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IPCC AR6 Progress
Panmao Zhai, Co-Chair, IPCC WG I
Cambodia, 27 May 2019
2019 Agenda
AR6 WGI Outline
Ch1: Framing, context, methods
Ch2: Changing state of the climate system
Ch3: Human influence on the climate system
Ch4: Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
Ch5: Global carbon, biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks
Ch6: Short-lived climate forcers
Ch7: The Earth’s energy budget, climate feedbacks, and climate sensitivity
Ch8: Water cycle changes
Ch9: Ocean, cryosphere, and sea level change
Ch10: Linking global to regional climate change
Ch11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate
Ch12: Climate change information for regional impact and risk assessment
+ Regional Atlas
Large scale changes
Processes
Regional Focus
AR6 WGI Outline
Ch1: Framing, context, methods
Ch2: Changing state of the climate system
Ch3: Human influence on the climate system
Ch4: Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
Ch5: Global carbon, biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks
Ch6: Short-lived climate forcers
Ch7: The Earth’s energy budget, climate feedbacks, and climate sensitivity
Ch8: Water cycle changes
Ch9: Ocean, cryosphere, and sea level change
Ch10: Linking global to regional climate change
Ch11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate
Ch12: Climate change information for regional impact and risk assessment
+ Regional Atlas
Link to WGIII
Link to WGII
AR5 WGI Outline
Ch1: Introduction
Ch2: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface
Ch3: Observations: Ocean
Ch4: Observations: Cryosphere
Ch5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives
Ch6: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles
Ch7: Clouds and Aerosols
Ch8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing
Ch9: Evaluation of Climate Models
Ch10: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional
Ch11: Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability
Ch12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility
Ch13: Sea Level Change
Ch14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change
Atlas of Global and Regional Climate Projections
Observations
Processes
Models
Synthesis
Data Needs
• Large-scale climate change
• Process (Carbon &Biogeochemical, Energy, Water cycle,
Short-lived climate forcers)
• Regional climate change
• Weather and climate extreme events
What are the gaps?
How to fill the gaps!
Facilitator
BOG1.1 : Reference Period Ed Hawkins, Jan F
BOG1.2 : Large Scale Changes Peter Thorne, June Yi Lee
BOG1.3 : Model Issues Greg, Anne Marie Treguier
BOG1.4 : Uncertainties and feedbaks Noureddine Yassa, Kirsten Zickfeld
BOG1.5 : Regional issues Carolina, Sergio
BOG1.6 : Observations Panmao, Blair Trenwin
BOG1.7 : D&A Edvin Aldrian, Pandora Hope
BOG1.8 : Climate metrics incl. RF Jan F
BOG1.9 : Palo-information Dan / Maisa / Kim / Darrell
BOG2.1 : Etics, GST Burce and Malte
BOG2.2 : Risks Carolina
BOG2.3 : Scenarios Jan
Cross-cutting issues
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Updates on the preparations of Working Group I contribution to the Sixth Assessment cycle

  • 1. http://bit.ly/ipcc_outreach_cambodia IPCC AR6 Progress Panmao Zhai, Co-Chair, IPCC WG I Cambodia, 27 May 2019
  • 3.
  • 4. AR6 WGI Outline Ch1: Framing, context, methods Ch2: Changing state of the climate system Ch3: Human influence on the climate system Ch4: Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information Ch5: Global carbon, biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks Ch6: Short-lived climate forcers Ch7: The Earth’s energy budget, climate feedbacks, and climate sensitivity Ch8: Water cycle changes Ch9: Ocean, cryosphere, and sea level change Ch10: Linking global to regional climate change Ch11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate Ch12: Climate change information for regional impact and risk assessment + Regional Atlas Large scale changes Processes Regional Focus
  • 5. AR6 WGI Outline Ch1: Framing, context, methods Ch2: Changing state of the climate system Ch3: Human influence on the climate system Ch4: Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information Ch5: Global carbon, biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks Ch6: Short-lived climate forcers Ch7: The Earth’s energy budget, climate feedbacks, and climate sensitivity Ch8: Water cycle changes Ch9: Ocean, cryosphere, and sea level change Ch10: Linking global to regional climate change Ch11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate Ch12: Climate change information for regional impact and risk assessment + Regional Atlas Link to WGIII Link to WGII
  • 6. AR5 WGI Outline Ch1: Introduction Ch2: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface Ch3: Observations: Ocean Ch4: Observations: Cryosphere Ch5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives Ch6: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles Ch7: Clouds and Aerosols Ch8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing Ch9: Evaluation of Climate Models Ch10: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional Ch11: Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability Ch12: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Ch13: Sea Level Change Ch14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change Atlas of Global and Regional Climate Projections Observations Processes Models Synthesis
  • 7. Data Needs • Large-scale climate change • Process (Carbon &Biogeochemical, Energy, Water cycle, Short-lived climate forcers) • Regional climate change • Weather and climate extreme events What are the gaps? How to fill the gaps!
  • 8. Facilitator BOG1.1 : Reference Period Ed Hawkins, Jan F BOG1.2 : Large Scale Changes Peter Thorne, June Yi Lee BOG1.3 : Model Issues Greg, Anne Marie Treguier BOG1.4 : Uncertainties and feedbaks Noureddine Yassa, Kirsten Zickfeld BOG1.5 : Regional issues Carolina, Sergio BOG1.6 : Observations Panmao, Blair Trenwin BOG1.7 : D&A Edvin Aldrian, Pandora Hope BOG1.8 : Climate metrics incl. RF Jan F BOG1.9 : Palo-information Dan / Maisa / Kim / Darrell BOG2.1 : Etics, GST Burce and Malte BOG2.2 : Risks Carolina BOG2.3 : Scenarios Jan Cross-cutting issues
  • 9. IPCC IPCC http://www.slideshare.net/ipcc- media/presentations https://www.youtube.com/c/ipccgeneva Find us on: Website: http://ipcc.ch/ IPCC Secretariat: ipcc-sec@wmo.int IPCC Press Office: ipcc-media@wmo.int @IPCC_CH https://www.linkedin.com/company/ipcc https://www.flickr.com/photos/ipccphoto/sets/ https://vimeo.com/ipcc THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! For more information: