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Analytic Journeys James Taylor, CEO
About me Independent consultant working with clients to help automate and improve decisions Researcher and independent analyst in decision management techniques and decisioning technology 20 years experience in all aspects of software  including time in PeopleSoft R&D and at Ernst & Young Blogger, speaker, writer james@decisionmanagementsolutions.com
The research The end game The journey Critical success factors Related research Next Steps
The One Slide You Need Pervasive, predictive, actionable analytics are the goal of the journey Many companies have BI and predictive analytics on separate tracks There are reasonable steps to take from BI to predictive analytics Build an information platform first but… …keep the decision in mind Don’t forget to operationalize, institutionalize
The research ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 5
©2009 Decision Management Solutions 6 The Research Sponsored by IBM Reviewed case studies and interviewed customers Various industries: Telecommunications (customer retention) Retail (consumer marketing) Healthcare Providers (patient care) K-12 Education (student achievement) Government agencies (operations) Banking (customer centricity)
©2009 Decision Management Solutions 7 Publishing as a series of white papers
The end game ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 8
©2009 Decision Management Solutions 9 The end game for analytics Pervasive Used in every transaction At the point of contact/delivery In operational decision making Actionable Decisions being made, actions being taken Action-support not decision-support Predictive From reporting to prediction and forecasting Predictive analytics and scoring
Telecom Provider Business challenge: 100M customers and 3Bn calls / day 200TB of customer information 1.3M Retail partners Rural and urban consumers, large and small companies Solution: Integrated data warehouse across all channels, all products Real-time analytics for micro-segmentation, offer targeting Web, retail, call-center and mobile channels Benefits: Rapid growth with 2-3M new customers/month Growing and accelerating Revenue Market Share
The journey ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 11
The journey Platform Delivery
Platform - Integration ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 13 Collect and integrate information about  Customers Students Products Citizens Have a purpose (Decision)  Decision <> original motivation Operational benefits
Platform - Understanding ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 14 Analysis and reporting still central Analyzing at the group level  Facility School Program Not management/financial reporting New users
Platform - Targeting ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 15 Segmentation Group analysis Trends and patterns Analytically focus resources Non-intuitive results
K-12 School District Business challenge: Unable provide effective intervention for at-risk students 48% drop-out rate  Attendance, test, student data disconnected and out of date  Solution: Transform compliance, accountability data into a strategic asset  Analytics to identify at risk students  Intervene early in time to make a difference Benefits: Proactive alerts when students cross at-risk thresholds  Identify which programs are likely to work for each student Reduce costs
Delivery - Operationalization ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 17 Integration with operational systems, processes Increased granularity of treatment Increasingly prescriptive Action support not just decision support Infrastructure for differentiated treatments  Business rules management
Delivery - Prediction ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 18 Looking forward Forecast Predict Calculate propensity Fraud detection, targeting, retention Proactive decision-making Micro-segmentation
Delivery - Optimization ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 19 Next Best Action Formal trade-off analysis Personalization, markets of one Pervasive Predictive Actionable
Retailer Business challenge: Grocery chains are battling for market share Customer loyalty is essential for growth Loyalty to the brand, not a single store format Solution: Highly tailored promotions integrated with loyalty program Integrated system from back office to point of sale Consistently compelling offers across channels Benefits: Increased revenue Deep knowledge of customers across formats More effective promotional campaigns
Critical success factors ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 21
©2009 Decision Management Solutions 22 Critical Success Factors
23 Start by focusing on the value Better decision Analytic insight Derived information Available data
24 Start by focusing on the value Better decision Analytic insight Derived information Available data
State department of taxation Business challenge: Paper tax returns increased costs and slowed responses Siloed information systems Manual fraud detection and return review Solution: Single central taxpayer database  Sophisticated real-time predictive analytics Benefits: Recovered millions of dollars from questionable tax returns Increased collection of unpaid taxes Decreased number of questionable tax returns Increased customer satisfaction
Related research ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 26
Some other recent work on analytics Analytics at Work Tom Davenport, Jeanne Harris, Robert Morison Harvard Business School Press More than 100 organizations 28 companies in sponsored research Survey on managing analytical talent Breaking away with business analytics and optimization IBM Institute for Business Value 400 respondents, mostly business executives Characteristics of high performers
Ladder of analytical applications Analytics at Work: Smarter Decisions, Better ResultsTom Davenport, Jeanne Harris and Robert Morison
Business direction Trusted information 2.4x 2.5x 4.4x 2.4x 2.0x 2.7x Analytical and predictive tools Dashboards and visualization Business rules management Content management Master data management Data integration tools Key:      	Top performers (i.e., 1st quintile relative to industry peers)       	Lower performers (i.e., 4th and 5th quintile relative to industry peers) 	Relative difference of top performers to lower performers Source:  Breaking Away with Business Analytics and Optimization:  New intelligence meets enterprise operations at www.ibm.com/gbs/intelligent-enterprise.  Some differences of high performers
Next Steps ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 30
Action Plan
More information White papers http://www-01.ibm.com/software/data/new-intelligence/ Decision Management Solutions decisionmanagementsolutions.com/learnmore Blog http://jtonedm.com ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 32
Blog: www.jtonedm.com

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Analytic Journeys from Predictive Analytics World

  • 2. About me Independent consultant working with clients to help automate and improve decisions Researcher and independent analyst in decision management techniques and decisioning technology 20 years experience in all aspects of software including time in PeopleSoft R&D and at Ernst & Young Blogger, speaker, writer james@decisionmanagementsolutions.com
  • 3. The research The end game The journey Critical success factors Related research Next Steps
  • 4. The One Slide You Need Pervasive, predictive, actionable analytics are the goal of the journey Many companies have BI and predictive analytics on separate tracks There are reasonable steps to take from BI to predictive analytics Build an information platform first but… …keep the decision in mind Don’t forget to operationalize, institutionalize
  • 5. The research ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 5
  • 6. ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 6 The Research Sponsored by IBM Reviewed case studies and interviewed customers Various industries: Telecommunications (customer retention) Retail (consumer marketing) Healthcare Providers (patient care) K-12 Education (student achievement) Government agencies (operations) Banking (customer centricity)
  • 7. ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 7 Publishing as a series of white papers
  • 8. The end game ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 8
  • 9. ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 9 The end game for analytics Pervasive Used in every transaction At the point of contact/delivery In operational decision making Actionable Decisions being made, actions being taken Action-support not decision-support Predictive From reporting to prediction and forecasting Predictive analytics and scoring
  • 10. Telecom Provider Business challenge: 100M customers and 3Bn calls / day 200TB of customer information 1.3M Retail partners Rural and urban consumers, large and small companies Solution: Integrated data warehouse across all channels, all products Real-time analytics for micro-segmentation, offer targeting Web, retail, call-center and mobile channels Benefits: Rapid growth with 2-3M new customers/month Growing and accelerating Revenue Market Share
  • 11. The journey ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 11
  • 13. Platform - Integration ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 13 Collect and integrate information about Customers Students Products Citizens Have a purpose (Decision) Decision <> original motivation Operational benefits
  • 14. Platform - Understanding ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 14 Analysis and reporting still central Analyzing at the group level Facility School Program Not management/financial reporting New users
  • 15. Platform - Targeting ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 15 Segmentation Group analysis Trends and patterns Analytically focus resources Non-intuitive results
  • 16. K-12 School District Business challenge: Unable provide effective intervention for at-risk students 48% drop-out rate Attendance, test, student data disconnected and out of date Solution: Transform compliance, accountability data into a strategic asset Analytics to identify at risk students Intervene early in time to make a difference Benefits: Proactive alerts when students cross at-risk thresholds Identify which programs are likely to work for each student Reduce costs
  • 17. Delivery - Operationalization ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 17 Integration with operational systems, processes Increased granularity of treatment Increasingly prescriptive Action support not just decision support Infrastructure for differentiated treatments Business rules management
  • 18. Delivery - Prediction ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 18 Looking forward Forecast Predict Calculate propensity Fraud detection, targeting, retention Proactive decision-making Micro-segmentation
  • 19. Delivery - Optimization ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 19 Next Best Action Formal trade-off analysis Personalization, markets of one Pervasive Predictive Actionable
  • 20. Retailer Business challenge: Grocery chains are battling for market share Customer loyalty is essential for growth Loyalty to the brand, not a single store format Solution: Highly tailored promotions integrated with loyalty program Integrated system from back office to point of sale Consistently compelling offers across channels Benefits: Increased revenue Deep knowledge of customers across formats More effective promotional campaigns
  • 21. Critical success factors ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 21
  • 22. ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 22 Critical Success Factors
  • 23. 23 Start by focusing on the value Better decision Analytic insight Derived information Available data
  • 24. 24 Start by focusing on the value Better decision Analytic insight Derived information Available data
  • 25. State department of taxation Business challenge: Paper tax returns increased costs and slowed responses Siloed information systems Manual fraud detection and return review Solution: Single central taxpayer database Sophisticated real-time predictive analytics Benefits: Recovered millions of dollars from questionable tax returns Increased collection of unpaid taxes Decreased number of questionable tax returns Increased customer satisfaction
  • 26. Related research ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 26
  • 27. Some other recent work on analytics Analytics at Work Tom Davenport, Jeanne Harris, Robert Morison Harvard Business School Press More than 100 organizations 28 companies in sponsored research Survey on managing analytical talent Breaking away with business analytics and optimization IBM Institute for Business Value 400 respondents, mostly business executives Characteristics of high performers
  • 28. Ladder of analytical applications Analytics at Work: Smarter Decisions, Better ResultsTom Davenport, Jeanne Harris and Robert Morison
  • 29. Business direction Trusted information 2.4x 2.5x 4.4x 2.4x 2.0x 2.7x Analytical and predictive tools Dashboards and visualization Business rules management Content management Master data management Data integration tools Key: Top performers (i.e., 1st quintile relative to industry peers) Lower performers (i.e., 4th and 5th quintile relative to industry peers) Relative difference of top performers to lower performers Source: Breaking Away with Business Analytics and Optimization: New intelligence meets enterprise operations at www.ibm.com/gbs/intelligent-enterprise. Some differences of high performers
  • 30. Next Steps ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 30
  • 32. More information White papers http://www-01.ibm.com/software/data/new-intelligence/ Decision Management Solutions decisionmanagementsolutions.com/learnmore Blog http://jtonedm.com ©2009 Decision Management Solutions 32

Notas del editor

  1. Many companies are adopting analytics, with the most sophisticated increasingly pushing predictive analytics to the point of contact, the very tip of their organizations. Based on research conducted with IBM and IBM clients, this presentation will show how companies in a variety of industries have made progress on their analytic journeys. While each industry, each company, is different, this presentation will describe the common steps on the journey to pervasive, actionable, predictive analytics.1. The results of research with IBM clients on how companies adopt analytics in stages2. What the right next step in adopting analytics would be for them3. How analytics can help them transform their business
  2. Real-time optimizationContinually optimize in real-time, managing trade-offs and predictionsInstitutional actionCreate an infrastructure that supports differentiated treatment in operationsPredictive actionPredict likely responses to treatment and use this to select and prioritize actionsDifferentiated ActionAnalytically establish what alternative actions can be takenKey targets/segmentsMine data to identify segments or sub-populations and prioritizeData in orderIntegrate, clean and organize data to support decisions