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INFLATION & UNEMPLOYMENT IN VIETNAM WHAT IS THE CONNECTION ? Tut2-TR08 : Pham Que Duong Hoang Thi My Bui Thu Trang Doan Thi Thoa
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
VIETNAM STATISTICS 199 6-2010 Year Inflation rate(%) Unemployment rate(%) 1996 4.5 5.88 1997 3.6 6.01 1998 9.2  6.85 1999 0.1 6.74 2000 -0.6 6.42 2001 0.8 6.28 2002 4 6.01 2003 3 5.78 2004 9.5  5.6 2005 8.4 5.31 2006 6.6 4.82 2007 12.6  4.64 2008 4.5 4.65 2009 7 4.66 2010 4.5 4.65
( Cont’d)
HOW DO INFLATION & UNEMPLOYMENT RELATE? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THE PHILLIPS CURVE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Quantity of Output 0 ,[object Object],[object Object],Unemployment Rate (percent) 0 Inflation Rate (percent per year) Price Level ( b) The Phillips Curve Copyright © 2004  South-Western Short-run aggregate supply Phillips curve Low aggregate demand High aggregate demand (output is 8,000) B 4 6 (output is 7,500) A 7 2 8,000 (unemployment is 4%) 106 B (unemployment is 7%) 7,500 102 A
However, in Vietnam… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CHANGES IN EXPECTATION &  THE STAGFLATION PHASE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Stagflation periods in Vietnam ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
THE RECOVERY PHASE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
LONG-RUN RELATIONSHIP ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Unemployment Rate 0 Natural rate of unemployment Inflation Rate Long-run Phillips curve Copyright © 2004  South-Western B High inflation Low inflation A 2. . . . but unemployment remains at its natural rate in the long run. 1. When the  Fed increases  the growth rate  of the money  supply, the  rate of inflation  increases . . .
[object Object],Q & A

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Inflation & unemployment in vietnam

  • 1. INFLATION & UNEMPLOYMENT IN VIETNAM WHAT IS THE CONNECTION ? Tut2-TR08 : Pham Que Duong Hoang Thi My Bui Thu Trang Doan Thi Thoa
  • 2.
  • 3. VIETNAM STATISTICS 199 6-2010 Year Inflation rate(%) Unemployment rate(%) 1996 4.5 5.88 1997 3.6 6.01 1998 9.2 6.85 1999 0.1 6.74 2000 -0.6 6.42 2001 0.8 6.28 2002 4 6.01 2003 3 5.78 2004 9.5 5.6 2005 8.4 5.31 2006 6.6 4.82 2007 12.6 4.64 2008 4.5 4.65 2009 7 4.66 2010 4.5 4.65
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Unemployment Rate 0 Natural rate of unemployment Inflation Rate Long-run Phillips curve Copyright © 2004 South-Western B High inflation Low inflation A 2. . . . but unemployment remains at its natural rate in the long run. 1. When the Fed increases the growth rate of the money supply, the rate of inflation increases . . .
  • 14.