2. Introduction
• Retailing in India is one of the pillars of India’s economy and
accounts for 14 to 15 percent of its GDP.
• Organized retailing, in India, refers to trading activities
undertaken by licensed retailers, that is, those who are
registered for sales tax, income tax, etc. These include the
publicly traded supermarkets, corporate-
backed hypermarkets and retail chains, and also the
privately owned large retail businesses. Organised retailing
accounts for 4% of total retailing.
• Unorganized retailing, on the other hand, refers to the
traditional formats of low-cost retailing, for example, the
local corner shops, owner manned general
stores, paan/beedi shops, convenience stores, hand
cart and pavement vendors, etc.
3. Retail Industry Evolution
Established Emerging
Traditional formats Formats
Formats Kirana shops Exclusive retail outlets
Itinerant Salesman Convenience/ Hypermarket
Haats department stores Internal retail
Melas PDS/ Malls / Specialty Malls
Mandis etc. fair price shops Multiplexes
Pan/ Beedi shops Fast food outlets
Service galleries
4. Trends in retailing
• In January 2012, India approved reforms for
single-brand stores welcoming anyone in the
world to innovate in Indian retail market with
100% ownership, but imposed the requirement
that the single brand retailer source 30% of its
goods from India.
• On 7 December 2012, the Federal Government of
India allowed 51% FDI in multi-brand retail in
India.
5. Internal Rivalry
• Rivalry refers to number of companies competing
in the same markets.
• If there is intense rivalry in an industry, it will
encourage businesses to engage in:
1) Price wars (competitive price reductions),
2) Investment in innovation & new products
Intensive promotion (sales promotion and higher
spending on advertising)
• All these activities are likely to increase costs and
lower profits.
6. • The presence of different types of retailers
in India , i.e, foreign retailers and domestic
organized and unorganized retail , creates
diversity in competition.
• Foreign and domesic retailers in organized
sector are competing on large size , broad
assortment ,self service format and
pleasant store environment.
7. • Product differentiation can increase
profitibility by creating lesser rivalry in the
market
• Smaller retailers are moving towards
organised formats by including branded
merchandise in their offerings.
• Presence of foreign retailers and increased
competition create product diversity and
innovation in the market.
8. Characteriza Future
tion Trend
(current)
Degree of seller High High
concentration
Excess capacity Medium High
Cost structure of firm High High
Degree of product Medium High
differentiation among seller
Buyer’s cost of switching Low Low
from one competitor to
another
Strength of exit barriers Low to Low to
Medium Medium
10. 1. ECONOMIES OF SCALE
• Retailing- one of the business enterprises of economy.
• Accounts for 14-15% of GDP as Aug,12.
• Market share- US $450 billion.
By 2020,
• Expected to cross US $1.3 trillion.
• Additional US $800 billion in next 8 years.
• Modern retail will grow upto US $220 billion.
11. 2. ACCESS TO DISTRIBUTION
CHANNELS
• The emergence of Digital Channels-
To augment customers’ reach and engage with them.
• In India- Lack of physical presence, low technology
penetration and usage and imperfect payment
mechanisms.
• Sales through digital marketing-
Miniscule percentage today
• By 2020, US $13.3-17.6 billion with 6-8% of modern
retailing
12. 3. GOVERNMENT PROTECTION OF
INCUMBENTS
Conditions contemplated by government-
• Requirement of State permission
• Minimum FDI of `450Cr and maximum stake of 51%
• Half of the total investment must be in the back-end
infrastructure.
• 30% manufactured products should be sourced from
SME.
14. The Road Ahead for new entrants
• Growth opportunities for foreign retailers.
• Particularly, for supermarket and hypermarket.
• Mom-n-pop'/'kirana' grocery stores - force to reckon with for
new foreign entrants.
• Liberalization- phased and calibrated.
• Time for potential foreign entrants to make earnest start
with strategizing locations.
• Luxury brands like Marks & Spencer, Louis Vuitton or
Versace - to open more stores in the country.
15. Threat of substitute in the Retail
Industry
• Availability of Substitutes:
The tendency in retail is not to specialize in one good or
service, but to deal in a wide range of products and
services. This means that what one store offers you will
likely find at another store. Retailers offering products
that are unique have a distinct or absolute advantage
over their competitors.
16. Threat of Substitute Products or
Services
• Threat of substitute products or services – high when
there are many alternatives to a product or service, and
low when there are few alternatives
• If you’re a buyer, you want this to be high
• If you’re a supplier, you want this to be low
5-16
17. Threat of Substitute Products
Keys to evaluate substitute products:
Products Products with improving
with similar price/performance tradeoffs
function relative to present industry
limit the products
prices firms
can charge Example:
Electronic security systems in
place of security guards
Fax machines in place of
overnight mail delivery
18. Porter’s 5 Forces and Profit
Force Profitability will Profitability will
be higher if: be lower if:
Threat of Few possible Many possible
substitutes substitutes substitutes
19. Threat of Substitute Products or
Services
• As a supplier, you can use switching costs
• Switching costs – costs that make customers reluctant
to switch to another supplier
• Can be monetary penalties for early termination
• Can be like Amazon, which tracks information about you and tailors
offerings
5-19
20. Examples
• Products/services facing a strong threat of
substitution:
• Washing powder. A dozen of brands sitting on
the shelves and waiting for consumers to pick
them up. Consumer will often pick up the one
that is on special on shopping day.
• Retail Outlets. Don't like Dmart . Shop at Big
Bazar
• Products/services facing a weak threat of
substitution:
• Oil. Although alternative forms of energy are
being studied and introduced, most engines
today run on gasoline. Gasoline can not be
replaced that quickly on a large scale.
21. • The threat of substitute product can be evaluated in the
terms of the availability and performance of substitutes,
switching cost incurred by the customers and propensity
of the consumer to consume.
• There is a high threat of substitution the Indian retail
market due its unique market structure. Indian consumers
have an array of options to choose ,including small
unorganised retailers and large organised retailers for
domestic and foreign brands.
22. Availability of close complement
• A perfect complement is a good that has to be
consumed with another good.
Other examples include:
Printers and ink cartridges
DVD players and DVDs
Computer hardware and computer software
Torch and battery
Car and petrol
23. 23
Substitutes and Complements
• Although the five-forces analysis does not
directly consider demand, it considers two
important factors that influence demand-
substitutes and complements.
• Substitutes erode profits in the same way as
entrants by stealing business and intensifying
competition.
• Complements boost the demand for the
product in question, thereby enhancing profit
opportunities for the industry.
24. Bargaining Power of Customers
The power of the buyer is the impact that the customers has on a
producing industry.
In general, when the buyers power is strong, the relationship to the
producing industry is near to market in which there are many
supplier and only one buyer.
Under such conditions the buyer sets the price.
In reality there are few such markets.
However the Indian retail sectors are characterized by high buyer-to-
supplier ratio with highest density of retail outlets in the world
,making India a supplier’s market.
The Retail sector can be broadly divided into two segments:
Value Retailing- which is typically a low margin-high volume
business
Lifestyle Retailing-which is a high margin-low volume
25. Factors determining the bargaining power
of customers.
Number of Customers
Their size of their orders
Number of firms supplying the product
The threat of integrating backward
The cost of switching
26. Future Trend
In the retail Industry food dominates market consumption followed by
fashion.
The relatively low contribution of other categories indicates opportunity
for organized retail growth in these segments, especially with India
being one of the world’s youngest markets.
Historically, Indians have been conservative spenders ,thus food forms a
huge chunk of India’s consumption needs.
Transition from traditional retail to organized retailing is taking place due
to changing consumer expectations, demographic mix etc. With the
revival in consumer spending, expansion plans of retailers are back in
full swing.
Many International brands have entered the market.
With FDI coming in the bargaining power of the customers will increase
further.
27. Bargaining Power of suppliers
• Bargaining power of suppliers is the ability of a
supplier to control the cost and supply of the
inputs in the market.
• The supplier power of an industry can be altered
in many ways, which can include
I. Differentiation of inputs.
II.Switching costs for transferring to other
suppliers.
28. Bargaining power of suppliers
• The number of buyers and the existence of a few dominant
suppliers influence the bargaining power of suppliers.
• Brand manufacturers can set up their own retail outlets which
can be seen as a threat.
• The suppliers to the retail sector are the companies who
actually provide the finished products that can be sold in a
retail store.
29. Power of suppliers : Retail industry
• The bargaining power of suppliers varies from product to
product, however, at an overall level one can say that the
bargaining power of suppliers in India is low because there are
a large number of potential suppliers in the market.
• Supplier can exert power by threatening to raise prices or
reduce the quality of purchased goods.
• Large no of suppliers and product differentiation is low.
30. Power of Suppliers : Retail Industry
• Varies depending upon the target segment, the format
followed, and products on offer.
• The unorganised sector has a dominant position, still
contributing 95% of the total retail market.
• There are few players who have a slight edge over
others on account of being established players and
enjoying brand distinction.
• Since it is a capital intensive industry, access to capital
also plays an important part for expansion in the
space.
31. Factors affecting power of suppliers
Current Future trend
Do supplier pose credible Less only a few Can be a option for
Threat of forward integration main suppliers many well known brands
into the product market ? have started to control direct
distribution.
Do firms in industry purchase Most of the firms Firms will purchase in
in small volumes relative to are still local bulk as organised retail
other customers of supplier? retailers who is set to grow in India in
purchase in the coming years.
relatively small
volume.
Are suppliers able to price They are able to They may have a
discriminate among discriminate problem as there would
prospective customers customers based be many new players in
according to ability to pay for on their the retail market.
33. Strengths
• High brand equity .
• State of the art infrastructure.
• A vast variety of products under one roof.
• Maximum percent of footfalls converted in sales.
• It offers a family shopping experience, where entire family
can visit together.
• Benefit of early entry into the retail industry.
• Huge investment capacity.
• Biggest value retail chain in India .
• Available facilities such as online booking & delivery of
goods.
34. Weakness
• Long lines at billing counters which are time
consuming.
• High cost of operations due to large fixed costs.
• Unable to meet store opening targets on time.
• Falling revenue per sq ft.
• Overcrowded during offers and peak seasons.
• Many branded products are are still missing from Big
Bazaar’s line of products.
• High attrition rate of employees.
35. Opportunities
• Lot of potential in the rural market and can also
expand the business in smaller towns .
• They can enter into production of various products
due to their understanding of customer’s taste and
preferences.
• Organised retail is expected to garner about 16-
18 % of the total retail market in the next 5 years.
• Increasing mall culture in India.
• Improving in store experiences according to
evolving customer preferences.
• FDI in retail.
36. Threats
Competition from other value retail chains such
as Shoprite, Reliance (Fresh and trends),
Hypercity and D mart.
Unorganized retail also appears to be a threat
to Big Bazaar’s business.
Changing Government policies.
International players looking to foray into the
market.
High business risk involved and margin of
business reducing all the time.
Increasing number of Online retail sites.
37. SWOT matrix
Strength – Opportunity Strength- Threat
•High brand equity and huge investment •Selling goods at a lesser price will
capacity can help them to enter rural markets help them to overcome the threat of
and smaller towns. local retailers where the goods are
priced higher.
•Private labels offering good value will have
huge scope given the escalating prices of •Brand awareness and loyalty is high
conventional branded offerings. Big Bazaar will due to which many people buy goods
have an advantage due to their scale. from Big Bazaar in the supermarket
category this may suppress the threat
•As a biggest retail value chain in India it should of other competitors.
try to establish partnerships with foreign players
after FDI in retail announcement.
Weakness- Opportunity Weakness- Threat
•It can reduce the waiting time of customers at •High attrition rate will lead to more
billing counters and improve the in store untrained staff, lack of knowlegde and
customer experience by opening more may decrease service quality affecting
counters and keeping them always functional sales.
with adequate staff. • Absence of many branded products
may give the competitors a huge
edge .
Retail is the sale of goods and services from individuals or businesses to the end-user. Retailers are part of an integrated system called the supply chain. A retailer purchases goods or products in large quantities from manufacturers directly or through a wholesale, and then sells smaller quantities to the consumer for a profit.
source: Ernst &Young, The Great Indian Retail Story, 2006
2)Excess capacity is accompanied by two things: one is the ability to satisfy each customer and other is a bit negative which is to do a lot with the cost of holding the excess capacity. So a retail store has to make a balance between both and make correct decisions to make a profitable mix.
Profitable markets that yield high returns will attract new firms. This results in many new entrants, which eventually will decrease profitability for all firms in the industry. Unless the entry of new firms can be blocked by incumbents, the abnormal profit rate will trend towards zero (perfect competition). In theories of competition in economics, barriers to entry are obstacles that make it difficult to enter a given market. The term can refer to hindrances a firm faces in trying to enter a market or industry - such as government regulation, or a large, established firm taking advantage of economies of scale
The emergence of Digital Channels (3 screens, that is, Laptop, Smartphone & Flat Panel Televisions) can augment a retailer’s physical stores to not only reach customers anywhere but also engage with customers across relevant channels. Unlike matured retail markets, where brick and mortar retailers feel the competition from pure click retailers, the scenario in India will be different. Lack of physical presence, low technology penetration and usage and imperfect payment mechanisms. 3. Sales through digital channels which is a miniscule percentage of modern retail today, will increase to 6 - 8 % of total modern retail amounting to about US$13.3 billion – US$17.6 billion by 2020
Permission from respective State governments would be necessary to open new stores • Minimum limit of USD100 million (about`450-460 Cr) for FDI in multi-brand retail • Half of the total investment must be allotted for the back-end infrastructure like cold storage, soil testing labs and seed farming • 30% manufactured products should be sourced from small and medium enterprises (SMEs).
Source: Deloitte Retail POV "Indian Retail Market: Changing with the changing times“
Although all the retail segments offer growth opportunities for foreign retailers, the largest opportunity in terms of potential market size and scalability is in grocery retailing, particularly for the supermarket and hypermarket formats. However, the large population of 'mom-n-pop'/'kirana' grocery stores is likely to be a force to reckon with for new foreign entrants. Liberalization of FDI in multi-brand retail is getting closer to reality. the liberalization is likely to be more phased and calibrated. Therefore, it is time for potential foreign entrants to make an earnest start with developing their plans, strategize their store locations and initiate discussions with their local partners. The limited foreign direct investment allowed by the government in the retail industry will not have much impact on the Big Bazaars and Shopper's Stops but it will allow luxury brands like Marks & Spencer, Louis Vuitton or Versace - which are currently taking the franchisee route - to open more stores in the country.
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We all know that Customers are the most important components of any business, and it has been observed that “a factor which plays a key role in determining the power of buyers is the ratio of suppliers to buyers in the market. India has come under the limelight as one of the fastest growing economies, and hence, it may be comprehended that the purchasing as well as bargaining power of the Indian consumers is increasing pretty fast. Furthermore, retailers should also realize that “in an age of the informed consumer, meeting the buyers’ expectations in terms of product, price and service is increasingly becoming difficult
Buyers possess a credible backward integration threat, they can threaten to buy from rivals. If customers pose a threat of integrating backwards they will enjoy increased power
The price at which the product is available to the retailer for selling to the end consumer is very important in retail, as it plays a large role in the actual profitability.