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Joyashree Roy, CLA-Chapter 5 SR 1.5 Report
Bangabandhu Chair Professor, Asian Institute of Technology,
6th Dec. 2018, at COP24 WMO/IPCC Pavilion
Sustainable Development,
Poverty Eradication
and Reducing Inequalities
IPCC Special Report on 1.5°C
Chapter 5
0
1
Coordinating Lead Authors: (3) Joyashree Roy (India), Petra Tschakert (Australia/Austria),
Henri Waisman (France)
Lead Authors: (10) Sharina Abdul Halim (Malaysia), Philip Antwi-Agyei (Ghana), Purnamita
Dasgupta (India), Bronwyn Hayward (New Zealand), Markku Kanninen (Finland), Diana
Liverman (United States of America), Chukwumerije Okereke (Nigeria/United Kingdom),
Patricia Fernanda Pinho (Brazil), Keywan Riahi (Austria), Avelino G. Suarez Rodriguez (Cuba)
Contributing Authors: (38) Fernando Aragón–Durand (Mexico), Mustapha Babiker (Sudan), Mook Bangalore (United
States of America), Paolo Bertoldi (Italy), Bishwa Bhaskar Choudhary (India), Anton Cartwright (South Africa), Riyanti
Djalante (Indonesia), Kristie Ebi (United States of America), Neville Ellis (Australia), Francois Engelbrecht (South Africa),
Maria Figueroa (Venezuela/Denmark), Mukesh Gupta (India), Amaha Medhin Haileselassie (Ethiopia), Karen Paiva
Henrique (Brazil), Daniel Huppmann (Austria), Saleemul Huq (Bangladesh/United Kingdom), Daniela Jacob (Germany),
Rachel James (United Kingdom), Debora Ley (Guatemala/Mexico), Peter Marcotullio (United States of America), Omar
Massera (Mexico), Reinhard Mechler (Germany), Shagun Mehrotra (United States of America/India), Peter Newman
(Australia), Simon Parkinson (Canada), Aromar Revi (India), Wilfried Rickels (Germany), Diana Hinge Salili (Vanuatu),
Lisa Schipper (Sweden), Jörn Schmidt (Germany), Seth Schultz (United States of America), Pete Smith (United Kingdom
of Great Britain and Northern Ireland), William Solecki (United States of America), Shreya Some (India), Nenenteiti
Teariki-Ruatu (Kiribati), Adelle Thomas (Bahamas), Penny Urquhart (South Africa), Margaretha Wewerinke-Singh
(Netherlands)
Review Editors: (3) Svitlana Krakovska (Ukraine), Ramon Pichs Madruga (Cuba), Roberto Sanchez (Mexico)
Chapter Scientist: (1) Neville Ellis (Australia)
2
This chapter takes sustainable
development as the starting point
and focus for analysis of
bidirectional interplay with climate
actions in a 1.5°C warmer world
3
Limiting global warming to 1.5°C rather
than 2°C would make it markedly easier to
achieve many aspects of sustainable
development, with greater potential to
eradicate poverty and reduce inequalities
4
• Impact avoided with lower temperature lessens the
risks of poor people to experience food and water
insecurity, adverse health impacts, and economic
losses, particularly in regions that already face
development challenges. Makes it easier to achieve
SDGs
• However, warming of 1.5°C is not considered ‘safe’ for
most nations, communities, ecosystems, sectors and
poses significant risks to natural and human systems as
compared to current warming of 1°C
5
Compared to current conditions, 1.5°C of
global warming would none the less pose
heightened risks to
Eradicating poverty, reducing
inequalities, ensuring human and ecosystem
well-being
Elderly, children, indigenous people,
urban poor people, poor laborer…
6
Prioritisation of sustainable
development and meeting the SDGs is
consistent with efforts to adapt to
climate change
7
Synergies between adaptation
strategies and sustainable development
are significant
8
Pursuing place-specific adaptation
pathways toward a 1.5°C warmer world has
the potential for significant positive
outcomes for well-being, in countries at all
levels of development
9
The deployment of mitigation options consistent with
1.5°C pathways leads to multiple synergies across a
range of sustainable development dimensions.
At the same time, the rapid pace and magnitude of
change that would be required to limit warming to
1.5°C, if not carefully managed, would lead to trade-
offs with some sustainable development dimensions
10
Appropriately designed mitigation actions to reduce
energy demand can advance multiple SDGs
simultaneously. Pathways compatible with 1.5°C
that feature low energy demand show the most
pronounced synergies and the lowest number of
trade-offs with respect to sustainable development
and the SDGs
11
The impacts of Carbon Dioxide
Removal (CDR) options on SDGs
depend on the type of options and the
scale of deployment
12
Appropriate design and
implementation requires considering
local people’s needs, biodiversity, and
other sustainable development
dimensions
13
The design of the mitigation portfolios and policy
instruments to limit warming to 1.5°C will largely
determine the overall synergies and trade-offs
between mitigation and sustainable development.
Redistributive policies that shield the poor and
vulnerable can resolve trade-offs for a range of
SDGs
14
Mitigation measures consistent with 1.5°C
create high risks for sustainable development
in countries with high dependency on fossil
fuels for revenue and employment
generation
15
Risks are caused by the reduction of global
demand affecting mining activity, export
revenues from fossil fuel sector, rapid
decrease in carbon intensity
Targeted policies that
promote diversification of the economy and the
energy sector could ease this transition
16
Limiting warming to 1.5°C would require all
countries and non-state actors to strengthen their
contributions without delay. This could be achieved
through sharing of efforts based on bolder and more
committed cooperation, with support for those with
the least capacity to adapt, mitigate, and transform
17
Addressing challenges and widening opportunities
between and within countries and communities
would be necessary to achieve sustainable
development and limit warming to 1.5°C, without
making the poor and disadvantaged worse off
18
Fundamental societal and systemic changes
to achieve sustainable development,
eradicate poverty and reduce inequalities
while limiting warming to 1.5°C would
require a set of institutional, social, cultural,
economic, technological conditions to be met
19
• Coordination & monitoring of policy actions
• External funding and technology transfer better with
due consideration to recipients’ context-specific
needs
• Inclusive processes to ensure participation,
transparency, capacity building, and iterative social
learning
• Attention to power asymmetries and unequal
opportunities for development to benefit all
populations
• Re-examining individual and collective values could
help spur urgent, ambitious, and cooperative
change.
Q&AQuestions?

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6 Dec - Chapter 5 - Key findings from Chapter 5: Strengthening the global response in the context of sustainable development

  • 1. Joyashree Roy, CLA-Chapter 5 SR 1.5 Report Bangabandhu Chair Professor, Asian Institute of Technology, 6th Dec. 2018, at COP24 WMO/IPCC Pavilion Sustainable Development, Poverty Eradication and Reducing Inequalities IPCC Special Report on 1.5°C Chapter 5 0
  • 2. 1 Coordinating Lead Authors: (3) Joyashree Roy (India), Petra Tschakert (Australia/Austria), Henri Waisman (France) Lead Authors: (10) Sharina Abdul Halim (Malaysia), Philip Antwi-Agyei (Ghana), Purnamita Dasgupta (India), Bronwyn Hayward (New Zealand), Markku Kanninen (Finland), Diana Liverman (United States of America), Chukwumerije Okereke (Nigeria/United Kingdom), Patricia Fernanda Pinho (Brazil), Keywan Riahi (Austria), Avelino G. Suarez Rodriguez (Cuba) Contributing Authors: (38) Fernando Aragón–Durand (Mexico), Mustapha Babiker (Sudan), Mook Bangalore (United States of America), Paolo Bertoldi (Italy), Bishwa Bhaskar Choudhary (India), Anton Cartwright (South Africa), Riyanti Djalante (Indonesia), Kristie Ebi (United States of America), Neville Ellis (Australia), Francois Engelbrecht (South Africa), Maria Figueroa (Venezuela/Denmark), Mukesh Gupta (India), Amaha Medhin Haileselassie (Ethiopia), Karen Paiva Henrique (Brazil), Daniel Huppmann (Austria), Saleemul Huq (Bangladesh/United Kingdom), Daniela Jacob (Germany), Rachel James (United Kingdom), Debora Ley (Guatemala/Mexico), Peter Marcotullio (United States of America), Omar Massera (Mexico), Reinhard Mechler (Germany), Shagun Mehrotra (United States of America/India), Peter Newman (Australia), Simon Parkinson (Canada), Aromar Revi (India), Wilfried Rickels (Germany), Diana Hinge Salili (Vanuatu), Lisa Schipper (Sweden), Jörn Schmidt (Germany), Seth Schultz (United States of America), Pete Smith (United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland), William Solecki (United States of America), Shreya Some (India), Nenenteiti Teariki-Ruatu (Kiribati), Adelle Thomas (Bahamas), Penny Urquhart (South Africa), Margaretha Wewerinke-Singh (Netherlands) Review Editors: (3) Svitlana Krakovska (Ukraine), Ramon Pichs Madruga (Cuba), Roberto Sanchez (Mexico) Chapter Scientist: (1) Neville Ellis (Australia)
  • 3. 2 This chapter takes sustainable development as the starting point and focus for analysis of bidirectional interplay with climate actions in a 1.5°C warmer world
  • 4. 3 Limiting global warming to 1.5°C rather than 2°C would make it markedly easier to achieve many aspects of sustainable development, with greater potential to eradicate poverty and reduce inequalities
  • 5. 4 • Impact avoided with lower temperature lessens the risks of poor people to experience food and water insecurity, adverse health impacts, and economic losses, particularly in regions that already face development challenges. Makes it easier to achieve SDGs • However, warming of 1.5°C is not considered ‘safe’ for most nations, communities, ecosystems, sectors and poses significant risks to natural and human systems as compared to current warming of 1°C
  • 6. 5 Compared to current conditions, 1.5°C of global warming would none the less pose heightened risks to Eradicating poverty, reducing inequalities, ensuring human and ecosystem well-being Elderly, children, indigenous people, urban poor people, poor laborer…
  • 7. 6 Prioritisation of sustainable development and meeting the SDGs is consistent with efforts to adapt to climate change
  • 8. 7 Synergies between adaptation strategies and sustainable development are significant
  • 9. 8 Pursuing place-specific adaptation pathways toward a 1.5°C warmer world has the potential for significant positive outcomes for well-being, in countries at all levels of development
  • 10. 9 The deployment of mitigation options consistent with 1.5°C pathways leads to multiple synergies across a range of sustainable development dimensions. At the same time, the rapid pace and magnitude of change that would be required to limit warming to 1.5°C, if not carefully managed, would lead to trade- offs with some sustainable development dimensions
  • 11. 10 Appropriately designed mitigation actions to reduce energy demand can advance multiple SDGs simultaneously. Pathways compatible with 1.5°C that feature low energy demand show the most pronounced synergies and the lowest number of trade-offs with respect to sustainable development and the SDGs
  • 12. 11 The impacts of Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) options on SDGs depend on the type of options and the scale of deployment
  • 13. 12 Appropriate design and implementation requires considering local people’s needs, biodiversity, and other sustainable development dimensions
  • 14. 13 The design of the mitigation portfolios and policy instruments to limit warming to 1.5°C will largely determine the overall synergies and trade-offs between mitigation and sustainable development. Redistributive policies that shield the poor and vulnerable can resolve trade-offs for a range of SDGs
  • 15. 14 Mitigation measures consistent with 1.5°C create high risks for sustainable development in countries with high dependency on fossil fuels for revenue and employment generation
  • 16. 15 Risks are caused by the reduction of global demand affecting mining activity, export revenues from fossil fuel sector, rapid decrease in carbon intensity Targeted policies that promote diversification of the economy and the energy sector could ease this transition
  • 17. 16 Limiting warming to 1.5°C would require all countries and non-state actors to strengthen their contributions without delay. This could be achieved through sharing of efforts based on bolder and more committed cooperation, with support for those with the least capacity to adapt, mitigate, and transform
  • 18. 17 Addressing challenges and widening opportunities between and within countries and communities would be necessary to achieve sustainable development and limit warming to 1.5°C, without making the poor and disadvantaged worse off
  • 19. 18 Fundamental societal and systemic changes to achieve sustainable development, eradicate poverty and reduce inequalities while limiting warming to 1.5°C would require a set of institutional, social, cultural, economic, technological conditions to be met
  • 20. 19 • Coordination & monitoring of policy actions • External funding and technology transfer better with due consideration to recipients’ context-specific needs • Inclusive processes to ensure participation, transparency, capacity building, and iterative social learning • Attention to power asymmetries and unequal opportunities for development to benefit all populations • Re-examining individual and collective values could help spur urgent, ambitious, and cooperative change.