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Achieving Emissions Reductions in the Freight Sector:
          Understanding Freight Flows and
            Exploring Reduction Options


              James J. Winebrake, PhD.
           Rochester Institute of Technology

              Presented via Webinar for the
                Talking Freight Seminar:
           Freight and the Environment Part I

                    21 March 2012
Acknowledgments
  This work was funded in part by a grant from the
   Transportation and Climate Initiative (TCI) administered by
   the Georgetown Climate Center.
  For more information about TCI see:
   http://www.georgetownclimate.org/state-action/
   transportation-and-climate-initiative
  I am also grateful to Dr. James Corbett (UD), Dr. Scott
   Hawker (RIT), and Dr. Karl Korfmacher (RIT) for
   contributions related to the GIFT model.



J. Winebrake (2012)
Overview
  Understand the problem
  Characterize the data
  Identify energy and emissions reduction opportunities
  Implement results
  Questions and discussion




J. Winebrake (2012)
Understand the Problem
Freight is closely tied to economic growth and is growing;
unfortunately, the bulk of freight is moved by high energy-intensive
and GHG-intensive modes (truck).




J. Winebrake (2012)
Goods Movement and GDP




     For every trillion dollar increase in GDP, we expect an
     additional ~140 billion ton-miles.
J. Winebrake (2012)   Source: BTS (2011)
Note:
                      These represent top-down averages and
                       should not be used for blanket modal
                                   comparisons!




J. Winebrake (2012)
NOTE: Impacts are a function of
                      many factors related to route and
                      modal characteristics.




J. Winebrake (2012)                                       Source: Buhaug, et al. 2009
Total emissions
                      from transportation
                      ~1.9 GtCO2eq/yr

                      Total emissions
                      from all energy sectors
                      ~5.9 GtCO2eq/yr




J. Winebrake (2012)           Source: AEO 2011.
Characterize the Data (Northeast
and Mid-Atlantic (TCI) Region)
Freight flows for the TCI region are dominated by truck (87%);
about 50% of the commodities moved by weight include: gravel and
stone; refined fuel; non-metallic minerals; and coal.




J. Winebrake (2012)
Overview of Characterization Project
  Purpose
      Characterize freight flows for the TCI region
      Provide EXCEL and ArcGIS datasets on freight flows


  Value
      Results provide data and context for regional plans, programs,
        and policies to reduce improve efficiency and reduce the
        environmental impacts from freight transportation


  Supported by the Georgetown Climate Center

J. Winebrake (2012)
Scope of Study
  Geography
      Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Maine,
        Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey,
        NewYork, Pennsylvania, andVermont.

  Modes:Truck, Rail, Ship


  Commodities: All available and reported




J. Winebrake (2012)
J. Winebrake (2012)
Freight Flow (ktons) to Northeast Counties from the
Northeast Region




J. Winebrake (2012)
Freight Flow to Northeast Counties from U.S. States
Outside of the Northeast Region, by Weight




J. Winebrake (2012)
Identify Energy and Emissions
Reduction Opportunities
The IF-TOLD framework provides insights into options for emissions
reductions from freight; the GIFT model can be used to evaluate trade-offs
across important criteria (cost, time-of-delivery, emissions, etc.).




J. Winebrake (2012)
The IF-TOLD Mitigation Framework
  The IF-TOLD framework:
    Intermodalism/Infrastructure– use of efficient modes and
     infrastructure
    Fuels – use of low carbon fuels
    Technology – application of efficient technologies
    Operations – best practices in operator behavior
    Logistics – improve supply chain management
    Demand – reduce how much STUFF we consume




     J. Winebrake (2012)
Example Using the Geospatial
Intermodal Freight Transportation
(GIFT) Model
GIFT has been jointly developed at the Rochester Institute of Technology
(RIT) and the University of Delaware with partial support from the U.S.
Department of Transportation, Maritime Administration and the Great
Lakes Maritime Research Institute.




J. Winebrake (2012)
Connect Multiple Transportation Mode Networks at
         Intermodal Transfer Facilities

          Road Network             Rail Network




      Waterway Network     Intermodal Transfer Facility




  J. Winebrake (2012)
Montreal to Cleveland (Ship 1) Montreal to Cleveland (Ship 2)
                                             J. Winebrake, Asilomar, 2009.
Emissions and Time of Delivery Tradeoffs
                              Montreal to Cleveland
           600
CO2 (kg)


           400
           200
             0
                        Truck       Ship (DR)           Rail                Ship (EJ)


                 80
Delivery (hrs)




                 60
  Time-of




                 40
                 20
                  0
                          Truck      Ship (DR)          Rail                 Ship (EJ)
                                                               J. Winebrake, Asilomar, 2009.
                                                 Mode
CO2 Comparison
                                 400




                      CO2 (kg)
                                 200

                                   0
                                       Truck Only Rail Only Ship-Truck Rail-Truck




J. Winebrake (2012)
Implement Results
More analysis of policy impacts needed for the Northeast and Mid-
Atlantic states; however, one could use IF-TOLD to identify
potential opportunities for a menu of policies .




J. Winebrake (2012)
Intermodalism


                                                                      Technology
                                                                                   Operations
Policy Options




                                                                                                Logistics
                                                                                                            Demand
                                                               Fuel
                        Policy	
  Op*ons	
       I	
   F	
   T	
   O	
   L	
   D	
  
   Efficiency standards	
                      ●                      ●                         ●
   Taxes	
                                     ● ●                    ●            ●            ●           ●
   Subsidies	
                                 ● ●                    ●
   Technology mandates	
                                              ●
   Infrastructure investment	
                 ●                                                ●
   R&D investment	
                                            ●      ●
   Alternative/LC fuels	
                                      ●      ●
   Size/weight restrictions	
                  ●                                   ●            ●
   Demand management	
                                                                                      ●
  J. Winebrake (2012)
Questions/Discussion




J. Winebrake (2012)

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Freight seminar presentation 20120321

  • 1. Achieving Emissions Reductions in the Freight Sector: Understanding Freight Flows and Exploring Reduction Options James J. Winebrake, PhD. Rochester Institute of Technology Presented via Webinar for the Talking Freight Seminar: Freight and the Environment Part I 21 March 2012
  • 2. Acknowledgments   This work was funded in part by a grant from the Transportation and Climate Initiative (TCI) administered by the Georgetown Climate Center.   For more information about TCI see: http://www.georgetownclimate.org/state-action/ transportation-and-climate-initiative   I am also grateful to Dr. James Corbett (UD), Dr. Scott Hawker (RIT), and Dr. Karl Korfmacher (RIT) for contributions related to the GIFT model. J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 3. Overview   Understand the problem   Characterize the data   Identify energy and emissions reduction opportunities   Implement results   Questions and discussion J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 4. Understand the Problem Freight is closely tied to economic growth and is growing; unfortunately, the bulk of freight is moved by high energy-intensive and GHG-intensive modes (truck). J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 5. Goods Movement and GDP For every trillion dollar increase in GDP, we expect an additional ~140 billion ton-miles.
  • 6. J. Winebrake (2012) Source: BTS (2011)
  • 7. Note: These represent top-down averages and should not be used for blanket modal comparisons! J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 8. NOTE: Impacts are a function of many factors related to route and modal characteristics. J. Winebrake (2012) Source: Buhaug, et al. 2009
  • 9. Total emissions from transportation ~1.9 GtCO2eq/yr Total emissions from all energy sectors ~5.9 GtCO2eq/yr J. Winebrake (2012) Source: AEO 2011.
  • 10. Characterize the Data (Northeast and Mid-Atlantic (TCI) Region) Freight flows for the TCI region are dominated by truck (87%); about 50% of the commodities moved by weight include: gravel and stone; refined fuel; non-metallic minerals; and coal. J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 11. Overview of Characterization Project   Purpose   Characterize freight flows for the TCI region   Provide EXCEL and ArcGIS datasets on freight flows   Value   Results provide data and context for regional plans, programs, and policies to reduce improve efficiency and reduce the environmental impacts from freight transportation   Supported by the Georgetown Climate Center J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 12. Scope of Study   Geography   Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, NewYork, Pennsylvania, andVermont.   Modes:Truck, Rail, Ship   Commodities: All available and reported J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 14. Freight Flow (ktons) to Northeast Counties from the Northeast Region J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 15. Freight Flow to Northeast Counties from U.S. States Outside of the Northeast Region, by Weight J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 16. Identify Energy and Emissions Reduction Opportunities The IF-TOLD framework provides insights into options for emissions reductions from freight; the GIFT model can be used to evaluate trade-offs across important criteria (cost, time-of-delivery, emissions, etc.). J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 17. The IF-TOLD Mitigation Framework   The IF-TOLD framework:   Intermodalism/Infrastructure– use of efficient modes and infrastructure   Fuels – use of low carbon fuels   Technology – application of efficient technologies   Operations – best practices in operator behavior   Logistics – improve supply chain management   Demand – reduce how much STUFF we consume J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 18. Example Using the Geospatial Intermodal Freight Transportation (GIFT) Model GIFT has been jointly developed at the Rochester Institute of Technology (RIT) and the University of Delaware with partial support from the U.S. Department of Transportation, Maritime Administration and the Great Lakes Maritime Research Institute. J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 19. Connect Multiple Transportation Mode Networks at Intermodal Transfer Facilities Road Network Rail Network Waterway Network Intermodal Transfer Facility J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 20. Montreal to Cleveland (Ship 1) Montreal to Cleveland (Ship 2) J. Winebrake, Asilomar, 2009.
  • 21. Emissions and Time of Delivery Tradeoffs Montreal to Cleveland 600 CO2 (kg) 400 200 0 Truck Ship (DR) Rail Ship (EJ) 80 Delivery (hrs) 60 Time-of 40 20 0 Truck Ship (DR) Rail Ship (EJ) J. Winebrake, Asilomar, 2009. Mode
  • 22. CO2 Comparison 400 CO2 (kg) 200 0 Truck Only Rail Only Ship-Truck Rail-Truck J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 23. Implement Results More analysis of policy impacts needed for the Northeast and Mid- Atlantic states; however, one could use IF-TOLD to identify potential opportunities for a menu of policies . J. Winebrake (2012)
  • 24. Intermodalism Technology Operations Policy Options Logistics Demand Fuel Policy  Op*ons   I   F   T   O   L   D   Efficiency standards   ● ● ● Taxes   ● ● ● ● ● ● Subsidies   ● ● ● Technology mandates   ● Infrastructure investment   ● ● R&D investment   ● ● Alternative/LC fuels   ● ● Size/weight restrictions   ● ● ● Demand management   ● J. Winebrake (2012)