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November 17, 2009
U.S. Behind in Broadband
Verizon FiOS vs. AT&T U-Verse Both are capable of moderately high quality video content delivery. Both are betting that digital TV service revenues will grow faster than telephone services in the next 5-10 years.  FiOS U-Verse architecture FTTH FTTN latest stats on customer base 717,000 100,000 download speeds 10 mps 6 mps
The International Broadband Rollout (FTTH Rankings)
Pornography Industry Statistics, 2006 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cons. Elec. PCs Cell Phones Broadband Biotech Industry Onset 1920s 1970s 1990s 1990s 1980s Pioneers RCA Apple, IBM Motorola ARPA Genentech Precursor Technologies vacuum tubes, CRTs, transistors, ICs ICs ICs, cellular networks High-speed PCs and telecom networks Gene and protein sequencing, manipulation Initial Leaders RCA, Westinghouse, Motorola, Zenith, Thomson, Ericcson, Bosch Apple, IBM, Olivetti, Siemens, NEC Motorola, Nokia, Siemens Roadrunner, Mindspring, AOL-Time Warner, BT, Telecom Genentech, Cetus, Milennium, etc. Recent Leaders Sharp, Matsushita, Toshiba, LG, Samsung Dell, HP, Gateway, Acer; Taiwanese notebooks Apple, RIM, Samsung, LG Verizon, Comcast, T-Mobile, Telecom Mostly US and Swiss companies
Industry Dominant firms Diffusion Pattern Division of Labor Semiconductors Intel, AMD, Hitachi, Fujitsu, Samsung, UMC US to Japan to Korea/Taiwan  Package assembly in low-wage countries; foundries vs. design houses Cellular Telephones Motorola, Nokia, Samsung, LG US, Japan, and Europe to Korea Handsets assembled in low-wage countries (China) Packaged Software Microsoft, IBM, SAP, Oracle, PeopleSoft US still dominant Low tech software to India, Israel, Ireland Consumer Electronics Sony, Toshiba, Hitachi, Sharp, Samsung, LG, Philips US and Europe to Korea, Taiwan and now China Some assembly of large TVs close to markets Digital Televisions Same as consumer electronics Japan to Korea and Taiwan See above and assembly of LCD panels in low-wage countries (China) Personal Computers Dell, HP, IBM (Lenovo), Acer,  US to East Asia PCs assembled close to markets, Displays made in East Asia, assembly of components in low-wage countries Wide-Body Jet Aircraft Boeing, Airbus US to Europe Increasing contracting out of components to industrializing countries Biotechnology Genentech, Eli Lilly, Monsanto, GSK, Novartis, Aventis US still dominant Outsourcing in clinical trials; routine lab work
 
Recommendations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Knowledge Creation and Diffusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Reasons for Geographic Dispersion of Knowledge Creation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
China vs. India ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Implications for the US ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Ipe20

  • 2. U.S. Behind in Broadband
  • 3. Verizon FiOS vs. AT&T U-Verse Both are capable of moderately high quality video content delivery. Both are betting that digital TV service revenues will grow faster than telephone services in the next 5-10 years. FiOS U-Verse architecture FTTH FTTN latest stats on customer base 717,000 100,000 download speeds 10 mps 6 mps
  • 4. The International Broadband Rollout (FTTH Rankings)
  • 5.
  • 6. Cons. Elec. PCs Cell Phones Broadband Biotech Industry Onset 1920s 1970s 1990s 1990s 1980s Pioneers RCA Apple, IBM Motorola ARPA Genentech Precursor Technologies vacuum tubes, CRTs, transistors, ICs ICs ICs, cellular networks High-speed PCs and telecom networks Gene and protein sequencing, manipulation Initial Leaders RCA, Westinghouse, Motorola, Zenith, Thomson, Ericcson, Bosch Apple, IBM, Olivetti, Siemens, NEC Motorola, Nokia, Siemens Roadrunner, Mindspring, AOL-Time Warner, BT, Telecom Genentech, Cetus, Milennium, etc. Recent Leaders Sharp, Matsushita, Toshiba, LG, Samsung Dell, HP, Gateway, Acer; Taiwanese notebooks Apple, RIM, Samsung, LG Verizon, Comcast, T-Mobile, Telecom Mostly US and Swiss companies
  • 7. Industry Dominant firms Diffusion Pattern Division of Labor Semiconductors Intel, AMD, Hitachi, Fujitsu, Samsung, UMC US to Japan to Korea/Taiwan Package assembly in low-wage countries; foundries vs. design houses Cellular Telephones Motorola, Nokia, Samsung, LG US, Japan, and Europe to Korea Handsets assembled in low-wage countries (China) Packaged Software Microsoft, IBM, SAP, Oracle, PeopleSoft US still dominant Low tech software to India, Israel, Ireland Consumer Electronics Sony, Toshiba, Hitachi, Sharp, Samsung, LG, Philips US and Europe to Korea, Taiwan and now China Some assembly of large TVs close to markets Digital Televisions Same as consumer electronics Japan to Korea and Taiwan See above and assembly of LCD panels in low-wage countries (China) Personal Computers Dell, HP, IBM (Lenovo), Acer, US to East Asia PCs assembled close to markets, Displays made in East Asia, assembly of components in low-wage countries Wide-Body Jet Aircraft Boeing, Airbus US to Europe Increasing contracting out of components to industrializing countries Biotechnology Genentech, Eli Lilly, Monsanto, GSK, Novartis, Aventis US still dominant Outsourcing in clinical trials; routine lab work
  • 8.  
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.