Practical techniques for predicting the future (msft)
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Practical techniques for predicting the future (msft)
25 de Oct de 2021•0 recomendaciones•257 vistas
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Jesse Schell gives some practical tips for making predictions about the future.
Jesse SchellSeguir
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Practical techniques for predicting the future (msft)
- Practical Techniques for Predicting the Future Jesse Schell @jesseschell
- $ $ $ $ $ $
- + = Psychology Technology Destiny
- CrystalBallSociety.com
- 5 patterns
- Pattern1 Foundational Technology Makes the Biggest Changes
- FOUNDATION Decoration
- Mickey Mouse’s First Cartoon?
- Steamboat Willie (November, 1928)
- Plane Crazy (May, 1928)
- Pattern2 The Hype Curve
- The Hype Curve
- Pattern3 Disruption
- Pattern4 Technology Mostly Diverges
- Technologies are shaped by their VENUES
- Public Venues Arena Theater Museum
- Private Venues Hearth Workbench Reading Nook
- Public / Private Venues Gaming Table Playground Anywhere
- Anywhere Gaming Table Playground Hearth Workbench Reading Nook Theater Arena Museum Private Venues Public Venues
- Pattern5 History Keeps Repeating
- 1849!
- 2011 Palmer Luckey (age 20) 1968 Ivan Sutherland 1884 Nipkow Disk 1927 Philo Farnsworth (age 20) TV VR 43 Years Later 43 Years Later
- Foundational Technology Makes the Biggest Changes The Hype Curve Disruption Technology Mostly Diverges History Keeps Repeating 5 4 3 1 2 Send your predictions to me! Jesse@SchellGames.com Thanks! Find slides at: JesseSchell.com