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Yuliana Irmina 29110389,Decky Prasakti 29110391, Resti Athayani
                                                     29110402
       Lamya Nur Zahidah 29110406, Harry Riusxander 29110408
 Wisnumurti Rahardjo 29110412, Ronaldo Bagus Putra 291104xxx
                                     THE NEW RELIGION OF

                   RISK MANAGEMENT
Success brings profits, growth, and
unbounded optimism. But it also has a way
    of blinding executives to the many
organizational dangers that creep in at the
                same time.

In good times, it’s easy to forget about risk,
   and that might be happened to every
                 companies.

  Internal risk that are hiding within your
  company could be determined by using
     RISK EXPOSURE CALCULATOR
RISK EXPOSURE CALCULATOR

                   Determine company’s risk level




              Help CEO to discover pressure on other
                     critical pressure points



                  Give opportunity to conduct two
                       illuminating exercise :
              • Compare scores of each division
              • Compare current risk exposure with 24 month ago
RISK EXPOSURE CALCULATOR


               Pressures for                       Inexperience of
  Growth                       Rate of Expansion                     =
               Performance                         Key Employees


                  Score             Score              Score             Score


                Rewards for       Executive
                                                Level of Internal
  Culture     Entrepreneurial Resistance to Bad                      =
                                                  Competition
               Risk-Taking          News

                  Score             Score              Score             Score


                                   Gaps in
               Transaction                            Degree of
Information                       Diagnostic
              Complexity and                        Decentralized =
Management                       Performance
                Velocity                           Decision Making
                                  Measures
                  Score             Score              Score             Score

                                                     Total Score     =
1. Pressure for performance
           How can managers measure their score on this point?
                • manager can achieve their goal through the subordinate
                • good performance by subordinate
                • high expectation for financial result due to good performance
GROWTH

         2. Rate of expansion
           How can managers measure their score on this point?
                • operation expanding faster than the capacity to invest in more
                  people and technology
                • without careful planning and allocation of resources, the
                  infrastructure to support rapid expansion may quickly become
                  overloaded, resulting in sacrifices in quality.


         3. Inexperience among employees and staff
           How can managers measure their score on this point?
                • percentage job filled with newcomers / inexperience employee
                • employee make too many mistakes
                • increased customer complaint
1. Reward for entrepreneurial risk taking
  How can managers measure their score on this point?
       • percentage of the business is based on new product and services that
         have been generated by creative, risk taking employees
       • environment in which people are allowed to operate like the Lone
         Ranger
       • increasing frequency in failed new products or servicess or
         unsuccessful deals

2. Executive resistance to bad news




                                                                                CULTURE
  How can managers measure their score on this
  point?
       • amount of bad news that manager get
       • people who speak of obstacles, problems, or impending dangers
         are derided as annoying naysayers and accused of not being team
         player.


3. Level of internal competition
  How can managers measure their score on this
  point?
       • Manager believe that they are in a horce race with their peers for
         promotions and rewards.
       • Employee perceived advancement and promotion as a zero sum
         game, internal competition (compared with one another) can have
         unintended side effect  decrease in information sharing
1. Transaction complexity and velocity
INFORMATION MANAGEMENT    How can managers measure their score on this point?
                             – when systems to manage information are inadequate  havoc ensues
                             – success in the marketplace is often accompanied by increasingly
                               sophisticated product, by innovation in the way that customer are served,
                               and by creativity in bundling new products or services.
                             – managers have less opportunity to scrutinize transaction to ensure that
                               they adhere to preapproved policies.

                         2. Gaps in diagnostic performance measures
                            Reason the manager ignore the internal reporting system that measure
                            critical performance variable :
                                 1.     Rapid growth  system outdated and inadequate
                                 2.     Human nature
                            How can managers measure their score on this point?
                             –   hard to get the right data at the right time  feeling frustration
                             –   didn’d control the performance effectively.


                         3. Degree of decentralized decision making
                            How can managers measure their score on this point?
                             – local managers acting without a larger sense of their organization corporate
                               strategy
                             – didn’t have well-defined information channels for sharing information
                               either sideways or upward.
                             – if senior executives are not hearing important information until it’s too late
Interpreting the Score




                                                                                     35–45 The Danger Zone
9-20 The Safety Zone




                                          21-34 The Caution Zone
                       Probably safe                               Managers                                  The alarm bells
                       from                                        should be alert                           should be
                       unexpected                                  for high scores                           ringing and fast
                       errors or events                            in any two or                             action should
                       that could                                  three risk                                follow
                       threaten the                                dimensions
                       health of
                       business
Pressure Point
   Identification


Score calculation



         Next step?
The Relationship between Risk and Awareness

  Potential
                  External Risk                 Internal Risk
Consequences

               aware of their nature and     know where it exist in the
                     magnitude             organization & at what levels



  Awareness              act                           act



               avoid the hidden dangers
Done everything possible to
       control risk!



       What action are left?




            Levers of Control
Levers of Control




        +
5Questio
       n
AboutRis
Have senior managers #1
communicated the
core values of the
     business
  in a way that people
understand and embrace?
Belief system consist of :
• communicated through mission statements, credos and
statement of values
• can go a long way toward creating a culture that rewards
integrity and makes clear the types of choice


    To effectively communicate core values and beliefs,
   manager must do more than go through the motion of
                 writing a mission statement




                          At Johnson & Johnson, top manager
                          periodically meet with all business unit
                          managers to debate and reaffirm the
                          importants of their long standing credo
#2



Have managers in your organization clearly
 identified the specific actions and
              behaviors
            that are off-limits?
For any given business
   strategy managers must
   determine what behaviour
   or action to damage the
   business reputation and
   declare those actions
   categorically off limits.


Consultants and audithors
like McKinsey depend on
their reputation for
trustworthiness as an
essential assets for effective
competition
#3
Are diagnostic control   systems
  adequate at monitoring critical
       performance variables?
Because success makes it to
 easy to neglect or business
 diagnostic control systems,
managers have to be sure to
  invest in these systems in
boom times and ensurre that
 everyone is focusing on the
   right critical performance
             variables


  Managers may choose to
 focus diagnostics measures
   on operations, on critical
 balance sheet assets, or on
the competitive environment.
#4

Are your control   systems interactive
   and designed to stimulate learning?
An additional and important way to
 monitor risk exposure is through certain
     interactive control system- that is
 systems that force managers to engage
      in conversation about strategic
  uncertainties. These control systems
  trigger can raise important questions
       about customers, technology,
     competitors, regulation, markets.

Any number systems can be used: profit
plans, performance scorecards,
technology monitoring systems, or brand
revenue systems.
Example: J&J

• The J & J managers use
  their profit planning and
  long range planning
  system in a highly
  interactive way to
  continually assess
  opportunities and
  threats.
#5
Are you paying  enough for
traditional internal controls?
In this age of Balance score card
    and enterprisewide information
    systems, internal controls have
        been neglected by many
  organizations, such as segregating
    duties, limiting access to critical
 information, and adequately staffing
   key control and risk management
   positions, such as controllers and
 internal auditors. The main reasons
     of this condition is the wave of
    reengineering and downsizing.



  On the other hand, these initiatives
   have successfully refocused and
streamlined businesses, making them
    healthier and more competitive.
Example: J&J

• The J & J managers use
  their profit planning and
  long range planning
  system in a highly
  interactive way to
  continually assess
  opportunities and
  threats.
Successful company’s managers:


implemented the levers of control model and
 found a way to drive maximum performance
  while ensuring adequate safeguards against
                     risk.
Its disastrous fall in 1994, when
        over $350 million of false profit
        were uncovered and GE decided
        to dispose of Kidder Peabody’s
        assets

        The company’s score would have
        been close to straight fives in all
        categories for a total of 45
        (danger zone)


General Electric
Growth

• Pressure for performance was extremely high
  – Did not fully understand the operations or the nature of
    financial service products
• The rate of expansions was intense
  – Pouring money so the business could expand
    aggressively

• Inexperience of key employees mounting
  – Hired the fixed-income desk that was young and had no training
    or experience in buying and selling specialized types of bonds
Culture

• GE created an environment that rewarded entrepreneurial
  risk taking
   – Who could create new financial products were well compensated

• Executive resistance to bad news
   – Especially given the rewards and accolades that were being
     showered on the trader – that those with suspicious were quickly
     quieted

• Intense internal competition
   – Vied for promotion, recognition, and large bonuses
Information Management

• Transaction complexity and velocity increasing rapidly
  – Jett place order to buy and sell billion of dollars worth of
    bonds
• Diagnostic performance measures were faulty and
  incomplete
  – Lack of early warning system

• High on decentralized decision making
  – Major decisions to be made by employees at the
    trading desks without direct management oversight
Conclusion
  • The company was too
    much relied on the
    company’s diagnostic
    control system and internal
    auditor to alert them.
  • Blame must be placed on
    managers who failed to
    appreciate the risk
    pressures due to growth,
    culture, and information
    management
THANK YOU SO SO

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THE NEW RELIGION OF RISK MANAGEMENT

  • 1. Ape Syndicate Yuliana Irmina 29110389,Decky Prasakti 29110391, Resti Athayani 29110402 Lamya Nur Zahidah 29110406, Harry Riusxander 29110408 Wisnumurti Rahardjo 29110412, Ronaldo Bagus Putra 291104xxx THE NEW RELIGION OF RISK MANAGEMENT
  • 2. Success brings profits, growth, and unbounded optimism. But it also has a way of blinding executives to the many organizational dangers that creep in at the same time. In good times, it’s easy to forget about risk, and that might be happened to every companies. Internal risk that are hiding within your company could be determined by using RISK EXPOSURE CALCULATOR
  • 3. RISK EXPOSURE CALCULATOR Determine company’s risk level Help CEO to discover pressure on other critical pressure points Give opportunity to conduct two illuminating exercise : • Compare scores of each division • Compare current risk exposure with 24 month ago
  • 4. RISK EXPOSURE CALCULATOR Pressures for Inexperience of Growth Rate of Expansion = Performance Key Employees Score Score Score Score Rewards for Executive Level of Internal Culture Entrepreneurial Resistance to Bad = Competition Risk-Taking News Score Score Score Score Gaps in Transaction Degree of Information Diagnostic Complexity and Decentralized = Management Performance Velocity Decision Making Measures Score Score Score Score Total Score =
  • 5. 1. Pressure for performance How can managers measure their score on this point? • manager can achieve their goal through the subordinate • good performance by subordinate • high expectation for financial result due to good performance GROWTH 2. Rate of expansion How can managers measure their score on this point? • operation expanding faster than the capacity to invest in more people and technology • without careful planning and allocation of resources, the infrastructure to support rapid expansion may quickly become overloaded, resulting in sacrifices in quality. 3. Inexperience among employees and staff How can managers measure their score on this point? • percentage job filled with newcomers / inexperience employee • employee make too many mistakes • increased customer complaint
  • 6. 1. Reward for entrepreneurial risk taking How can managers measure their score on this point? • percentage of the business is based on new product and services that have been generated by creative, risk taking employees • environment in which people are allowed to operate like the Lone Ranger • increasing frequency in failed new products or servicess or unsuccessful deals 2. Executive resistance to bad news CULTURE How can managers measure their score on this point? • amount of bad news that manager get • people who speak of obstacles, problems, or impending dangers are derided as annoying naysayers and accused of not being team player. 3. Level of internal competition How can managers measure their score on this point? • Manager believe that they are in a horce race with their peers for promotions and rewards. • Employee perceived advancement and promotion as a zero sum game, internal competition (compared with one another) can have unintended side effect  decrease in information sharing
  • 7. 1. Transaction complexity and velocity INFORMATION MANAGEMENT How can managers measure their score on this point? – when systems to manage information are inadequate  havoc ensues – success in the marketplace is often accompanied by increasingly sophisticated product, by innovation in the way that customer are served, and by creativity in bundling new products or services. – managers have less opportunity to scrutinize transaction to ensure that they adhere to preapproved policies. 2. Gaps in diagnostic performance measures Reason the manager ignore the internal reporting system that measure critical performance variable : 1. Rapid growth  system outdated and inadequate 2. Human nature How can managers measure their score on this point? – hard to get the right data at the right time  feeling frustration – didn’d control the performance effectively. 3. Degree of decentralized decision making How can managers measure their score on this point? – local managers acting without a larger sense of their organization corporate strategy – didn’t have well-defined information channels for sharing information either sideways or upward. – if senior executives are not hearing important information until it’s too late
  • 8. Interpreting the Score 35–45 The Danger Zone 9-20 The Safety Zone 21-34 The Caution Zone Probably safe Managers The alarm bells from should be alert should be unexpected for high scores ringing and fast errors or events in any two or action should that could three risk follow threaten the dimensions health of business
  • 9. Pressure Point Identification Score calculation Next step?
  • 10. The Relationship between Risk and Awareness Potential External Risk Internal Risk Consequences aware of their nature and know where it exist in the magnitude organization & at what levels Awareness act act avoid the hidden dangers
  • 11. Done everything possible to control risk! What action are left? Levers of Control
  • 13. 5Questio n AboutRis
  • 14. Have senior managers #1 communicated the core values of the business in a way that people understand and embrace?
  • 15. Belief system consist of : • communicated through mission statements, credos and statement of values • can go a long way toward creating a culture that rewards integrity and makes clear the types of choice To effectively communicate core values and beliefs, manager must do more than go through the motion of writing a mission statement At Johnson & Johnson, top manager periodically meet with all business unit managers to debate and reaffirm the importants of their long standing credo
  • 16. #2 Have managers in your organization clearly identified the specific actions and behaviors that are off-limits?
  • 17. For any given business strategy managers must determine what behaviour or action to damage the business reputation and declare those actions categorically off limits. Consultants and audithors like McKinsey depend on their reputation for trustworthiness as an essential assets for effective competition
  • 18. #3 Are diagnostic control systems adequate at monitoring critical performance variables?
  • 19. Because success makes it to easy to neglect or business diagnostic control systems, managers have to be sure to invest in these systems in boom times and ensurre that everyone is focusing on the right critical performance variables Managers may choose to focus diagnostics measures on operations, on critical balance sheet assets, or on the competitive environment.
  • 20. #4 Are your control systems interactive and designed to stimulate learning?
  • 21. An additional and important way to monitor risk exposure is through certain interactive control system- that is systems that force managers to engage in conversation about strategic uncertainties. These control systems trigger can raise important questions about customers, technology, competitors, regulation, markets. Any number systems can be used: profit plans, performance scorecards, technology monitoring systems, or brand revenue systems.
  • 22. Example: J&J • The J & J managers use their profit planning and long range planning system in a highly interactive way to continually assess opportunities and threats.
  • 23. #5 Are you paying enough for traditional internal controls?
  • 24. In this age of Balance score card and enterprisewide information systems, internal controls have been neglected by many organizations, such as segregating duties, limiting access to critical information, and adequately staffing key control and risk management positions, such as controllers and internal auditors. The main reasons of this condition is the wave of reengineering and downsizing. On the other hand, these initiatives have successfully refocused and streamlined businesses, making them healthier and more competitive.
  • 25. Example: J&J • The J & J managers use their profit planning and long range planning system in a highly interactive way to continually assess opportunities and threats.
  • 26. Successful company’s managers: implemented the levers of control model and found a way to drive maximum performance while ensuring adequate safeguards against risk.
  • 27. Its disastrous fall in 1994, when over $350 million of false profit were uncovered and GE decided to dispose of Kidder Peabody’s assets The company’s score would have been close to straight fives in all categories for a total of 45 (danger zone) General Electric
  • 28. Growth • Pressure for performance was extremely high – Did not fully understand the operations or the nature of financial service products • The rate of expansions was intense – Pouring money so the business could expand aggressively • Inexperience of key employees mounting – Hired the fixed-income desk that was young and had no training or experience in buying and selling specialized types of bonds
  • 29. Culture • GE created an environment that rewarded entrepreneurial risk taking – Who could create new financial products were well compensated • Executive resistance to bad news – Especially given the rewards and accolades that were being showered on the trader – that those with suspicious were quickly quieted • Intense internal competition – Vied for promotion, recognition, and large bonuses
  • 30. Information Management • Transaction complexity and velocity increasing rapidly – Jett place order to buy and sell billion of dollars worth of bonds • Diagnostic performance measures were faulty and incomplete – Lack of early warning system • High on decentralized decision making – Major decisions to be made by employees at the trading desks without direct management oversight
  • 31. Conclusion • The company was too much relied on the company’s diagnostic control system and internal auditor to alert them. • Blame must be placed on managers who failed to appreciate the risk pressures due to growth, culture, and information management