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2013 K9 VENTURES LP EVENT
EXCERPT
Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC
MARKET OUTLOOK
Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC
Market Outlook
■ Significant	
  *ghtening	
  in	
  funding	
  climate	
  
■ Started	
  at	
  Series	
  A	
  
■ Not	
  A	
  Series	
  A	
  Crunch,	
  but	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  over-­‐funding	
  at	
  Seed	
  
■ Series	
  A	
  investors	
  could	
  be	
  more	
  picky	
  
■ Expanded	
  to	
  Seed	
  and	
  Series	
  B	
  as	
  well	
  
■ Implica*ons:	
  
■ Fund	
  I:	
  Seed	
  companies	
  are	
  having	
  a	
  harder	
  *me	
  raising	
  
■ Fund	
  II:	
  Valua*ons	
  are	
  coming	
  down,	
  good	
  deals	
  to	
  be	
  made
Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC
Market Outlook
■ Massive	
  late	
  stage	
  rounds	
  Series	
  C	
  /	
  Series	
  D	
  
■ Only	
  for	
  companies	
  with	
  trac*on	
  
■ Low	
  supply,	
  high	
  demand	
  is	
  driving	
  up	
  valua*ons	
  and	
  deal	
  sizes	
  
■ Implica*ons:	
  
■ Companies	
  that	
  get	
  to	
  trac*on	
  will	
  have	
  significant	
  capital	
  
■ Scaling	
  is	
  hard	
  
■ Curse	
  of	
  over	
  capitaliza*on	
  
■ Winner	
  takes	
  all
Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC
Market Outlook
■ Seed	
  stage	
  is	
  TOUGH	
  for	
  companies	
  
■ Need	
  to	
  show	
  significant	
  trac*on	
  for	
  Series	
  A	
  
■ Takes	
  longer	
  to	
  build	
  trac*on	
  
■ Hiring	
  costs	
  have	
  gone	
  up	
  drama*cally	
  
■ $150K/head/year	
  fully	
  loaded	
  is	
  considered	
  LOW	
  
■ Lower	
  infrastructure	
  and	
  startup	
  cost,	
  but	
  much	
  higher	
  opera*ng	
  cost	
  
■ Implica*ons:	
  
■ Raise	
  as	
  much	
  capital	
  at	
  Seed	
  stage	
  as	
  possible	
  
■ My	
  recommenda*on	
  has	
  been	
  to	
  target	
  between	
  $1M	
  -­‐	
  $1.5M
Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC
Market Outlook
■ Re-­‐jiggering	
  of	
  deal	
  stages	
  and	
  sizes	
  
■ Seed	
  is	
  NOT	
  the	
  first	
  round	
  any	
  more!	
  
■ Several	
  of	
  K9’s	
  deal	
  are	
  now	
  “pre-­‐seed”	
  
■ Seed	
  rounds	
  ge_ng	
  larger	
  	
  
■ Now	
  closer	
  to	
  $1.5M	
  -­‐	
  $2M,	
  up	
  from	
  $500K	
  -­‐	
  $1M	
  
■ Series	
  A	
  is	
  the	
  4th	
  round	
  of	
  funding	
  
■ 3Fs	
  or	
  incubators,	
  pre-­‐seed,	
  seed,	
  and	
  then	
  Series	
  A	
  
■ Implica*ons:	
  
■ K9’s	
  focus	
  is	
  first	
  significant	
  funding,	
  regardless	
  of	
  nomenclature
Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC
Market Outlook
■ The	
  new	
  normal	
  and	
  the	
  new	
  nomenclature	
  
■ Seed	
  is	
  the	
  new	
  Series	
  A	
  
■ Super	
  Angels	
  are	
  now	
  Micro	
  VCs	
  
■ Ins*tu*onaliza*on	
  of	
  the	
  early	
  stage	
  means	
  it	
  has	
  matured	
  
■ Using	
  similar	
  metrics	
  as	
  Series	
  A	
  used	
  to	
  use	
  
■ Equity-­‐only,	
  board	
  seats	
  	
  
■ Seed	
  round	
  is	
  bigger	
  
■ Series	
  A	
  is	
  the	
  new	
  Series	
  B	
  
■ Great	
  blog	
  post	
  by	
  Jeff	
  Jordan	
  @	
  A16Z	
  
■ Implica*ons:	
  
■ Adapt	
  to	
  new	
  nomenclature,	
  but	
  retain	
  early	
  focus
Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC
Thank You
Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC

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Excerpt 2013 K9 Ventures LP Gathering

  • 1. from 2013 K9 VENTURES LP EVENT EXCERPT
  • 2. Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC MARKET OUTLOOK
  • 3. Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC Market Outlook ■ Significant  *ghtening  in  funding  climate   ■ Started  at  Series  A   ■ Not  A  Series  A  Crunch,  but  a  result  of  over-­‐funding  at  Seed   ■ Series  A  investors  could  be  more  picky   ■ Expanded  to  Seed  and  Series  B  as  well   ■ Implica*ons:   ■ Fund  I:  Seed  companies  are  having  a  harder  *me  raising   ■ Fund  II:  Valua*ons  are  coming  down,  good  deals  to  be  made
  • 4. Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC Market Outlook ■ Massive  late  stage  rounds  Series  C  /  Series  D   ■ Only  for  companies  with  trac*on   ■ Low  supply,  high  demand  is  driving  up  valua*ons  and  deal  sizes   ■ Implica*ons:   ■ Companies  that  get  to  trac*on  will  have  significant  capital   ■ Scaling  is  hard   ■ Curse  of  over  capitaliza*on   ■ Winner  takes  all
  • 5. Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC Market Outlook ■ Seed  stage  is  TOUGH  for  companies   ■ Need  to  show  significant  trac*on  for  Series  A   ■ Takes  longer  to  build  trac*on   ■ Hiring  costs  have  gone  up  drama*cally   ■ $150K/head/year  fully  loaded  is  considered  LOW   ■ Lower  infrastructure  and  startup  cost,  but  much  higher  opera*ng  cost   ■ Implica*ons:   ■ Raise  as  much  capital  at  Seed  stage  as  possible   ■ My  recommenda*on  has  been  to  target  between  $1M  -­‐  $1.5M
  • 6. Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC Market Outlook ■ Re-­‐jiggering  of  deal  stages  and  sizes   ■ Seed  is  NOT  the  first  round  any  more!   ■ Several  of  K9’s  deal  are  now  “pre-­‐seed”   ■ Seed  rounds  ge_ng  larger     ■ Now  closer  to  $1.5M  -­‐  $2M,  up  from  $500K  -­‐  $1M   ■ Series  A  is  the  4th  round  of  funding   ■ 3Fs  or  incubators,  pre-­‐seed,  seed,  and  then  Series  A   ■ Implica*ons:   ■ K9’s  focus  is  first  significant  funding,  regardless  of  nomenclature
  • 7. Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC Market Outlook ■ The  new  normal  and  the  new  nomenclature   ■ Seed  is  the  new  Series  A   ■ Super  Angels  are  now  Micro  VCs   ■ Ins*tu*onaliza*on  of  the  early  stage  means  it  has  matured   ■ Using  similar  metrics  as  Series  A  used  to  use   ■ Equity-­‐only,  board  seats     ■ Seed  round  is  bigger   ■ Series  A  is  the  new  Series  B   ■ Great  blog  post  by  Jeff  Jordan  @  A16Z   ■ Implica*ons:   ■ Adapt  to  new  nomenclature,  but  retain  early  focus
  • 8. Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC Thank You Copyright © 2008-2013 K9 Ventures, LLC