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Charter Trust Company 2011 Economic Outlook:  A Global Symphony
The Economyis preparing to take off
We’re out of the battle.
And moving into the … ?
Positives:
Positives: Profits
Positives: Profits Productivity
Positives: Profits Productivity Policy
The result has been a record level of corporate cash
Downers
Downers Debt
Downers Debt Deflation
Downers Debt Deflation Depression
With the D’s and the P’s at odds:
With the D’s and the P’s at odds: Volatility S&P 500 Index 2000-2010
With the D’s and the P’s at odds: Volatility Crises S&P 500 Index 2000-2010
With the D’s and the P’s at odds: Volatility Crisis Danger Opportunity
Equities – Volatility
Equities – Volatility MSCI Index 1985 - 2010
Emerging Market Growth
Emerging Market Growth China: Three Gorges Dam Brazil: Bovespa Index
US Market:
US Market: Growth US Gross Domestic Product
European Market:
European Market: Volatility
European Market: Volatility Germany: Strong Netherlands: Strong France: Moderate Italy: Moderate Finland: Moderate Spain: Weak Portugal: Weak Ireland: Weak Greece: Crisis
Bonds:
Bonds: Danger
Short rates are stuck.
Long rates are too low.
Rates will rise, we just don’t know when.
Decoupling is over
The World Economy Is One
“We must hang together, or we will hang separately.”
BRIC Growth
Triad Stability US Eurozone Japan Together: 60% of World Economy
Global progress

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2011 outlook