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Douglas Tengdin, CFA
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Presentation of Charter Trust's investment outlook for 2011.
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2011 outlook
1.
Charter Trust Company
2011 Economic Outlook: A Global Symphony
2.
The Economyis preparing
to take off
3.
We’re out of
the battle.
4.
And moving into
the … ?
5.
Positives:
6.
Positives: Profits
7.
Positives: Profits Productivity
8.
Positives: Profits Productivity
Policy
9.
The result has
been a record level of corporate cash
10.
Downers
11.
Downers Debt
12.
Downers Debt Deflation
13.
Downers Debt Deflation
Depression
14.
With the D’s
and the P’s at odds:
15.
With the D’s
and the P’s at odds: Volatility S&P 500 Index 2000-2010
16.
With the D’s
and the P’s at odds: Volatility Crises S&P 500 Index 2000-2010
17.
With the D’s
and the P’s at odds: Volatility Crisis Danger Opportunity
18.
Equities – Volatility
19.
Equities – Volatility
MSCI Index 1985 - 2010
20.
Emerging Market Growth
21.
Emerging Market Growth
China: Three Gorges Dam Brazil: Bovespa Index
22.
US Market:
23.
US Market: Growth
US Gross Domestic Product
24.
European Market:
25.
European Market: Volatility
26.
European Market: Volatility
Germany: Strong Netherlands: Strong France: Moderate Italy: Moderate Finland: Moderate Spain: Weak Portugal: Weak Ireland: Weak Greece: Crisis
27.
Bonds:
28.
Bonds: Danger
29.
Short rates are
stuck.
30.
Long rates are
too low.
31.
Rates will rise,
we just don’t know when.
32.
Decoupling is over
33.
The World Economy
Is One
34.
“We must hang
together, or we will hang separately.”
35.
BRIC Growth
36.
Triad Stability US
Eurozone Japan Together: 60% of World Economy
37.
Global progress
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