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How does Health Care
Reform Affect You?
Scott Smith, CPA/PFS, CFP®
Agenda
• Why health care reform?
• Timeline for implementation
• Focus on insurance changes
–
–
–
–
–
–

Eligibility
Coverage
Subsidy
Penalty
Marketplaces/Exchanges
Effect on employees/organizations

• Questions?
Why Health Care Reform?
• Our medical costs per capita are
the highest in the world
– Almost double that of other
developed nations
– Many issues drive higher costs

• Overall health nothing to brag
about
– Can’t argue we pay the most
because we get the best results
Why Health Care Reform?
• Cost drivers of high medical costs
– We pay providers in ways that reward
performing more procedures, tests, etc.
rather than being efficient
– As a country we’re growing older,
sicker, and fatter
– We want new drugs, technologies,
services and procedures
– Administrative complexity adds costs
Per Capita Total Current Health Care Expenditures, U.S. and
Selected Countries, 2010

^ 2009 data
Notes: Amounts in U.S.$ Purchasing Power Parity, see www.oecd.org/std/ppp; includes only countries over $2,500. OECD defines Total Current
Expenditures on Health as the sum of expenditures on personal health care, preventive and public health services, and health administration and
health insurance; it excludes investment.
Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. “OECD Health Data: Health Expenditures and Financing”, OECD Health Statistics
Data from internet subscription database. http://www.oecd-library.org, data accessed on 08/23/12.
Why Health Care Reform?
• Health care costs are rising faster
than our economy
– Not only do we pay a lot, but costs
are rising

• More and more of a burden for
households
National Health Expenditures per Capita,
1960-2010

NHE as a Share of GDP
5.2%

7.2%

9.2% 12.5% 13.8% 14.5% 15.4% 15.9% 16.0% 16.1% 16.2% 16.4% 16.8% 17.9% 17.9%

Notes: According to CMS, population is the U.S. Bureau of the Census resident-based population, less armed forces overseas and population of outlying
areas, plus the net undercount.
Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group, at
http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/ (see Historical; NHE summary including share of GDP, CY 1960-2010; file nhegdp10.zip).
One Quarter Of Public Reports Having Problems
Paying Medical Bills, Majority Have Delayed Care Due
To Cost
In the past 12 months, did you or another family
member in your household have any problems
paying medical bills, or not?

Percent who say they or another family member
living in their household have done each of the
following in the past 12 months because of the cost:
Relied on home remedies or
over-the-counter drugs instead of
going to see a doctor

38%

Skipped dental care or checkups

No, did not
have
problems
paying
medical
bills
73%

Yes, had
problems
paying
medical
bills
26%

35%

Put off or postponed getting
health care you needed

29%

Skipped a recommended medical
test or treatment
Not filled a prescription for a
medicine
Dk/Ref.
1%

25%
24%

Cut pills in half or skipped doses
of medicine
Had problems getting mental
health care
Yes to any of the above

SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted May 8-14, 2012)

16%
8%
58%
Why Health Care Reform?
• Majority of the costs are found
with half of the population
– Primarily based on age and/or
those with chronic conditions
• Older, sicker, fatter problem

– Uninsured that seek emergency
treatment after procrastinating care
also contribute
Percent of Total Health Care Spending

Concentration of Health Care Spending in
the U.S. Population, 2009

(≥$51,951) (≥$17,402) (≥$9,570)

(≥$6,343)

(≥$4,586)

(≥$851)

(<$851)

Note: Dollar amounts in parentheses are the annual expenses per person in each percentile. Population is the civilian noninstitutionalized
population, including those without any health care spending. Health care spending is total payments from all sources (including direct payments from
individuals and families, private insurance, Medicare, Medicaid, and miscellaneous other sources) to hospitals, physicians, other providers (including
dental care), and pharmacies; health insurance premiums are not included.
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation calculations using data from U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Agency for Healthcare Research and
Quality, Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), Household Component, 2009.
Distribution of Average Spending Per
Person, 2009
Average Spending
Per Person

Age (in years)
<5

$2,468

5-17

1,695

18-24

1,834

25-44

2,739

45-64

5,511

65 or Older

9,744

Sex
Male

$3,559

Female

4,635

Note: Population is the civilian noninstitutionalized population, including those without any health care spending. Health care spending is
total payments from all sources (including direct payments from individuals and families, private insurance, Medicare, Medicaid, and
miscellaneous other sources) to hospitals, physicians, other providers (including dental care), and pharmacies; health insurance
premiums are not included.
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation calculations using data from U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Agency for Healthcare
Research and Quality, Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), 2009.
Health Care Coverage and Personal Health Care
Expenditures in the U.S., 2011
Health Spending

Health Coverage

Consumer
Out-ofPocket
13%

Uninsured
16%

Medicaid
16%

Medicaid
16%
EmployerSponsored
Insurance
49%

Private
Health
Insurance
35%

Medicare
13%

Medicare
24%
Other
Public
1%

Private
Non-Group
5%

Total = 307.9 million

Other
Private
Funds
8%

Other
Governme
nt
Programs
4%

Total = $2.3 trillion

NOTE: Health spending total does not include administrative spending.
SOURCE: Health insurance coverage: KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2011 data from 2012 ASEC Supplement to the
CPS. Health expenditures: KFF calculations using 2011 NHE data from CMS, Office of the Actuary
Why Health Care Reform?
• Purpose of the Affordable Care
Act was to address primarily:
– Uninsured
– Preventative care
– Small changes to the fee-for-service
model that encourages volume of
procedures/services over the
quality of care
• Primarily through Medicare
Timeline
• Passed in March of 2010 after
extremely contentious debate
Vote by Senate

Vote by House
Timeline
• Supreme Court upheld most of the
law in June 2012 as a type of tax

– Did away with requirement for states
to accept Medicaid expansion or forfeit
all Medicaid funds

• Timeline for implementation very
gradual

– Some pieces of the law are not fully
functional until 2020
– Components most obvious in everyday
lives of most Americans happen in
2014
Focus on Insurance Changes
• In 2012, 47.3 million people were
uninsured (roughly 16% of the
population)
– Various reasons
Disability
Unemployment
Pre-existing conditions
Self-employed or work for small
businesses
• Young adults
•
•
•
•
Focus on Insurance Changes
• Almost half of Americans have
insurance through work
• 30% have coverage through
Medicare, Medicaid or other
public programs
• Only 5% have private insurance
not through an employer
Affordable Care Act
Solution
• Make large organizations cover
health insurance
• Expand Medicaid to help lowincome households
• Provide assistance for middleclass households through tax
credits (subsidies)
Affordable Care Act
Solution
• Define low-income and middle
class using the federal poverty
level
• Poverty level is the minimum
amount of income that a family
needs for
food, clothing, transportation, she
lter and other necessities.
Poverty Level
Percent Of The National Poverty Level
Household
Size
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

100%

133%

150%

200%

250%

300%

400%

$11,490
15,510
19,530
23,550
27,570
31,590
35,610
39,630

15,282
20,628
25,975
31,322
36,668
42,015
47,361
52,708

17,235
23,265
29,295
35,325
41,355
47,385
53,415
59,445

22,980
31,020
39,060
47,100
55,140
63,180
71,200
79,260

28,725
38,775
48,825
58,875
68,925
78,975
89,025
99,075

34,470
46,530
58,590
70,650
82,710
94,770
106,830
118,890

45,960
62,040
78,120
94,200
110,280
126,360
142,440
158,520

For each
additional
person, add

4,020

5,347

6,030

8,040

10,050

12,060

16,080

Maximum
Premium as
a percent of
income

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

6.3%

8.1%

9.5%

9.5%
Focus on Insurance Changes
• How will the government help
directly with health insurance
costs?
Without Medicaid Expansion
0-27% of poverty

Medicaid

28-99% of poverty

Unsubsidized

100-400% of poverty

Exchange

>400% of poverty

Unsubsidized
Focus on Insurance
Exchanges
• Idaho did not expand Medicaid
– One of 25 states
– Idaho Medicaid eligibility as low as
27% of poverty level (roughly $3K)
• For adults, not kids or pregnant women

• Coverage gap estimated at 77,000
people in Idaho (5 million nationwide)
Eligibility
• Insurance companies cannot vary
premiums or deny coverage based
on health status
• No denial for preexisting conditions
• The only factors affecting cost will
be:
–
–
–
–
–

Age
Policy type
Geographic location
Tobacco Use
Income
Coverage
• “Essential Health Benefits”

– Typically expanded coverage vs. existing
plans (i.e. Maternity, Mental Health will
be standard)
– If plans don’t meet these
minimums, they’re cancelled – notices
already sent

• Focus on preventative care

– $0 or reduced copays for preventive
services

• No lifetime maximums
• Still wide variation in benefits, READ
THE PLAN DETAILS
Coverage
• Plans will be grouped into
“precious metal” categories to help
make comparison shopping easier.
– Based on the percentage of healthcare
expenses each plan will cover:
•
•
•
•

Bronze, 60%
Silver, 70%
Gold, 80%
Platinum, 90%

– 146 plans in Idaho
Subsidy
• Eligibility

– Not eligible if you’re covered by an
employer plan (60% of actuarial cost
“Bronze” equivalent, AND your
responsibility is less than 9.5% of your
income)
– Not eligible if you’re covered by public
plans (Medicaid, Medicare)
• Even though Idaho didn’t elect to pick up
the addition Medicare coverage

– Income has to be between 100% and
400% the Federal poverty level for
your family size
Subsidy, contd.
Percent Of The National Poverty Level
Household
Size
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

100%

133%

150%

200%

250%

300%

400%

$11,490
15,510
19,530
23,550
27,570
31,590
35,610
39,630

15,282
20,628
25,975
31,322
36,668
42,015
47,361
52,708

17,235
23,265
29,295
35,325
41,355
47,385
53,415
59,445

22,980
31,020
39,060
47,100
55,140
63,180
71,200
79,260

28,725
38,775
48,825
58,875
68,925
78,975
89,025
99,075

34,470
46,530
58,590
70,650
82,710
94,770
106,830
118,890

45,960
62,040
78,120
94,200
110,280
126,360
142,440
158,520

For each
additional
person, add

4,020

5,347

6,030

8,040

10,050

12,060

16,080

Maximum
Premium as
a percent of
income

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

6.3%

8.1%

9.5%

9.5%
Subsidy, contd.
• How much?
– Based on the premium for the
second lowest cost silver plan (70%
actuarial value) in the exchange
– The amount of the tax credit varies
with income - the premium a person
would have to pay for the second
lowest cost silver plan would not
exceed a specified percentage of
their income.
Subsidy Example 1
• Household income = $80,000
(290% of Federal Poverty Level)
– Family Size = 5 (2 parents, 3 kids)
– Estimated silver plan cost =
$9,875.04/year or $822.92/month
– Estimated family responsibility =
$7,368/year or $614/month
– Subsidy = $2,507.04/year or
$208.92/month
Subsidy Example 2
• Household income = $55,000
(199% of Federal Poverty Line)
– Family Size = 5 (2 parents, 3 kids)
– Estimated silver plan cost =
$9,875.04/year or $822.92/month
– Estimated family responsibility =
$3,454/year or $287.83/month
– Subsidy = $6,421.04/year or
$535.09/month
Subsidy Example Review
• Both families had the same plan with
the same base cost
• The government subsidy for the family
making $80,000 was
$2,507/year, $208/month
– The family’s responsibility was
$614/month

• The government subsidy for the family
making $55,000 was
$6,421/year, $535/month
– The family’s responsibility was
$287/month
Subsidy, contd.
• Tax credit can be taken as you apply
for insurance on the exchange
– Subsidy is paid directly to the
insurance company
– Based on estimated income for 2014
– On your 2014 return you make up the
difference

• OR the credit is refundable when
you file your 2014 tax return
Penalties
• For individuals without coverage
– 2014 it will be the higher of:
• 1% of your income
• OR, $95 per adult and $47.50 per child
– Up to a total of $285 per family

– 2015 jumps to higher of:
• 2% of your income
• OR $325

– 2016 jumps to higher of:
• 2.5% of your income
• OR $695
Health Insurance
Marketplaces/Exchanges
• Healthcare.gov, website where you can:
– Estimate your subsidy (tax credits)
– See available insurance plans and enroll

• Open enrollment began October 1
• In Idaho, plans are offered by:
–
–
–
–

Blue Cross
BridgeSpan
PacificSource
SelectHealth

• Plan offerings are not uniform throughout
the state
– Plans and coverage available depend on zip
code
States Health Insurance Marketplace Decisions, May 10, 2013
VT

WA
ND

MT

NH

MN

OR

WY

CA

AZ

CO

MI
PA

IA

NE
UT*

NY

WI

SD

ID

NV

IL
KS
OK

NM
TX

IN

OH
WV

MO

KY

DC

SC

AR
AL

VA

CT
NJ
DE
MD

NC

TN
MS

AK

ME

GA

LA
FL

HI

State-based Marketplace (16 states and DC)
Partnership Marketplace (7 states)
Federally-facilitated Marketplace (27 states)
* In Utah, the federal government will run the marketplace for individuals while the state will run the small
business, or SHOP, marketplace.

MA
RI
Health Insurance
Marketplaces
• Marketplaces still having problems

– Idaho’s exchange not up and running
yet, opted for Federal government-run site
Healthcare.gov

• For the entire month of October
– 106,185 signed up nationwide

• Roughly 27,000 through healthcare.gov (35 states)
• Rest through state-run exchanges

– Only 338 in Idaho

• Goal is to have the website running
November 30 and 800,000 enrolled
• CBO projected 7 million would enroll by
March 31
Health Insurance
Marketplaces
• Alternatives
• For information:
– YourHealthIdaho.org
• Can find plans and estimated rates
without filling out an application
• But you can’t apply here

• Paper or telephone applications
possible
– But you can’t comparison shop
Health Insurance
Marketplaces/Exchanges
• Not forced to buy health
insurance through a marketplace
• BUT
– Individuals are only eligible for the
subsidy (tax credits) if they buy
through the marketplace
– Businesses are only eligible for the
tax credit (under 25 employees) if
they buy through the marketplace
Effect of ACA on
Organizations
• Roughly Half of Americans have
insurance through work
• Average family premium cost in 2013 =
$16,351
– $11,786 born by the employer (72%)
– $4,565 paid by the employee (28%)

• Comparison with 10 years ago
– Overall cost jumped 80%
– Employee burden jumped 89%
– Coverage decreased

• Deductible went up by nearly 50%
• Soup of co-pays, additional deductibles
Average Annual Worker and Employer
Contributions to Premiums and Total Premiums
for Family Coverage

Source: Kaiser/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits, 2002-2012.
Distribution of Annual Premiums for Covered Workers
with Family Coverage, 2012
Percentage of Covered Workers:
50%

40%

Average: $15,745

30%

21%
19%

20%

19%
13%

9%

10%

6%

6%

$20,000$21,999

$22,000
or More

4%
2%
0%
Less Than
$8,000

$8,000 $9,999

$10,000$11,999

$12,000$13,999

$14,000$15,999

SOURCE: Kaiser/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits, 2012.

$16,000$17,999

$18,000$19,999
Effect on Organizations
• Costs projected for 2014?
– Insurance companies aren’t broadcasting
group rates
– Anecdotal data support significant
increases in premiums

• Society of Actuaries projected the jump
in claims costs for 2014
– Cost of claims in Idaho projected to jump

62% (uninsured enter the insurance pool)

• Insurance companies will not eat those
costs and stay in business
Effect on Organizations
• Insurance costs will become
unaffordable for some
organizations
Small Organizations
• If under 50 full-time employees don’t have to
offer insurance – NO penalties
• Disincentive to offer insurance to employees

– Employees could have the same insurance for less
with the subsidies
– Employees on their own have greater choice of
providers, rather than 1 selected by employer.
– Management will question if their competitors are
pushing insurance costs to the government, and
investing the difference in other initiatives.
– There is a tax credit available for those businesses
with under 25 employees

• up to 50% of the costs of insurance
• Only 4% of eligible businesses take the credit because it
costs more to calculate than the credit returns (per the
GAO).
Small Organizations, contd.
• Incentives to offer insurance to
employees
– Keep quality employees
– Large credit if the business is
eligible, willing to calculate

• Possible trends

– Cut health insurance and offer loads of
other before-tax benefits to compliment
the subsidized health insurance they get
on the exchange
– Gives them a full suite of benefits to
compete with larger employers
Big Organizations
• If you have more than 50 “full-time
equivalent” employees

– Penalties if any of your employees get a
subsidy

• Exception: if you offer affordable qualifying
health insurance to full-time employees
• Don’t have to offer insurance to part-time
employees
• Full-time = 30 hours

• No tax credits available for larger
employers
• Can’t simply divide businesses to get under
50 employees
• Can’t lease your employees from a PEO
Big Organizations, contd.
• Possible trends
– Reduction in hours to get employees
under 30 hours
• Especially in fast-food, hospitality
industries

– Reduction in workforce to a lean
management team
• Outsource the rest to other companies

– Reduction of other non-health
benefits to pay for insurance
Effect on Individuals
• Insurance cost is no longer dependent on
health, but on income
– Winners

• Those with pre-existing/chronic conditions that
made insurance impossible in the past
• Those that were approaching lifetime limits (think
cancer patients with huge lifetime treatment costs)
• Lower income households can receive large
subsidies to make insurance very attractive

– Losers

• Young and the healthy now have to get insurance
and pay higher rates for the previously
uninsurable
• Higher income households receive no subsidies
and pay higher tax rates to fund coverage for
everyone else
Effect on Individuals, contd.
• Medicaid largely unaffected
• Those in the Medicaid coverage gap
lose big

– Because Idaho and other states chose
not to expand coverage
– Those in the gap receive no subsidy
and could still be subject to a penalty if
they don’t obtain insurance

• Medicare largely unaffected

– Most benefits are found in preventative
care
Effect on Individuals, contd.
• Employees of large organizations will
typically keep health insurance

– Some may see reduced hours to make them
part-time
– Others could see a reduction in non-insurance
benefits to pay for increased insurance costs

• Employees of small organizations could
lose health insurance in the long-term

– May be a better deal for them to get insurance
on the exchange with subsidy help
– Could see benefits they never had as
employers cut insurance but try to keep talent
by offering other perks
Recent Developments
• November 14

– Due to political pressure, Pres. Obama says that
insurance companies are allowed to extend policies
customers have now
• These include cancelled policies that do not meet the
minimum essential benefits rules
• Policy extensions depend on insurance commissioners
in every state ignoring the law’s minimum standards
and allowing insurance companies to offer the plans
– Some states have already said they won’t allow the nonqualifying policies to be sold

– Insurance companies call the reversal unworkable
• This comes a few weeks before the new year when the
law has been in effect for over 3 years
• They believe healthy people will simply renew their
cheaper existing policies while the previously
uninsured will sign up for the exchange plans, driving
exchange plan costs up
QUESTIONS?
Thank you.
More Information
•

•
•
•
•

•

•

Health costs in the U.S.
– http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/2012/10/health-costs-howthe-us-compares-with-other-countries.html
Overview of health reform
– http://kff.org/health-reform/
Federal exchange
– https://www.healthcare.gov/
Idaho exchange (eventually) and other Idaho-specific health reform FAQs
– http://www.yourhealthidaho.org/
Idaho exchange plans and rates
– http://www.yourhealthidaho.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/YHIPlan-Information-10_29_2013e.pdf
Idaho calculator for subsidy
– http://www.yourhealthidaho.org/additional-resources/premiumassistance-estimator/#subsidy_results
Society of Actuaries study: Cost of the Future Newly Insured under the
Affordable Care Act (ACA)
– http://cdn-files.soa.org/web/research-cost-aca-report.pdf

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Health care reform for idla 11 18-13

  • 1. How does Health Care Reform Affect You? Scott Smith, CPA/PFS, CFP®
  • 2. Agenda • Why health care reform? • Timeline for implementation • Focus on insurance changes – – – – – – Eligibility Coverage Subsidy Penalty Marketplaces/Exchanges Effect on employees/organizations • Questions?
  • 3. Why Health Care Reform? • Our medical costs per capita are the highest in the world – Almost double that of other developed nations – Many issues drive higher costs • Overall health nothing to brag about – Can’t argue we pay the most because we get the best results
  • 4. Why Health Care Reform? • Cost drivers of high medical costs – We pay providers in ways that reward performing more procedures, tests, etc. rather than being efficient – As a country we’re growing older, sicker, and fatter – We want new drugs, technologies, services and procedures – Administrative complexity adds costs
  • 5. Per Capita Total Current Health Care Expenditures, U.S. and Selected Countries, 2010 ^ 2009 data Notes: Amounts in U.S.$ Purchasing Power Parity, see www.oecd.org/std/ppp; includes only countries over $2,500. OECD defines Total Current Expenditures on Health as the sum of expenditures on personal health care, preventive and public health services, and health administration and health insurance; it excludes investment. Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. “OECD Health Data: Health Expenditures and Financing”, OECD Health Statistics Data from internet subscription database. http://www.oecd-library.org, data accessed on 08/23/12.
  • 6. Why Health Care Reform? • Health care costs are rising faster than our economy – Not only do we pay a lot, but costs are rising • More and more of a burden for households
  • 7. National Health Expenditures per Capita, 1960-2010 NHE as a Share of GDP 5.2% 7.2% 9.2% 12.5% 13.8% 14.5% 15.4% 15.9% 16.0% 16.1% 16.2% 16.4% 16.8% 17.9% 17.9% Notes: According to CMS, population is the U.S. Bureau of the Census resident-based population, less armed forces overseas and population of outlying areas, plus the net undercount. Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, National Health Statistics Group, at http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/ (see Historical; NHE summary including share of GDP, CY 1960-2010; file nhegdp10.zip).
  • 8. One Quarter Of Public Reports Having Problems Paying Medical Bills, Majority Have Delayed Care Due To Cost In the past 12 months, did you or another family member in your household have any problems paying medical bills, or not? Percent who say they or another family member living in their household have done each of the following in the past 12 months because of the cost: Relied on home remedies or over-the-counter drugs instead of going to see a doctor 38% Skipped dental care or checkups No, did not have problems paying medical bills 73% Yes, had problems paying medical bills 26% 35% Put off or postponed getting health care you needed 29% Skipped a recommended medical test or treatment Not filled a prescription for a medicine Dk/Ref. 1% 25% 24% Cut pills in half or skipped doses of medicine Had problems getting mental health care Yes to any of the above SOURCE: Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll (conducted May 8-14, 2012) 16% 8% 58%
  • 9. Why Health Care Reform? • Majority of the costs are found with half of the population – Primarily based on age and/or those with chronic conditions • Older, sicker, fatter problem – Uninsured that seek emergency treatment after procrastinating care also contribute
  • 10. Percent of Total Health Care Spending Concentration of Health Care Spending in the U.S. Population, 2009 (≥$51,951) (≥$17,402) (≥$9,570) (≥$6,343) (≥$4,586) (≥$851) (<$851) Note: Dollar amounts in parentheses are the annual expenses per person in each percentile. Population is the civilian noninstitutionalized population, including those without any health care spending. Health care spending is total payments from all sources (including direct payments from individuals and families, private insurance, Medicare, Medicaid, and miscellaneous other sources) to hospitals, physicians, other providers (including dental care), and pharmacies; health insurance premiums are not included. Source: Kaiser Family Foundation calculations using data from U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), Household Component, 2009.
  • 11. Distribution of Average Spending Per Person, 2009 Average Spending Per Person Age (in years) <5 $2,468 5-17 1,695 18-24 1,834 25-44 2,739 45-64 5,511 65 or Older 9,744 Sex Male $3,559 Female 4,635 Note: Population is the civilian noninstitutionalized population, including those without any health care spending. Health care spending is total payments from all sources (including direct payments from individuals and families, private insurance, Medicare, Medicaid, and miscellaneous other sources) to hospitals, physicians, other providers (including dental care), and pharmacies; health insurance premiums are not included. Source: Kaiser Family Foundation calculations using data from U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), 2009.
  • 12. Health Care Coverage and Personal Health Care Expenditures in the U.S., 2011 Health Spending Health Coverage Consumer Out-ofPocket 13% Uninsured 16% Medicaid 16% Medicaid 16% EmployerSponsored Insurance 49% Private Health Insurance 35% Medicare 13% Medicare 24% Other Public 1% Private Non-Group 5% Total = 307.9 million Other Private Funds 8% Other Governme nt Programs 4% Total = $2.3 trillion NOTE: Health spending total does not include administrative spending. SOURCE: Health insurance coverage: KCMU/Urban Institute analysis of 2011 data from 2012 ASEC Supplement to the CPS. Health expenditures: KFF calculations using 2011 NHE data from CMS, Office of the Actuary
  • 13. Why Health Care Reform? • Purpose of the Affordable Care Act was to address primarily: – Uninsured – Preventative care – Small changes to the fee-for-service model that encourages volume of procedures/services over the quality of care • Primarily through Medicare
  • 14. Timeline • Passed in March of 2010 after extremely contentious debate Vote by Senate Vote by House
  • 15. Timeline • Supreme Court upheld most of the law in June 2012 as a type of tax – Did away with requirement for states to accept Medicaid expansion or forfeit all Medicaid funds • Timeline for implementation very gradual – Some pieces of the law are not fully functional until 2020 – Components most obvious in everyday lives of most Americans happen in 2014
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. Focus on Insurance Changes • In 2012, 47.3 million people were uninsured (roughly 16% of the population) – Various reasons Disability Unemployment Pre-existing conditions Self-employed or work for small businesses • Young adults • • • •
  • 19. Focus on Insurance Changes • Almost half of Americans have insurance through work • 30% have coverage through Medicare, Medicaid or other public programs • Only 5% have private insurance not through an employer
  • 20. Affordable Care Act Solution • Make large organizations cover health insurance • Expand Medicaid to help lowincome households • Provide assistance for middleclass households through tax credits (subsidies)
  • 21. Affordable Care Act Solution • Define low-income and middle class using the federal poverty level • Poverty level is the minimum amount of income that a family needs for food, clothing, transportation, she lter and other necessities.
  • 22. Poverty Level Percent Of The National Poverty Level Household Size 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 100% 133% 150% 200% 250% 300% 400% $11,490 15,510 19,530 23,550 27,570 31,590 35,610 39,630 15,282 20,628 25,975 31,322 36,668 42,015 47,361 52,708 17,235 23,265 29,295 35,325 41,355 47,385 53,415 59,445 22,980 31,020 39,060 47,100 55,140 63,180 71,200 79,260 28,725 38,775 48,825 58,875 68,925 78,975 89,025 99,075 34,470 46,530 58,590 70,650 82,710 94,770 106,830 118,890 45,960 62,040 78,120 94,200 110,280 126,360 142,440 158,520 For each additional person, add 4,020 5,347 6,030 8,040 10,050 12,060 16,080 Maximum Premium as a percent of income 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 6.3% 8.1% 9.5% 9.5%
  • 23. Focus on Insurance Changes • How will the government help directly with health insurance costs? Without Medicaid Expansion 0-27% of poverty Medicaid 28-99% of poverty Unsubsidized 100-400% of poverty Exchange >400% of poverty Unsubsidized
  • 24. Focus on Insurance Exchanges • Idaho did not expand Medicaid – One of 25 states – Idaho Medicaid eligibility as low as 27% of poverty level (roughly $3K) • For adults, not kids or pregnant women • Coverage gap estimated at 77,000 people in Idaho (5 million nationwide)
  • 25. Eligibility • Insurance companies cannot vary premiums or deny coverage based on health status • No denial for preexisting conditions • The only factors affecting cost will be: – – – – – Age Policy type Geographic location Tobacco Use Income
  • 26. Coverage • “Essential Health Benefits” – Typically expanded coverage vs. existing plans (i.e. Maternity, Mental Health will be standard) – If plans don’t meet these minimums, they’re cancelled – notices already sent • Focus on preventative care – $0 or reduced copays for preventive services • No lifetime maximums • Still wide variation in benefits, READ THE PLAN DETAILS
  • 27. Coverage • Plans will be grouped into “precious metal” categories to help make comparison shopping easier. – Based on the percentage of healthcare expenses each plan will cover: • • • • Bronze, 60% Silver, 70% Gold, 80% Platinum, 90% – 146 plans in Idaho
  • 28. Subsidy • Eligibility – Not eligible if you’re covered by an employer plan (60% of actuarial cost “Bronze” equivalent, AND your responsibility is less than 9.5% of your income) – Not eligible if you’re covered by public plans (Medicaid, Medicare) • Even though Idaho didn’t elect to pick up the addition Medicare coverage – Income has to be between 100% and 400% the Federal poverty level for your family size
  • 29. Subsidy, contd. Percent Of The National Poverty Level Household Size 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 100% 133% 150% 200% 250% 300% 400% $11,490 15,510 19,530 23,550 27,570 31,590 35,610 39,630 15,282 20,628 25,975 31,322 36,668 42,015 47,361 52,708 17,235 23,265 29,295 35,325 41,355 47,385 53,415 59,445 22,980 31,020 39,060 47,100 55,140 63,180 71,200 79,260 28,725 38,775 48,825 58,875 68,925 78,975 89,025 99,075 34,470 46,530 58,590 70,650 82,710 94,770 106,830 118,890 45,960 62,040 78,120 94,200 110,280 126,360 142,440 158,520 For each additional person, add 4,020 5,347 6,030 8,040 10,050 12,060 16,080 Maximum Premium as a percent of income 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 6.3% 8.1% 9.5% 9.5%
  • 30. Subsidy, contd. • How much? – Based on the premium for the second lowest cost silver plan (70% actuarial value) in the exchange – The amount of the tax credit varies with income - the premium a person would have to pay for the second lowest cost silver plan would not exceed a specified percentage of their income.
  • 31. Subsidy Example 1 • Household income = $80,000 (290% of Federal Poverty Level) – Family Size = 5 (2 parents, 3 kids) – Estimated silver plan cost = $9,875.04/year or $822.92/month – Estimated family responsibility = $7,368/year or $614/month – Subsidy = $2,507.04/year or $208.92/month
  • 32. Subsidy Example 2 • Household income = $55,000 (199% of Federal Poverty Line) – Family Size = 5 (2 parents, 3 kids) – Estimated silver plan cost = $9,875.04/year or $822.92/month – Estimated family responsibility = $3,454/year or $287.83/month – Subsidy = $6,421.04/year or $535.09/month
  • 33. Subsidy Example Review • Both families had the same plan with the same base cost • The government subsidy for the family making $80,000 was $2,507/year, $208/month – The family’s responsibility was $614/month • The government subsidy for the family making $55,000 was $6,421/year, $535/month – The family’s responsibility was $287/month
  • 34. Subsidy, contd. • Tax credit can be taken as you apply for insurance on the exchange – Subsidy is paid directly to the insurance company – Based on estimated income for 2014 – On your 2014 return you make up the difference • OR the credit is refundable when you file your 2014 tax return
  • 35. Penalties • For individuals without coverage – 2014 it will be the higher of: • 1% of your income • OR, $95 per adult and $47.50 per child – Up to a total of $285 per family – 2015 jumps to higher of: • 2% of your income • OR $325 – 2016 jumps to higher of: • 2.5% of your income • OR $695
  • 36. Health Insurance Marketplaces/Exchanges • Healthcare.gov, website where you can: – Estimate your subsidy (tax credits) – See available insurance plans and enroll • Open enrollment began October 1 • In Idaho, plans are offered by: – – – – Blue Cross BridgeSpan PacificSource SelectHealth • Plan offerings are not uniform throughout the state – Plans and coverage available depend on zip code
  • 37. States Health Insurance Marketplace Decisions, May 10, 2013 VT WA ND MT NH MN OR WY CA AZ CO MI PA IA NE UT* NY WI SD ID NV IL KS OK NM TX IN OH WV MO KY DC SC AR AL VA CT NJ DE MD NC TN MS AK ME GA LA FL HI State-based Marketplace (16 states and DC) Partnership Marketplace (7 states) Federally-facilitated Marketplace (27 states) * In Utah, the federal government will run the marketplace for individuals while the state will run the small business, or SHOP, marketplace. MA RI
  • 38. Health Insurance Marketplaces • Marketplaces still having problems – Idaho’s exchange not up and running yet, opted for Federal government-run site Healthcare.gov • For the entire month of October – 106,185 signed up nationwide • Roughly 27,000 through healthcare.gov (35 states) • Rest through state-run exchanges – Only 338 in Idaho • Goal is to have the website running November 30 and 800,000 enrolled • CBO projected 7 million would enroll by March 31
  • 39. Health Insurance Marketplaces • Alternatives • For information: – YourHealthIdaho.org • Can find plans and estimated rates without filling out an application • But you can’t apply here • Paper or telephone applications possible – But you can’t comparison shop
  • 40. Health Insurance Marketplaces/Exchanges • Not forced to buy health insurance through a marketplace • BUT – Individuals are only eligible for the subsidy (tax credits) if they buy through the marketplace – Businesses are only eligible for the tax credit (under 25 employees) if they buy through the marketplace
  • 41. Effect of ACA on Organizations • Roughly Half of Americans have insurance through work • Average family premium cost in 2013 = $16,351 – $11,786 born by the employer (72%) – $4,565 paid by the employee (28%) • Comparison with 10 years ago – Overall cost jumped 80% – Employee burden jumped 89% – Coverage decreased • Deductible went up by nearly 50% • Soup of co-pays, additional deductibles
  • 42. Average Annual Worker and Employer Contributions to Premiums and Total Premiums for Family Coverage Source: Kaiser/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits, 2002-2012.
  • 43. Distribution of Annual Premiums for Covered Workers with Family Coverage, 2012 Percentage of Covered Workers: 50% 40% Average: $15,745 30% 21% 19% 20% 19% 13% 9% 10% 6% 6% $20,000$21,999 $22,000 or More 4% 2% 0% Less Than $8,000 $8,000 $9,999 $10,000$11,999 $12,000$13,999 $14,000$15,999 SOURCE: Kaiser/HRET Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits, 2012. $16,000$17,999 $18,000$19,999
  • 44. Effect on Organizations • Costs projected for 2014? – Insurance companies aren’t broadcasting group rates – Anecdotal data support significant increases in premiums • Society of Actuaries projected the jump in claims costs for 2014 – Cost of claims in Idaho projected to jump 62% (uninsured enter the insurance pool) • Insurance companies will not eat those costs and stay in business
  • 45. Effect on Organizations • Insurance costs will become unaffordable for some organizations
  • 46. Small Organizations • If under 50 full-time employees don’t have to offer insurance – NO penalties • Disincentive to offer insurance to employees – Employees could have the same insurance for less with the subsidies – Employees on their own have greater choice of providers, rather than 1 selected by employer. – Management will question if their competitors are pushing insurance costs to the government, and investing the difference in other initiatives. – There is a tax credit available for those businesses with under 25 employees • up to 50% of the costs of insurance • Only 4% of eligible businesses take the credit because it costs more to calculate than the credit returns (per the GAO).
  • 47. Small Organizations, contd. • Incentives to offer insurance to employees – Keep quality employees – Large credit if the business is eligible, willing to calculate • Possible trends – Cut health insurance and offer loads of other before-tax benefits to compliment the subsidized health insurance they get on the exchange – Gives them a full suite of benefits to compete with larger employers
  • 48. Big Organizations • If you have more than 50 “full-time equivalent” employees – Penalties if any of your employees get a subsidy • Exception: if you offer affordable qualifying health insurance to full-time employees • Don’t have to offer insurance to part-time employees • Full-time = 30 hours • No tax credits available for larger employers • Can’t simply divide businesses to get under 50 employees • Can’t lease your employees from a PEO
  • 49. Big Organizations, contd. • Possible trends – Reduction in hours to get employees under 30 hours • Especially in fast-food, hospitality industries – Reduction in workforce to a lean management team • Outsource the rest to other companies – Reduction of other non-health benefits to pay for insurance
  • 50. Effect on Individuals • Insurance cost is no longer dependent on health, but on income – Winners • Those with pre-existing/chronic conditions that made insurance impossible in the past • Those that were approaching lifetime limits (think cancer patients with huge lifetime treatment costs) • Lower income households can receive large subsidies to make insurance very attractive – Losers • Young and the healthy now have to get insurance and pay higher rates for the previously uninsurable • Higher income households receive no subsidies and pay higher tax rates to fund coverage for everyone else
  • 51. Effect on Individuals, contd. • Medicaid largely unaffected • Those in the Medicaid coverage gap lose big – Because Idaho and other states chose not to expand coverage – Those in the gap receive no subsidy and could still be subject to a penalty if they don’t obtain insurance • Medicare largely unaffected – Most benefits are found in preventative care
  • 52. Effect on Individuals, contd. • Employees of large organizations will typically keep health insurance – Some may see reduced hours to make them part-time – Others could see a reduction in non-insurance benefits to pay for increased insurance costs • Employees of small organizations could lose health insurance in the long-term – May be a better deal for them to get insurance on the exchange with subsidy help – Could see benefits they never had as employers cut insurance but try to keep talent by offering other perks
  • 53. Recent Developments • November 14 – Due to political pressure, Pres. Obama says that insurance companies are allowed to extend policies customers have now • These include cancelled policies that do not meet the minimum essential benefits rules • Policy extensions depend on insurance commissioners in every state ignoring the law’s minimum standards and allowing insurance companies to offer the plans – Some states have already said they won’t allow the nonqualifying policies to be sold – Insurance companies call the reversal unworkable • This comes a few weeks before the new year when the law has been in effect for over 3 years • They believe healthy people will simply renew their cheaper existing policies while the previously uninsured will sign up for the exchange plans, driving exchange plan costs up
  • 55. More Information • • • • • • • Health costs in the U.S. – http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/2012/10/health-costs-howthe-us-compares-with-other-countries.html Overview of health reform – http://kff.org/health-reform/ Federal exchange – https://www.healthcare.gov/ Idaho exchange (eventually) and other Idaho-specific health reform FAQs – http://www.yourhealthidaho.org/ Idaho exchange plans and rates – http://www.yourhealthidaho.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/YHIPlan-Information-10_29_2013e.pdf Idaho calculator for subsidy – http://www.yourhealthidaho.org/additional-resources/premiumassistance-estimator/#subsidy_results Society of Actuaries study: Cost of the Future Newly Insured under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) – http://cdn-files.soa.org/web/research-cost-aca-report.pdf

Notas del editor

  1. Notes: Health Coverage: CHIP and individuals eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid (dual eligibles) are included in Medicaid.Other Public (Federal) includes individuals covered through the military or Veterans Administration in federally-funded programs such as TRICARE (formerly CHAMPUS) as well as some non-elderly Medicare enrollees.Updated 2/14/2013 (KY)
  2. 1.10