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Gender Differences in Returns on Education
I. Introduction
For a society that claims to value equality in the workplace, the
gender gap in wages in
America seems awfully persistent. This paper investigates the di
fferences in wages between men
and women at different levels of education using data from a su
b sample of the Current
Population Survey (2012). Such analysis will help reveal the nat
ure of the gender gap, and may
help identify the segments in which discrimination in the workf
orce may exist. Using linear
regressions, I first confirm the wage gap in the data and that ret
urns to education are positive.
Next, I use interaction variables to illuminate gender difference
s on returns at the different levels
of education (high school, bachelor’s, and master’s). Overall, I f
ind that females see higher
returns than men for completing high school and college, but no
t for graduate school.
II. Data
The data set consists of 999 observations of working individuals
between the ages of 18
and 54:
The average age in the sample is 39.11 years old. On average, in
dividuals made $16.92
an hour with a standard deviation of $9.80. The average highest
grade completed, 13.28, shows
that most graduated high school. 88% of the sample have high s
chool diplomas, 24% hold a
bachelor's degree, and 7.4% have completed at least a master’s.
A majority was white (81.6%).
10% of the individuals were black, 9% were other races. 22.7%
of the workers were part-time.
Approximately half of the sample was female. The following his
togram shows the distribution of
education level:
Most of the data lies on the milestone years. The 12, 14, 16, and
16 areas represent high school
diplomas, associate's, bachelor’s, and master’s degrees. Howeve
r there is some ambiguity at the
14th grade level: these observations could be both associate’s d
egree holders or four year college
dropouts.
III. Empirical Methodology
To compare gender differences in the returns on wages at differ
ent levels of education I
run a linear regression on log wages:
The particular variables of interest are B9, B10, and B11. These
interaction variables will show
the additional percentage point increase or decrease in wages th
at females accrue at the different
levels of education.
Because the distribution of wages is skewed right, I choose to u
se log wages, which are
more normally distributed and thus may increase the goodness o
f fit. Based on prior research, I
expect to see positive, though diminishing, returns to age. Thus,
one would expect B1 to be
positive and B2 to be negative. Income inequality between whit
es and blacks is well established
in economic literature, so I expect B3 to be negative. B4 is also
likely negative since many of the
higher paying jobs would be full time. I expect a negative coeffi
cient on the female variable,
matching my hypothesis that the wage gap is present in the data.
Lastly, the coefficients on the
dummy variables for completion of high school, completion of a
bachelor’s, and completion of a
master’s are expected to be positive because higher education le
vels allow individuals to access
higher wage positions.
There are some potential concerns with this methodology. First,
there is inevitably a
sample selection problem since we are only looking at the data
of employed people. For
example, if it were the case that being female lowered the proba
bility of being employed due to
discrimination, then the sample observations would only represe
nt the females with a relatively
high marginal productivity of labor. Thus, B5 might underestim
ate the true magnitude of the
wage gap. Another possible concern is omitted variable bias. Fo
r example, living in a city is
likely positively correlated with higher wages. Moreover, it may
be the case that having a
master’s degree is correlated with a higher probability of living
in a city. These positive
correlations would cause an upward bias on B8.
IV. Results
Column 1 shows the baseline specification which includes all th
e race dummy variables and does
not include the interaction variable for female and education. Al
l the variables are significant at
the 5% level except for the race dummy variables for American
Indian, Asian, Mixed, and
Hispanic. All signs on the significant coefficients are consistent
with the predictions discussed in
the previous section. I conducted an F (4,986) test on the variab
les for American Indian, Asian,
Mixed, and Hispanic and found that none had a statistically sign
ificant impact on wages, all else
constant (p=.18). Thus, I decided to remove them from the regre
ssion in column 2. The adjusted
R^2 for column 1 was .164.
In column 2, I add the interaction variables for females and edu
cation level. The adjusted
R^2 slightly improved in this specification to .168. The interacti
on variables are interpreted as
follows: females see an additional return of 5.6% compared to
men for graduating high school,
an additional 24% return compared to men for graduating colleg
e, and a negative 26% return
compared to men for a master’s degree, all else equal. All the in
teraction variables are significant
at the 5% level. The signs on the rest of the coefficients are con
sistent with the initial predictions,
except for the coefficient on bachelor’s degrees. The statistical i
nsignificance of the bachelor’s
variable in this regression can be explained as a point in the edu
cation level where female wages
catch up to the male wages (i.e. the wage gap closes). In fact,
my regression predicts that at the
bachelor’s degree level of education, female wages average abo
ut 8 percentage points higher
than men. However, the gap reappears for graduate level jobs. A
t that point, the model predicts
that men see about a 20% higher return than women, all else con
stant. The following graph
shows how the wage gap is “pinched” for bachelor’s degree wag
es:
V. Conclusion
In theory, it is not surprising that a wage gap persists at lower l
evels of education. Jobs
that do not require degrees tend to involve more manual labor, t
hus have positive returns on
physical strength. According to my results, female wages catch
up to male wages with a
bachelor’s degree, but lag behind male wages at the graduate le
vel. This may be evidence of
gender discrimination for senior positions. All in all, these resul
ts lend insight into the nature of
the gender gap: Since the gap closes with a bachelor’s degree, t
here does not seem to be evidence
that women earn less doing the same jobs as men. It seems a mo
re likely explanation for the the
overall wage gap is that a disproportionate amount of men get hi
red for top paying positions.
Further investigation could involve using linear probability mod
els to test gender differences in
the probability of being employed in senior executive positions.
Global Finance Presentation - Content and Format Scoring
Criteria
10 Attributes
Scale
0 = not at all;
4 = very much
Content attributes
Background provided on the topic would enlighten an
uninformed listener.
0 1 2 3 4
Presentation reflected a thorough knowledge of relevant aspects
of the topic covered.
0 1 2 3 4
Presentation made appropriate use of International Financial
Management concepts to manage the risks inherent in global
financial exposures and operations.
0 1 2 3 4
Presentation provided a clear assessment of how and why firms
use International Financial Management techniques to create
value.
0 1 2 3 4
Presentation provided clear connections between the functional
topic and the student’s experience in the workplace or
marketplace.
0 1 2 3 4
Format attributes
The presentation was well organized with clear outline given.
0 1 2 3 4
Presenters spoke clearly and at an understandable pace.
0 1 2 3 4
Presenters were not overly dependent on PowerPoint slides (i.e.
avoid talking to the screen).
0 1 2 3 4
Main conclusions were effectively summarized.
0 1 2 3 4
Team responded effectively to questions.
0 1 2 3 4
1
Imprimante S.A.
Cross-Border Valuation and Parity Conditions
On June 23, 2008, a Monday morning, Martin Arnaud arrived at
his office in Imprimante S.A. corporate
headquarters in Paris, France. The previous week, Arnaud had
requested additional financial
information about an investment proposal from Imprimante-
Mexico, a wholly owned subsidiary that
operated a manufacturing facility and a regional sales office in
Monterrey, Mexico. The information had
arrived late Friday—too late for Arnaud to analyze—and was
waiting for him Monday morning. As a
financial analyst for a global manufacturer for printing an
imaging equipment, Arnaud examined many
cross-border projects, particularly since Imprimante had
accelerated it move into emerging markets
several years earlier.
The Mexican investment proposal called for the purchase and
installation of new automated machinery
to recycle and remanufacture toner and printer cartridges.
Cartridge recycling had become an
important part of Imprimante’s business in many markets and
promised continued growth. Many office
product retailers operated formal toner cartridge recycling
programs, for both the environmental
benefits of keeping materials out of landfills and demonstrated
cost savings for their customers. Writing
in a leading trade journal, one analyst predicted, “We are going
to see more and more refined
approached to recycling and remanufacturing (cartridges) in the
coming months and years…Both
corporate and individual consumers are becoming habituated to
it. They have simply come to expect
recycling as an option, even for smaller cartridges at lower
price points.”
Imprimante’s Monterrey plant began its cartridge recycling
program in 2005. The plant’s recycling
process consisted of a sequence of operations carried out almost
entirely by hand, with the help of hand
tools and a simple machine. The investment proposal called for
replacing this process with new
automated machinery from Germany that cost an estimated
MXP3.5 million (approximately
EUR220,000) fully installed. As described in the project
summary, Imprimante-Mexico expected to
realize substantial savings in labor and materials almost
immediately. Though the proposed expenditure
was relatively small, Imprimante required a discounted cash
flow analysis for all such investments in it
newer foreign markets and a review by corporate headquarters
in Paris. Arnaud was assigned to
perform an analysis of the investment proposal and make an “up
or down” recommendation to his
superior by Wednesday morning.
Imprimante S.A.
Imprimante was a global manufacturer of printers, copiers, fax
machines, and other document
production equipment. The company also provided consulting
and document outsourcing services, with
after-sales service contracts constituting about 18% of overall
revenue. Company sales for 2008 were
projected to be EUR3.35billion, down from 2007 due to global
recession. Operating profit was expected
to be EUR61.2million in 2008, and the company projected a
small net loss for the year. Exhibit 1
presents selected consolidated financial data for Imprimante.
2
Imprimante’s low profitability was typical of the industry in
2008; all of its competitors were similarly
affected by the recession. One bright spot in the company’s
outlook, however, was its growth in several
emerging markets, including the so-called BRIC economies of
Brazil, Russia, India, and China.
Imprimante had been a global firm for years, but did not move
aggressively into emerging markets until
2003-04. This was later than some of its competitors. On one
hand, this meant Imprimante’s market
hare lagged in some markets. On the other hand, Imprimante
avoided some of its competitors’ earlier
mistakes.
The company’s international operations were conducted
primarily through a large network of
subsidiaries, which operated mostly medium-sized regional
factories in which printers, copiers, and
other products were manufactured to suit local tasted.
Imprimante conducted business in 28 countries
around the world, with operations consisting of manufacturing
facilities, small research labs, as well as
sales and marketing subsidiaries. In 2008, subsidiaries outside
the European Union recorded about half
of Imprimante’s sales and generated slightly less than 40% of
pretax income.
Imprimante competed in a relatively mature market, and its
chief competitors were both established
multinational companies—some of which had developed their
consulting and other after-sales services
businesses to a higher level than had Imprimante—as well as
smaller players serving niche markets.
While Imprimante marketed and sold its products across the full
spectrum of industries, it had enjoyed
particular success in financial services, health care, and
government sectors.
Operations in Monterrey: Imprimante-Mexico
According to Imprimante’s CEO Alain Belmont, “We were
attracted to Mexico for the same reason we
built operations in Brazil and other emerging markets. We
wanted to diversify our operations and
believed we needed to establish a strong presence in places
besides Europe and the United States.” He
added: “Certainly there is risk (in these countries), but their
economies are dynamic and Imprimante
must be present. You can see our competitors feel the same
way.”
A key characteristic of Imprimante’s printing and imaging
products was their durability, which
Imprimante’s executives felt conveyed a competitive advantage
in emerging economies where
Imprimante positioned equipment as offering a lower total cost
of ownership. In particular, the
company’s marketing material claimed a working life of 10
months longer than its closest competitor,
with 30% lower service costs. CEO Belmont observed: “We
demonstrate to our customers that we have
a local presence and we are the lowest total-cost provider. This
creates loyalty and solid market
positions in Mexico and other of our newer markets.”
The manufacturing facility in Monterrey was located near a
small research and design facility, also
owned by Imprimante. While many product specifications for
Imprimante’s equipment were
formulated at the corporate offices in Paris, France, it was
customary for regional subsidiaries to
conduct fine-tuning research and design activity to tailor the
product more closely to local consumers’
preferences. Thus, it was common for a popular printer or fax
machine whose basic design was
conceived in Paris to be ”localized” for size, color, weight,
and/or range of features by local design staff.
Most of the products produced in the Monterrey plant were sold
in Mexico and were distributed
3
through large office-product retailers, department stores, as well
as small specialty shops.
Manufacturing inputs were source locally, and virtually all of
the plant’s employees were Mexican
citizens.
In the summer of 2008 gross output at Imprimante-Mexico was
running at only about 80% of planned
capacity. Nevertheless, plant records indicated that there was a
sizable increase in demand for recycled
printer and toner cartridges.. Imprimante-Mexico’s Programa de
Reciclaje de Cartuchos (Cartridge
Recycling Program) was started in 2005 to provide low-cost
recycling services to all its distributors and
customers. Under the terms of users’ service contracts, when
cartridges reached the end of their useful
lives, the could be returned to the Imprimante facility in
exchange for a significant discount on the
purchase of a like number of new cartridges. Imprimante
pledged to recycle and remanufacture all
returned toner and printer cartridges. Imprimante-Mexico also
had voiced its support for political
efforts to pass legislation that would mandate recycling of
printing cartridges used by most Mexican
businesses and government offices. In 2009, the company
planned to launch a pilot program to recycle
selected competitors’ cartridges.
As the number of cartridges returned for recycling increased,
Imprimante-Mexico management needed
to hire and train more employees to carry out the hole-piercing,
drilling, vacuuming, and toner/ink
evacuation required to recycle cartridges. “It’s taking more and
more of my payroll to handle recycling,”
said Beatrice Ernesto, the Monterrey plant manager. “We’re
happy to see the cartridges coming back
in, but the extra volume will become a problem when other
operation return to full capacity.”
Cost Savings from the Proposed New Equipment
The new equipment could process the Monterrey plant’s
projected volume using four employees rather
than ten, resulting in savings of both direct labor and training
costs. Under very favorable
circumstances, only three workers would be required. It would
also eliminate some human error, which
currently resulted in cracked or damaged cartridges which had
to be destroyed rather than reused. The
new equipment would occupy significantly less space in
Monterrey’s over-crowded plant; this space
would be freed up for other productive uses. It would also
require only minimal maintenance
expenditures compared to the equipment it replaced, and no
significant change in working capital.
Exhibit 2 compares projected operating data for the existing
recycling process and the proposed
automated process, assuming future Mexican inflation of 7% per
year.
The new equipment would have a useful life of 10 years and
would be depreciated under the straight-
line method for both tax and financial reporting purposes.
Salvage value was likely to equal disposal
costs at the end of the useful life. The manual equipment being
replaced was very simple and, properly
maintained, would last many more years. In June 2008 it had a
book value and tax basis of MXP250,000
and three years of straight-line depreciation remaining.
However, its market value was thought to be
lower, at about MXP 175,000. After considering Imprimante’s
consolidated tax position, Arnaud
determined that his analysis would use Mexico’s federal
corporate tax rate of 35%.
Real GDP growth in Mexico was 4.2% in 2004—the year in
which Imprimante built is Monterrey plant.
By 2006, Mexico’s real GDP growth had risen to 5.1%, but
subsequently dropped substantially as global
4
recession arrived. Other macroeconomic data in Mexico,
including bond yields, bank lending rates, and
the consumer price index exhibited similar patterns in recent
years. Exhibit 3 shows selected
macroeconomic and financial market data for Mexico.
Arnaud had yet to decide whether to perform the discounted
cash flow analysis in euros or pesos, or
indeed, whether NPV would be affected by the choice of
currency. Imprimante’s euro hurdle rate for
such a project, if undertaken in France, would be 8%. However,
borrowing costs in France and Mexico
were clearly different: French banks’ prime rate for euro loans
was 4.99%, while the rate in Mexico on
short-term peso loans was about 8.10%. Longer-term peso-
denominated corporate bonds were yielding
9.21%, compared with long-term euro-denominated corporate
issues at 4.75%. The spot exchange rate
on June 23 was MXP15.99/EUR. Many analysts were on record
predicting a real depreciation of the peso
against both the USD and the EUR over the next five years. For
example, one international business
publication noted “(Mexico’s) rising external financing
requirement and the fading impact of the US
stimulus package can only increase pressure on Mexico’s
currency.” The article went on to forecast a
rise in the MXP/EUR rate to 20.00 by 2011 and upwards of
25.00 in 2013-18. Selected macroeconomic
and financial market data for France are presented in Exhibit 4.
5
Exhibit 1 - Imprimante SA - Selected Consolidated Financial
Data (millions of
EUR, except as noted)
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Sales
3,345.3
3,561.8
3,576.9
3,078.9
3,050.3
Operating income
61.2
189.2
172.9
163.5
149.9
Net income
(0.7)
85.7
61.2
88.2
85.7
Total assets
2,809.3
2,764.9
2,899.6
3,129.0
2,445.5
Total debt
660.6
616.0
613.0
578.4
504.2
Equity
782.6
819.5
829.7
941.0
865.1
Capital expenditures
87.6
100.0
95.1
240.9
234.1
Depreciation
195.0
209.4
214.0
152.9
155.0
R&D expenditures
17.5
20.0
19.0
48.2
46.8
Earnings/share (euros)
(0.0)
1.0
0.7
1.1
1.0
Dividend/share (euros)
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
Return on sales (%) 0.0% 2.4% 1.7% 2.9% 2.8%
Return on equity (%) -0.1% 10.5% 7.4% 9.4% 9.9%
6
Exhibit 2 - Comparison of Projected Operating Data for
Different Recycling Processes (thousands of MXP, except as
noted)
Assumes 7% Inflation in Mexico Tax Rate: 0.35
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Projected Operating Costs, Manual Process
Unit volume
(000s) 496 546 600 660 660 660 660 660 660 660
Materials
564,816
664,788
782,456
920,951
985,417
1,054,396
1,128,204
1,207,178
1,291,681
1,382,099
Direct Labor
1,115,184
1,312,572
1,544,897
1,818,343
1,945,627
2,081,821
2,227,549
2,383,477
2,550,321
2,728,843
Overhead
1,680,000
1,797,600
1,923,432
2,058,072
2,202,137
2,356,287
2,521,227
2,697,713
2,886,553
3,088,611
Total
3,360,000
3,774,960
4,250,785
4,797,366
5,133,181
5,492,504
5,876,980
6,288,368
6,728,555
7,199,553
Materials/unit
1.1387
1.2176
1.3041
1.3954
1.4931
1.5976
1.7094
1.8291
1.9571
2.0941
Direct
labor/unit
2.2484
2.4040
2.5748
2.7551
2.9479
3.1543
3.3751
3.6113
3.8641
4.1346
Projected Operating Costs, New Automatic
Process
Unit volume
(000s) 496 546 600 660 660 660 660 660 660 660
Materials
542,223
638,197
751,158
884,113
946,001
1,012,221
1,083,076
1,158,891
1,240,014
1,326,815
Direct Labor
524,136
616,909
726,101
854,621
914,445
978,456
1,046,948
1,120,234
1,198,651
1,282,556
Overhead
1,566,211
1,675,846
1,793,155
1,918,676
2,052,983
2,196,691
2,350,460
2,514,993
2,691,042
2,879,415
Total
2,632,570
2,930,952
3,270,414
3,657,410
3,913,429
4,187,368
4,480,484
4,794,118
5,129,707
5,488,786
Materials/unit
1.0932
1.1689
1.2519
1.3396
1.4333
1.5337
1.6410
1.7559
1.8788
2.0103
Direct
labor/unit
1.0567
1.1299
1.2102
1.2949
1.3855
1.4825
1.5863
1.6973
1.8161
1.9433
7
Exhibit 3 - Selected Macroeconomic and Financial Market Data
for Mexico
Year
Consumer Price
Inflation (%)
Real GDP
Growth (%)
Year-end Spot
Exchange Rate
(MXP/EUR)
2000 9.5% 6.6% 9.4
2001 6.4% -0.3% 9.5
2002 5.0% 0.9% 10.4
2003 4.3% 1.4% 12.9
2004 4.7% 4.2% 15.3
2005 3.3% 3.2% 13.3
2006 4.1% 5.1% 14.4
2007 3.8% 3.3% 16.2
Source: Mexico Country Reports, EIU
Date
Short-term
Bank Lending
Rate
JPMorgan
Mexico 7-10
Year Corporate
Bonds
10-year
Government Bonds
31-Mar-06 7.78% 8.20% 8.47%
30-Jun-06 7.68% 9.35% 9.06%
30-Sep-06 7.50% 8.22% 8.24%
31-Dec-06 7.60% 7.42% 7.42%
31-Mar-07 7.68% 7.50% 7.58%
30-Jun-07 7.82% 7.68% 7.19%
30-Sep-07 7.77% 7.86% 7.82%
31-Dec-07 8.00% 8.17% 8.08%
31-Mar-08 7.94% 7.42% 7.49%
30-Jun-08 8.10% 9.21% 9.12%
Sources: Bank of Mexico, Thomson Datastream, Global
Financial Data
8
Exhibit 4 - Selected Macroeconomic and Financial Market Data
for France
Year
Consumer Price
Inflation (%)
Real GDP
Growth (%)
Year-end Spot
Exchange Rate
(MXP/EUR)
2000 1.7% 4.2% 9.4
2001 1.6% 2.1% 9.5
2002 1.9% 1.1% 10.4
2003 2.1% 0.5% 12.9
2004 2.3% 2.3% 15.3
2005 1.7% 1.9% 13.3
2006 1.7% 2.4% 14.4
2007 1.5% 2.3% 16.2
Source: France Country Reports, EIU
Date
Short-term
Bank Lending
Rate
JPMorgan
France 7-10
Year Corporate
Bonds
10-year
Government Bonds
31-Mar-06 3.08% 3.73% 3.79%
30-Jun-06 3.27% 4.03% 4.08%
30-Sep-06 3.63% 3.69% 3.72%
31-Dec-06 4.07% 3.96% 3.98%
31-Mar-07 4.42% 4.08% 4.11%
30-Jun-07 4.69% 4.60% 4.62%
30-Sep-07 4.91% 4.36% 4.41%
31-Dec-07 5.13% 4.34% 4.42%
31-Mar-08 4.81% 4.00% 4.11%
30-Jun-08 4.99% 4.75% 4.81%
Sources: Thomson Datastream, CEIC, Global Financial Data
Elementary Econometrics Project Spring 2017
Due April 13 by 5:00 pm The paper must be uploaded to
Carmen in a .pdf form.
The turn-it-in feature is enabled, meaning any paper that
plagiarizes from
another person who has ever completed this paper in my class
will be
flagged.
1 Basic Description
Objective:
The purpose of this class is to apply the analytical and
quantitative skills which should
be acquired in this course. The final project should be a
professional looking manuscript
with easily interpreted graphics and charts.
Description:
The project requires using statistical techniques learned in this
course to analyze data
from the 1997 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. The
specific topic that you ex-
amine is up to you.
Formatting:
All aspects of your final paper must be typed. The paper should
be double spaced with
font of at least 11 point. There is no minimum number of pages.
There is a strict
maximum of 10 pages including title page, tables, graphs, and
appendices.
Anything beyond 10 pages will not be graded. The paper should
include the following
sections: introduction, data, empirical methodology, results, and
conclusions.
Data:
You will use the data set nlsy97 small.dta found on Carmen.
The data is a subsample of
the 1997 NLSY. The data set is funded by the BLS. They
describe the data as follows:
The NLSY97 consists of a nationally representative sample of
approximately 9,000
youths who were 12 to 16 years old as of December 31, 1996.
Round 1 of the survey
took place in 1997. In that round, both the eligible youth and
one of that youth’s par-
ents received hour-long personal interviews. In addition, during
the screening process,
an extensive two-part questionnaire was administered that listed
and gathered demo-
graphic information on members of the youth’s household and
on his or her immediate
family members living elsewhere. Youths are interviewed on an
annual basis.
The subset of data that you are given contains only 1199
observations, so that it can
be analyzed with small STATA. To avoid the complexity of
working with panel data,
the time aspect is taken out. There are literally thousands of
data points available, but
I have narrowed it to the variables shown in table 1.
2 Variable definitions
Table 1: Variable Definitions
Variable Name Description
grades8 Grades in 8th grade
gradeshs Grades in High School
health 1997 Self Reported Health as an adolescent
icecream 1997 Favorite Ice Cream Flavor as an adolescent
hardtimes 1997 Whether your family experienced ”Hard Times”
as a child”
census region 1997 The census region resided in as an
adolescent
income gross yr 1997 Household income of family when
respondent was an adolescent
msa 1997 MSA of residence as an adolescent
urban rural 1997 Urban or rural residency as an adolescent
race ethnicity Race and Ethnicity
asvab Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery percentile
marstat 2013 Marital and cohabitation status
job Have a job?
income Current (2013) income of the respondent
weight Weight (pounds)
health 2013 Current (2013) self reported health
momsedu Highest level of education achieved by mother
Many of the variables are categorical. Simply type ”tab
variable” and stata will display
how many observations belong to each category and what those
categories indicate.
3 Commonly missed Points
Grammar Do not simply write your paper in another language
and use google trans-
late to change it to English. Those papers are nearly impossible
to read. Reading the
paper out loud to yourself before you hand it in will help
tremendously.
Following Directions Include everything that is on the attached
grading rubric and
in the correct section.
Potential Problems with your regression All methodologies have
some potential
problems. When you address those problems in the methodology
section do not include
problems that you can fix with your current skills and data,
specifically discuss which
coefficients could be affected and the direction of the affect.
Equation The equation that is written out in the empirical
methodology section must
be the same equation used to generate the tables. If the equation
has perfect multi-
collinearity or treats categorical variables as continuous, there
will be large deductions.
Tables and graphs checklist Missing any part of the checklist
will result in significant
deductions.
• Tables and graphs must be understandable without reading the
text. This means
there should be a clear title that explains the contents of the
table, such as ”Sum-
mary Statistics”.
• Do not use variable names in tables and figures.For example,
rather than momedu
my table should say ”Mother’s Education”.
• There should also be a footnote which adds some detail to the
and explains what
is shown. For example ”Each entry is an OLS coefficient with
standard errors in
parentheses. Stars represent p-values as ...”
• If plotting distribution in a figure, use percent as the y-axis.
• All figures and tables should be referenced in the text.
• Figures must show more than just means.
• Cut and pasting from the stata output window will get 0
points. Use the estout
program to create the tables or type them in a word processing
program.
A condensed version of this form will be used to grade papers.
1. Formatting 10pts: The paper conforms to the formatting
standards
outlined in the assignment: Double spaced, font, margins, less
than 10 pages,
includes a title, and stapled.
2. Organization 10pts:
• Ideas are presented clearly, free of spelling and grammatical
errors. Any
references are cited. (-1 for each instance1)
• The paper is not cut and pasted from homeworks and
transitions well be-
tween sections. (5) (Not a list of tasks.2)
1Up to 20 points can be deducted
2If your paper is just a list of tasks and does not resemble a
research paper, you will be deducted
20 points.
• Each assigned section is included and labeled. (5)
3. Introduction 5pts: The question to be analyzed is described.
The
importance of the question is discussed. The data source is
mentioned. The
empirical methodology is mentioned. (OLS) A preview of
results is given
4. Data Section 15pts:
• The source of the data is mentioned. There is a brief
discussion of means,
standard deviations, etc. of the wage variable and whatever
other variable(s)
on which you choose to focus. (5)
• A summary table with means and standard deviations which is
referenced
in the text. (5)
• At least one graphic (histogram(don’t use density), scatter
plot, etc.) which
describes data and is referenced in the text.(5)
5. Empirical Methodology 15pts
• The question being analyzed is clearly described and the
estimated equation
is written out. (5)
• The inclusion of each variable is supported by theoretical
reasoning and
predicted signs of each variable are discussed. (5)
• Potential concerns with sample selection, omitted variables,
etc. are dis-
cussed along with the consequences of those problems. (5)
6. Results 30pts
• Results table. (7)
• Interpretation of coefficients (8) (You must interpret at least 4
coefficients
including 1 dummy variable and 1 coefficient with a logged
dependent vari-
able.)
• Hypothesis testing: discuss which coefficients are statistically
significant at
a 5% significance level; discuss the R2 of the regression;
conduct an F-test
on some aspect of the regression results. (5)
• Use your estimates to predict the earnings of some
hypothetical people. (3)
• Discuss the consistency of your results with your predictions.
(2)
• Estimate an alternative specification, present (in a table) and
discuss. (5)
7. Conclusion 5ptsThe conclusion summarizes results and the
signifi-
cance of those results.
8. Overall Quality 10 pts This is the only subjective portion of
your
grade. The average score will be 6/10.

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Gender Differences in Returns on Education  I. Int.docx

  • 1. Gender Differences in Returns on Education I. Introduction For a society that claims to value equality in the workplace, the gender gap in wages in America seems awfully persistent. This paper investigates the di fferences in wages between men and women at different levels of education using data from a su b sample of the Current Population Survey (2012). Such analysis will help reveal the nat ure of the gender gap, and may help identify the segments in which discrimination in the workf orce may exist. Using linear regressions, I first confirm the wage gap in the data and that ret urns to education are positive. Next, I use interaction variables to illuminate gender difference s on returns at the different levels of education (high school, bachelor’s, and master’s). Overall, I f ind that females see higher returns than men for completing high school and college, but no t for graduate school.
  • 2. II. Data The data set consists of 999 observations of working individuals between the ages of 18 and 54: The average age in the sample is 39.11 years old. On average, in dividuals made $16.92 an hour with a standard deviation of $9.80. The average highest grade completed, 13.28, shows that most graduated high school. 88% of the sample have high s chool diplomas, 24% hold a bachelor's degree, and 7.4% have completed at least a master’s. A majority was white (81.6%). 10% of the individuals were black, 9% were other races. 22.7% of the workers were part-time. Approximately half of the sample was female. The following his togram shows the distribution of education level: Most of the data lies on the milestone years. The 12, 14, 16, and 16 areas represent high school
  • 3. diplomas, associate's, bachelor’s, and master’s degrees. Howeve r there is some ambiguity at the 14th grade level: these observations could be both associate’s d egree holders or four year college dropouts. III. Empirical Methodology To compare gender differences in the returns on wages at differ ent levels of education I run a linear regression on log wages: The particular variables of interest are B9, B10, and B11. These interaction variables will show the additional percentage point increase or decrease in wages th at females accrue at the different levels of education. Because the distribution of wages is skewed right, I choose to u se log wages, which are more normally distributed and thus may increase the goodness o f fit. Based on prior research, I expect to see positive, though diminishing, returns to age. Thus,
  • 4. one would expect B1 to be positive and B2 to be negative. Income inequality between whit es and blacks is well established in economic literature, so I expect B3 to be negative. B4 is also likely negative since many of the higher paying jobs would be full time. I expect a negative coeffi cient on the female variable, matching my hypothesis that the wage gap is present in the data. Lastly, the coefficients on the dummy variables for completion of high school, completion of a bachelor’s, and completion of a master’s are expected to be positive because higher education le vels allow individuals to access higher wage positions. There are some potential concerns with this methodology. First, there is inevitably a sample selection problem since we are only looking at the data of employed people. For example, if it were the case that being female lowered the proba bility of being employed due to discrimination, then the sample observations would only represe nt the females with a relatively high marginal productivity of labor. Thus, B5 might underestim ate the true magnitude of the wage gap. Another possible concern is omitted variable bias. Fo r example, living in a city is likely positively correlated with higher wages. Moreover, it may be the case that having a master’s degree is correlated with a higher probability of living in a city. These positive correlations would cause an upward bias on B8.
  • 5. IV. Results Column 1 shows the baseline specification which includes all th e race dummy variables and does not include the interaction variable for female and education. Al l the variables are significant at the 5% level except for the race dummy variables for American Indian, Asian, Mixed, and Hispanic. All signs on the significant coefficients are consistent with the predictions discussed in the previous section. I conducted an F (4,986) test on the variab les for American Indian, Asian, Mixed, and Hispanic and found that none had a statistically sign ificant impact on wages, all else constant (p=.18). Thus, I decided to remove them from the regre ssion in column 2. The adjusted R^2 for column 1 was .164. In column 2, I add the interaction variables for females and edu cation level. The adjusted R^2 slightly improved in this specification to .168. The interacti on variables are interpreted as follows: females see an additional return of 5.6% compared to
  • 6. men for graduating high school, an additional 24% return compared to men for graduating colleg e, and a negative 26% return compared to men for a master’s degree, all else equal. All the in teraction variables are significant at the 5% level. The signs on the rest of the coefficients are con sistent with the initial predictions, except for the coefficient on bachelor’s degrees. The statistical i nsignificance of the bachelor’s variable in this regression can be explained as a point in the edu cation level where female wages catch up to the male wages (i.e. the wage gap closes). In fact, my regression predicts that at the bachelor’s degree level of education, female wages average abo ut 8 percentage points higher than men. However, the gap reappears for graduate level jobs. A t that point, the model predicts that men see about a 20% higher return than women, all else con stant. The following graph shows how the wage gap is “pinched” for bachelor’s degree wag es: V. Conclusion In theory, it is not surprising that a wage gap persists at lower l evels of education. Jobs that do not require degrees tend to involve more manual labor, t hus have positive returns on physical strength. According to my results, female wages catch up to male wages with a
  • 7. bachelor’s degree, but lag behind male wages at the graduate le vel. This may be evidence of gender discrimination for senior positions. All in all, these resul ts lend insight into the nature of the gender gap: Since the gap closes with a bachelor’s degree, t here does not seem to be evidence that women earn less doing the same jobs as men. It seems a mo re likely explanation for the the overall wage gap is that a disproportionate amount of men get hi red for top paying positions. Further investigation could involve using linear probability mod els to test gender differences in the probability of being employed in senior executive positions. Global Finance Presentation - Content and Format Scoring Criteria 10 Attributes Scale 0 = not at all; 4 = very much Content attributes Background provided on the topic would enlighten an uninformed listener. 0 1 2 3 4 Presentation reflected a thorough knowledge of relevant aspects of the topic covered. 0 1 2 3 4 Presentation made appropriate use of International Financial Management concepts to manage the risks inherent in global financial exposures and operations. 0 1 2 3 4 Presentation provided a clear assessment of how and why firms
  • 8. use International Financial Management techniques to create value. 0 1 2 3 4 Presentation provided clear connections between the functional topic and the student’s experience in the workplace or marketplace. 0 1 2 3 4 Format attributes The presentation was well organized with clear outline given. 0 1 2 3 4 Presenters spoke clearly and at an understandable pace. 0 1 2 3 4 Presenters were not overly dependent on PowerPoint slides (i.e. avoid talking to the screen). 0 1 2 3 4 Main conclusions were effectively summarized. 0 1 2 3 4 Team responded effectively to questions. 0 1 2 3 4 1 Imprimante S.A. Cross-Border Valuation and Parity Conditions On June 23, 2008, a Monday morning, Martin Arnaud arrived at his office in Imprimante S.A. corporate
  • 9. headquarters in Paris, France. The previous week, Arnaud had requested additional financial information about an investment proposal from Imprimante- Mexico, a wholly owned subsidiary that operated a manufacturing facility and a regional sales office in Monterrey, Mexico. The information had arrived late Friday—too late for Arnaud to analyze—and was waiting for him Monday morning. As a financial analyst for a global manufacturer for printing an imaging equipment, Arnaud examined many cross-border projects, particularly since Imprimante had accelerated it move into emerging markets several years earlier. The Mexican investment proposal called for the purchase and installation of new automated machinery to recycle and remanufacture toner and printer cartridges. Cartridge recycling had become an important part of Imprimante’s business in many markets and promised continued growth. Many office product retailers operated formal toner cartridge recycling programs, for both the environmental benefits of keeping materials out of landfills and demonstrated cost savings for their customers. Writing
  • 10. in a leading trade journal, one analyst predicted, “We are going to see more and more refined approached to recycling and remanufacturing (cartridges) in the coming months and years…Both corporate and individual consumers are becoming habituated to it. They have simply come to expect recycling as an option, even for smaller cartridges at lower price points.” Imprimante’s Monterrey plant began its cartridge recycling program in 2005. The plant’s recycling process consisted of a sequence of operations carried out almost entirely by hand, with the help of hand tools and a simple machine. The investment proposal called for replacing this process with new automated machinery from Germany that cost an estimated MXP3.5 million (approximately EUR220,000) fully installed. As described in the project summary, Imprimante-Mexico expected to realize substantial savings in labor and materials almost immediately. Though the proposed expenditure was relatively small, Imprimante required a discounted cash flow analysis for all such investments in it newer foreign markets and a review by corporate headquarters in Paris. Arnaud was assigned to
  • 11. perform an analysis of the investment proposal and make an “up or down” recommendation to his superior by Wednesday morning. Imprimante S.A. Imprimante was a global manufacturer of printers, copiers, fax machines, and other document production equipment. The company also provided consulting and document outsourcing services, with after-sales service contracts constituting about 18% of overall revenue. Company sales for 2008 were projected to be EUR3.35billion, down from 2007 due to global recession. Operating profit was expected to be EUR61.2million in 2008, and the company projected a small net loss for the year. Exhibit 1 presents selected consolidated financial data for Imprimante. 2 Imprimante’s low profitability was typical of the industry in 2008; all of its competitors were similarly affected by the recession. One bright spot in the company’s outlook, however, was its growth in several emerging markets, including the so-called BRIC economies of
  • 12. Brazil, Russia, India, and China. Imprimante had been a global firm for years, but did not move aggressively into emerging markets until 2003-04. This was later than some of its competitors. On one hand, this meant Imprimante’s market hare lagged in some markets. On the other hand, Imprimante avoided some of its competitors’ earlier mistakes. The company’s international operations were conducted primarily through a large network of subsidiaries, which operated mostly medium-sized regional factories in which printers, copiers, and other products were manufactured to suit local tasted. Imprimante conducted business in 28 countries around the world, with operations consisting of manufacturing facilities, small research labs, as well as sales and marketing subsidiaries. In 2008, subsidiaries outside the European Union recorded about half of Imprimante’s sales and generated slightly less than 40% of pretax income. Imprimante competed in a relatively mature market, and its chief competitors were both established multinational companies—some of which had developed their consulting and other after-sales services
  • 13. businesses to a higher level than had Imprimante—as well as smaller players serving niche markets. While Imprimante marketed and sold its products across the full spectrum of industries, it had enjoyed particular success in financial services, health care, and government sectors. Operations in Monterrey: Imprimante-Mexico According to Imprimante’s CEO Alain Belmont, “We were attracted to Mexico for the same reason we built operations in Brazil and other emerging markets. We wanted to diversify our operations and believed we needed to establish a strong presence in places besides Europe and the United States.” He added: “Certainly there is risk (in these countries), but their economies are dynamic and Imprimante must be present. You can see our competitors feel the same way.” A key characteristic of Imprimante’s printing and imaging products was their durability, which Imprimante’s executives felt conveyed a competitive advantage in emerging economies where Imprimante positioned equipment as offering a lower total cost of ownership. In particular, the
  • 14. company’s marketing material claimed a working life of 10 months longer than its closest competitor, with 30% lower service costs. CEO Belmont observed: “We demonstrate to our customers that we have a local presence and we are the lowest total-cost provider. This creates loyalty and solid market positions in Mexico and other of our newer markets.” The manufacturing facility in Monterrey was located near a small research and design facility, also owned by Imprimante. While many product specifications for Imprimante’s equipment were formulated at the corporate offices in Paris, France, it was customary for regional subsidiaries to conduct fine-tuning research and design activity to tailor the product more closely to local consumers’ preferences. Thus, it was common for a popular printer or fax machine whose basic design was conceived in Paris to be ”localized” for size, color, weight, and/or range of features by local design staff. Most of the products produced in the Monterrey plant were sold in Mexico and were distributed 3
  • 15. through large office-product retailers, department stores, as well as small specialty shops. Manufacturing inputs were source locally, and virtually all of the plant’s employees were Mexican citizens. In the summer of 2008 gross output at Imprimante-Mexico was running at only about 80% of planned capacity. Nevertheless, plant records indicated that there was a sizable increase in demand for recycled printer and toner cartridges.. Imprimante-Mexico’s Programa de Reciclaje de Cartuchos (Cartridge Recycling Program) was started in 2005 to provide low-cost recycling services to all its distributors and customers. Under the terms of users’ service contracts, when cartridges reached the end of their useful lives, the could be returned to the Imprimante facility in exchange for a significant discount on the purchase of a like number of new cartridges. Imprimante pledged to recycle and remanufacture all returned toner and printer cartridges. Imprimante-Mexico also had voiced its support for political efforts to pass legislation that would mandate recycling of printing cartridges used by most Mexican
  • 16. businesses and government offices. In 2009, the company planned to launch a pilot program to recycle selected competitors’ cartridges. As the number of cartridges returned for recycling increased, Imprimante-Mexico management needed to hire and train more employees to carry out the hole-piercing, drilling, vacuuming, and toner/ink evacuation required to recycle cartridges. “It’s taking more and more of my payroll to handle recycling,” said Beatrice Ernesto, the Monterrey plant manager. “We’re happy to see the cartridges coming back in, but the extra volume will become a problem when other operation return to full capacity.” Cost Savings from the Proposed New Equipment The new equipment could process the Monterrey plant’s projected volume using four employees rather than ten, resulting in savings of both direct labor and training costs. Under very favorable circumstances, only three workers would be required. It would also eliminate some human error, which currently resulted in cracked or damaged cartridges which had to be destroyed rather than reused. The new equipment would occupy significantly less space in Monterrey’s over-crowded plant; this space
  • 17. would be freed up for other productive uses. It would also require only minimal maintenance expenditures compared to the equipment it replaced, and no significant change in working capital. Exhibit 2 compares projected operating data for the existing recycling process and the proposed automated process, assuming future Mexican inflation of 7% per year. The new equipment would have a useful life of 10 years and would be depreciated under the straight- line method for both tax and financial reporting purposes. Salvage value was likely to equal disposal costs at the end of the useful life. The manual equipment being replaced was very simple and, properly maintained, would last many more years. In June 2008 it had a book value and tax basis of MXP250,000 and three years of straight-line depreciation remaining. However, its market value was thought to be lower, at about MXP 175,000. After considering Imprimante’s consolidated tax position, Arnaud determined that his analysis would use Mexico’s federal corporate tax rate of 35%. Real GDP growth in Mexico was 4.2% in 2004—the year in which Imprimante built is Monterrey plant.
  • 18. By 2006, Mexico’s real GDP growth had risen to 5.1%, but subsequently dropped substantially as global 4 recession arrived. Other macroeconomic data in Mexico, including bond yields, bank lending rates, and the consumer price index exhibited similar patterns in recent years. Exhibit 3 shows selected macroeconomic and financial market data for Mexico. Arnaud had yet to decide whether to perform the discounted cash flow analysis in euros or pesos, or indeed, whether NPV would be affected by the choice of currency. Imprimante’s euro hurdle rate for such a project, if undertaken in France, would be 8%. However, borrowing costs in France and Mexico were clearly different: French banks’ prime rate for euro loans was 4.99%, while the rate in Mexico on short-term peso loans was about 8.10%. Longer-term peso- denominated corporate bonds were yielding 9.21%, compared with long-term euro-denominated corporate issues at 4.75%. The spot exchange rate on June 23 was MXP15.99/EUR. Many analysts were on record
  • 19. predicting a real depreciation of the peso against both the USD and the EUR over the next five years. For example, one international business publication noted “(Mexico’s) rising external financing requirement and the fading impact of the US stimulus package can only increase pressure on Mexico’s currency.” The article went on to forecast a rise in the MXP/EUR rate to 20.00 by 2011 and upwards of 25.00 in 2013-18. Selected macroeconomic and financial market data for France are presented in Exhibit 4. 5 Exhibit 1 - Imprimante SA - Selected Consolidated Financial Data (millions of EUR, except as noted) 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Sales 3,345.3
  • 25. 0.7 Return on sales (%) 0.0% 2.4% 1.7% 2.9% 2.8% Return on equity (%) -0.1% 10.5% 7.4% 9.4% 9.9% 6 Exhibit 2 - Comparison of Projected Operating Data for Different Recycling Processes (thousands of MXP, except as noted) Assumes 7% Inflation in Mexico Tax Rate: 0.35 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Projected Operating Costs, Manual Process Unit volume (000s) 496 546 600 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 Materials 564,816 664,788
  • 31. 3.8641 4.1346 Projected Operating Costs, New Automatic Process Unit volume (000s) 496 546 600 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 Materials 542,223 638,197 751,158 884,113 946,001 1,012,221 1,083,076
  • 36. 1.2102 1.2949 1.3855 1.4825 1.5863 1.6973 1.8161 1.9433 7 Exhibit 3 - Selected Macroeconomic and Financial Market Data for Mexico
  • 37. Year Consumer Price Inflation (%) Real GDP Growth (%) Year-end Spot Exchange Rate (MXP/EUR) 2000 9.5% 6.6% 9.4 2001 6.4% -0.3% 9.5 2002 5.0% 0.9% 10.4 2003 4.3% 1.4% 12.9 2004 4.7% 4.2% 15.3 2005 3.3% 3.2% 13.3 2006 4.1% 5.1% 14.4 2007 3.8% 3.3% 16.2 Source: Mexico Country Reports, EIU Date Short-term Bank Lending
  • 38. Rate JPMorgan Mexico 7-10 Year Corporate Bonds 10-year Government Bonds 31-Mar-06 7.78% 8.20% 8.47% 30-Jun-06 7.68% 9.35% 9.06% 30-Sep-06 7.50% 8.22% 8.24% 31-Dec-06 7.60% 7.42% 7.42% 31-Mar-07 7.68% 7.50% 7.58% 30-Jun-07 7.82% 7.68% 7.19% 30-Sep-07 7.77% 7.86% 7.82% 31-Dec-07 8.00% 8.17% 8.08% 31-Mar-08 7.94% 7.42% 7.49% 30-Jun-08 8.10% 9.21% 9.12% Sources: Bank of Mexico, Thomson Datastream, Global Financial Data
  • 39. 8 Exhibit 4 - Selected Macroeconomic and Financial Market Data for France Year Consumer Price Inflation (%) Real GDP Growth (%) Year-end Spot Exchange Rate (MXP/EUR) 2000 1.7% 4.2% 9.4 2001 1.6% 2.1% 9.5 2002 1.9% 1.1% 10.4 2003 2.1% 0.5% 12.9 2004 2.3% 2.3% 15.3 2005 1.7% 1.9% 13.3
  • 40. 2006 1.7% 2.4% 14.4 2007 1.5% 2.3% 16.2 Source: France Country Reports, EIU Date Short-term Bank Lending Rate JPMorgan France 7-10 Year Corporate Bonds 10-year Government Bonds 31-Mar-06 3.08% 3.73% 3.79% 30-Jun-06 3.27% 4.03% 4.08% 30-Sep-06 3.63% 3.69% 3.72% 31-Dec-06 4.07% 3.96% 3.98% 31-Mar-07 4.42% 4.08% 4.11% 30-Jun-07 4.69% 4.60% 4.62%
  • 41. 30-Sep-07 4.91% 4.36% 4.41% 31-Dec-07 5.13% 4.34% 4.42% 31-Mar-08 4.81% 4.00% 4.11% 30-Jun-08 4.99% 4.75% 4.81% Sources: Thomson Datastream, CEIC, Global Financial Data Elementary Econometrics Project Spring 2017 Due April 13 by 5:00 pm The paper must be uploaded to Carmen in a .pdf form. The turn-it-in feature is enabled, meaning any paper that plagiarizes from another person who has ever completed this paper in my class will be flagged. 1 Basic Description Objective: The purpose of this class is to apply the analytical and quantitative skills which should be acquired in this course. The final project should be a professional looking manuscript with easily interpreted graphics and charts. Description: The project requires using statistical techniques learned in this
  • 42. course to analyze data from the 1997 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. The specific topic that you ex- amine is up to you. Formatting: All aspects of your final paper must be typed. The paper should be double spaced with font of at least 11 point. There is no minimum number of pages. There is a strict maximum of 10 pages including title page, tables, graphs, and appendices. Anything beyond 10 pages will not be graded. The paper should include the following sections: introduction, data, empirical methodology, results, and conclusions. Data: You will use the data set nlsy97 small.dta found on Carmen. The data is a subsample of the 1997 NLSY. The data set is funded by the BLS. They describe the data as follows: The NLSY97 consists of a nationally representative sample of approximately 9,000 youths who were 12 to 16 years old as of December 31, 1996. Round 1 of the survey took place in 1997. In that round, both the eligible youth and one of that youth’s par- ents received hour-long personal interviews. In addition, during the screening process, an extensive two-part questionnaire was administered that listed and gathered demo- graphic information on members of the youth’s household and on his or her immediate family members living elsewhere. Youths are interviewed on an annual basis. The subset of data that you are given contains only 1199 observations, so that it can
  • 43. be analyzed with small STATA. To avoid the complexity of working with panel data, the time aspect is taken out. There are literally thousands of data points available, but I have narrowed it to the variables shown in table 1. 2 Variable definitions Table 1: Variable Definitions Variable Name Description grades8 Grades in 8th grade gradeshs Grades in High School health 1997 Self Reported Health as an adolescent icecream 1997 Favorite Ice Cream Flavor as an adolescent hardtimes 1997 Whether your family experienced ”Hard Times” as a child” census region 1997 The census region resided in as an adolescent income gross yr 1997 Household income of family when respondent was an adolescent msa 1997 MSA of residence as an adolescent urban rural 1997 Urban or rural residency as an adolescent race ethnicity Race and Ethnicity asvab Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery percentile marstat 2013 Marital and cohabitation status job Have a job? income Current (2013) income of the respondent
  • 44. weight Weight (pounds) health 2013 Current (2013) self reported health momsedu Highest level of education achieved by mother Many of the variables are categorical. Simply type ”tab variable” and stata will display how many observations belong to each category and what those categories indicate. 3 Commonly missed Points Grammar Do not simply write your paper in another language and use google trans- late to change it to English. Those papers are nearly impossible to read. Reading the paper out loud to yourself before you hand it in will help tremendously. Following Directions Include everything that is on the attached grading rubric and in the correct section. Potential Problems with your regression All methodologies have some potential problems. When you address those problems in the methodology section do not include problems that you can fix with your current skills and data, specifically discuss which coefficients could be affected and the direction of the affect. Equation The equation that is written out in the empirical methodology section must be the same equation used to generate the tables. If the equation has perfect multi- collinearity or treats categorical variables as continuous, there will be large deductions.
  • 45. Tables and graphs checklist Missing any part of the checklist will result in significant deductions. • Tables and graphs must be understandable without reading the text. This means there should be a clear title that explains the contents of the table, such as ”Sum- mary Statistics”. • Do not use variable names in tables and figures.For example, rather than momedu my table should say ”Mother’s Education”. • There should also be a footnote which adds some detail to the and explains what is shown. For example ”Each entry is an OLS coefficient with standard errors in parentheses. Stars represent p-values as ...” • If plotting distribution in a figure, use percent as the y-axis. • All figures and tables should be referenced in the text. • Figures must show more than just means. • Cut and pasting from the stata output window will get 0 points. Use the estout program to create the tables or type them in a word processing program. A condensed version of this form will be used to grade papers. 1. Formatting 10pts: The paper conforms to the formatting standards outlined in the assignment: Double spaced, font, margins, less
  • 46. than 10 pages, includes a title, and stapled. 2. Organization 10pts: • Ideas are presented clearly, free of spelling and grammatical errors. Any references are cited. (-1 for each instance1) • The paper is not cut and pasted from homeworks and transitions well be- tween sections. (5) (Not a list of tasks.2) 1Up to 20 points can be deducted 2If your paper is just a list of tasks and does not resemble a research paper, you will be deducted 20 points. • Each assigned section is included and labeled. (5) 3. Introduction 5pts: The question to be analyzed is described. The importance of the question is discussed. The data source is mentioned. The empirical methodology is mentioned. (OLS) A preview of results is given 4. Data Section 15pts: • The source of the data is mentioned. There is a brief discussion of means, standard deviations, etc. of the wage variable and whatever other variable(s)
  • 47. on which you choose to focus. (5) • A summary table with means and standard deviations which is referenced in the text. (5) • At least one graphic (histogram(don’t use density), scatter plot, etc.) which describes data and is referenced in the text.(5) 5. Empirical Methodology 15pts • The question being analyzed is clearly described and the estimated equation is written out. (5) • The inclusion of each variable is supported by theoretical reasoning and predicted signs of each variable are discussed. (5) • Potential concerns with sample selection, omitted variables, etc. are dis- cussed along with the consequences of those problems. (5) 6. Results 30pts • Results table. (7) • Interpretation of coefficients (8) (You must interpret at least 4 coefficients including 1 dummy variable and 1 coefficient with a logged dependent vari- able.) • Hypothesis testing: discuss which coefficients are statistically significant at
  • 48. a 5% significance level; discuss the R2 of the regression; conduct an F-test on some aspect of the regression results. (5) • Use your estimates to predict the earnings of some hypothetical people. (3) • Discuss the consistency of your results with your predictions. (2) • Estimate an alternative specification, present (in a table) and discuss. (5) 7. Conclusion 5ptsThe conclusion summarizes results and the signifi- cance of those results. 8. Overall Quality 10 pts This is the only subjective portion of your grade. The average score will be 6/10.