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Goal 2025: The Path to Equity
   and Economic Success For
           Our Cities


Presented by

Dr. James L. Applegate
Vice President, Lumina Foundation
Goal 2025
To increase the percentage of Americans
    who hold high-quality degrees and
     credentials to 60 percent by 2025.
What We Must Do To Reach Goal
2025?

      Participation




                      Attainment


      Completion
WHY IS ACHIEVING GOAL
2025 IMPORTANT?
Korea
                                             62
                                             60
                                             58
                                                                            US states
                                                                            25 to 34 year olds
                                             56   Canada/Japan
                           Massachusetts     54
                                             52
                                             50
                                 Minnesota
                                  New York   48   Ireland
           North Dakota/Iowa/Connecticut          Norway/New Zealand
                               New Jersey    46
                                  Maryland        United Kingdom/Australia/Denmark
                  New Hampshire/Nebraska     44   Luxembourg
South Dakota/Illinois/Pennsylvania/Vermont        France/Israel
             Virginia/Kansas/Rhode Island    42   Belgium/Sweden
                                  Colorado        United States
            Wisconsin/Washington/Hawaii      40   Netherlands/Switzerland
                                                  Finland
                                     Utah    38   Spain
                    Missouri/Montana/Ohio         Estonia
                   Indiana/CA/DE/NC/MI/ID    36   Iceland
      Florida/Oregon/South Carolina/Maine         Poland/Chile
                         Wyoming/Georgia     34
                     Mississippi/Alabama     32
                      KY/TN/OK/AZ/AK/TX
                              New Mexico     30   Slovenia
                                  Nevada          Greece
                   Louisiana/West Virginia   28
                                Arkansas     26   Germany
                                                  Hungary
                                             24
                                             22
Income by level of education
                                                                        Source: US Census, Current Population Survey


              90,000


              80,000


              70,000


              60,000



   master’s   50,000



 bachelor’s   40,000

  associate
              30,000
high school

 Less than    20,000
high school

              10,000


                  0
                       1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Income inequality grows along with the
      postsecondary skills gap
To Succeed We Must Focus On
21st Century Students
Of the 17.6M undergrads now enrolled 75% are
  juggling work, family, and school
To Succeed We Must Focus on Adults
To Succeed Ohio Must Focus on Adults
To Succeed We Must Achieve Equity
To Succeed Ohio Must Achieve Equity
To Succeed We Must Serve Our Future

                                        White

                   American Indian /
                    Alaska Native

                                        Latino

        Asian / Native Hawaiian /
             Pacific Islander

                    African American

                                                 0             20                40       60           80    100   Millions
                                                               Projected Population Increase, 2010 to 2050

Data for all races exclude Hispanics.
Source: Population Division, Population Projections, U.S. Census Bureau. Released 2008.
To Succeed We Must Close Income Gaps
                                                                           B.A. Rate by Age
                                                                               24 (2010)
                       Young People from
                        Highest Income                                                     79%
                           Quartile

                       Young People from
                        Lowest Income                                                       11%
                           Quartile

Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity, “Bachelor’s Degree Attainment by Age 24 by Family Income Quartiles, 1970 to 2008.
Yet We Serve Those Least Who Need Us Most




Source: College Board
Total Cost of Attendance Covered by
      Maximum Pell Grant Award

                     99%

                                                                   77%
                                  62%


                                                                                36%                                36%

                                                                                                                          15%



                    Public 2-Year                                 Public 4-Year                                   Private 4-Year
                                                              1979-80              2006-07
Source: American Council on Education (2007). “ Status Report on the Pell Grant Program, 2007” cited in EdTrust
(2010) Opportunity Adrift.
Change in Distribution of State
                       Grants Based on Need

                    1997-1998                                                            2007-2008



                 16.6 %
                                                                                27.4 %



                                                                                         72.5 %
                             83.3 %
                                                                                                     Need-Based

                                                                                                     Non-Need
                                                                                                     Based



Source: NASSGAP Report 2007-08: Undergraduate Grant Aid in Constant 2007-08 Dollars:
1997-98 through 2007-08 (in millions of dollars).
Flagships give the same amount of aid to high-
income students as they do to low-income
students

                                                           Total Institutional Grant Aid
                  Family Income (2007)
    .                                                                  (2007)

        $0 – 30,200                                                   $394.2
        $30,201 - 54,000                                              $388.3
        $54,001 - 80,400                                              $368.4
        $80,401 – 115,400                                             $399.9
        $115,400 +                                                    $361.4

Source: “Opportunity Adrift,” The Education Trust, 2010.
To Succeed Our Cities Must Succeed
                2010 U.S.
                Population



              66% in Top 100
                 Metros




              37.4% in Top 20
                  Metros
To Succeed Cleveland Must Educate
Its People
To Succeed Cities Must Collaborate
(http://www.ssireview.org/blog/entry/channeling_change_making_collective_impact_work)
To Succeed We Need Catalytic Approaches



         Scaling Effective Practice
          Public Policy Advocacy
           Public Will Building
So What is a City to Do?

1. Set audacious goals            6. Tackle
2. Focus on results and have          academic, financial, and
   the difficult conversations        social college readiness
3. Forbid blame games and         7. Serve the underserved
   excuses                        8. Measure learning and
4. Create aligned value chains        demand quality
   from pre-K to workforce        9. Increase system
5. Target 21st century students       productivity
6. Collaborate for collective     10. Align resources and
   impact (beyond the usual           priorities
   suspects)
55
                                                          50                              College is necessary

 45

                             37                           36
 31
                                                                                   29
                                                                                          Qualified students have the
                                                                                          opportunity to go to college




2000                        2003                         2007                      2008

Source: Public Agenda and National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education
Goal 2025: Its About Their (and Our) Future

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Goal 2025: The Path to Equity and Economic Success For Our Cities - Dr. James Applegate

  • 1. Goal 2025: The Path to Equity and Economic Success For Our Cities Presented by Dr. James L. Applegate Vice President, Lumina Foundation
  • 2. Goal 2025 To increase the percentage of Americans who hold high-quality degrees and credentials to 60 percent by 2025.
  • 3. What We Must Do To Reach Goal 2025? Participation Attainment Completion
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. WHY IS ACHIEVING GOAL 2025 IMPORTANT?
  • 7. Korea 62 60 58 US states 25 to 34 year olds 56 Canada/Japan Massachusetts 54 52 50 Minnesota New York 48 Ireland North Dakota/Iowa/Connecticut Norway/New Zealand New Jersey 46 Maryland United Kingdom/Australia/Denmark New Hampshire/Nebraska 44 Luxembourg South Dakota/Illinois/Pennsylvania/Vermont France/Israel Virginia/Kansas/Rhode Island 42 Belgium/Sweden Colorado United States Wisconsin/Washington/Hawaii 40 Netherlands/Switzerland Finland Utah 38 Spain Missouri/Montana/Ohio Estonia Indiana/CA/DE/NC/MI/ID 36 Iceland Florida/Oregon/South Carolina/Maine Poland/Chile Wyoming/Georgia 34 Mississippi/Alabama 32 KY/TN/OK/AZ/AK/TX New Mexico 30 Slovenia Nevada Greece Louisiana/West Virginia 28 Arkansas 26 Germany Hungary 24 22
  • 8. Income by level of education Source: US Census, Current Population Survey 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 master’s 50,000 bachelor’s 40,000 associate 30,000 high school Less than 20,000 high school 10,000 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
  • 9. Income inequality grows along with the postsecondary skills gap
  • 10. To Succeed We Must Focus On 21st Century Students Of the 17.6M undergrads now enrolled 75% are juggling work, family, and school
  • 11. To Succeed We Must Focus on Adults
  • 12. To Succeed Ohio Must Focus on Adults
  • 13. To Succeed We Must Achieve Equity
  • 14. To Succeed Ohio Must Achieve Equity
  • 15. To Succeed We Must Serve Our Future White American Indian / Alaska Native Latino Asian / Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander African American 0 20 40 60 80 100 Millions Projected Population Increase, 2010 to 2050 Data for all races exclude Hispanics. Source: Population Division, Population Projections, U.S. Census Bureau. Released 2008.
  • 16. To Succeed We Must Close Income Gaps B.A. Rate by Age 24 (2010) Young People from Highest Income 79% Quartile Young People from Lowest Income 11% Quartile Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity, “Bachelor’s Degree Attainment by Age 24 by Family Income Quartiles, 1970 to 2008.
  • 17. Yet We Serve Those Least Who Need Us Most Source: College Board
  • 18. Total Cost of Attendance Covered by Maximum Pell Grant Award 99% 77% 62% 36% 36% 15% Public 2-Year Public 4-Year Private 4-Year 1979-80 2006-07 Source: American Council on Education (2007). “ Status Report on the Pell Grant Program, 2007” cited in EdTrust (2010) Opportunity Adrift.
  • 19. Change in Distribution of State Grants Based on Need 1997-1998 2007-2008 16.6 % 27.4 % 72.5 % 83.3 % Need-Based Non-Need Based Source: NASSGAP Report 2007-08: Undergraduate Grant Aid in Constant 2007-08 Dollars: 1997-98 through 2007-08 (in millions of dollars).
  • 20. Flagships give the same amount of aid to high- income students as they do to low-income students Total Institutional Grant Aid Family Income (2007) . (2007) $0 – 30,200 $394.2 $30,201 - 54,000 $388.3 $54,001 - 80,400 $368.4 $80,401 – 115,400 $399.9 $115,400 + $361.4 Source: “Opportunity Adrift,” The Education Trust, 2010.
  • 21. To Succeed Our Cities Must Succeed 2010 U.S. Population 66% in Top 100 Metros 37.4% in Top 20 Metros
  • 22. To Succeed Cleveland Must Educate Its People
  • 23. To Succeed Cities Must Collaborate (http://www.ssireview.org/blog/entry/channeling_change_making_collective_impact_work)
  • 24. To Succeed We Need Catalytic Approaches Scaling Effective Practice Public Policy Advocacy Public Will Building
  • 25. So What is a City to Do? 1. Set audacious goals 6. Tackle 2. Focus on results and have academic, financial, and the difficult conversations social college readiness 3. Forbid blame games and 7. Serve the underserved excuses 8. Measure learning and 4. Create aligned value chains demand quality from pre-K to workforce 9. Increase system 5. Target 21st century students productivity 6. Collaborate for collective 10. Align resources and impact (beyond the usual priorities suspects)
  • 26. 55 50 College is necessary 45 37 36 31 29 Qualified students have the opportunity to go to college 2000 2003 2007 2008 Source: Public Agenda and National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education
  • 27. Goal 2025: Its About Their (and Our) Future