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Intelligent Sensors
     2010 - 2020!

             I <3
           sensors




 Jonas Lamis - SciVestor
1,000,000

1,000,000,000,000

18,446,744,073,709,551,
615
The Law of Accelerating Returns




                     Courtesy Ray Kurzweil and Kurzweil Technologies
B4 + C
http://www.flickr.com/photos/maxkiesler/2240153169/
Why Create a Driverless Car?
ISGR
SENSING

THOUGHT
Brain sensors
Ray and Terry
http://www.flickr.com/photos/doctorow/2403369880/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/wipeout/179788993/
23 and Me
http://www.flickr.com/photos/takomabibelot/417896166/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/hackshaven/2228724569/
SMART




DUST
SMART




DUST
Business
                                                     Logic

                                                     Basic
                                                   Awareness

                                                    Sensory
                                                   Enablement
http://www.flickr.com/photos/liberato/171610084/
Answers
the
ques,on:

Answers
the

ques,on:
                                                    Where
am
I?



                                     e
What’s
around

                     Mobi rformanc
                               nsing
me?
                      le Se
                                         Basic Awareness
                          Pe
                     High




                                              Goal
                                              Logic



                                           Execution

                                                           Answers
the
ques,ons:

Makes
the
statements:
                                     Am
I
behaving
correctly?

Do
this
and
that.
                                         Am
I
doing
anything

                                                           dangerous?

Higher‐Level
Domain

                                             Knowledge
and
Applica,on‐
                                             specific
opera,ons

                                             implemented
here



                       e
       Mobi rformanc
                                             Complex
business
rules

                 nsing                       Interac>ng
with
society

            le Se
                           Basic Awareness
            Pe
       High




                                Goal
                                Logic



                             Execution




100%
of
an
applica,on
developer’s
,me

should
be
spent
here

2004 DGC Landscape of
                       Technologies
                                                                                   5
–
10%
of
team
capacity
was
spent

30
‐
60%
of
team
capacity

                                                                                   on
collec,ng
GPS
data.


was
spent
enabling
mobile

sensing
technologies.
                                                             Mature
and
well‐established
high

                                                                                   performance
GPS
market
enabled



                                             e
                             Mobi rformanc
                                       nsing
                                                                                   developers
to
focus
on
higher‐level

Prevalent
Technologies:
                                                           func,on
of
GPS
waypoint
traversal.


                                  le Se
 SICK
                                                                            Prevalent
Technologies:

                                                 Basic Awareness
                                  Pe


 BOSCH
                                                                            NAVCOM

                             High




 Custom
Vision
Solu,ons
                             Goal                          Arrow

                                                      Logic                         Trimble



                                                                                   10
–
30%
of
team
capacity
spent

                                                                                   wri,ng
the
same
“commodity”

                                                   Execution                       naviga,onal
algorithms
as
other

                                                                                   teams
such
as:

In
2004,
DGC
goals
were
simple:

                                                                                    PID
controllers

Let
the
Naviga>on
system
take
the
car

to
the
end.
                                                                        Kalman
Filters

Higher
level
func,ons
were
irrelevant
                                              Obstacle
Avoidance

                                                  10
–
20%
of
team
capacity
was

because
basic
sensing
and
naviga,on

                                                  spent
integra,ng
actuators.


technologies
needed
to
be
developed.

2005 DGC Landscape of
                             Technologies
                                                                                                                      5
–
10%
of
team
capacity
was
spent

30
‐
50%
of
team
capacity

                                                                                                                      on
collec,ng
GPS
data.


was
spent
enabling
mobile

sensing
technologies.
                                                                                                Mature
and
well‐established
high

                                                                                                                      performance
GPS
market
enabled



                                                        e
                                        Mobi rformanc
                                                  nsing
                                                                                                                      developers
to
focus
on
higher‐level

Prevalent
Technologies:
                                                                                              func,on
of
GPS
waypoint
traversal.


                                             le Se
 SICK
                                                                                                               Prevalent
Technologies:

                                                            Basic Awareness
                                             Pe


 BOSCH
                                                                                                               NAVCOM

                                        High




 Custom
Vision
Solu,ons
                                         Goal                                                 Arrow

                                                                  Logic                                                Trimble



                                                                                                                      40
–
60%
of
team
capacity
spent

                                                                                                                      wri,ng
the
same
“commodity”

                                                              Execution                                               naviga,onal
algorithms
as
other

                                                                                                                      teams
such
as:

In
2005,
DGC
goals
were
s,ll
simple:

                                                                                                                       PID
controllers

Let
the
Naviga>on
system
take
the
car

to
the
end.
                                                                                                           Kalman
Filters

The
2005
DGC
was
effec,vely
the
                                                                                        Obstacle
Avoidance

                                                             10
–
20%
of
team
capacity
was

conclusion
of
the
2004
DGC.

                                                             spent
integra,ng
actuators.
¹


¹ Actuator integration will continue to be studied. It has sparked a market for turnkey actuator systems for vehicles. It is outside the scope of this presentation.
2007 DUC Landscape of
                             Technologies
                                                                                                                      5
–
10%
of
team
capacity
was
spent

5
‐
15%
of
team
capacity

                                                                                                                      on
collec,ng
GPS
data.


was
spent
enabling
mobile

sensing
technologies.
                                                                                                Mature
and
well‐established
high

                                                                                                                      performance
GPS
market
enabled



                                                        e
Allowed
more
capacity
to

                                        Mobi rformanc
                                                  nsing
                                                                                                                      developers
to
focus
on
higher‐level

be
spent
on
higher
level

                                                                                                                      func,on
of
GPS
waypoint
traversal.


func,ons.
                                   le Se
                                                                                                                      Prevalent
Technologies:

                                                            Basic Awareness
Prevalent
Enabling

                                             Pe


Technologies:
                                                                                                         NAVCOM

                                        High




                                                                  Goal
 Velodyne
                                                                                                            Arrow

                                                                  Logic
 ibeo
                                                                                                                Trimble


40
–
70%
of
team
capacity

                                                                                                                      20
–
40%
of
team
capacity
spent

was
spent
on
codifying

                                                                                                                      wri,ng
the
same
“commodity”

domain
knowledge
of
rules
                                    Execution                                               naviga,onal
algorithms
as
other

of
the
road:

                                                                                                                      teams
such
as:

Respect
rules
of
four‐way

                                                                                                                       PID
controllers

intersec>ons.

                                                                                                                       Kalman
Filters

Merge
safely
with
moving

traffic.
                                                                                                                Obstacle
Avoidance

                                                             10
–
20%
of
team
capacity
was

Safely
pass
into
oncoming
                                   spent
integra,ng
actuators.
¹

traffic.

¹ Actuator integration will continue to be studied. It has sparked a market for turnkey actuator systems for vehicles. It is outside the scope of this presentation.
Market beats
                  Global Meltdown
                                                  expectations


                                                     Biggest.bubble.ever
          Nuke York


                                                                 Utopia
End of Humanity




                                    Sameness
                     Badness                  Goodness 
Listen up humans.
 SciVestor provides research and consulting on
emerging technologies that will change the world.


                                                             I <3
                                                            those
                                                             guys




            scivestor.com/insight
             twitter.com/jonaslamis

              Image (cc) http://www.flickr.com/photos/maxkiesler/2240153169/

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Intelligent Sensors: 2010 - 2020

  • 1. Intelligent Sensors 2010 - 2020! I <3 sensors Jonas Lamis - SciVestor
  • 2.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. The Law of Accelerating Returns Courtesy Ray Kurzweil and Kurzweil Technologies
  • 10. Why Create a Driverless Car?
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. ISGR
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 35.
  • 36. Business Logic Basic Awareness Sensory Enablement http://www.flickr.com/photos/liberato/171610084/
  • 37. Answers
the
ques,on:
 Answers
the
 ques,on:
 Where
am
I?
 e What’s
around
 Mobi rformanc nsing me?
 le Se Basic Awareness Pe High Goal Logic Execution Answers
the
ques,ons:
 Makes
the
statements:
 Am
I
behaving
correctly?
 Do
this
and
that.
 Am
I
doing
anything
 dangerous?

  • 38. Higher‐Level
Domain
 Knowledge
and
Applica,on‐ specific
opera,ons
 implemented
here
 e Mobi rformanc Complex
business
rules
 nsing Interac>ng
with
society
 le Se Basic Awareness Pe High Goal Logic Execution 100%
of
an
applica,on
developer’s
,me
 should
be
spent
here

  • 39. 2004 DGC Landscape of Technologies 5
–
10%
of
team
capacity
was
spent
 30
‐
60%
of
team
capacity
 on
collec,ng
GPS
data.

 was
spent
enabling
mobile
 sensing
technologies.
 Mature
and
well‐established
high
 performance
GPS
market
enabled
 e Mobi rformanc nsing developers
to
focus
on
higher‐level
 Prevalent
Technologies:
 func,on
of
GPS
waypoint
traversal.

 le Se  SICK
 Prevalent
Technologies:
 Basic Awareness Pe  BOSCH
  NAVCOM
 High  Custom
Vision
Solu,ons
 Goal  Arrow
 Logic  Trimble
 10
–
30%
of
team
capacity
spent
 wri,ng
the
same
“commodity”
 Execution naviga,onal
algorithms
as
other
 teams
such
as:
 In
2004,
DGC
goals
were
simple:
  PID
controllers
 Let
the
Naviga>on
system
take
the
car
 to
the
end.
  Kalman
Filters
 Higher
level
func,ons
were
irrelevant
  Obstacle
Avoidance
 10
–
20%
of
team
capacity
was
 because
basic
sensing
and
naviga,on
 spent
integra,ng
actuators.

 technologies
needed
to
be
developed.

  • 40. 2005 DGC Landscape of Technologies 5
–
10%
of
team
capacity
was
spent
 30
‐
50%
of
team
capacity
 on
collec,ng
GPS
data.

 was
spent
enabling
mobile
 sensing
technologies.
 Mature
and
well‐established
high
 performance
GPS
market
enabled
 e Mobi rformanc nsing developers
to
focus
on
higher‐level
 Prevalent
Technologies:
 func,on
of
GPS
waypoint
traversal.

 le Se  SICK
 Prevalent
Technologies:
 Basic Awareness Pe  BOSCH
  NAVCOM
 High  Custom
Vision
Solu,ons
 Goal  Arrow
 Logic  Trimble
 40
–
60%
of
team
capacity
spent
 wri,ng
the
same
“commodity”
 Execution naviga,onal
algorithms
as
other
 teams
such
as:
 In
2005,
DGC
goals
were
s,ll
simple:
  PID
controllers
 Let
the
Naviga>on
system
take
the
car
 to
the
end.
  Kalman
Filters
 The
2005
DGC
was
effec,vely
the
  Obstacle
Avoidance
 10
–
20%
of
team
capacity
was
 conclusion
of
the
2004
DGC.
 spent
integra,ng
actuators.
¹
 ¹ Actuator integration will continue to be studied. It has sparked a market for turnkey actuator systems for vehicles. It is outside the scope of this presentation.
  • 41. 2007 DUC Landscape of Technologies 5
–
10%
of
team
capacity
was
spent
 5
‐
15%
of
team
capacity
 on
collec,ng
GPS
data.

 was
spent
enabling
mobile
 sensing
technologies.
 Mature
and
well‐established
high
 performance
GPS
market
enabled
 e Allowed
more
capacity
to
 Mobi rformanc nsing developers
to
focus
on
higher‐level
 be
spent
on
higher
level
 func,on
of
GPS
waypoint
traversal.

 func,ons.
 le Se Prevalent
Technologies:
 Basic Awareness Prevalent
Enabling
 Pe Technologies:
  NAVCOM
 High Goal  Velodyne
  Arrow
 Logic  ibeo
  Trimble
 40
–
70%
of
team
capacity
 20
–
40%
of
team
capacity
spent
 was
spent
on
codifying
 wri,ng
the
same
“commodity”
 domain
knowledge
of
rules
 Execution naviga,onal
algorithms
as
other
 of
the
road:
 teams
such
as:
 Respect
rules
of
four‐way
  PID
controllers
 intersec>ons.
  Kalman
Filters
 Merge
safely
with
moving
 traffic.
  Obstacle
Avoidance
 10
–
20%
of
team
capacity
was
 Safely
pass
into
oncoming
 spent
integra,ng
actuators.
¹
 traffic.
 ¹ Actuator integration will continue to be studied. It has sparked a market for turnkey actuator systems for vehicles. It is outside the scope of this presentation.
  • 42. Market beats Global Meltdown expectations Biggest.bubble.ever Nuke York Utopia End of Humanity Sameness  Badness Goodness 
  • 43. Listen up humans. SciVestor provides research and consulting on emerging technologies that will change the world. I <3 those guys scivestor.com/insight twitter.com/jonaslamis Image (cc) http://www.flickr.com/photos/maxkiesler/2240153169/