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Cheap and Free: Evaluating
Amazon’s E-book Promotions
Krista Coulson
University of Chicago Press
AAUP Annual Meeting
New Orleans, Louisiana
June 23, 2014
Amazon Promotions: (That we’ve done)
 Sunshine Deal &The Big Deal
◦ 2-week promotion, $0.99-$2.99
 Monthly Deal
◦ 1-month promotion, $0.99-$2.99
 Custom Promotions
◦ Organized by UCP across multiple e-
booksellers
 1-Day Promotions
◦ 1-day promotion, $0.99-$2.99
Our Questions
 Will super cheap e-book
promos suck (more
valuable) sales away from
the print versions?
 If we have to fund a
promo by creating a
promotional price, are
we saturating our
market with the promo
sale and hurting
ourselves in the long
run?
 How do promos work
for different kinds of
titles?
 Is a promo just a ‘flash in
the pan’ in attention or
revenue, or does it have
a longer benefit for a
title overall?
 Is there meaning in the
universe? What existed
before the Big Bang?
Sunshine Deal June 2011
much tall
3000%
Increase!!!
very sales
wow
Sunshine Deal June 2011
Sunshine Deal June 2011
-4 Wks -2 Wks Promo +2 Wks +4 Wks +6 Wks +8 Wks
E-book Unit Sales E-book
E- and Print Unit Sales
-4 Wks -2 Wks Promo +2 Wks +4 Wks +6 Wks +8 Wks
Print E-book
E- and Print Unit Sales with Revenue
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
-4 Wks -2 Wks Promo +2 Wks +4 Wks +6 Wks +8 Wks
Print E-book % Rev over Baseline
Sunshine Deal 2011
Literature
Biology
History
History/GLBTQ Studies
Fiction
Popular Science
Film Studies
History/Women's Studies
Education
Ethnography
Travel
Political Science
Revenue Change Before and After the Promotion
0
The Big Deal
Amazon rolls out a bunch of promotions:
 The Big Deal
 The Monthly Deal
 The Amazon 100
 The Daily Deal
 1-day Promotions
Big Deal 2012
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
E-book Print % Rev Change
Big Deal 2013
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
-6 Wks -4 Wks -2 Wks Promo +2 Wks +4 Wks +6 Wks
E-books Print % Rev Change
COMPLETELY
DIFFERENT!
And now for something
Chicago Shorts Experiment
 From Nov 4- Dec 9th 2013 we made 17
of our 18 Chicago Shorts free on every
platform.
 We didn’t publicize or announce it, and to
my knowledge neither did Amazon or any
of our other e-booksellers.
5 weeks of Free Period
11/3-11/9 11/10-11/16 11/17-11/23 11/24-11/30 12/1-12/7
Total Shorts Units on Amazon
Total Units of 17 Shorts (Sept –May)9/1-9/7
9/8-9/14
9/15-9/21
9/22-9/28
9/29-10/5
10/6-10/12
10/13-10/19
10/20-10/26
10/27-11/2
11/3-11/9
11/10-11/16
11/17-11/23
11/24-11/30
12/1-12/7
12/9-12/15
12/16-12/22
12/23-12/29
12/30-1/5/14
1/6-1/12
1/13-1/19
1/20-1/26
1/27-2/2
2/3-2/9
2/10-2/16
2/17-2/23
2/24-3/2
3/3-3/9
3/10-3/16
3/17-3/23
3/24-3/30
3/31-4/6
4/7-4//13
4/14-4/20
4/21-4/27
4-28-5/4
5/5-5/11
5/12-5/18
Free Period
Shorts Source Titles by Binding
1-Sep
8-Sep
15-Sep
22-Sep
29-Sep
6-Oct
13-Oct
20-Oct
27-Oct
3-Nov
10-Nov
17-Nov
24-Nov
1-Dec
8-Dec
15-Dec
22-Dec
29-Dec
5-Jan
12-Jan
19-Jan
26-Jan
2-Feb
9-Feb
16-Feb
23-Feb
2-Mar
9-Mar
16-Mar
23-Mar
30-Mar
6-Apr
13-Apr
20-Apr
27-Apr
4-May
11-May
E-book Total Cloth Total Paper TotalFree Period
All titles compared to Shorts Source Titles
1-Sep
8-Sep
15-Sep
22-Sep
29-Sep
6-Oct
13-Oct
20-Oct
27-Oct
3-Nov
10-Nov
17-Nov
24-Nov
1-Dec
8-Dec
15-Dec
22-Dec
29-Dec
5-Jan
12-Jan
19-Jan
26-Jan
2-Feb
9-Feb
16-Feb
23-Feb
2-Mar
9-Mar
16-Mar
23-Mar
30-Mar
6-Apr
13-Apr
20-Apr
27-Apr
4-May
11-May
E-book Total Cloth Total Paper Total Total Units NOT Including Shorts and Shorts-Related Titles
Free Period
SOME OTHER LESSONS
WE LEARNED
Promotions:
Promo Impact on Author Royalties
Pre-Promo During Promo Post-Promo >6wks after
E-book Royalties Print Royalties
1-Week Custom Promo
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
All 19 Other Bk 1 Promo Movie Tie-in % Rev Over Baseline
Big Deal:The Series Effect
-6 Wks -4 Wks -2 Wks Promo +2 Wks +4 Wks +6 Wks
Promo Units Bk2 Units Bk3 Units Bk 4 Units
Monthly Deal: Series Effect
Promo Bk 1 Bk 2 Bk 3 Bk 4 Non-Series Book by Author
Promo Period
Revenue for the Series
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
400%
P-6 Avg P Average P+6 Avg P+10 Avg
E-books P-Books Total % over Pre-Promo

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Cheap and Free: Evaluating Amazon's E-book Promotions

  • 1. Cheap and Free: Evaluating Amazon’s E-book Promotions Krista Coulson University of Chicago Press AAUP Annual Meeting New Orleans, Louisiana June 23, 2014
  • 2. Amazon Promotions: (That we’ve done)  Sunshine Deal &The Big Deal ◦ 2-week promotion, $0.99-$2.99  Monthly Deal ◦ 1-month promotion, $0.99-$2.99  Custom Promotions ◦ Organized by UCP across multiple e- booksellers  1-Day Promotions ◦ 1-day promotion, $0.99-$2.99
  • 3. Our Questions  Will super cheap e-book promos suck (more valuable) sales away from the print versions?  If we have to fund a promo by creating a promotional price, are we saturating our market with the promo sale and hurting ourselves in the long run?  How do promos work for different kinds of titles?  Is a promo just a ‘flash in the pan’ in attention or revenue, or does it have a longer benefit for a title overall?  Is there meaning in the universe? What existed before the Big Bang?
  • 4. Sunshine Deal June 2011 much tall 3000% Increase!!! very sales wow
  • 6. Sunshine Deal June 2011 -4 Wks -2 Wks Promo +2 Wks +4 Wks +6 Wks +8 Wks E-book Unit Sales E-book
  • 7. E- and Print Unit Sales -4 Wks -2 Wks Promo +2 Wks +4 Wks +6 Wks +8 Wks Print E-book
  • 8. E- and Print Unit Sales with Revenue 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% -4 Wks -2 Wks Promo +2 Wks +4 Wks +6 Wks +8 Wks Print E-book % Rev over Baseline
  • 9. Sunshine Deal 2011 Literature Biology History History/GLBTQ Studies Fiction Popular Science Film Studies History/Women's Studies Education Ethnography Travel Political Science Revenue Change Before and After the Promotion 0
  • 10. The Big Deal Amazon rolls out a bunch of promotions:  The Big Deal  The Monthly Deal  The Amazon 100  The Daily Deal  1-day Promotions
  • 12. Big Deal 2013 -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% -6 Wks -4 Wks -2 Wks Promo +2 Wks +4 Wks +6 Wks E-books Print % Rev Change
  • 14. Chicago Shorts Experiment  From Nov 4- Dec 9th 2013 we made 17 of our 18 Chicago Shorts free on every platform.  We didn’t publicize or announce it, and to my knowledge neither did Amazon or any of our other e-booksellers.
  • 15. 5 weeks of Free Period 11/3-11/9 11/10-11/16 11/17-11/23 11/24-11/30 12/1-12/7 Total Shorts Units on Amazon
  • 16. Total Units of 17 Shorts (Sept –May)9/1-9/7 9/8-9/14 9/15-9/21 9/22-9/28 9/29-10/5 10/6-10/12 10/13-10/19 10/20-10/26 10/27-11/2 11/3-11/9 11/10-11/16 11/17-11/23 11/24-11/30 12/1-12/7 12/9-12/15 12/16-12/22 12/23-12/29 12/30-1/5/14 1/6-1/12 1/13-1/19 1/20-1/26 1/27-2/2 2/3-2/9 2/10-2/16 2/17-2/23 2/24-3/2 3/3-3/9 3/10-3/16 3/17-3/23 3/24-3/30 3/31-4/6 4/7-4//13 4/14-4/20 4/21-4/27 4-28-5/4 5/5-5/11 5/12-5/18 Free Period
  • 17. Shorts Source Titles by Binding 1-Sep 8-Sep 15-Sep 22-Sep 29-Sep 6-Oct 13-Oct 20-Oct 27-Oct 3-Nov 10-Nov 17-Nov 24-Nov 1-Dec 8-Dec 15-Dec 22-Dec 29-Dec 5-Jan 12-Jan 19-Jan 26-Jan 2-Feb 9-Feb 16-Feb 23-Feb 2-Mar 9-Mar 16-Mar 23-Mar 30-Mar 6-Apr 13-Apr 20-Apr 27-Apr 4-May 11-May E-book Total Cloth Total Paper TotalFree Period
  • 18. All titles compared to Shorts Source Titles 1-Sep 8-Sep 15-Sep 22-Sep 29-Sep 6-Oct 13-Oct 20-Oct 27-Oct 3-Nov 10-Nov 17-Nov 24-Nov 1-Dec 8-Dec 15-Dec 22-Dec 29-Dec 5-Jan 12-Jan 19-Jan 26-Jan 2-Feb 9-Feb 16-Feb 23-Feb 2-Mar 9-Mar 16-Mar 23-Mar 30-Mar 6-Apr 13-Apr 20-Apr 27-Apr 4-May 11-May E-book Total Cloth Total Paper Total Total Units NOT Including Shorts and Shorts-Related Titles Free Period
  • 19. SOME OTHER LESSONS WE LEARNED Promotions:
  • 20. Promo Impact on Author Royalties Pre-Promo During Promo Post-Promo >6wks after E-book Royalties Print Royalties
  • 21. 1-Week Custom Promo 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% All 19 Other Bk 1 Promo Movie Tie-in % Rev Over Baseline
  • 22. Big Deal:The Series Effect -6 Wks -4 Wks -2 Wks Promo +2 Wks +4 Wks +6 Wks Promo Units Bk2 Units Bk3 Units Bk 4 Units
  • 23. Monthly Deal: Series Effect Promo Bk 1 Bk 2 Bk 3 Bk 4 Non-Series Book by Author Promo Period
  • 24. Revenue for the Series 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400% P-6 Avg P Average P+6 Avg P+10 Avg E-books P-Books Total % over Pre-Promo