Maintain market share in a modestly smaller origination market Average premium rate should be marginally higher than 2.90% 2.29% 2.51% 2.79% Average premium rate
  • 12. 12Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results Portfolio insurance +$4.6B +$18M New insurance written ($ billions) Net premiums written ($ millions) PORTFOLIO INSURANCE IS A KEY PART OF VALUE PROPOSITION Note: Company sources. +$5.7B $15 $20 $6 $4 $6 $10 2013 2014 2015 +$21M $65 $13 $26 $32 $22 $25 $24 $13 $32 2013 2014 2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Avg. score Avg. LTV 756 750 756 63% 62% 65% 2015 highlights 2016 outlook Large wins at banks Leveraging proprietary risk models to drive portfolio quality Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 $26 Regulatory rule change expected to moderate demand in 2H16 as portfolio insurance could be limited to mortgages backing gov’t MBS $82 $104
  • 13. 13Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results Premiums earned growth LARGER RECENT BOOKS PROVIDE TAILWIND FOR PREMIUMS EARNED PREMIUMS EARNED IN 2016 TO GROW BY 5%+ DRIVEN BY LARGER RECENT BOOKS $244 $209 $228 $999 $991 $1,025 $481 $599 $767 2013 2014 2015 6 years & prior Previous 4 books Most recent +25% +28% -1% +3% -14% +9% $144 $141 $143 $143 $141 $144 $143 $140 $148 $142 $143 $151 2013 2014 2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Unearned premiums reserve ($ millions) Premiums earned ($ millions) FY $573 FY $565$1.7B $1.8B $2.0B Note: Company sources. FY $586 -1% +4% (2013 book) (2014 book) (2015 book) (2011-2014 books) (2010-2013 books) (2009-2012 books) +4%+12%
  • 14. 14Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results Solid underwriting profitability 76 87 90 89 90 30 24 29 28 27 37 31 25 31 35 Q4' 14 Q1' 15 Q2' 15 Q3' 15 Q4' 15 Underwriting profitability ($ millions) Underwriting profit Expenses Losses on claims Loss ratio 26% 22% 17% 21% 23% Expense ratio 21% 17% 20% 19% 18% Combined ratio 47% 39% 37% 40% 41% New delinquencies net of cures 489 432 319 440 487 Highlights • 2015 loss ratio of 21% at lower end of stated range of 20 to 30% • New delinquencies net of cures modestly higher, primarily due to Quebec and Alberta • Expense ratio of 18% in line with management expectations • Loss mitigation programs continue to be effective Premiums earned $143 $151$143 $144 $148 2016 ANNUAL LOSS RATIO ESTIMATED RANGE: 25% TO 40%
  • 15. 15Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results Fed. Agency / NHA MBS Federal bonds Preferred shares Emerging markets debt2 Investment grade corporates3 Provincials 5% 29% 17% 33% 5% 7% 4% $4,000 4Q14 4Q15 Investments contribute steady income $5.9B portfolio1 Duration: 3.7 years1 Book yield: 3.1%1 Growth in invested assets (C$ millions) Note: Company sources. 1. Represents market value. Book yield represents pre-tax equivalent book yield after dividend gross-up of portfolio (as at Dec. 31, 2015). 2. 98% investment grade. 3. Market value, includes CLOs. Total Invested Assets Cash 2015 highlights 89% of portfolio is high-quality fixed income Limited energy exposure 6% of portfolio 2016 outlook Impact of low rate environment should be largely offset by growth in invested assets Investment Income ($ millions) $172 $165 $6 $8 $22 $32 2014 2015 $195 $201 Net Investment Gains Dividends Interest $5,443 $474 or 9% $5,917
  • 16. 16Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results Capital management INTEND TO OPERATE MODESTLY ABOVE THE 220% MCT HOLDING TARGET IN 2016 Capital required at 220% MCT ($ millions)1Transactional new insurance written ($ billions) $3,159 $3,329 $3,432 $38 $116 $200 2013 Jan. 1/15 4Q15 Holdco cash2 $85M $143M $121M MCT ratio 223% 228% 233% $3,197 $3,632 +$248M +$187M Flexibility Efficiency Strength Note: Company sources. 1. MCT denotes ratio for operating insurance company. 4Q15 MCT based on company estimates. 2. Represents capital in addition to capital in operating insurance company. $19.5 $22.1 $25.2 2013 2014 2015 +$2.6B +$3.1B Excess capital over 220% Capital at 220% 2016 outlook Maintain holdco cash and liquid securities above $100 million New capital test under development for 2017 will be more risk sensitive and will include additional capital for new business if regional home price to income threshold is exceeded $3,445 (pro-forma)
  • 17. 17Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results Key takeaways Proven business model has positioned MIC for future performance Market share retention Navigating 2016 with a keen focus on risk management Proactive loss mitigation programs Investing in our customer experience strategy
  • 18. 18Genworth MI Canada Inc.Q4 2015 Results investor@genworth.cominvestor.genworthmicanada.ca Investor Relations Jonathan A. Pinto, MBA, LL.M Vice President, Investor Relations jonathan.pinto@genworth.com905.287.5482