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The State of the Office Market GreenPearl Office Summit | New York | June 2010 Sam Chandan PhD FRICS Global Chief Economist and Executive Vice President Real Capital Analytics Adjunct Professor of Real Estate The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania
The State of the Office Market ,[object Object]
 Office Sector Fundamentals
 Construction Activity
 Office Investment and Credit Trends
 Policy, Regulation, and Real Estate 2
Employment Losses Moderate 3 Year-to-Year Percent Change in Nonfarm Employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Office Fundamentals Trends 4 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association Quarterly Data Book Vacancy Rate Asking Rent Change
Office Construction and New Inventory 5 Year-to-Year Change in Private Office Construction Spending Source: Census Bureau
Economic Headwinds and Tailwinds Contributions to Percent Change in Real GDP First Quarter 2010 (Advance Estimate) Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis 6
Office Sector Investment Trends 7 Office Transaction Volume and Average Office Cap Rate Source: Real Capital Analytics Average Cap Rate
Office Sector Investment Trends 8 Office Transaction Volume, Prices, and Cap Rates Through April 2010 Source: Real Capital Analytics

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Green pearl chandan-state-of_the_office_market

  • 1. The State of the Office Market GreenPearl Office Summit | New York | June 2010 Sam Chandan PhD FRICS Global Chief Economist and Executive Vice President Real Capital Analytics Adjunct Professor of Real Estate The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania
  • 2.
  • 3. Office Sector Fundamentals
  • 5. Office Investment and Credit Trends
  • 6. Policy, Regulation, and Real Estate 2
  • 7. Employment Losses Moderate 3 Year-to-Year Percent Change in Nonfarm Employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 8. Office Fundamentals Trends 4 Sources: Mortgage Bankers Association Quarterly Data Book Vacancy Rate Asking Rent Change
  • 9. Office Construction and New Inventory 5 Year-to-Year Change in Private Office Construction Spending Source: Census Bureau
  • 10. Economic Headwinds and Tailwinds Contributions to Percent Change in Real GDP First Quarter 2010 (Advance Estimate) Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis 6
  • 11. Office Sector Investment Trends 7 Office Transaction Volume and Average Office Cap Rate Source: Real Capital Analytics Average Cap Rate
  • 12. Office Sector Investment Trends 8 Office Transaction Volume, Prices, and Cap Rates Through April 2010 Source: Real Capital Analytics
  • 13. Where the Stress Falls 9 Percentage of Transaction Volume Related to Distress Source: Real Capital Analytics
  • 14. Asset Prices, Credit, and Policy Guidance 10 Moody's / REAL Commercial Property Price Index by Sector Source: Real Capital Analytics, REAL 2000 Q4 = 1 Final Concentration Guidance Released For Comment Concentration Guidance Released CMBS TALF Loan Workout Guidance Released
  • 15. Emerging Sources of Credit 11
  • 16. The State of the Office Market GreenPearl Office Summit | New York | June 2010 Sam Chandan PhD FRICS Global Chief Economist and Executive Vice President Real Capital Analytics Adjunct Professor of Real Estate The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania