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Starving the Black Swan
Why Invest in Hedge Funds (after all that has happened).




                                  Presented by George Evans
                              Global Head of Business Development
                                  GlobeOp Financial Services
Today’s Hedge Fund Landscape.
               Confidence is Back.

•   Despite continued economic uncertainty, hedge funds are still on the
    upswing, delivering solid performance for global investors.

•   The hedge fund industry worldwide now controls total assets worth $2.02
    trillion as of April, 2011, greater than what the industry held prior to the
    credit crisis (Hedge Fund Research, 2011)

•   Year-over-year assets in hedge funds in 2011 are up by $102 billion over
    the first quarter of 2010.

•   In the post-Madoff era, regulatory scrutiny has intensified and will likely
    expand.

•   Institutions – such as corporate pension plans, family offices,
    endowments and foundations – have become major participants,
    expanding the core investor base beyond wealthy individuals.
Paradigm Shift: Institutions allocate
   more capital to hedge funds.
 2008 to 2010         Projected next 12 to 18 months
Institutional types.
Trends and allocations.
What kind of investment strategies
                 do you want?

• Pension funds are facing the prospect of an exponential increase in
  withdrawals from retiring subscribers -- despite the shrinking value
  of their asset base.

• In this scenario, hedge funds provide a powerful tool for
  effective liability hedging.

• The specter of inflation has increased the appetite for capital
  preservation among endowments and foundations – and these
  investors have targeted rates of return that can’t be achieved with
  today’s low-yielding bonds.

• Global alternatives like real-estate, infrastructure bonds and
  natural resources offer all types of hedge investors the potential for
  diverse anticipated returns and high earnings quality.
Pension Funds: Unfunded liabilities / hedge fund strategies

Type of Security      2004     2005            2006                  2007                 2008                  2009

US Equities           0.4363   0.4322          0.4172                0.3957                0.3378               0.3299


Non-US Equities       0.1497   0.1534          0.1743                0.1848                0.1802                0.188


US Fixed Income       0.2769   0.2757          0.2648                0.2629                0.2528               0.2486


Non-US Fixed Income   0.0116   0.0114          0.0087                0.0085                0.0143                0.009


US Real Estate        0.0396   0.0434           0.052                0.0553                0.0647               0.0524


Private Equity        0.0429   0.0432          0.0454                0.0499                0.0715               0.0659


Hedge Funds           0.0002   0.0013          0.0089                0.0082                0.0115               0.0238



Funding Ratio         0.825    0.8454          0.8618                0.9336                0.7831               0.5832




                                        "Portfolio Allocation for Public Pension Funds" by George Pennacchi and Mahdi
                                                      Rastad in Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, April 2011,
                                                                                                 http://bit.ly/iVkaCk
How has the governance of
              hedge funds improved?

• Hedge funds are responding to the changed environment:
  Nearly half (46%) of funds have enacted a risk management
  system consistent with the expectations of boards of trustees or
  legislative mandates. (Preqin 2011)

• Administrators have become central in helping investors to meet
  the need for transparency and integrity in hedge fund governance.

• Investor demands and transparency/reporting requirements
  continue to increase rapidly
Why it’s a good idea
         to invest in Hedge Funds today

• Hedge fund managers typically invest their own money in the
  fund they manage, which helps align their interests with investors.

• Hedge funds typically have the resources and research to find
  and evaluate the best options across multiple categories and
  strategies.

• Industry has been secured against operational risk.

• Investment strategies of hedge funds have been customized for
  institutional investors.
…but beware the black swan
the black swan

• Operational risks predominate, with an average of 15 hedge funds
  collapsing each year on average
                               (Edhec’s Risk and Asset Management Center, 2005)


• 2002 CAPCO study found 41% of hedge fund failures are due to
  misrepresentation, 30% involved misappropriation of monies

• 14% due to trading outside accepted boundaries and 6% due to
  inadequate or faulty technology.
How to Starve the Black Swan
               Nine Best Practices
1 Know the marks of a              4 Nip fraud in the bud                7 Pay-for-performance
credible administrator             Reconcile data from all sources--     Measure and evaluate
Check their standards – at least   prime-brokers, counter-parties and    performance of managers in
SAS 70 Type II. Preferably ISAE    exchanges                             both the short and long term and
3402, SSAE 16 certifications                                             ensure commensurate fees


2 Identify risk “landmines”        5 Transparency                        8 Monitor counterparty risk
Value-at-Risk, Extreme risks,       Communicate in real-time with        Include prime brokers, valuation
consistency with memorandum        reporting via a Web interface         agents, auditors and other
                                                                         partners



3 Pay attention to key metrics 6 Eliminate conflicts of interest 9 Guarantee IT data integrity
Snapshots of NAV are available     Independently verify price data for   and backup
every day to support evaluation    unlisted assets and disclose          Plan for business continuity and
and decision making                sources                               disaster recovery for all IT
                                                                         systems
Questions? Comments?

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Mfa webinar final_ge_may_21_2011[1]

  • 1. Starving the Black Swan Why Invest in Hedge Funds (after all that has happened). Presented by George Evans Global Head of Business Development GlobeOp Financial Services
  • 2. Today’s Hedge Fund Landscape. Confidence is Back. • Despite continued economic uncertainty, hedge funds are still on the upswing, delivering solid performance for global investors. • The hedge fund industry worldwide now controls total assets worth $2.02 trillion as of April, 2011, greater than what the industry held prior to the credit crisis (Hedge Fund Research, 2011) • Year-over-year assets in hedge funds in 2011 are up by $102 billion over the first quarter of 2010. • In the post-Madoff era, regulatory scrutiny has intensified and will likely expand. • Institutions – such as corporate pension plans, family offices, endowments and foundations – have become major participants, expanding the core investor base beyond wealthy individuals.
  • 3. Paradigm Shift: Institutions allocate more capital to hedge funds. 2008 to 2010 Projected next 12 to 18 months
  • 5. What kind of investment strategies do you want? • Pension funds are facing the prospect of an exponential increase in withdrawals from retiring subscribers -- despite the shrinking value of their asset base. • In this scenario, hedge funds provide a powerful tool for effective liability hedging. • The specter of inflation has increased the appetite for capital preservation among endowments and foundations – and these investors have targeted rates of return that can’t be achieved with today’s low-yielding bonds. • Global alternatives like real-estate, infrastructure bonds and natural resources offer all types of hedge investors the potential for diverse anticipated returns and high earnings quality.
  • 6. Pension Funds: Unfunded liabilities / hedge fund strategies Type of Security 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 US Equities 0.4363 0.4322 0.4172 0.3957 0.3378 0.3299 Non-US Equities 0.1497 0.1534 0.1743 0.1848 0.1802 0.188 US Fixed Income 0.2769 0.2757 0.2648 0.2629 0.2528 0.2486 Non-US Fixed Income 0.0116 0.0114 0.0087 0.0085 0.0143 0.009 US Real Estate 0.0396 0.0434 0.052 0.0553 0.0647 0.0524 Private Equity 0.0429 0.0432 0.0454 0.0499 0.0715 0.0659 Hedge Funds 0.0002 0.0013 0.0089 0.0082 0.0115 0.0238 Funding Ratio 0.825 0.8454 0.8618 0.9336 0.7831 0.5832 "Portfolio Allocation for Public Pension Funds" by George Pennacchi and Mahdi Rastad in Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, April 2011, http://bit.ly/iVkaCk
  • 7.
  • 8. How has the governance of hedge funds improved? • Hedge funds are responding to the changed environment: Nearly half (46%) of funds have enacted a risk management system consistent with the expectations of boards of trustees or legislative mandates. (Preqin 2011) • Administrators have become central in helping investors to meet the need for transparency and integrity in hedge fund governance. • Investor demands and transparency/reporting requirements continue to increase rapidly
  • 9. Why it’s a good idea to invest in Hedge Funds today • Hedge fund managers typically invest their own money in the fund they manage, which helps align their interests with investors. • Hedge funds typically have the resources and research to find and evaluate the best options across multiple categories and strategies. • Industry has been secured against operational risk. • Investment strategies of hedge funds have been customized for institutional investors.
  • 10. …but beware the black swan
  • 11. the black swan • Operational risks predominate, with an average of 15 hedge funds collapsing each year on average (Edhec’s Risk and Asset Management Center, 2005) • 2002 CAPCO study found 41% of hedge fund failures are due to misrepresentation, 30% involved misappropriation of monies • 14% due to trading outside accepted boundaries and 6% due to inadequate or faulty technology.
  • 12. How to Starve the Black Swan Nine Best Practices 1 Know the marks of a 4 Nip fraud in the bud 7 Pay-for-performance credible administrator Reconcile data from all sources-- Measure and evaluate Check their standards – at least prime-brokers, counter-parties and performance of managers in SAS 70 Type II. Preferably ISAE exchanges both the short and long term and 3402, SSAE 16 certifications ensure commensurate fees 2 Identify risk “landmines” 5 Transparency 8 Monitor counterparty risk Value-at-Risk, Extreme risks, Communicate in real-time with Include prime brokers, valuation consistency with memorandum reporting via a Web interface agents, auditors and other partners 3 Pay attention to key metrics 6 Eliminate conflicts of interest 9 Guarantee IT data integrity Snapshots of NAV are available Independently verify price data for and backup every day to support evaluation unlisted assets and disclose Plan for business continuity and and decision making sources disaster recovery for all IT systems