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Preqin Special Report
Institutional Investor Outlook for Hedge Funds in 2012
November 2011
Preqin Special Report: Hedge Fund Investor Outlook




Institutional Investor Outlook for Hedge Funds in 2012

The toxic blend of the sovereign debt crisis and slow economic growth impacted some of the biggest and best known
hedge funds in 2011. However, even in times of heightened global market volatility institutional investors remain
committed to investing in hedge funds, with the size of the industry now reaching pre-crisis 2006 levels. As institutional
investors demonstrate ongoing faith in the asset class through planned increases in allocations over 2012, the time is
ripe for hedge fund managers to market to the growing institutional sector of the investor community. Although the
fundamentals of the hedge fund space have remained unchanged, the industry has embarked on a renaissance of sorts
since the market crisis, including increased liquidity and transparency offered by managers which continues to be at the
forefront of investors’ minds. These adaptations have increased the attractiveness of hedge funds as an investment option
over the past 12 months, resulting in inflows of capital into the hedge fund space which are set to continue into 2012.


Change in Investor Confidence over 2011                                                            Large Inflows of Capital Expected from Institutional Investors in
                                                                                                   2012
Fig. 1 shows that institutional investor satisfaction with hedge
fund performance has fallen in 2011, with 40% of investors                                         Institutional investors seem committed to hedge funds in this
interviewed having experienced returns that did not meet their                                     challenging environment, and growth of the industry could be
expectations during the year, which is a similar proportion                                        the greatest since before the onset of the global financial crisis
to 2008. This decrease in investor satisfaction reflects the                                        in 2008. Fig. 3 shows that 38% of investors interviewed by
challenging conditions experienced in 2011 due to market                                           Preqin plan to increase the amount of capital invested in hedge
volatility. With concerns over slow growth and the eurozone                                        funds over the course of 2012. Undaunted by poor economic
sovereign debt crisis continuing to hit hedge fund performance,                                    conditions, hedge fund investors will continue to push hedge
investors retained a degree of scepticism towards the asset                                        fund assets towards the $2.6 trillion high reached in 2007 prior
class over 2011. Despite these results, investors still retain                                     to the financial crisis. Over half of investors surveyed plan to
confidence in the asset class to perform its portfolio objectives.                                  keep their allocations to hedge funds the same over 2012 and
Fig. 2 shows that institutional investors remain confident                                          only a small proportion of investors, 9%, plan to decrease the
in hedge funds, with 20% of those interviewed stating that                                         amount of capital they have invested in the hedge fund space.
their confidence in hedge funds has increased since 2010,                                           Net inflows are expected to remain positive over 2012, reaching
compared to 14% stating that it had decreased. Around two-                                         levels higher than we have seen in any year since the market
thirds said their confidence towards hedge funds had remained                                       downturn. Details for over 1,000 institutional investors in hedge
unchanged since 2010.                                                                              funds, including how many funds and how much capital they


Fig. 1: Institutional Investors’ Hedge Fund Portfolio Performance                                  Fig. 2: Change in Institutional Investor Confidence in Hedge Funds
Relative to Expectations, 2008 - 2011                                                              since 2010

                                   100%
Proportion of Institutional Investors




                                               9%       11%              11%
                                        90%                     19%
                                                                                Hedge Funds
                                        80%                                     Have Exceeded
                                                                                Expectations
                                        70%
                                               53%                       49%
                                        60%            62%                      Hedge Fund
                                                                53%             Returns Have Met
                                        50%
                                                                                Expectations
                                        40%

                                        30%                                     Hedge Fund
                                                                                Returns Have
                                        20%    38%                       40%
                                                                                Fallen Short of
                                                       27%      28%             Expectations
                                        10%

                                        0%
                                               2008    2009     2010    2011
Source: Preqin                                                                                     Source: Preqin




                       2                                                                                                       © 2011 Preqin Ltd. www.preqin.com
Preqin Special Report: Hedge Fund Investor Outlook




are looking to invest in hedge funds over the next year, are           Fig. 3: Institutional Investors’ Hedge Fund Allocation Plans for
available in the newly released 2012 Preqin Hedge Fund                 2012
Investor Review.

Investor Appetite for New Manager Relationships Continues into
2012


With the expected influx of capital into hedge fund vehicles
over the next 12 months, is this capital likely to be directed
towards investment with new managers or managers with
which investors have an established relationship? The vast
majority of investors on the Preqin database plan to seek
investment with new managers to some extent over the next
12 months, compared to 20% of investors focusing solely on
maintaining existing relationships with managers. A relatively
small proportion of investors, 10%, plan to invest only with new       Source: Preqin
managers over the next 12 months. With an additional 49%
of investors planning to consider investing in new managers
over the next 12 months while maintaining or increasing their
investments in current funds, as well as a further 21% looking at
new proposals on an opportunistic basis, there is great potential                             with 26% of investors on the Preqin database looking to invest
for hedge fund managers to seek capital from previously                                       in the strategy, due to its liquid approach and ability to profit
untapped institutional sources. The 2012 Preqin Hedge Fund                                    from big market moves. This could lead to new inflows coming
Investor Review provides listings of key investors in each hedge                              into the strategy over 2012. CTA funds also continue to interest
fund strategy type, allowing you to assess whether they might                                 institutional investors as they seek safe havens amid the
be interested in a particular fund.                                                           adverse economic conditions. In such a volatile environment
                                                                                              this style of fund has the ability to move quickly with a focus
Strategic Opportunities for Hedge Fund Investors in 2012                                      on highly liquid investments. The 2012 Preqin Hedge Fund
                                                                                              Investor Review contains listings of key investors active within
Long/short equity is set to continue to feature heavily in                                    the various hedge fund strategies, as well as overview analysis
institutional investor portfolios over the next 12 months, with 38%                           of all investors in each area.
of investors on the Preqin database actively seeking to invest in
the strategy in 2012. The strategy’s continued popularity is due                              Although up and coming structures such as UCITS have
to its ability to provide a level of protection in falling markets,                           continued to gain traction with institutional investors, we can
while capturing the majority of the upside in rising markets.                                 expect traditional fund structures to remain dominant over
Global macro will also be popular over the coming months,                                     2012. Commingled direct managers can expect to see the


Fig. 4: Institutional Investors’ Plans for Hedge Fund Manager          Fig. 5: Top Five Hedge Fund Strategies Being Sought by
                                                                       Institutional Investors in the Next 12 Months

                                                                                                               40%     38%
                                                                       Proportion of Institutional Investors




                                                                                                               35%

                                                                                                               30%
                                                                                                                                    26%
                                                                                                               25%

                                                                                                               20%
                                                                                                                                               15%
                                                                                                               15%                                      13%
                                                                                                                                                                    11%
                                                                                                               10%

                                                                                                               5%

                                                                                                               0%
                                                                                                                     Long/Short Global Macro   CTA   Event Driven   Credit
                                                                                                                       Equity
                                                                       Source: Preqin




© 2011 Preqin Ltd. www.preqin.com                                                                                                                                            3
Preqin Special Report: Hedge Fund Investor Outlook




largest inflows in capital over the next 12 months, with 79% of                                                 has become increasingly important to investors; this was
investors on the Preqin database looking to invest directly in                                                 highlighted by an earlier Preqin study which revealed that 58%
hedge funds in 2012. In contrast, there has been a significant                                                  of respondents had rejected a fund investment opportunity in
decline in the proportion of investors planning to invest in                                                   2011 on the basis of a lack of transparency.
commingled funds of hedge funds in the next 12 months, from
42.5% in Q4 2010 to 24% in Q4 2011. Such a decrease may be                                                     Risk management and liquidity are also considered important
due to the increasing numbers of institutional investors looking                                               fund criteria amongst institutional investors, with just over 20%
to benefit from customized portfolios, increased transparency                                                   indicating each of these as key criteria. A recent Preqin study
and reduced fees by making the transition away from funds of                                                   showed that 75% of institutional investors now require greater
hedge funds towards a direct style of investment. For example,                                                 liquidity in their portfolios than they did in 2008. These liquidity
Massachusetts Pension Reserves Investment Management                                                           concerns have driven the development of specialized hedge
Board reduced its allocation to funds of hedge funds in order to                                               fund products such as managed accounts and UCITS funds.
finance the launch of its direct hedge fund investment program,                                                 Fees are not an issue of great importance for investors when
in which it planned to triple direct hedge fund exposure to                                                    compared to other criteria, highlighting the fact that investors
$1.5 billion. Despite this increasingly common transition,                                                     are typically willing to pay higher fees if they are getting a good
funds of hedge funds still remain the vehicle of choice for new                                                deal in return with respect to other fund criteria.
investors in hedge funds, as well as being utilized alongside
direct investments by more experienced investors to access                                                     What Can Hedge Fund Managers Expect in 2012?
niche strategies, or emerging regions and themes. Demand
for managed accounts continues to grow amongst investors                                                       Although institutional confidence has been dented in the wake
seeking greater transparency and liquidity, in response to                                                     of poor returns in the latter half of 2011, the outlook for the
financial instability and various scandals that have rocked                                                     next year remains positive. Hedge fund managers can expect
the industry over the past few years. Fifteen percent of all                                                   a large influx of capital into hedge funds from institutional
institutions planning to make new investments over the next 12                                                 sources over the next 12 months, enabling hedge fund assets
months prefer their capital to be held in separately managed                                                   to potentially reach or exceed the pre-crisis watermark of $2.6
accounts.                                                                                                      trillion. We can also expect the ongoing trend for further liquidity
                                                                                                               and transparency to continue, with increasing numbers of
What Institutional Investors Look for in Hedge Funds                                                           investors choosing to invest in separately managed accounts.
                                                                                                               However, traditional fund structures will remain at the forefront
Preqin interviewed a sample group of investors and asked                                                       of investment portfolios. Hedge fund strategies looking to
them to consider what the most important parameters are in                                                     profit from macro events, such as global macro and CTA,
terms of fund selection. The results (Fig. 8) show that investors                                              are expected to pick up further investments from institutional
consider track record/firm reputation to be the most important                                                  investors in 2012.
criterion closely followed by fund performance and strategy.
The top three criteria have remained the same as last year,
while transparency has moved up on the list. Transparency


Fig. 6: Hedge Fund Structures That Investors Feel Present the                                                  Fig. 7: Attributes Most Sought by Investors when Searching for
Best Opportunities for Hedge Fund Investments in 2012                                                          New Hedge Fund Opportunities

                              90%
                                      79%                                                                                                     50%
Proportion of Institutional




                              80%                                                                                                             45%   43%
                                                                                                                Proportion of Institutional




                                                                                                                                              40%                     38%                 38%
                              70%                                                                                                                                                                       36%
                                                                                                                                              35%
                              60%
        Investors




                                                                                                                                              30%
                                                                                                                        Investors




                              50%                                                                                                             25%                                                                         22%                21%
                              40%                                                                                                             20%
                                                                                                                                              15%                                                                                                         13%
                              30%                  24%                                                                                        10%
                              20%                                                                                                              5%                                                                                                                 3%         3%                3%
                                                                 13%
                                                                            9%                                                                 0%
                              10%
                                                                                      2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Risk Management
                                                                                                                                                                       Fund Performance




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Liquidity




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Client Service
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Fees


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Domicile
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Transparency at




                                                                                                1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Use of Third-Party
                                                                                                                                                                                           Strategy
                                                                                                                                                    Firm Reputation
                                                                                                                                                     Track Record/




                                                                                                                                                                                                          Fund Level




                              0%
                                                                                                Listed Funds
                                      Commingled




                                                   Commingled




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Auditors
                                                                Account -




                                                                                    Account -
                                                                Managed




                                                                                    Managed
                                                                            UCITS
                                                                 Direct




                                                                                     FoHF
                                        - Direct




                                                     - FoHF




Source: Preqin                                                                                                 Source: Preqin




        4                                                                                                                                                                                             © 2011 Preqin Ltd. www.preqin.com
Preqin Special Report: Hedge Fund Investor Outlook




Institutional Investor Outlook for Hedge Funds in 2012

Since Preqin launched its first institutional investor service back in 2003 there have been many changes in the alternative
assets industry as a result of investments such as hedge funds becoming more “mainstream” than “alternative” within
institutional portfolios. With a new institutional audience the hedge fund industry has rapidly evolved to meet the
demands of a more stringent and demanding investor base. Even more changes are expected over the next few years
as the industry continues to grow and adapt following the financial crisis. Overall, investors remain confident about the
benefits of investing in hedge funds despite the challenging financial climate leading to underperformance in 2011.

Endowments make up 14.7% of all investors on the Preqin                of these investors are still looking to increase their level of
database and continue to be one of the main sources of                 investment in hedge funds. This is positive news for the hedge
institutional investment in hedge funds. Typically these are long-     fund industry following 2010, when there was some evidence
term, return-driven investors and over the past 10 years they          that private sector pension funds had concerns with the asset
have been fundamental in shaping the institutional universe.           class and many were putting investment in hedge funds on hold
The structural preferences of endowments are varied, with an           or completely redeeming portfolios.
almost equal split between those that invest directly through
single managers, those that invest through funds of hedge              Foundations are increasing their allocations to hedge funds
funds and those that invest via a mixture of the two methods.          and currently invest, on average, 15.5% of their total assets in
                                                                       the asset class. Their mean target allocation is 16.5%, which
Public pension funds represent just over 13% of all investors on       suggests a number of foundations are looking to expand their
the Preqin database and are an established group of investors          hedge fund portfolios. The majority of foundations still prefer to
within the institutional universe. The mean allocation from this       invest through funds of hedge funds.
group of investors has been steadily growing over the past few
years and currently stands at 6.8%. The mean target allocation         Family offices remain an important part of the institutional
for pension funds stands at 7.7%, and as a result these investors      investor community, and they currently have a mean allocation
are likely to continue to be active over the next 12 months as         of 13.3% and a mean target allocation of 18.8%, suggesting
they seek to move towards their targets.                               that they are likely to be very active investors over the next 12
                                                                       months. The majority of family offices prefer to invest in hedge
Private sector pension funds are also an important contributor         funds directly, with 87% including direct fund investments in
to institutional investment in hedge funds, and although their         their portfolio, as these investments are typically more liquid
mean allocation has dropped back slightly in the past year to          than funds of hedge funds. Family offices have the highest
8.2% (down from 8.6% in 2010), it has generally been growing           average target returns of all investor types tracked by Preqin.
in recent years. However, the current mean target allocation
amongst private pension funds is 9%, suggesting that a number

Fig. 8: Breakdown of Institutional Investors in Hedge Funds by         Fig. 9: Mean Allocation to Hedge Funds by Investor Type,
Investor Type                                                          2007 - 2011

                                                                                                     25%
                                                                        Mean Current Allocation to




                                                                                                                          20.0%                                                                 2007
                                                                                                     20%              19.5% 19.7%
                                                                                                                         18.8%                                                      16.8%
                                                                                                                   17.5%                                                        17.0%
                                                                             Hedge Funds




                                                                                                                                                                                                2008
                                                                                                                                                   15.4%                         16.0%
                                                                                                                                              14.4%
                                                                                                     15%                                          13.9%15.3%                            14.7%
                                                                                                                                             12.7%                                              2009
                                                                                                     10%                                                                              9.3%
                                                                                                                  6.8%                    8.6%
                                                                                                               6.5%                    7.3% 8.2%
                                                                                                              6.0%                                                                              2010
                                                                                                           5.7%                          7.2%
                                                                                                                                                                   4.2%
                                                                                                     5%                              5.0%                                 3.8%
                                                                                                                                                                     3.2%
                                                                                                           3.6%                                                 3.0% 2.9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                2011

                                                                                                     0%
                                                                                                                         Endowment




                                                                                                                                                                    Insurance




                                                                                                                                                                                    Manager
                                                                                                             Pension




                                                                                                                                      Pension




                                                                                                                                                   Foundation



                                                                                                                                                                    Company
                                                                                                                                      Private
                                                                                                                                      Sector
                                                                                                              Public

                                                                                                              Fund




                                                                                                                                       Fund




                                                                                                                                                                                     Asset
                                                                                                                                                    Office /
                                                                                                                                                     Family




Source: Preqin                                                         Source: Preqin




© 2011 Preqin Ltd. www.preqin.com                                                                                                                                                               5
Preqin Special Report: Hedge Fund Investor Outlook




Investors to Watch


                                            Total      HF Allocation
Firm Name            Type        Country    Assets                     Investment Plans
                                             (mn)             Amount
                                                       %
                                                               (mn)
                                                                       The USD 562 million fund of hedge funds manager plans to
                                                                       invest between USD 50 million and USD 100 million in three to
                                                                       seven hedge fund managers over the next 12 months. The firm
AC Investment       Fund of
                                   US      USD 562    100       562    currently manages two funds of hedge funds, with 40 underlying
Management        Hedge Funds
                                                                       managers in its portfolio. It invests solely in CTAs, commodities
                                                                       and energy funds, through both commingled funds and managed
                                                                       accounts, and will consider investing in emerging managers.
                                                                       Bryn Mawr College Endowment is set to increase its hedge fund
                                                                       allocation while simultaneously creating a more concentrated
                                                                       hedge fund portfolio. The endowment invests 22% of its assets
Bryn Mawr
                                                                       across approximately 20 managers, but it plans to reduce this
College           Endowment        US      USD 700     22       154
                                                                       number. It will still be selecting new managers in 2012, however.
Endowment
                                                                       The endowment has no exposure to emerging markets, but it is
                                                                       possible that future allocations will be made to vehicles in less
                                                                       developed regions.
                                                                       The Singapore-based fund of hedge funds manager will make a
                                                                       number of new seed investments in 2012 through the multi-man-
                                                                       ager vehicle that it launched in conjunction with NewAlpha Asset
Woori Absolute      Fund of      Singa-
                                           USD 100    100       100    Management. The fund will have an Asian focus and will provide
Partners          Hedge Funds     pore
                                                                       seed capital to emerging managers across a broad range of
                                                                       strategies. The vehicle currently has assets of USD 100 million
                                                                       and the aim is for it to close with assets of USD 200 million.
                                                                       Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company aims to add up to
                                                                       five new investments to its hedge fund portfolio over the next 12
                                                                       months. The EUR 28 billion Finnish insurance company began
Ilmarinen
                                                                       investing in 2002 and plans to commit up to EUR 200 million to
Mutual Pension     Insurance                 EUR
                                 Finland              2.4       672    a range of hedge funds in 2012. Ilmarinen will invest in funds
Insurance          Company                  28,000
                                                                       with lock-up periods of up to 12 months and typically looks for
Company
                                                                       managers which have at least a two-year track record. It typically
                                                                       allocates EUR 10-50 million to each hedge fund as an initial
                                                                       investment.
                                                                       The USD 1.4 billion pension fund will be increasing its exposure
                                                                       to global macro hedge funds in 2012. Trafalgar House invests
                  Private Sec-                                         32-35% of its total assets in hedge funds and makes most of its
Trafalgar House                            GBP
                  tor Pension      UK                32.4    458       investments through single-manager funds. Over an extended
Pension Trust                              1,414
                      Fund                                             period, the pension fund may also make additions to its equity-
                                                                       focused array of funds and it is likely that any additions made will
                                                                       be at the expense of multi-strategy hedge funds.




6                                                                                               © 2011 Preqin Ltd. www.preqin.com
2012 Preqin Hedge Fund Investor                                                                                                                alternative assets. intelligent data.


Review
The 2012 Preqin Hedge Fund Investor Review provides profiles and analysis for the most important institutional investors in hedge
funds from around the world. This invaluable resource contains the following key features:



    •     Pro les for 1,000 key institutional investors arranged into 23 key regions from around
          the world.                                                                                                                                                            The 2012
                                                                                                                                                        Preqin Hedge Fund Investor Review
    •     Pro les include fund preferences by strategy and geography, key nancial information,
          direct contact details for key personnel, sample investments.
    •     Analysis for investors from each region.
    •     Analysis for investors in each of the ten most important hedge fund strategies with
          listings for active investors.
    •     Analysis and listings for investors looking to allocate to UCITS or managed account
          vehicles.                                                                                                                                                              alternative assets. intelligent data.




    •     Analysis of emerging manager investors.
    •     Exclusive information gained through direct contact with institutional investors.                                              www.preqin.com/hfir


                                                        For more information see www.preqin.com/h r


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Report preqin special-report_hedge_funds_2012-1

  • 1. Preqin Special Report Institutional Investor Outlook for Hedge Funds in 2012 November 2011
  • 2. Preqin Special Report: Hedge Fund Investor Outlook Institutional Investor Outlook for Hedge Funds in 2012 The toxic blend of the sovereign debt crisis and slow economic growth impacted some of the biggest and best known hedge funds in 2011. However, even in times of heightened global market volatility institutional investors remain committed to investing in hedge funds, with the size of the industry now reaching pre-crisis 2006 levels. As institutional investors demonstrate ongoing faith in the asset class through planned increases in allocations over 2012, the time is ripe for hedge fund managers to market to the growing institutional sector of the investor community. Although the fundamentals of the hedge fund space have remained unchanged, the industry has embarked on a renaissance of sorts since the market crisis, including increased liquidity and transparency offered by managers which continues to be at the forefront of investors’ minds. These adaptations have increased the attractiveness of hedge funds as an investment option over the past 12 months, resulting in inflows of capital into the hedge fund space which are set to continue into 2012. Change in Investor Confidence over 2011 Large Inflows of Capital Expected from Institutional Investors in 2012 Fig. 1 shows that institutional investor satisfaction with hedge fund performance has fallen in 2011, with 40% of investors Institutional investors seem committed to hedge funds in this interviewed having experienced returns that did not meet their challenging environment, and growth of the industry could be expectations during the year, which is a similar proportion the greatest since before the onset of the global financial crisis to 2008. This decrease in investor satisfaction reflects the in 2008. Fig. 3 shows that 38% of investors interviewed by challenging conditions experienced in 2011 due to market Preqin plan to increase the amount of capital invested in hedge volatility. With concerns over slow growth and the eurozone funds over the course of 2012. Undaunted by poor economic sovereign debt crisis continuing to hit hedge fund performance, conditions, hedge fund investors will continue to push hedge investors retained a degree of scepticism towards the asset fund assets towards the $2.6 trillion high reached in 2007 prior class over 2011. Despite these results, investors still retain to the financial crisis. Over half of investors surveyed plan to confidence in the asset class to perform its portfolio objectives. keep their allocations to hedge funds the same over 2012 and Fig. 2 shows that institutional investors remain confident only a small proportion of investors, 9%, plan to decrease the in hedge funds, with 20% of those interviewed stating that amount of capital they have invested in the hedge fund space. their confidence in hedge funds has increased since 2010, Net inflows are expected to remain positive over 2012, reaching compared to 14% stating that it had decreased. Around two- levels higher than we have seen in any year since the market thirds said their confidence towards hedge funds had remained downturn. Details for over 1,000 institutional investors in hedge unchanged since 2010. funds, including how many funds and how much capital they Fig. 1: Institutional Investors’ Hedge Fund Portfolio Performance Fig. 2: Change in Institutional Investor Confidence in Hedge Funds Relative to Expectations, 2008 - 2011 since 2010 100% Proportion of Institutional Investors 9% 11% 11% 90% 19% Hedge Funds 80% Have Exceeded Expectations 70% 53% 49% 60% 62% Hedge Fund 53% Returns Have Met 50% Expectations 40% 30% Hedge Fund Returns Have 20% 38% 40% Fallen Short of 27% 28% Expectations 10% 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Preqin Source: Preqin 2 © 2011 Preqin Ltd. www.preqin.com
  • 3. Preqin Special Report: Hedge Fund Investor Outlook are looking to invest in hedge funds over the next year, are Fig. 3: Institutional Investors’ Hedge Fund Allocation Plans for available in the newly released 2012 Preqin Hedge Fund 2012 Investor Review. Investor Appetite for New Manager Relationships Continues into 2012 With the expected influx of capital into hedge fund vehicles over the next 12 months, is this capital likely to be directed towards investment with new managers or managers with which investors have an established relationship? The vast majority of investors on the Preqin database plan to seek investment with new managers to some extent over the next 12 months, compared to 20% of investors focusing solely on maintaining existing relationships with managers. A relatively small proportion of investors, 10%, plan to invest only with new Source: Preqin managers over the next 12 months. With an additional 49% of investors planning to consider investing in new managers over the next 12 months while maintaining or increasing their investments in current funds, as well as a further 21% looking at new proposals on an opportunistic basis, there is great potential with 26% of investors on the Preqin database looking to invest for hedge fund managers to seek capital from previously in the strategy, due to its liquid approach and ability to profit untapped institutional sources. The 2012 Preqin Hedge Fund from big market moves. This could lead to new inflows coming Investor Review provides listings of key investors in each hedge into the strategy over 2012. CTA funds also continue to interest fund strategy type, allowing you to assess whether they might institutional investors as they seek safe havens amid the be interested in a particular fund. adverse economic conditions. In such a volatile environment this style of fund has the ability to move quickly with a focus Strategic Opportunities for Hedge Fund Investors in 2012 on highly liquid investments. The 2012 Preqin Hedge Fund Investor Review contains listings of key investors active within Long/short equity is set to continue to feature heavily in the various hedge fund strategies, as well as overview analysis institutional investor portfolios over the next 12 months, with 38% of all investors in each area. of investors on the Preqin database actively seeking to invest in the strategy in 2012. The strategy’s continued popularity is due Although up and coming structures such as UCITS have to its ability to provide a level of protection in falling markets, continued to gain traction with institutional investors, we can while capturing the majority of the upside in rising markets. expect traditional fund structures to remain dominant over Global macro will also be popular over the coming months, 2012. Commingled direct managers can expect to see the Fig. 4: Institutional Investors’ Plans for Hedge Fund Manager Fig. 5: Top Five Hedge Fund Strategies Being Sought by Institutional Investors in the Next 12 Months 40% 38% Proportion of Institutional Investors 35% 30% 26% 25% 20% 15% 15% 13% 11% 10% 5% 0% Long/Short Global Macro CTA Event Driven Credit Equity Source: Preqin © 2011 Preqin Ltd. www.preqin.com 3
  • 4. Preqin Special Report: Hedge Fund Investor Outlook largest inflows in capital over the next 12 months, with 79% of has become increasingly important to investors; this was investors on the Preqin database looking to invest directly in highlighted by an earlier Preqin study which revealed that 58% hedge funds in 2012. In contrast, there has been a significant of respondents had rejected a fund investment opportunity in decline in the proportion of investors planning to invest in 2011 on the basis of a lack of transparency. commingled funds of hedge funds in the next 12 months, from 42.5% in Q4 2010 to 24% in Q4 2011. Such a decrease may be Risk management and liquidity are also considered important due to the increasing numbers of institutional investors looking fund criteria amongst institutional investors, with just over 20% to benefit from customized portfolios, increased transparency indicating each of these as key criteria. A recent Preqin study and reduced fees by making the transition away from funds of showed that 75% of institutional investors now require greater hedge funds towards a direct style of investment. For example, liquidity in their portfolios than they did in 2008. These liquidity Massachusetts Pension Reserves Investment Management concerns have driven the development of specialized hedge Board reduced its allocation to funds of hedge funds in order to fund products such as managed accounts and UCITS funds. finance the launch of its direct hedge fund investment program, Fees are not an issue of great importance for investors when in which it planned to triple direct hedge fund exposure to compared to other criteria, highlighting the fact that investors $1.5 billion. Despite this increasingly common transition, are typically willing to pay higher fees if they are getting a good funds of hedge funds still remain the vehicle of choice for new deal in return with respect to other fund criteria. investors in hedge funds, as well as being utilized alongside direct investments by more experienced investors to access What Can Hedge Fund Managers Expect in 2012? niche strategies, or emerging regions and themes. Demand for managed accounts continues to grow amongst investors Although institutional confidence has been dented in the wake seeking greater transparency and liquidity, in response to of poor returns in the latter half of 2011, the outlook for the financial instability and various scandals that have rocked next year remains positive. Hedge fund managers can expect the industry over the past few years. Fifteen percent of all a large influx of capital into hedge funds from institutional institutions planning to make new investments over the next 12 sources over the next 12 months, enabling hedge fund assets months prefer their capital to be held in separately managed to potentially reach or exceed the pre-crisis watermark of $2.6 accounts. trillion. We can also expect the ongoing trend for further liquidity and transparency to continue, with increasing numbers of What Institutional Investors Look for in Hedge Funds investors choosing to invest in separately managed accounts. However, traditional fund structures will remain at the forefront Preqin interviewed a sample group of investors and asked of investment portfolios. Hedge fund strategies looking to them to consider what the most important parameters are in profit from macro events, such as global macro and CTA, terms of fund selection. The results (Fig. 8) show that investors are expected to pick up further investments from institutional consider track record/firm reputation to be the most important investors in 2012. criterion closely followed by fund performance and strategy. The top three criteria have remained the same as last year, while transparency has moved up on the list. Transparency Fig. 6: Hedge Fund Structures That Investors Feel Present the Fig. 7: Attributes Most Sought by Investors when Searching for Best Opportunities for Hedge Fund Investments in 2012 New Hedge Fund Opportunities 90% 79% 50% Proportion of Institutional 80% 45% 43% Proportion of Institutional 40% 38% 38% 70% 36% 35% 60% Investors 30% Investors 50% 25% 22% 21% 40% 20% 15% 13% 30% 24% 10% 20% 5% 3% 3% 3% 13% 9% 0% 10% 2% Risk Management Fund Performance Liquidity Client Service Fees Domicile Transparency at 1% Use of Third-Party Strategy Firm Reputation Track Record/ Fund Level 0% Listed Funds Commingled Commingled Auditors Account - Account - Managed Managed UCITS Direct FoHF - Direct - FoHF Source: Preqin Source: Preqin 4 © 2011 Preqin Ltd. www.preqin.com
  • 5. Preqin Special Report: Hedge Fund Investor Outlook Institutional Investor Outlook for Hedge Funds in 2012 Since Preqin launched its first institutional investor service back in 2003 there have been many changes in the alternative assets industry as a result of investments such as hedge funds becoming more “mainstream” than “alternative” within institutional portfolios. With a new institutional audience the hedge fund industry has rapidly evolved to meet the demands of a more stringent and demanding investor base. Even more changes are expected over the next few years as the industry continues to grow and adapt following the financial crisis. Overall, investors remain confident about the benefits of investing in hedge funds despite the challenging financial climate leading to underperformance in 2011. Endowments make up 14.7% of all investors on the Preqin of these investors are still looking to increase their level of database and continue to be one of the main sources of investment in hedge funds. This is positive news for the hedge institutional investment in hedge funds. Typically these are long- fund industry following 2010, when there was some evidence term, return-driven investors and over the past 10 years they that private sector pension funds had concerns with the asset have been fundamental in shaping the institutional universe. class and many were putting investment in hedge funds on hold The structural preferences of endowments are varied, with an or completely redeeming portfolios. almost equal split between those that invest directly through single managers, those that invest through funds of hedge Foundations are increasing their allocations to hedge funds funds and those that invest via a mixture of the two methods. and currently invest, on average, 15.5% of their total assets in the asset class. Their mean target allocation is 16.5%, which Public pension funds represent just over 13% of all investors on suggests a number of foundations are looking to expand their the Preqin database and are an established group of investors hedge fund portfolios. The majority of foundations still prefer to within the institutional universe. The mean allocation from this invest through funds of hedge funds. group of investors has been steadily growing over the past few years and currently stands at 6.8%. The mean target allocation Family offices remain an important part of the institutional for pension funds stands at 7.7%, and as a result these investors investor community, and they currently have a mean allocation are likely to continue to be active over the next 12 months as of 13.3% and a mean target allocation of 18.8%, suggesting they seek to move towards their targets. that they are likely to be very active investors over the next 12 months. The majority of family offices prefer to invest in hedge Private sector pension funds are also an important contributor funds directly, with 87% including direct fund investments in to institutional investment in hedge funds, and although their their portfolio, as these investments are typically more liquid mean allocation has dropped back slightly in the past year to than funds of hedge funds. Family offices have the highest 8.2% (down from 8.6% in 2010), it has generally been growing average target returns of all investor types tracked by Preqin. in recent years. However, the current mean target allocation amongst private pension funds is 9%, suggesting that a number Fig. 8: Breakdown of Institutional Investors in Hedge Funds by Fig. 9: Mean Allocation to Hedge Funds by Investor Type, Investor Type 2007 - 2011 25% Mean Current Allocation to 20.0% 2007 20% 19.5% 19.7% 18.8% 16.8% 17.5% 17.0% Hedge Funds 2008 15.4% 16.0% 14.4% 15% 13.9%15.3% 14.7% 12.7% 2009 10% 9.3% 6.8% 8.6% 6.5% 7.3% 8.2% 6.0% 2010 5.7% 7.2% 4.2% 5% 5.0% 3.8% 3.2% 3.6% 3.0% 2.9% 2011 0% Endowment Insurance Manager Pension Pension Foundation Company Private Sector Public Fund Fund Asset Office / Family Source: Preqin Source: Preqin © 2011 Preqin Ltd. www.preqin.com 5
  • 6. Preqin Special Report: Hedge Fund Investor Outlook Investors to Watch Total HF Allocation Firm Name Type Country Assets Investment Plans (mn) Amount % (mn) The USD 562 million fund of hedge funds manager plans to invest between USD 50 million and USD 100 million in three to seven hedge fund managers over the next 12 months. The firm AC Investment Fund of US USD 562 100 562 currently manages two funds of hedge funds, with 40 underlying Management Hedge Funds managers in its portfolio. It invests solely in CTAs, commodities and energy funds, through both commingled funds and managed accounts, and will consider investing in emerging managers. Bryn Mawr College Endowment is set to increase its hedge fund allocation while simultaneously creating a more concentrated hedge fund portfolio. The endowment invests 22% of its assets Bryn Mawr across approximately 20 managers, but it plans to reduce this College Endowment US USD 700 22 154 number. It will still be selecting new managers in 2012, however. Endowment The endowment has no exposure to emerging markets, but it is possible that future allocations will be made to vehicles in less developed regions. The Singapore-based fund of hedge funds manager will make a number of new seed investments in 2012 through the multi-man- ager vehicle that it launched in conjunction with NewAlpha Asset Woori Absolute Fund of Singa- USD 100 100 100 Management. The fund will have an Asian focus and will provide Partners Hedge Funds pore seed capital to emerging managers across a broad range of strategies. The vehicle currently has assets of USD 100 million and the aim is for it to close with assets of USD 200 million. Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company aims to add up to five new investments to its hedge fund portfolio over the next 12 months. The EUR 28 billion Finnish insurance company began Ilmarinen investing in 2002 and plans to commit up to EUR 200 million to Mutual Pension Insurance EUR Finland 2.4 672 a range of hedge funds in 2012. Ilmarinen will invest in funds Insurance Company 28,000 with lock-up periods of up to 12 months and typically looks for Company managers which have at least a two-year track record. It typically allocates EUR 10-50 million to each hedge fund as an initial investment. The USD 1.4 billion pension fund will be increasing its exposure to global macro hedge funds in 2012. Trafalgar House invests Private Sec- 32-35% of its total assets in hedge funds and makes most of its Trafalgar House GBP tor Pension UK 32.4 458 investments through single-manager funds. Over an extended Pension Trust 1,414 Fund period, the pension fund may also make additions to its equity- focused array of funds and it is likely that any additions made will be at the expense of multi-strategy hedge funds. 6 © 2011 Preqin Ltd. www.preqin.com
  • 7. 2012 Preqin Hedge Fund Investor alternative assets. intelligent data. Review The 2012 Preqin Hedge Fund Investor Review provides profiles and analysis for the most important institutional investors in hedge funds from around the world. This invaluable resource contains the following key features: • Pro les for 1,000 key institutional investors arranged into 23 key regions from around the world. The 2012 Preqin Hedge Fund Investor Review • Pro les include fund preferences by strategy and geography, key nancial information, direct contact details for key personnel, sample investments. • Analysis for investors from each region. • Analysis for investors in each of the ten most important hedge fund strategies with listings for active investors. • Analysis and listings for investors looking to allocate to UCITS or managed account vehicles. alternative assets. intelligent data. • Analysis of emerging manager investors. • Exclusive information gained through direct contact with institutional investors. www.preqin.com/hfir For more information see www.preqin.com/h r I would like to purchase the 2012 Preqin Hedge Fund Investor Review: Single Copy: Additional Copies: Data Pack: $795 + $40 Shipping $180 + $20 Shipping $300 / £180 / €220 Data Pack contains all underlying data £465 + £10 Shipping £110 + £5 Shipping for charts and graphs contained in the publication. Only available alongside €550 + €25 Shipping €140 + €12 Shipping purchase of the publication. All prices correct at time of going to print. For current Shipping costs will not exceed a maximum of £15 / pricing, please see www.preqin.com $60 / €37 per order when all shipped to same address. If shipped to multiple addresses then full postage rates apply for additional copies. Completed Order Forms: Payment Details: Shipping Details: Post (to Preqin): One Grand Central Place Cheque enclosed (please make cheque payable to ‘Preqin’) Name: 60 E 42nd Street Suite 2544 Credit Card Amex Mastercard Firm: New York, NY 10165 Visa Please invoice me Job Title: Equitable House, 47 King William Street, Address: London, EC4R 9AF Card Number: Asia Square Tower 1 Name on Card: #07-04 8 Marina View Expiration Date: Singapore 018960 City: Security Code: Fax: Post/Zip: +1 440 445 9595 +44 (0)87 0330 5892 Country: +65 6407 1001 Email: Telephone: info@preqin.com Email: Telephone: American Express, four digit Visa and Mastercard, last code printed on the front of three digits printed on the +1 212 350 0100 signature strip. the card. +44 (0)20 7645 8888 +65 6407 1011