Regional Peace Poll - Israel-UAE-Bahrain - Konrad Adenauer Stiftung Israel - KEEVOON Global Research - 11 Nov 2020

A Multi-Country Study
Measuring the Attitudes of Citizens in Israel, UAE,
Bahrain, Palestinian Authority, Saudi Arabia, Qatar,
Morocco, United States, and Germany Towards the
Israel-UAE-Bahrain Peace Accords
Dr. Alexander Brakel, Representative to Israel
KONRAD-ADENAUER-STIFTUNG – ISRAEL OFFICE
Mitchell Barak
KEEVOON Global Research
11 November 2020

Survey Methodology
ISRAEL UAE BAHRAIN
PAL AUTH
(W. Bank)
SAUDI
ARABIA
QATAR MOROCCO GERMANY USA
Sample
Size
503 HEB
86 ARB
399 317 404 505 267 499 500 534
Data
Collection
18-23
October
18-25
October
18 Oct –
2 Nov
18-29
October
18-24
October
19 Oct –
2 Nov
18-24
October
19-26
October
18-27
October
Margin of
Error +/-
4.04% 4.91% 5.50% 4.88% 4.36% 6.00% 4.39% 4.38% 4.24%
• Representative sample in each country
• Quotas for Gender and Age based on population
• Data collection via mobile telephone, in-APP
• Screener for nationality in Gulf countries

Key Findings I
• Iran is not as big a threat as we like to think
• UAE and Bahrain are really 2 different countries – Abraham Accords
• Israelis like Emiratis and Bahrainis much more than they like us
• Minimal support for Abraham Accords among Gulf States
• Everybody likes the Palestinians (in the Gulf States)
• No “best broker” for Israelis and Palestinians – not even….USA
• Lukewarm support for right of Israel to exist, except UAE
• Moving US Embassy to Jerusalem diminishes possibility for Peace
• Health a greater concern than Finances for most
• Strong confidence in Government handling of COVID-19, except Israel
• Gulf States probably happy Joe Biden was elected, Israel MUCH less so

Generally, speaking, do you think that things in ________ are going in the
RIGHT DIRECTION, or the WRONG DIRECTION?
25
88
69
25
82
40
86
39
33
54
8 9
43
7
32
7
39
59
21
4
22
32
11
28
7
22
8
ISRAEL UAE BAHRAIN PAL AUTH SAUDI
ARABIA
MOROCCO QATAR GERMANY USA
RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG DIRECTION

COUNTRIES
Favorable / Unfavorable

Do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of……
CHART SHOWS TOTAL FOR ALL RESPONDENTS (4,014)
39
60
55
65
54
63
55
76
62
47
29
25
22
35
21
27
15
31
ARABIA
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE

Do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of……ISRAEL
76
46
31 33
23
16
28 26
53
20
43
48
56
65
70
59
49
28
4
11
21
11 12 14 13
25
19
ARABIA
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NOT SURE

Do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of……UAE
67
93
84
30
86
64
58
30
35
25
5
8
60
12
29
33
46
37
8
2
8 10
2
7 9
24
28
ARABIA

Do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of……BAHRAIN
49
89
86
29
85
60
65
24 26
32
8
5
59
11
20
28
31
26
19
3
9
12
4
20
7
45
48
ARABIA

Do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of……
PALESTINIAN AUTHORITY
20
74
70
56
71 73
80
21
28
73
21
13
34
20 19
15
48
42
7 5
17
10 9 8
5
31 30
ARABIA

Do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of……SAUDI ARABIA
45
86
83
38
93
54
64
21
28
43
12 10
52
4
38
30
56
52
12
2
7
10
3
8 6
23
20
ARABIA

Do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of……MOROCCO
52
82
65
68
79
74
78
32
52
32
13 12
23
13
21
12
38
1616
5
23
9 8
5
10
30 32
ARABIA

Do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of……QATAR
45
63
69
66
54
81
91
27 28
39
29
15
25
36
10
5
39
29
16
8
16
9 10 9
4
34
43
ARABIA

Do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of……GERMANY
65
89
72
80
86
90
78
68
65
29
7 9 11 9
5
14
23
18
6 4
19
9
5 5
8 9
17
ARABIA

Do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of……USA
78
73
62
45
69 70
61
25
74
20
23 25
45
25 26
34
62
21
2 4
13
10
6 4 5
13
5
ARABIA

Recently, the Abraham Accords, a Peace Agreement between Israel, United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain was signed at
the White House. Brokered by the United States, it normalizes relations between Israel and the UAE and Bahrain.
Do you SUPPORT or OPPOSE the agreement?
86
69
46
21
35
17
36
57
67
10
22
31
70
48
63
52
18
13
4
9
23
9
17
20
12
25
20
ARABIA
SUPPORT OPPOSE NOT SURE

Which areas do you think are most important for relations between
Israel and the UAE and Bahrain? (2 Combined Choices = 200%)
51 50
35
23 23
13
5
47
40
32
35
24
16
6
36
38
31
21
25
17
32
36 36
31
38
18
16
25
37 38
30 30
25
15
25
47
42
25
23
25
9
2929
44
31
22
28
16
30
61
49
15 16
29
14
16
56
43
19 20 20
31
11
SEC COOP ME TRADE/COMMERCE TOURISM SCIENCE/TECH REG DEV CULTURE NOT SURE
ISRAEL UAE BAHRAIN PAL AUTH SAUDI ARABIA MOROCCO QATAR GERMANY USA

Which areas do you think are most important for relations between
Israel and the UAE and Bahrain? (2 Combined Choices = 200%)
51
47
36 36
37
47
29
50
40
38
36
38
42
4
35
32
31 31
30
25
31
23
35
21
38
30
23
22
23
24
25
18
25 25
28
13
16
17
6
15
9
16
5
6
32
25 25
29
30
ISRAEL UAE BAHRAIN PAL AUTH SAUDI ARABIA MOROCCO QATAR
SEC COOP TRADE TOURISM SCI/TECH REG DEV CULTURE NOT SURE

When thinking the Abraham Accords, who benefits most,
Israel, the UAE and Bahrain, or the United States?
35
24 25
57
41
47
34
21
17
20
47
29
10
16
7
24
13
16
25
18
16
14
20
30
18
38
36
ARABIA
ISRAEL UAE/BAHRAIN USA

Which country do you think threatens regional stability MOST?
4
17
24
37
33
43
39
9
5
45
27
18
14
25
10
8
12
17
4
12
9
12
7
13
8
13
26
18
8
4
6
3 3
7
9
7
5
3 3
4
2
3
5
9
13
4
7
5
4
7
2
5
11
33
6
5
4
9
4
8
5
6
7 7
2
4
2
3
2
10
7
5
3 3
2 2
1
2
3
2
ARABIA
ISRAEL IRAN USA PAL AUTH RUSSIA TURKEY SAUDI ARABIA SYRIA LEBANON

How great a threat to the region do you think IRAN is? 1 – 10 /
Chart Shows MEAN (Average)
7.4
6
3.8
5.4
6.8
5.3
4.6
6.2
6.5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
ISRAEL UAE BAHRAIN PAL AUTH SAUDI ARABI MOROCCO QATAR GERMANY USA

How great a threat to the region do you think Iran is?
16
26
42
29
19
28
37
17 16
24
33
11
22
27
21
30
47
43
56
30
14
24
46
22
17
25
35
WEAK 1-4 MODERATE 5-7 STRONG 8-10

PALESTINIANS & ISRAELIS
ISRAELIS & PALESTINIANS

Do you AGREE or DISAGREE that there should be a Palestinian State?
35
81
72
84
88 90
85
47 45
58
11
6
9 7
2
9
24 22
7 8
22
7 5
8 6
29
33
ARABIA
AGREE DISAGREE NOT SURE

If an independent Palestinian State is not an option, which of the following would you support MOST?
17
10
8 8
11
6
12 13 13
26
17
15
26
24
21
29
11
13
9
36
15
9
20
18
16
21
15
24
17
12
10
8 8
16
13
15
24
20
50
47
37
47
27
42
44
BINAT STATE W/IL BINAT STATE W/JORDAN IL-PAL FEDERATION PAL UNDER IL - NO CITIZEN NOT SURE

Do you AGREE or DISAGREE that ISRAEL has the right to exist as the
“Nation-State of the Jewish People”?
81
61
22
13
24
20
30
46
69
14
28 29
76
63 61
46
18
12
5
11
49
11 13
19
24
36
19
ARABIA

Do you AGREE or DISAGREE that ISRAEL has the “Right to Exist”?
84
59
27
23 24 26
39
59
77
12
33
52
62 62
56 57
24
12
4
8
21
15 14
18
4
17
11
ARABIA

Nation State of the Jewish People VS. Right to Exist
81
61
22
13
24
20
30
46
69
84
59
27
23 24 26
39
59
77
ARABIA
NATION STATE RIGHT TO EXIST

Of the following which do you think can most effectively broker a deal between Israelis and Palestinians?
34
23
13
9
13
12
16
7
43
8
18
11
8
15
16
10
8
5
6
18
5
7
8
9 9
17
15
12
11
9
7
21
3
10
3
4
5
7
3
12
6 6
4
16
4
5
4
3
5
3
6 6
11
3
7
2
4
8
4
3
10
4 44 4
3
6
3 3
4 4
2
USA ARAB LEAGUE UNITED NATIONS SAUDI ARABIA EUROPEAN UNION GERMANY JORDAN RUSSIA

In 2018 the United States moved their Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem; do you
think it IMPROVES or DIMINISHES the chances for Peace in the region?
44
52
24
9
23
14
29
19
46
33 33
28
60
53 54
42 41
28
19
7
10
16
12
17
12
18
10
4
8
38
15
12
15
17
22
16
ARABIA
IMPROVES DIMINISHES NEITHER NOT SURE

Do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of JOE BIDEN
41
69
37
28
42
45
62
49
54
38
18 19
41
36
23 23
26
39
21
13
44
31
22
32
15
25
7
ARABIA

Do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE impression of DONALD TRUMP
58
51
28
14
38
19
38
15
47
37
41
33
69
44
61
53
73
46
5
8
39
17 18 20
9
12
7
ARABIA

FAVORABLE
JOE BIDEN vs. DONALD TRUMP
41
69
37
28
42
45
62
49
54
58
51
28
14
38
19
38
15
47
ARABIA
BIDEN TRUMP

Which candidate do you think will be more successful in the Middle East when it
comes to STABILITY and PEACE?
19
47
25
27
22
37
56
54
43
47
30
14
11
23
6
16
12
40
ARABIA
BIDEN TRUMP

COVID-19: While both are critical, looking towards the future, are you and your
family more concerned about your personal… HEALTH or FINANCES
48
52
65
50
61
45
60
66 66
52
48
35
50
39
55
40
34 34
ARABIA
HEALTH FINANCES

COVID-19: While both are critical, looking towards the future, are you and your
family more concerned about your personal… HEALTH or FINANCES
46 48
56
46 48 50
66 66
54 52
44
54 52 50
34 34
ISRAEL PAL AUTH GERMANY USA ISRAEL PAL AUTH GERMANY USA
HEALTH FINANCES
MAY 2020 NOVEMBER 2020

Do you SUPPORT or OPPOSE the way NETANYAHU / ABBAS / MERKEL / TRUMP / YOUR
GOVERNMENT is handling the Coronavirus outbreak and crisis?
38
88
76
53
86
49
84
58
47
55
8 11
33
9
42
10
29
48
ARABIA
SUPPORT OPPOSE

Do you SUPPORT or OPPOSE the way NETANYAHU / ABBAS / MERKEL / TRUMP
is handling the Coronavirus outbreak and crisis?
67
59
55
45
38
53
58
47
24
29 29
36
55
33
29
48
ISRAEL PAL AUTH GERMANY USA ISRAEL PAL AUTH GERMANY USA
SUPPORT OPPOSE
MAY 2020 NOVEMBER 2020

Key Findings - Conclusion
• Iran is not as big a threat as we like to think
• UAE and Bahrain are really 2 different countries – Abraham Accords
• Israelis like Emiratis and Bahrainis much more than they like us
• Minimal support for Abraham Accords among Gulf States
• Everybody likes the Palestinians (in the Gulf States)
• No “best broker” for Israelis and Palestinians – not even….USA
• Lukewarm support for right of Israel to exist, except UAE
• Moving US Embassy to Jerusalem diminishes possibility for Peace
• Health a greater concern than Finances for most
• Strong confidence in Government handling of COVID-19, except Israel
• Gulf States probably happy Joe Biden was elected, Israel MUCH less so

For more information…..
Dr. Alexander Brakel
Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung
Jerusalem, Israel
Tel: +972-2-567-1830
Alexander.Brakel@kas.de
www.kas.de/israel
Mitchell Barak
KEEVOON Global Research
Jerusalem, Israel
Tel: +972-52-404-6600
mitchell@keevoon.com
www.keevoon.com

Regional Peace Poll - Israel-UAE-Bahrain - Konrad Adenauer Stiftung Israel - KEEVOON Global Research - 11 Nov 2020

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Regional Peace Poll - Israel-UAE-Bahrain - Konrad Adenauer Stiftung Israel - KEEVOON Global Research - 11 Nov 2020

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