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B2 b 2012_presentation-g.pesti
1. 4th Bi-Annual Border to Border Transportation Conference
South Padre Island, Texas
November 13-15, 2012
US-Mexico Cross-Border
Freight Traffic Trends
Geza Pesti and Rafael Aldrete-Sanchez
Center for International Intelligent Transportation Research
Texas A&M Transportation Institute
2. Significance
• Imports from Mexico Using Land Modes of Transport (1996-
2011 average)
• Following the 2007 global financial crisis, U.S. trade sharply
declined worldwide.
• In 2009, imports from Mexico fall by 39.2%1.
• Has there been a sustained recovery after 2009?
3. • Identify trends in freight
activities across the US-
Mexico border
• Quantify temporal and
spatial variations in
surface trade.
Objectives
Analyze cross-border freight
activities by
• Mode of transport
• Commodities
• Border states
• Ports and destination
states
Approach
Trans-Border Surface Freight Database of
the US Bureau of Transportation Statistics
Primary Data Source:
8. Surface Trade of US States with Mexico
Ranked Based on Value of Traded Goods (2005-2011)
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Texas
California
Michigan
Arizona Illinois
MillionsUSD
9. Freight Flow by Commodities
Change in the freight value was evaluated based on six
commodity groups2:
• Group 1: Food, beverages, agricultural commodities (HS-code: 1-24)
• Group 2: Minerals, chemicals, plastic, fossil fuels (HS-code: 25-40)
• Group 3: Wood, fabrics, paper products, books (HS-code: 41-71)
• Group 4: Metals, metallic materials (HS-code: 72-81)
• Group 5: Manufactured goods (HS-code: 82-96)
• Group 6: Other goods (HS-code: 97-99)
10. Top Five Ports of Entry
Over 80 % of cross-border trade between the US and Mexico
is concentrated at the following five ports:
• Laredo, TX
• Hidalgo, TX
• El Paso, TX
• Otay Mesa Station, CA
• Nogales, AZ
13. Summary
Trends and spatial variations in US-
Mexico cross-border freight by
• Mode of transport
• Commodities
• Border states
• Ports and destination states
Results in:
CIITR Research Brief
US-Mexico Cross-Border Freight
Traffic Trends
Looked at…
Will be interesting to see ….
• Can the 2010-2011 positive trends be
sustained?
• What will be the impact of the predicted
“Fiscal Cliff” after January