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How to Evaluate Emerging Technologies
2
HI, I’M EJ
3
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES
EVALUATION AND SELECTION
AGENDA
4
WHAT HOW WHO
5
WHAT
DEFINING EMERGING TECHNOLOGY
WHAT?
7
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES ARE
CHARACTERIZED BY RADICAL NOVELTY,
RELATIVELY FAST GROWTH, COHERENCE,
PROMINENT IMPACT, AND UNCERTAINTY
AND AMBIGUITY.
WHAT ARE EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES?
- WIKIPEDIA
8
9
BEWARE OF MAGICAL THINKING: COMPLEX
TOOLS WILL NOT AUTOMATICALLY INSTALL
AND RUN THEMSELVES, NOR WILL THEY
TRANSFORM YOUR ORGANIZATION WITH THE
PUSH OF A BUTTON.
AN ELEVEN STEP PROGRAM TO CURE SHINY OBJECT SYNDROME
- NTEN.ORG
10
COMMON FEARS
We need AI to help our customers!
We are behind in VR & AR tech!
We need to get into the Blockchain!
11
COMMON FEARS
We need AI to help our customers!
Actually, you might need NLP.
We are behind in VR & AR tech!
What compelling experiences can be delivered via VR or AR?
We need to get into the Blockchain!
How can the Blockchain unlock our ability to deliver
secure assets to our users?
12
SOME INTERESTING STATS
Gartner predicts that 100 million consumers will shop in augmented reality by
2020. It also predicts that 85% of customer interactions will be managed without
a human by that time.
A PwC study of 2,500 U.S. consumers and business decision
makers found that business leaders, specifically, believe AI is
going to be fundamental in the future. In fact, 72% termed it
a “business advantage.”
In May 2016, Google reported that 20%
of its mobile queries were voice searches.
Niantic’s Pokemon Go, which greatly boosted
mainstream awareness of AR apps, hit a peak
of 45 million daily active users last July.
Marketers’ lack of understanding of AI-driven marketing might be influencing the rate of its adoption. To wit, more
than 40% of participants said they thought they had already adopted AI-driven marketing, reflecting a belief that
their targeting capabilities and automation meant that AI was operating behind the scenes.
In 2008, there were already more “things” connected to the Internet than people.
By 2020, the amount of Internet-connected things will reach 50 billion, with $19
trillion in profits and cost savings coming from IoT over the next decade.
13
HOW
TECH INNOVATION + BUSINESS NEED
14
TECHNICAL FLUENCY
USER / BUSINESS NEED
EXPERIMENTATION
15
TECHNICAL FLUENCY
USER / BUSINESS NEED
EXPERIMENTATION
16
TECHNICAL FLUENCY
USER / BUSINESS NEED
EXPERIMENTATION
17
HYPE CYCLE FOR EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES (GARTNER, JULY 2017)
18
TECHNICAL FLUENCY
USER / BUSINESS NEED
EXPERIMENTATION
19
TYPES OF EXPERIMENTATION
VENDOR-DRIVEN EXPERIMENTATION
TECHNOLOGY-DRIVEN EXPERIMENTATION
BUSINESS-DRIVEN EXPERIMENTATION
19
TYPES OF EXPERIMENTATION
VENDOR-DRIVEN EXPERIMENTATION
TECHNOLOGY-DRIVEN EXPERIMENTATION
BUSINESS-DRIVEN EXPERIMENTATION
20
THE EQUATION
INNOVATION
CHARTER
SOLVE A REAL
PROBLEM
+ =
WHAT WE DO
21
STEP ONE
INNOVATION CHARTER
22
INNOVATION CHARTER
TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION
EXPERIENCE INNOVATION
PROCESS INNOVATION
23
ORGANIZING THE WORK
AGILE EXPERIMENTATION
IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE
SCALE
ITERATE
KILL
WHAT OPP AREAS

DO WE PRIORITIZE?
WHAT DO WE NEED
TO KNOW IN ORDER
TO BUILD/LAUNCH
OUR EXPERIMENTS?
CO-CREATE
EXPERIMENTS
TO TEST IN-MARKET
PROVE/DISPROVE
CORE
HYPOTHESIS
IN-MARKET
24
ORGANIZING THE WORK
AGILE EXPERIMENTATION
3
EXPERIMENT 3
1
EXPERIMENT 1
2
EXPERIMENT 2
IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE
SCALE
ITERATE
KILL
25
ORGANIZING THE WORK
AGILE EXPERIMENTATION
3
EXPERIMENT 3
1
EXPERIMENT 1
2
EXPERIMENT 2
IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE
SCALE
ITERATE
KILL
26
ORGANIZING THE WORK
AGILE EXPERIMENTATION
3
EXPERIMENT 3
1
EXPERIMENT 1
2
EXPERIMENT 2
IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE
SCALE
ITERATE
KILL
27
ORGANIZING THE WORK
AGILE EXPERIMENTATION
3
EXPERIMENT 3
1
EXPERIMENT 1
2
EXPERIMENT 2
IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE
SCALE
ITERATE
KILL
28
ORGANIZING THE WORK
AGILE EXPERIMENTATION
3
EXPERIMENT 3
1
EXPERIMENT 1
2
EXPERIMENT 2
IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE
SCALE
ITERATE
KILL
1.1
EXPERIMENT 1
29
ORGANIZING THE WORK
AGILE EXPERIMENTATION
3
EXPERIMENT 3
1
EXPERIMENT 1
2
EXPERIMENT 2
IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE
SCALE
ITERATE
KILL
1.1
EXPERIMENT 1
30
ORGANIZING THE WORK
AGILE EXPERIMENTATION
3
EXPERIMENT 3
1
EXPERIMENT 1
2
EXPERIMENT 2
IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE
SCALE
ITERATE
KILL
1.1
EXPERIMENT 1
31
ORGANIZING THE WORK
AGILE EXPERIMENTATION
3
EXPERIMENT 3
1
EXPERIMENT 1
2
EXPERIMENT 2
IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE
SCALE
ITERATE
KILL
1.2
EXPERIMENT 1
1.1
EXPERIMENT 1
4
EXPERIMENT 4
32
ORGANIZING THE WORK
AGILE EXPERIMENTATION
3
EXPERIMENT 3
2
EXPERIMENT 2
IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE
SCALE
ITERATE
KILL
1.2
EXPERIMENT 1
1.1
EXPERIMENT 1
4
EXPERIMENT 4
1
EXPERIMENT 1
32
ORGANIZING THE WORK
AGILE EXPERIMENTATION
3
EXPERIMENT 3
2
EXPERIMENT 2
IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE
SCALE
ITERATE
KILL
1.2
EXPERIMENT 1
1.1
EXPERIMENT 1
4
EXPERIMENT 4
1
EXPERIMENT 1
33
WHO
YOU NEED A TEAM
34
TEAM
INNOVATION TEAM
IT BUSINESS
DEDICATED OR CROSS-FUNCTIONAL
35
TEAM
IT BUSINESS
DEDICATED OR CROSS-FUNCTIONAL
DECIDERRELATIONSHIPS MAKERS
36
TEAM
IT BUSINESS
DEDICATED OR CROSS-FUNCTIONAL
DECIDERRELATIONSHIPS MAKERS
IDENTIFY VALIDATE SCALE
37
VR / AR
A PRACTICAL EXAMPLE
38
VR / AR EXAMPLE
HOSPITAL
39
VR / AR EXAMPLE
TOURTECHNOLOGY EXCITEMENT
39
VR / AR EXAMPLE
VR IN THE OR
TOURTECHNOLOGY EXCITEMENT
USER NEED EXPERIMENTATION
40
VR / AR
OPERATING
THEATER
For the first time in the history of medicine, on 14 April 2016 Shafi
Ahmed cancer surgeon performed an operation using a virtual reality
camera at the Royal London hospital. Everyone could participate in
the operation in real time through the Medical Realities website and
the VR in OR app. No matter whether a promising medical student
from Cape Town, an interested journalist from Seattle or a worried
relative, everyone could follow through two 360 degree cameras
how the surgeon removed a cancerous tissue from the bowel of the
patient.
THANK YOU
WE GROW BUSINESSES
DREAM BIG. IMPLEMENT SMALL. INVENT NOW.
BET THE GARDEN, NOT THE FARM.
HELLO@GOKARTLABS.COM

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How to Evaluate Emerging Technologies

  • 1. How to Evaluate Emerging Technologies
  • 6.
  • 8. 7 EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES ARE CHARACTERIZED BY RADICAL NOVELTY, RELATIVELY FAST GROWTH, COHERENCE, PROMINENT IMPACT, AND UNCERTAINTY AND AMBIGUITY. WHAT ARE EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES? - WIKIPEDIA
  • 9. 8
  • 10. 9 BEWARE OF MAGICAL THINKING: COMPLEX TOOLS WILL NOT AUTOMATICALLY INSTALL AND RUN THEMSELVES, NOR WILL THEY TRANSFORM YOUR ORGANIZATION WITH THE PUSH OF A BUTTON. AN ELEVEN STEP PROGRAM TO CURE SHINY OBJECT SYNDROME - NTEN.ORG
  • 11. 10 COMMON FEARS We need AI to help our customers! We are behind in VR & AR tech! We need to get into the Blockchain!
  • 12. 11 COMMON FEARS We need AI to help our customers! Actually, you might need NLP. We are behind in VR & AR tech! What compelling experiences can be delivered via VR or AR? We need to get into the Blockchain! How can the Blockchain unlock our ability to deliver secure assets to our users?
  • 13. 12 SOME INTERESTING STATS Gartner predicts that 100 million consumers will shop in augmented reality by 2020. It also predicts that 85% of customer interactions will be managed without a human by that time. A PwC study of 2,500 U.S. consumers and business decision makers found that business leaders, specifically, believe AI is going to be fundamental in the future. In fact, 72% termed it a “business advantage.” In May 2016, Google reported that 20% of its mobile queries were voice searches. Niantic’s Pokemon Go, which greatly boosted mainstream awareness of AR apps, hit a peak of 45 million daily active users last July. Marketers’ lack of understanding of AI-driven marketing might be influencing the rate of its adoption. To wit, more than 40% of participants said they thought they had already adopted AI-driven marketing, reflecting a belief that their targeting capabilities and automation meant that AI was operating behind the scenes. In 2008, there were already more “things” connected to the Internet than people. By 2020, the amount of Internet-connected things will reach 50 billion, with $19 trillion in profits and cost savings coming from IoT over the next decade.
  • 14. 13 HOW TECH INNOVATION + BUSINESS NEED
  • 15. 14 TECHNICAL FLUENCY USER / BUSINESS NEED EXPERIMENTATION
  • 16. 15 TECHNICAL FLUENCY USER / BUSINESS NEED EXPERIMENTATION
  • 17. 16 TECHNICAL FLUENCY USER / BUSINESS NEED EXPERIMENTATION
  • 18. 17 HYPE CYCLE FOR EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES (GARTNER, JULY 2017)
  • 19. 18 TECHNICAL FLUENCY USER / BUSINESS NEED EXPERIMENTATION
  • 20. 19 TYPES OF EXPERIMENTATION VENDOR-DRIVEN EXPERIMENTATION TECHNOLOGY-DRIVEN EXPERIMENTATION BUSINESS-DRIVEN EXPERIMENTATION
  • 21. 19 TYPES OF EXPERIMENTATION VENDOR-DRIVEN EXPERIMENTATION TECHNOLOGY-DRIVEN EXPERIMENTATION BUSINESS-DRIVEN EXPERIMENTATION
  • 22. 20 THE EQUATION INNOVATION CHARTER SOLVE A REAL PROBLEM + = WHAT WE DO
  • 25. 23 ORGANIZING THE WORK AGILE EXPERIMENTATION IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE SCALE ITERATE KILL WHAT OPP AREAS
 DO WE PRIORITIZE? WHAT DO WE NEED TO KNOW IN ORDER TO BUILD/LAUNCH OUR EXPERIMENTS? CO-CREATE EXPERIMENTS TO TEST IN-MARKET PROVE/DISPROVE CORE HYPOTHESIS IN-MARKET
  • 26. 24 ORGANIZING THE WORK AGILE EXPERIMENTATION 3 EXPERIMENT 3 1 EXPERIMENT 1 2 EXPERIMENT 2 IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE SCALE ITERATE KILL
  • 27. 25 ORGANIZING THE WORK AGILE EXPERIMENTATION 3 EXPERIMENT 3 1 EXPERIMENT 1 2 EXPERIMENT 2 IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE SCALE ITERATE KILL
  • 28. 26 ORGANIZING THE WORK AGILE EXPERIMENTATION 3 EXPERIMENT 3 1 EXPERIMENT 1 2 EXPERIMENT 2 IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE SCALE ITERATE KILL
  • 29. 27 ORGANIZING THE WORK AGILE EXPERIMENTATION 3 EXPERIMENT 3 1 EXPERIMENT 1 2 EXPERIMENT 2 IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE SCALE ITERATE KILL
  • 30. 28 ORGANIZING THE WORK AGILE EXPERIMENTATION 3 EXPERIMENT 3 1 EXPERIMENT 1 2 EXPERIMENT 2 IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE SCALE ITERATE KILL 1.1 EXPERIMENT 1
  • 31. 29 ORGANIZING THE WORK AGILE EXPERIMENTATION 3 EXPERIMENT 3 1 EXPERIMENT 1 2 EXPERIMENT 2 IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE SCALE ITERATE KILL 1.1 EXPERIMENT 1
  • 32. 30 ORGANIZING THE WORK AGILE EXPERIMENTATION 3 EXPERIMENT 3 1 EXPERIMENT 1 2 EXPERIMENT 2 IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE SCALE ITERATE KILL 1.1 EXPERIMENT 1
  • 33. 31 ORGANIZING THE WORK AGILE EXPERIMENTATION 3 EXPERIMENT 3 1 EXPERIMENT 1 2 EXPERIMENT 2 IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE SCALE ITERATE KILL 1.2 EXPERIMENT 1 1.1 EXPERIMENT 1 4 EXPERIMENT 4
  • 34. 32 ORGANIZING THE WORK AGILE EXPERIMENTATION 3 EXPERIMENT 3 2 EXPERIMENT 2 IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE SCALE ITERATE KILL 1.2 EXPERIMENT 1 1.1 EXPERIMENT 1 4 EXPERIMENT 4 1 EXPERIMENT 1
  • 35. 32 ORGANIZING THE WORK AGILE EXPERIMENTATION 3 EXPERIMENT 3 2 EXPERIMENT 2 IDENTIFY GET SMART CO-CREATE VALIDATE COMPLETE SCALE ITERATE KILL 1.2 EXPERIMENT 1 1.1 EXPERIMENT 1 4 EXPERIMENT 4 1 EXPERIMENT 1
  • 38. 35 TEAM IT BUSINESS DEDICATED OR CROSS-FUNCTIONAL DECIDERRELATIONSHIPS MAKERS
  • 39. 36 TEAM IT BUSINESS DEDICATED OR CROSS-FUNCTIONAL DECIDERRELATIONSHIPS MAKERS IDENTIFY VALIDATE SCALE
  • 40. 37 VR / AR A PRACTICAL EXAMPLE
  • 41. 38 VR / AR EXAMPLE HOSPITAL
  • 42. 39 VR / AR EXAMPLE TOURTECHNOLOGY EXCITEMENT
  • 43. 39 VR / AR EXAMPLE VR IN THE OR TOURTECHNOLOGY EXCITEMENT USER NEED EXPERIMENTATION
  • 44. 40 VR / AR OPERATING THEATER For the first time in the history of medicine, on 14 April 2016 Shafi Ahmed cancer surgeon performed an operation using a virtual reality camera at the Royal London hospital. Everyone could participate in the operation in real time through the Medical Realities website and the VR in OR app. No matter whether a promising medical student from Cape Town, an interested journalist from Seattle or a worried relative, everyone could follow through two 360 degree cameras how the surgeon removed a cancerous tissue from the bowel of the patient.
  • 46. WE GROW BUSINESSES DREAM BIG. IMPLEMENT SMALL. INVENT NOW. BET THE GARDEN, NOT THE FARM. HELLO@GOKARTLABS.COM