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IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)   1
Flow Of Presentation
2


       Industrial Scenario – Global

       National scenario

       Market scenario

       Telecommunication services

       Future trends

       Regulatory in INDIA




                                   IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
Industrial Scenario - Global
3

       Generate – USD 1.4 trillion (Year 2009) – Recession times

       Asia – Pacific Region : expecting highest growth in next 5 years.

       16% - India & China

       Latin America & Caribbean – 12%

       China (largest telecom operator) – 50% to rural areas

       Asia – booming market

       Japan 3rd largest – 30 million broadband users after US & China.

                                   IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
Mobile Subscriber Base (% Share Of World)
4




                              19%
                                                                     China

                                                                     India
                                     12%

              62%                                                    USA
                                    7%
                                                                     Others


                                               Source: EIU (Economist Intelligence Unit)



                      IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
National Scenario
5

       Emerged – largest & fastest economy

       Recession – but growth in economy

       Service Sector – primary engine growth

       Telecom Sector – significant contribution Private players

       Indian Mobile Market – attractive across the globe

       Internet/Broadband subscribers    - 14.05m internet subscribers   & 6.62m
        broadband subscribers (June 2009)

       Advanced Technologies – GSM, CDMA, WLL, 3G , 4G and upcoming 5G

                                     IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
Contd…
6


       Contribution of nearly 1% to India’s GDP

       Broadband Policy 2004 – Government of India aims at 10 million
        broadband connections & 20 million internet connections by 2008.

       9 GSM and 5CDMA operators providing mobile services in 19 telecom
        circles and 4 metro cities, covering 2000 towns across the country

           GSM                        CDMA/WLL                       Fixed LINE
• VODAFONE                     • BSNL                        •   BSNL
• AIRTEL                       • MTNL                        •   MTNL
• BSNL                         • TATA INDICOM
                                                             •   BHARTI
• IDEA                         • TATA DOCCOMO
                               • VIRGIN MOBILE
                                                             •   TATA TELECOM
• SPICE
• AIRCELL                      • RELIANCE
• RELIANCE
• TATA DOCCOMO
• TATA INDICOM

                                    IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
Market Scenario
7

       Adding 8-10 million subscribers every month

       Potential of 700 million subscribers in next 5 years.

       Mobile subscribers – 350 million, 2nd only to China.

       MVAS accounts for 10% of the total revenue.

       Stanford University Study – MVAS touch US $ 2.74 billion by 2010.

       Tata Teleservices – invest an additional US $ 1 billion in TATA DoCoMo

       BSNL – will put US $ 1.16 billion in WiMax Project

       Vodafone Essar – invest US $ 6 billion next 3 years to increase mobile subscriber
        base

       Bharti Airtel – US $ 126.5 million to strengthen Assam & Northeast Circles.

                                         IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
Telecom Subscriber Base In India
8




                                                            464.82




                                                   325.79



                                      225.01


                          153.42

                 104.22
        76.53




        Jan-04   Jan-05    Jan-06      Jan-07      Jan-08   Jan-09



                          IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)                     Source: TRAI
Connecting Rural India
9

       Contributes 45% of GDP

       76.65 million fixed & WLL.

       551,064 Village Public Telephones

       92% of the villages covered

       Highest in Punjab (20.69%), H.P (17.09%), Kerala (10.63) & Haryana
        (10.20%)

       TRAI released recommendations for accelerating growth



        “THE LARGELY UNTAPPED RURAL MARKET WILL DRIVE THE NEXT PHASE OF
          TELECOM GROWTH IN THE COUNTRY, SUPPORTED BY AN ENABLING
           ENVIRONMENT AND FOCUSED INITIATIVES BY TELECOM PLAYERS”
                                      IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
Market Share Of Wireless Service Operators In
     India (June 2009)
10

                          1%
                         1%                            Bharti
                         5%                            Reliance
                   11%                  23%            Vodafone
                                                       BSNL
              9%                                       Tata
                                                       Idea
                                                       Aircel
               13%                         19%
                                                       MTNL
                                                       Others
                          18%


                              IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)            Source: TRAI
Market Share Of Mobile Handset Companies
11



                     MARKET SHARE OF MOBILE HANDSET COMPANIES
                                  3.60%
                    1.30% 1.50%

            3.50%     5.60%                                Nokia

                                                           Sony Ericsson
              4.50%                                        Samsung

                                                           LG
             10%
                                                           Motorola

                                                 64%       ZTE
               6%
                                                           Huawei

                                                           Haier

                                                           Others
                                                                           Source: TRAI

                                  IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
Market Share Of Network Provider
12




                      IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)   Source: TRAI
Market Share – Rural & Urban
13


                                Rural     Urban




                                    73%              71.60%   70.70%
         74.80%    74.40%




                                    27%              28.40%   29.30%
         25.20%    25.60%




       Jun-08     Sep-08          Dec-08             Mar-09   Jun-09

                            IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)                 Source: TRAI
Value Added Services in India
14




                                                   Person-to-Person SMS
                     4%
               10%
                                                   Ringtone Download

         17%                    44%
                                                   Person to Application &
                                                   Application to Person
                                                   SMS
                                                   Games & Data

                25%
                                                   Others (MMS, etc. )



                          IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)                    Source: TRAI
Contd…
15

        As per COAI, income from VAS was 10% of total income of service providers
         in 06-07
            SMS                             57%
            Caller line identification      6%
            Other VAS                       19%
            Ring tones                      7%
            Content download                6%
            GPRS                            5%


        VAS supplied by mobile network operators or VASP/CP
        Many national and international investors ready to invest in this segment of
         telecom market.


                                          IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
GSM/CDMA/GPRS
16




        GSM - GSM (Global System for Mobile Communications)


        Code division multiple Access (CDMA)


        GPRS - General packet radio service (GPRS)
            charged per megabyte of traffic transferred
            Traditional circuit switching
                MMS
                PUSH TO TALK use cell phone as a WALKIE TALKIE
                INSTANT MESSAGING
                INTERNET BROWSING


                                             IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
3G Technology
17


        Supports diverse multimedia applications

        Enables triple play and broadband services

        Requires huge bandwidth (15-20 MHz)

        Providing high-speed internet, fast downloading and video calling.

        More than 60 3G networks present across 25 countries.

        Transfers both voice data and non-voice data




                                       IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
Contd…
18


        BSNL and MTNL spectrums allotted immediately and private co. to get
         spectrum allocations by 2009-10

        Main highlight – video calling

        Finance Ministry decided of reserve price to be Rs. 4040cr in 2008 but it
         has been recently brought down by DOT to Rs. 3500cr.

            Metro & Circle A              Rs. 160cr.

            Circle B                      Rs. 80cr.

            Circle C                      Rs. 30cr.

        Govt. to earn about Rs. 30k-40k cr. for 4 spectrum blocks


                                     IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
Future Trends
19



        Location based services

        Mobile music will increase with better bandwidth

        Migration to 3G will increase ARPU

        Mobile commerce might be developed further

        Mobile email will be driven by enterprises

        Stocks on mobile will see an uptake




                                    IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
Telecom Regulatory Authority of INDIA
20


        MISSION –

                “To create and nurture conditions for growth of telecommunications in
                 the country in a manner and at a pace which will enable India to play
                 a leading role in emerging global information society.”

        OBJECTIVES –

            Fair and transparent policy environment

            Issue of regulations, orders and directives from time to time

            Which covers tariff, interconnection and quality of service




                                         IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
The Cellular Operators Association of India
21


        COAI – registered, non-profit, non-governmental society

        Dedicated to the advancement of communication, particularly modern
         communication


        VISION –
           “To establish and sustain a world-class cellular infrastructure and
           facilitate affordable mobile communication services in India.”


        OBJECTIVES –
             To protect the common & collective interests of its members.



                                     IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
Department of Telecom
22


        Grant licenses for various telecom services

               Unified Access Service Internet and VSAT service

        Frequency management in the field of radio communication

        Enforces wireless regulatory measures by monitoring wireless transmission
         in the country.




                                    IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
23




     IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
24




     IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)

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Telecom final

  • 2. Flow Of Presentation 2  Industrial Scenario – Global  National scenario  Market scenario  Telecommunication services  Future trends  Regulatory in INDIA IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 3. Industrial Scenario - Global 3  Generate – USD 1.4 trillion (Year 2009) – Recession times  Asia – Pacific Region : expecting highest growth in next 5 years.  16% - India & China  Latin America & Caribbean – 12%  China (largest telecom operator) – 50% to rural areas  Asia – booming market  Japan 3rd largest – 30 million broadband users after US & China. IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 4. Mobile Subscriber Base (% Share Of World) 4 19% China India 12% 62% USA 7% Others Source: EIU (Economist Intelligence Unit) IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 5. National Scenario 5  Emerged – largest & fastest economy  Recession – but growth in economy  Service Sector – primary engine growth  Telecom Sector – significant contribution Private players  Indian Mobile Market – attractive across the globe  Internet/Broadband subscribers - 14.05m internet subscribers & 6.62m broadband subscribers (June 2009)  Advanced Technologies – GSM, CDMA, WLL, 3G , 4G and upcoming 5G IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 6. Contd… 6  Contribution of nearly 1% to India’s GDP  Broadband Policy 2004 – Government of India aims at 10 million broadband connections & 20 million internet connections by 2008.  9 GSM and 5CDMA operators providing mobile services in 19 telecom circles and 4 metro cities, covering 2000 towns across the country GSM CDMA/WLL Fixed LINE • VODAFONE • BSNL • BSNL • AIRTEL • MTNL • MTNL • BSNL • TATA INDICOM • BHARTI • IDEA • TATA DOCCOMO • VIRGIN MOBILE • TATA TELECOM • SPICE • AIRCELL • RELIANCE • RELIANCE • TATA DOCCOMO • TATA INDICOM IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 7. Market Scenario 7  Adding 8-10 million subscribers every month  Potential of 700 million subscribers in next 5 years.  Mobile subscribers – 350 million, 2nd only to China.  MVAS accounts for 10% of the total revenue.  Stanford University Study – MVAS touch US $ 2.74 billion by 2010.  Tata Teleservices – invest an additional US $ 1 billion in TATA DoCoMo  BSNL – will put US $ 1.16 billion in WiMax Project  Vodafone Essar – invest US $ 6 billion next 3 years to increase mobile subscriber base  Bharti Airtel – US $ 126.5 million to strengthen Assam & Northeast Circles. IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 8. Telecom Subscriber Base In India 8 464.82 325.79 225.01 153.42 104.22 76.53 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12) Source: TRAI
  • 9. Connecting Rural India 9  Contributes 45% of GDP  76.65 million fixed & WLL.  551,064 Village Public Telephones  92% of the villages covered  Highest in Punjab (20.69%), H.P (17.09%), Kerala (10.63) & Haryana (10.20%)  TRAI released recommendations for accelerating growth “THE LARGELY UNTAPPED RURAL MARKET WILL DRIVE THE NEXT PHASE OF TELECOM GROWTH IN THE COUNTRY, SUPPORTED BY AN ENABLING ENVIRONMENT AND FOCUSED INITIATIVES BY TELECOM PLAYERS” IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 10. Market Share Of Wireless Service Operators In India (June 2009) 10 1% 1% Bharti 5% Reliance 11% 23% Vodafone BSNL 9% Tata Idea Aircel 13% 19% MTNL Others 18% IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12) Source: TRAI
  • 11. Market Share Of Mobile Handset Companies 11 MARKET SHARE OF MOBILE HANDSET COMPANIES 3.60% 1.30% 1.50% 3.50% 5.60% Nokia Sony Ericsson 4.50% Samsung LG 10% Motorola 64% ZTE 6% Huawei Haier Others Source: TRAI IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 12. Market Share Of Network Provider 12 IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12) Source: TRAI
  • 13. Market Share – Rural & Urban 13 Rural Urban 73% 71.60% 70.70% 74.80% 74.40% 27% 28.40% 29.30% 25.20% 25.60% Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12) Source: TRAI
  • 14. Value Added Services in India 14 Person-to-Person SMS 4% 10% Ringtone Download 17% 44% Person to Application & Application to Person SMS Games & Data 25% Others (MMS, etc. ) IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12) Source: TRAI
  • 15. Contd… 15  As per COAI, income from VAS was 10% of total income of service providers in 06-07  SMS 57%  Caller line identification 6%  Other VAS 19%  Ring tones 7%  Content download 6%  GPRS 5%  VAS supplied by mobile network operators or VASP/CP  Many national and international investors ready to invest in this segment of telecom market. IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 16. GSM/CDMA/GPRS 16  GSM - GSM (Global System for Mobile Communications)  Code division multiple Access (CDMA)  GPRS - General packet radio service (GPRS)  charged per megabyte of traffic transferred  Traditional circuit switching  MMS  PUSH TO TALK use cell phone as a WALKIE TALKIE  INSTANT MESSAGING  INTERNET BROWSING IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 17. 3G Technology 17  Supports diverse multimedia applications  Enables triple play and broadband services  Requires huge bandwidth (15-20 MHz)  Providing high-speed internet, fast downloading and video calling.  More than 60 3G networks present across 25 countries.  Transfers both voice data and non-voice data IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 18. Contd… 18  BSNL and MTNL spectrums allotted immediately and private co. to get spectrum allocations by 2009-10  Main highlight – video calling  Finance Ministry decided of reserve price to be Rs. 4040cr in 2008 but it has been recently brought down by DOT to Rs. 3500cr.  Metro & Circle A Rs. 160cr.  Circle B Rs. 80cr.  Circle C Rs. 30cr.  Govt. to earn about Rs. 30k-40k cr. for 4 spectrum blocks IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 19. Future Trends 19  Location based services  Mobile music will increase with better bandwidth  Migration to 3G will increase ARPU  Mobile commerce might be developed further  Mobile email will be driven by enterprises  Stocks on mobile will see an uptake IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 20. Telecom Regulatory Authority of INDIA 20  MISSION –  “To create and nurture conditions for growth of telecommunications in the country in a manner and at a pace which will enable India to play a leading role in emerging global information society.”  OBJECTIVES –  Fair and transparent policy environment  Issue of regulations, orders and directives from time to time  Which covers tariff, interconnection and quality of service IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 21. The Cellular Operators Association of India 21  COAI – registered, non-profit, non-governmental society  Dedicated to the advancement of communication, particularly modern communication  VISION – “To establish and sustain a world-class cellular infrastructure and facilitate affordable mobile communication services in India.”  OBJECTIVES – To protect the common & collective interests of its members. IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 22. Department of Telecom 22  Grant licenses for various telecom services  Unified Access Service Internet and VSAT service  Frequency management in the field of radio communication  Enforces wireless regulatory measures by monitoring wireless transmission in the country. IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 23. 23 IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)
  • 24. 24 IIPM AHMEDABAD (09-12)