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DYNAMIC DOWNSCALING FOR STUDYING
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
ON RIVER CATCHMENT HYDROLOGY
by
Prof. J. Ganoulis, Coordinator
UNESCO Chair/INWEB
International Network of Water/Environment Centres for the Balkans
Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Greece

http:// www.inweb.gr
DOWNSCALING:
GCM(200-500 Km)
LCM(1-5 Km)
HYDROLOGICAL (100-500m)
HYDROLOGICAL DOWNSCALING
?
...

a

l
tera
bila

ag

nt
me
ree

The Mesta/Nestos River basin
HYDROLOGICAL
MODELLING:
THE GRID
HYDROLOGICAL MODEL
CALIBRATION
HUGE INCREASE
OF CO2
(A1FI,A2)

A1B
REALISTIC
REDUCTION
OF CO2

IPCCP
SAR (IS92a)
OPTIMISTIC
NEW TECHNOLOGIES)
(B1,B2)
CURRENT
SITUATION

A1B,REALISTIC
PRESENT CLIMATE

B1
OPTIMISTIC

A1B
REALISTIC
July 09
CONCLUSIONS
• CLIMATE CHANGE AND ENERGY PRODUCTION IN
TRANSBOUNDARY RIVERS:
A VERY CHALLENGING ISSUE
• IMPORTANCE OF SOCIO-ECONOMICS AND HYDROPOLITICS (example: the “HELP” Mesta/Nestos Case)
Thank you!

Ευχαριστώ !

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