kOENie Lotto Miljonairs Cursus 2014 - Koen Hoefgeest® Optie Advies EZ

1. Koen Hoefgeest® Optie Advies
Lotto Miljonairs Cursus 2014
www.hoefgeest.nl
RTL7 TXT pagina 555
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2. How to Play kOENie Lotto Miljonairs?
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3. kOENie Lotto Miljonairs hefboomdoorrolspel
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Op top van de Kitchin-cyclus starten met PUTS!
2.
Looptijd altijd 1 maand verder dan de nearest
series. Optiepremie rond €3 tot €5 om mee te
starten. Hoge Gamma ; lage Delta .
3.
Per extra maand looptijd maximaal +15 punten
verder OTM.
4.
Na verdubbeling van de premie de optie doorrollen
naar dubbele aantallen om hefboom te behouden.
5.
Altijd in de markt blijven met deel van de
posities! 50/50 = reddingsboei van de domme.
6.
Implied Volatility < 15-20 = start en >60-80 = stop
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4. AEX Optiekoersen
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5. Implied Volatility
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6. ** Magic Janet**
Magic BEN
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7. “The Law Of Unintended Consequences”

Frédéric Bastiat (1801-1850)
“There is only one difference between a bad economist and a
good one: the bad economist confines himself to the visible
effect; the good economist takes into account both the effect that
can be seen and those effects that must be foreseen.”

Friedrich August Hayek (1899-1992)
“The way to avoid the busts, is to avoid the booms that cause
them.”

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (August 2012 )
“Stimulative monetary policies are commonly referred to
as ‘Keynesian’. However, it is important to note that Keynes
himself was not convinced of the effectiveness of easy money in
restoring real growth in the face of a Deep Slump.”
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas - Working Paper No. 126
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8. QE drijft kapitaalmarktrente UP
U.S. Treasury Quotes
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9. FRED recessieklok
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10. Dow Jones Industrial Average 1896 - 2014
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11. Broadening Top Pattern
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12. Lengte Kitchin-cyclus DOW 1896 - 2014
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13. Top Kitchin-cyclus DOW 1896 - 2014
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14. Normale Verdeling - Gauss Curve

15. Kitchin-cyclus bodemkansen

Populatie N = 27

Rekenkundig gemiddelde x = 1523

Standaard Deviatie S = 319

x ~ N (μ = 1523, σ = 319)

Kans P ( x > 1894 ) grenswaarde van z = 1,169 = 12,11%
(16 mei 2014)

Kans P ( x > 2124 ) grenswaarde van z = 1,884 = 2,98%
(1 januari 2015)
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16. Kitchin-cyclus topkansen

Populatie N = 27

Rekenkundig gemiddelde x = 1039

Standaard Deviatie S = 476

x ~ N (μ = 1039, σ = 476)

Kans P ( x > 1839 ) grenswaarde van z = 1,68 = 4,65%
(22 maart 2014)

Kans P ( x > 2124 ) grenswaarde van z = 2,28 = 1,13%
(1 januari 2015)
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17. Krantenartikelen Telegraaf 1987
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18. Dow Crash 1929 - 1937 - 1987
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19. Japanse Nikkei Crash 1990
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20. Crash-Fractals
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21. Kop-en-Schouder
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22. Mean Reversion
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23. Demografie en Deflatie
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24. Federal Reserve Assets & GOLD
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25. Greed-O-Meter
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26. RISK ON Sentiment
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27. Dow Jones Industrials
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28. Russell2000 U.S. Smallcap Index
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29. AEX-index
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30. Xetra DAX-index
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31. Mars – Uranus Crash Cycle

DEC 25 = Geo. (normal from Earth) Mars opposes
Uranus which begins the dangerous period for the
Mars-Uranus Crash Cycle! (tot januari 2015)

Mars will align in opposition to Uranus on December
25th, beginning the period of stress.

Mars opposition Uranus - The Mars/Uranus Crash
Cycle is in place. The greatest tension will be felt in
April and May'14

Mars will remain in Libra until July 26, 2014, but the
greatest tension will be felt in April and May as Uranus
and Pluto tighten into a tight aspect that is one again
triggered by Mars. Jupiter in Cancer also gets into the
act, forming a Grand Cross that will likely bring about
exuberant expressions of reaction and change.
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32. Have a very nice Lotto!
Faites vos jeux…
“Rien ne va plus, het geld is niet meer van u NU!” ®
Belgatrust Ltd. * UK | Belgium – Koen Hoefgeest® Optie Advies E.Z. * Nederland
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