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Mapping	
  the	
  
human	
  dimensions	
  
of	
  climate	
  change	
  
research	
  in	
  the	
  
Canadian	
  Arctic	
  
James	
  D.	
  Ford	
  
KC	
  Bolton,	
  J	
  Shirley,	
  T	
  Pearce,	
  	
  
     M	
  Tremblay,	
  M	
  Westlake	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
www.jamesford.ca	
  	
  	
  
IPY	
  Conference,	
  Montreal,	
  April	
  23rd	
  2012	
  	
  
Introduction	
  	
  

•    Explosion	
  of	
  human	
  dimensions	
  of	
  climate	
  
     change	
  (HDCC)	
  research	
  	
  
     •  6,800	
  hits	
  for	
  CC	
  and	
  adaptation	
  	
  
•    Similar	
  trend	
  in	
  Canadian	
  Arctic	
  
The	
  Challenge	
  

•    Need	
  to	
  keep	
  track	
  of	
  publishing	
  trends	
  
     •  Research	
  duplication	
  	
  
     •  Gaps	
  neglected	
  	
  
•    Project	
  aim:	
  what	
  we	
  know	
  about	
  HDCC	
  in	
  
     eastern	
  Canadian	
  Arctic	
  (Nunavut,	
  
     Nunavik,	
  Nunatsiavut)	
  
Methodology	
  	
  

•    How	
  to	
  do	
  a	
  lit	
  review?	
  	
  
•    ‘Narrative’	
  literature	
  reviews	
  
     •  IPCC,	
  ACIA,	
  National	
  assessments	
  
     •  Comprehensive	
  BUT	
  transparency,	
  replicability	
  
•    Systematic	
  lit	
  review	
  methodology	
  
     •    Address	
  specific	
  question	
  	
  
     •    Systematic	
  and	
  explicit	
  methods	
  
     •    Aim	
  for	
  replicability	
  and	
  external	
  validation	
  
     •    (e.g.	
  Ford	
  and	
  Pearce	
  2010	
  in	
  Env	
  Res	
  Letters;	
  Ford	
  et	
  
          al	
  2011	
  in	
  Climatic	
  Change	
  )	
  	
  
Methodology	
  

•    Search	
  procedure	
  	
  
     •  2070	
  initial	
  hits	
  	
  
     •  117	
  articles	
  retained	
  for	
  full	
  review	
  	
  
•    Analysis	
  	
  
     •  Quantitative	
  coding	
  scheme	
  
     •  Qualitative	
  analysis	
  	
  
Rapid	
  growth	
  in	
  HDCC	
  
                        research	
  
                                                                                                                    INAC	
  &	
  
                                                                                                                   FNIHB	
  CC	
  
                                                                                                                    projects	
  

                                                                                          IPY	
  begins	
  	
  
                                                                        Harper	
  
                                                                        elected	
  	
  

                              Canada	
  
                           ratifies	
  Kyoto	
  
#	
  publications	
  




                                           ArcticNet	
  &	
  
                                            Nasivvik	
  
                                           established	
  




                                                                                                                   Canadian	
  
                                                                                                                   National	
  
                                                                                                                  Assessment	
  
                                                                        ACIA	
  
                                                                                                                   published	
  
                                                                      published	
  




                                                                Year	
  	
  
The	
  social	
  sciences	
  and	
  
              increasingly	
  prominent	
  	
  
•    Social	
  sciences	
  
     •  Vulnerability	
  /	
  impacts	
  assessment	
  
     •  Identification	
  of	
  adaptation	
  options	
  	
  
     •  Resource	
  management	
  	
  
•    Biophysical	
  sciences	
  	
  
     •  Animal	
  populations	
  (polar	
  bears,	
  caribou)	
  
•    Health	
  sciences	
  	
  
     •  Slow	
  to	
  emerge	
  
     •  Food	
  security	
  and	
  safety	
  focus	
  predominant	
  	
  
TK	
  is	
  widely	
  utilized	
  in	
  HDCC	
  
               studies	
  

•    Major	
  development	
  in	
  recent	
  work	
  
     •  Documenting	
  change	
  
     •  Knowledge	
  system	
  evolution	
  	
  
     •  Characterize	
  vulnerability	
  &	
  resilience	
  	
  
     •  Underpinning	
  adaptive	
  capacity	
  
•    BUT	
  
     •  Need	
  for	
  critical	
  reflection	
  on	
  methodology	
  to	
  
       incorporate	
  TK	
  
Stakeholder	
  engagement	
  
               increasing	
  
}    Author	
  analysis	
  
       }  2005	
  first	
  paper	
  authored	
  with	
  community	
  
           members	
  
Stakeholder	
  engagement	
  
               increasing	
  
}    Author	
  analysis	
  
       }  2005	
  first	
  paper	
  authored	
  with	
  community	
  
           members	
  
       }  42%	
  authors	
  geography	
  /	
  env.	
  sciences	
  	
  	
  
       }  24%	
  ecology	
  

       }  8%	
  health	
  sciences	
  
       }  17%	
  earth	
  &	
  atmospheric	
  science	
  	
  
       }  0%	
  law,	
  economics	
  
Significant	
  geographic	
  
                disparities	
  in	
  publishing	
  	
  
•    Regional	
  analysis	
  
     •    39%	
  NU	
  
     •    9%	
  Nunavik	
  
     •    4%	
  Nunatsiavut	
  
     •    21%	
  Arctic	
  generally	
  	
  
•    Research	
  hotspots	
  
     •  Small,	
  traditional	
  settlements	
  overrepresented	
  
•    Large	
  number	
  of	
  communities	
  with	
  no	
  
     research	
  (see	
  online	
  google	
  map)	
  
Sectoral	
  disparities	
  
pronounced	
  
Research	
  needs	
  	
  

•         Address	
  geographic	
  disparities	
  	
  
     •         Need	
  for	
  broader	
  spread	
  of	
  studies	
  to	
  allow	
  for	
  
               generalization	
  	
  
•         Address	
  sectoral	
  bias	
  
     •         Business	
  &	
  economy	
  (mining	
  in	
  particular,	
  
               tourism,	
  fisheries)	
  
          •      Opportunities	
  from	
  CC	
  
     •         Health	
  
Research	
  needs	
  	
  

•    Future	
  focus	
  
     •  What	
  do	
  future	
  scenarios	
  mean	
  
•    Adaptation	
  research	
  
     •  Effectiveness,	
  durability,	
  socio-­‐economic	
  and	
  
       ecological	
  implications,	
  long	
  term	
  viability	
  and	
  
       cost	
  
•    Vulnerable	
  sub-­‐groups	
  	
  
Conclusion	
  

•    We	
  know	
  a	
  lot	
  	
  
     •  2.7	
  articles	
  per	
  1000	
  people	
  
•    Take	
  stock	
  every	
  5	
  years	
  	
  
     •  Same	
  methodology	
  –	
  track	
  evolution	
  of	
  
        knowledge	
  
•    To	
  read	
  more:	
  
     Ford	
  J	
  et	
  al	
  (in	
  press).	
  A	
  literature	
  review	
  and	
  gap	
  
          analysis	
  of	
  human	
  dimensions	
  of	
  climate	
  change	
  
          research	
  in	
  Nunavut,	
  Nunavik,	
  and	
  Nunatsiavut.	
  
          Arctic.	
  	
  
     	
  
Thank-­‐You	
  	
  	
  
Stakeholder	
  engagement	
  
                increasing	
  
}    Author	
  analysis	
  	
  
Mapping the Human Dimensions of Climate Change in the Canadian Arctic
Mapping the Human Dimensions of Climate Change in the Canadian Arctic

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Mapping the Human Dimensions of Climate Change in the Canadian Arctic

  • 1. Mapping  the   human  dimensions   of  climate  change   research  in  the   Canadian  Arctic   James  D.  Ford   KC  Bolton,  J  Shirley,  T  Pearce,     M  Tremblay,  M  Westlake         www.jamesford.ca       IPY  Conference,  Montreal,  April  23rd  2012    
  • 2. Introduction     •  Explosion  of  human  dimensions  of  climate   change  (HDCC)  research     •  6,800  hits  for  CC  and  adaptation     •  Similar  trend  in  Canadian  Arctic  
  • 3. The  Challenge   •  Need  to  keep  track  of  publishing  trends   •  Research  duplication     •  Gaps  neglected     •  Project  aim:  what  we  know  about  HDCC  in   eastern  Canadian  Arctic  (Nunavut,   Nunavik,  Nunatsiavut)  
  • 4. Methodology     •  How  to  do  a  lit  review?     •  ‘Narrative’  literature  reviews   •  IPCC,  ACIA,  National  assessments   •  Comprehensive  BUT  transparency,  replicability   •  Systematic  lit  review  methodology   •  Address  specific  question     •  Systematic  and  explicit  methods   •  Aim  for  replicability  and  external  validation   •  (e.g.  Ford  and  Pearce  2010  in  Env  Res  Letters;  Ford  et   al  2011  in  Climatic  Change  )    
  • 5. Methodology   •  Search  procedure     •  2070  initial  hits     •  117  articles  retained  for  full  review     •  Analysis     •  Quantitative  coding  scheme   •  Qualitative  analysis    
  • 6. Rapid  growth  in  HDCC   research   INAC  &   FNIHB  CC   projects   IPY  begins     Harper   elected     Canada   ratifies  Kyoto   #  publications   ArcticNet  &   Nasivvik   established   Canadian   National   Assessment   ACIA   published   published   Year    
  • 7. The  social  sciences  and   increasingly  prominent     •  Social  sciences   •  Vulnerability  /  impacts  assessment   •  Identification  of  adaptation  options     •  Resource  management     •  Biophysical  sciences     •  Animal  populations  (polar  bears,  caribou)   •  Health  sciences     •  Slow  to  emerge   •  Food  security  and  safety  focus  predominant    
  • 8. TK  is  widely  utilized  in  HDCC   studies   •  Major  development  in  recent  work   •  Documenting  change   •  Knowledge  system  evolution     •  Characterize  vulnerability  &  resilience     •  Underpinning  adaptive  capacity   •  BUT   •  Need  for  critical  reflection  on  methodology  to   incorporate  TK  
  • 9. Stakeholder  engagement   increasing   }  Author  analysis   }  2005  first  paper  authored  with  community   members  
  • 10. Stakeholder  engagement   increasing   }  Author  analysis   }  2005  first  paper  authored  with  community   members   }  42%  authors  geography  /  env.  sciences       }  24%  ecology   }  8%  health  sciences   }  17%  earth  &  atmospheric  science     }  0%  law,  economics  
  • 11. Significant  geographic   disparities  in  publishing     •  Regional  analysis   •  39%  NU   •  9%  Nunavik   •  4%  Nunatsiavut   •  21%  Arctic  generally     •  Research  hotspots   •  Small,  traditional  settlements  overrepresented   •  Large  number  of  communities  with  no   research  (see  online  google  map)  
  • 13. Research  needs     •  Address  geographic  disparities     •  Need  for  broader  spread  of  studies  to  allow  for   generalization     •  Address  sectoral  bias   •  Business  &  economy  (mining  in  particular,   tourism,  fisheries)   •  Opportunities  from  CC   •  Health  
  • 14. Research  needs     •  Future  focus   •  What  do  future  scenarios  mean   •  Adaptation  research   •  Effectiveness,  durability,  socio-­‐economic  and   ecological  implications,  long  term  viability  and   cost   •  Vulnerable  sub-­‐groups    
  • 15. Conclusion   •  We  know  a  lot     •  2.7  articles  per  1000  people   •  Take  stock  every  5  years     •  Same  methodology  –  track  evolution  of   knowledge   •  To  read  more:   Ford  J  et  al  (in  press).  A  literature  review  and  gap   analysis  of  human  dimensions  of  climate  change   research  in  Nunavut,  Nunavik,  and  Nunatsiavut.   Arctic.      
  • 17. Stakeholder  engagement   increasing   }  Author  analysis