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JetBlue Airways IPO Valuation Ting Xiao
Contents Discounted Cash Flow approach   Multiples comparables approach Conclusion 1 2 3
Discounted Cash Flow approach Two-step  From year 2010 to infinity From year 2002-2010 WACC
CF(2002-2010) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],CF(2002-2010)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],CF(2010-infinity)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],CF(2010-infinity)
WACC Pioneer model in low-fare air  travel   that needs to be followed The most stable one in historical  annual growth of low-fare airlines (see Exhibit 8)   Like JetBlue, they all belong to  low-fare airlines that compare to  other groups (see Exhibit 12) Idea: Why choose  Southwest?
WACC-9.91% Weights Re Rd Equity: 16,071.99 Debt: 1,842 E/(E+D)=0.9 D/(E+D)=0.1 Rf : 5% Rm-Rf : 5% Beta: 1.10  CAPM: 10.5% Weighted average of cost :6.91% Tax rate:34% Rd : 4.561%
DCF approach ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Multiples comparables approach ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Low-fare US Airlines   Low-fare  Foreign  Airlines Big  5 Low-fare  Regional  Airlines Level  Of  Relevance
Continued ,[object Object],[object Object],(Median and Mean) (From Southwest )
Conclusion $24.8 (from Southwest ) $15.1 (from Mean) $24.1 (from Median) $57.1 (from DCF approach) Increase the  Price to $28!
Thank You !

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Ting's Jet Blue case

  • 1. JetBlue Airways IPO Valuation Ting Xiao
  • 2. Contents Discounted Cash Flow approach Multiples comparables approach Conclusion 1 2 3
  • 3. Discounted Cash Flow approach Two-step From year 2010 to infinity From year 2002-2010 WACC
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. WACC Pioneer model in low-fare air travel that needs to be followed The most stable one in historical annual growth of low-fare airlines (see Exhibit 8) Like JetBlue, they all belong to low-fare airlines that compare to other groups (see Exhibit 12) Idea: Why choose Southwest?
  • 9. WACC-9.91% Weights Re Rd Equity: 16,071.99 Debt: 1,842 E/(E+D)=0.9 D/(E+D)=0.1 Rf : 5% Rm-Rf : 5% Beta: 1.10 CAPM: 10.5% Weighted average of cost :6.91% Tax rate:34% Rd : 4.561%
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Conclusion $24.8 (from Southwest ) $15.1 (from Mean) $24.1 (from Median) $57.1 (from DCF approach) Increase the Price to $28!