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1
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
Land Degradation
Carbon Management and Sequestration Center
Dr. Rattan Lal
IFPRI Policy Seminar
3rd December, 2015, Washington, DC
2
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
3
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
MAJOR RESOURCE QUESTIONS ADDRESSED
1. Methods for global assessment of land degradation
1. Extent and severity of land degradation and opportunities for
improvement
1. Key drivers of land degradation
1. Economic, social and environmental costs and cost of inaction
1. Land degradation and human health
1. Feasible policies and development strategies (e.g., SDGs )
4
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
SDG-TARGET 2.4
"By 2030, ensure sustainable food production systems
and implement resilient agricultural practices that
increase productivity and production, that help
maintain ecosystems, that strengthen capacity for
adaptation to climate change, extreme weather,
drought, flooding and other disasters and that
progressively improve land and soil quality."
5
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
SDG-TARGET 15.3
"By 2020. combat desertification, restore degraded
land and soil, including land by desertification, drought
and floods, and strive to achieve a land degradation
neutral world."
6
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
RELEVANCE TO COP-21
The "4 pour Mille" proposal of the French
Government implies sequestering 2.8 Gt C yr-1
to 40-cm depth in World's soils.
7
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
COST OF LAND DEGRADATION
(2007 US$ 109)
Region Cost
(LUCC accounts
for 93-94% of the cost)
SSA 65.2
South Asia 23.5
China 37.0
Global 296.1
• >3.2 billion people live on degraded lands
• Fertilizer, irrigation, and other inputs can mask adverse
effect on productivity
8
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
FUTURISTIC ISSUES AND RESEARCHABLE
PRIORITIES
• Land Degradation and Emission of GHGs
• Thresholds or critical limits
• Peak soil or Endangered soils
• Land Degradation and Human Population
• Water renewability and quality (algal bloom)
• Biodiversity
9
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS (Pg)
BY CARBON CIVILIZATION
I. Land use : 486
(i) Prehistoric : 320
(ii) 1750-2010 : 136
(iii) 2010-2030 : 30
II. Fossil Fuel combustion: 390
(i) 1750-2010 : 200
(ii) 2010-2030 : 190
These emissions have and will affect the ecosystems
from which we derive food, feed, fiber, fuel and shelter.
10
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
1500x 10
15
C
1.1x 10
15
g/yr
5.7x 10
15
g/yr C
3.99x 10
15
g/yr
0.57x 10
15
g/yr
decomposition
and emission to
the atmosphere
Stored within the
terrestrial ecosystem
Displaced due to erosion
Transported
to the ocean
In world soil
GLOBAL SOIL EROSION & DYNAMICS OF SOIL ORGANIC CARBON
• Extractive Farming/Subsistence
• Depletion of SOC and Nutrients
• Decline in Soil Structure
• Loss of Soil Resilience
• Decline in Ecosystem
Functions and Services
• Loss of Soil biodiversity
• Disruption of Key Processes
• Hunger
• Malnutrition
• Political Unrest
• Civil Strife
• War and insecurity
Severe Degradation
SOIL CARBON AND THE
ENVIRONMENT
12
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
RESILIENCE OF SOIL-ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS
It has multiple regimes (stable states) which are separated by thresholds
Thresholds
Critical
Threshold
The
current
state of
the
system
Possible states in which the
system can still have the
same function
Irreversible
Degradation
Resilience
Regime
Shift
13
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
• Land resources already allocated to agriculture production are adequate through
sustainable intensification, soil restoration, and carbon sequestration.
HUBERT CURVE
SoilUse
Year 
Lal (2015)
Is there a peak soil?
Are there endangered soils?
• Competing Uses
• Nature conservancy
14
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
• Most antibiotic are produced by screening soil microorganisms.
• Penicillin came from Penicilliium, Streptomycin from Streptomyces, and
Vanomycin from Amycolatopsis orientalis.
• Uncultured bacteria make up ~99% or all species in external environments, and
are an untapped sources of antibiotics (Lewis, 2015. Nature)
• An antibiotic discovered from soil in Maine can kill Mycibaterium tuberculosis
(Ling et al., 2015. Nature)
• A new antibiotic "Teixbactin" from soil can sill the bacteria that cause
pneumonia, staph, and blood infections (Fink, 2015. Nature)
• Almost 50% of Actinomycetes isolated from soil are capable of synthesizing
antibiotics. There are a lost of unanticipated surprises still lurking in soil
DIGGING UP ANTIBIOTICS FROM SOIL
15
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
MALTHUS VS BOSERUP THEORY
Malthus: Human population is at risk of outgrowing carrying
capacity of land. Thus, size of the population is limited by
the amount of food it can produce. (An Essay on the
Principle of Population, 1798).
Boserup: Food production can, and will, increase to match the
needs of population. Threat of starvation and the
challenge of feeding more mouths motivates people to
improve their farming methods and invent new
technologies to produce more food. (The Conditions of
Agricultural Growth, 1965).
16
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
GREEN GROWTH
“Fostering economic growth and development while
ensuring that natural assets continue to prove the
resources and environmental services on which our
wellbeing relies”
OECD, 2011
17
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
THE LIMITS TO GROWTH?
1. If the present growth trend (population, resource depletion,
pollution, etc) continues unchanged, the limits to growth on this
planet will be reached sometime within the next 100 years.
1. It is possible to alter these growth trends and to establish a
condition of ecological and economic stability that is sustainable
far into the future.
1. If the world’s people decide to strive for this second outcome
rather than the first, the sooner they begin working to attain it, the
greater will be their chances of success
Meadows et al. (1972)
18
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
POLICY STRATEGY FOR GREEN INNOVATION AND
STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION
Step One
• Phase out environmentally
harmful subsidies
• Rationalize/Phase out many
environmentally motivated
subsidies
Step Two
Expand and implement more
effectively market-based incentives
(e.g., taxes, charges or payments for
environmental services, tradable
permit schemes and voluntary
mechanisms)
Step Three
Use any resulting revenues and
savings to finance the necessary
public support for private green R&D
and investments
$$
Barbier (2015)
19
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
1. Stratospheric O3 Depletion
Stockholm Resilience Center (2007)
THE PLANETARY BOUNDARIES
6. Fresh water consumption and the
global hydrological cycle
2. * Biodiversity loss and extinction
3. Chemical pollution (novel entities)
4. * Climate Change
5. Ocean acidification
7. * N & P flows to the biosphere and
ocean
8. Atmospheric aerosol loading
9. * Land system change
20
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
MEETING FOOD DEMAND BY 2050
The world produces enough food to feed 10 billion people . Thus,
food and nutritional security must be achieved by:
• Reducing waste (30-50%),
• Increasing access to food by addressing poverty, inequality, wars
and political instability,
• Improving distribution,
• Increasing use of plant-based diet,
• Accepting personal responsibility of not taking things for granted,
and
• Increasing agronomic productivity from existing land, restoring
degraded lands ,and converting some agricultural land for nature
conservancy without any conversion of natural land to
agroecosystems.
21
Carbon Management and
Sequestration Center
“Hello there folks. Do you know who or what I
am? I am the geomembrane of the Earth. I am
your protective filter, your buffer, your mediator of
energy, water, and biogeochemical compounds. I
am your sustainer of productive life, your ultimate
sources of elements, and the habitat for most
biota. I am the foundation that supports you, the
cradle of your myths, and the dust from which
you will return. I am a soil”.
Richard Arnold (2005)
Senior Soil Scientist
SOIL: THE ESSENCE OF LIFE

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Land Degradation

  • 1. 1 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center Land Degradation Carbon Management and Sequestration Center Dr. Rattan Lal IFPRI Policy Seminar 3rd December, 2015, Washington, DC
  • 3. 3 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center MAJOR RESOURCE QUESTIONS ADDRESSED 1. Methods for global assessment of land degradation 1. Extent and severity of land degradation and opportunities for improvement 1. Key drivers of land degradation 1. Economic, social and environmental costs and cost of inaction 1. Land degradation and human health 1. Feasible policies and development strategies (e.g., SDGs )
  • 4. 4 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center SDG-TARGET 2.4 "By 2030, ensure sustainable food production systems and implement resilient agricultural practices that increase productivity and production, that help maintain ecosystems, that strengthen capacity for adaptation to climate change, extreme weather, drought, flooding and other disasters and that progressively improve land and soil quality."
  • 5. 5 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center SDG-TARGET 15.3 "By 2020. combat desertification, restore degraded land and soil, including land by desertification, drought and floods, and strive to achieve a land degradation neutral world."
  • 6. 6 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center RELEVANCE TO COP-21 The "4 pour Mille" proposal of the French Government implies sequestering 2.8 Gt C yr-1 to 40-cm depth in World's soils.
  • 7. 7 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center COST OF LAND DEGRADATION (2007 US$ 109) Region Cost (LUCC accounts for 93-94% of the cost) SSA 65.2 South Asia 23.5 China 37.0 Global 296.1 • >3.2 billion people live on degraded lands • Fertilizer, irrigation, and other inputs can mask adverse effect on productivity
  • 8. 8 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center FUTURISTIC ISSUES AND RESEARCHABLE PRIORITIES • Land Degradation and Emission of GHGs • Thresholds or critical limits • Peak soil or Endangered soils • Land Degradation and Human Population • Water renewability and quality (algal bloom) • Biodiversity
  • 9. 9 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS (Pg) BY CARBON CIVILIZATION I. Land use : 486 (i) Prehistoric : 320 (ii) 1750-2010 : 136 (iii) 2010-2030 : 30 II. Fossil Fuel combustion: 390 (i) 1750-2010 : 200 (ii) 2010-2030 : 190 These emissions have and will affect the ecosystems from which we derive food, feed, fiber, fuel and shelter.
  • 10. 10 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center 1500x 10 15 C 1.1x 10 15 g/yr 5.7x 10 15 g/yr C 3.99x 10 15 g/yr 0.57x 10 15 g/yr decomposition and emission to the atmosphere Stored within the terrestrial ecosystem Displaced due to erosion Transported to the ocean In world soil GLOBAL SOIL EROSION & DYNAMICS OF SOIL ORGANIC CARBON
  • 11. • Extractive Farming/Subsistence • Depletion of SOC and Nutrients • Decline in Soil Structure • Loss of Soil Resilience • Decline in Ecosystem Functions and Services • Loss of Soil biodiversity • Disruption of Key Processes • Hunger • Malnutrition • Political Unrest • Civil Strife • War and insecurity Severe Degradation SOIL CARBON AND THE ENVIRONMENT
  • 12. 12 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center RESILIENCE OF SOIL-ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS It has multiple regimes (stable states) which are separated by thresholds Thresholds Critical Threshold The current state of the system Possible states in which the system can still have the same function Irreversible Degradation Resilience Regime Shift
  • 13. 13 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center • Land resources already allocated to agriculture production are adequate through sustainable intensification, soil restoration, and carbon sequestration. HUBERT CURVE SoilUse Year  Lal (2015) Is there a peak soil? Are there endangered soils? • Competing Uses • Nature conservancy
  • 14. 14 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center • Most antibiotic are produced by screening soil microorganisms. • Penicillin came from Penicilliium, Streptomycin from Streptomyces, and Vanomycin from Amycolatopsis orientalis. • Uncultured bacteria make up ~99% or all species in external environments, and are an untapped sources of antibiotics (Lewis, 2015. Nature) • An antibiotic discovered from soil in Maine can kill Mycibaterium tuberculosis (Ling et al., 2015. Nature) • A new antibiotic "Teixbactin" from soil can sill the bacteria that cause pneumonia, staph, and blood infections (Fink, 2015. Nature) • Almost 50% of Actinomycetes isolated from soil are capable of synthesizing antibiotics. There are a lost of unanticipated surprises still lurking in soil DIGGING UP ANTIBIOTICS FROM SOIL
  • 15. 15 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center MALTHUS VS BOSERUP THEORY Malthus: Human population is at risk of outgrowing carrying capacity of land. Thus, size of the population is limited by the amount of food it can produce. (An Essay on the Principle of Population, 1798). Boserup: Food production can, and will, increase to match the needs of population. Threat of starvation and the challenge of feeding more mouths motivates people to improve their farming methods and invent new technologies to produce more food. (The Conditions of Agricultural Growth, 1965).
  • 16. 16 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center GREEN GROWTH “Fostering economic growth and development while ensuring that natural assets continue to prove the resources and environmental services on which our wellbeing relies” OECD, 2011
  • 17. 17 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center THE LIMITS TO GROWTH? 1. If the present growth trend (population, resource depletion, pollution, etc) continues unchanged, the limits to growth on this planet will be reached sometime within the next 100 years. 1. It is possible to alter these growth trends and to establish a condition of ecological and economic stability that is sustainable far into the future. 1. If the world’s people decide to strive for this second outcome rather than the first, the sooner they begin working to attain it, the greater will be their chances of success Meadows et al. (1972)
  • 18. 18 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center POLICY STRATEGY FOR GREEN INNOVATION AND STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATION Step One • Phase out environmentally harmful subsidies • Rationalize/Phase out many environmentally motivated subsidies Step Two Expand and implement more effectively market-based incentives (e.g., taxes, charges or payments for environmental services, tradable permit schemes and voluntary mechanisms) Step Three Use any resulting revenues and savings to finance the necessary public support for private green R&D and investments $$ Barbier (2015)
  • 19. 19 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center 1. Stratospheric O3 Depletion Stockholm Resilience Center (2007) THE PLANETARY BOUNDARIES 6. Fresh water consumption and the global hydrological cycle 2. * Biodiversity loss and extinction 3. Chemical pollution (novel entities) 4. * Climate Change 5. Ocean acidification 7. * N & P flows to the biosphere and ocean 8. Atmospheric aerosol loading 9. * Land system change
  • 20. 20 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center MEETING FOOD DEMAND BY 2050 The world produces enough food to feed 10 billion people . Thus, food and nutritional security must be achieved by: • Reducing waste (30-50%), • Increasing access to food by addressing poverty, inequality, wars and political instability, • Improving distribution, • Increasing use of plant-based diet, • Accepting personal responsibility of not taking things for granted, and • Increasing agronomic productivity from existing land, restoring degraded lands ,and converting some agricultural land for nature conservancy without any conversion of natural land to agroecosystems.
  • 21. 21 Carbon Management and Sequestration Center “Hello there folks. Do you know who or what I am? I am the geomembrane of the Earth. I am your protective filter, your buffer, your mediator of energy, water, and biogeochemical compounds. I am your sustainer of productive life, your ultimate sources of elements, and the habitat for most biota. I am the foundation that supports you, the cradle of your myths, and the dust from which you will return. I am a soil”. Richard Arnold (2005) Senior Soil Scientist SOIL: THE ESSENCE OF LIFE