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How to create and
measure a recurring
revenue business
Leo Faria
leo@saasmetrics.co
@lhfaria
www.saasmetrics.co
Welcome to the
subscription
economy
We’re living the subscription
economy.
Business relations has shifted from
one time sales to relationship
based.
The subscription economy is all
about customer relationships.
For companies, migrating from
CAPEX to OPEX makes a lot of
sense financially.
INTRO
1970s
Products
1990s
Products + Services
2000s
Customer Centric
Today
Relationship Centric
Evolving the approach to interact
and relate with customers
Buying almost
anything via
subscription
Subscription is becoming the
default business model for many
startups and new ventures around
the world.
Today you can almost any kind of
goods based on a subscription
model, from digital content to
computer infrastructure.
Not only startups, but traditional
companies are also shifting to a
subscription model.
INTRO Music Movies
Software
Computing
Food & Beverage
Books
A new way to buy
products and
services
Via subscriptions, customers pay
only for what they use.
As the commitment is lower,
customers are willing to try new
things with lower risk.
Operation and maintenance are no
longer something customers need
to worry about.
Product evolution is part of the
service.
PRODUCT ECONOMY VS. SUBSCRIPTION
Product Economy Subscription
CAPEX OPEX
High upfront investment, out
of the core business
Pay-as-you-go pricing
Expensive and demanding
setup and implementation
Low or inexistent adoption
barriers
Unnecessary operation
expenses and workload
Operation expenses and
workload as part of the service
Highly dependent and tied to
the solutions
More flexibility to try new
solutions and services
Product evolutions upon paid
updates
Product evolution as part of
the service
BUY NOW SUBSCRIBE
BUYER’S PERSPECTIVE
Not like traditional
business
management
Recurring revenue for the win.
Recurring revenue businesses
requires specific management
methods and techniques.
All the aspects of the business are
affected by the goal of building
long-term relationship with
customers.
Knowing exactly what and how to
to measure is crucial.
PRODUCT ECONOMY VS. SUBSCRIPTION BUILDER’S PERSPECTIVE
BUY NOW SUBSCRIBE
Product Economy Subscription
Sell units
Monetize customer
relaionship
Price per unit Pay-as-you-go pricing
One time orders Multiple orders over a lifetime
Simple financial metrics and
accounting method
Complex, interrelated
bookings, billings and revenue
Fast-moving levers Slow building business
Start the month from scratch Visibility and predictability
We’re only just at the
beginning of SaaS
We may have been talking about
SaaS for more than a decade, but
we’re still just at the beginning.
The legacy software companies
including Oracle, Microsoft, SAP and
and IBM control 83% of the market
cap of software businesses,
representing $830B in market cap.
The largest SaaS company,
Salesforce, is just about half the size
of SAP, and Microsoft is 8x bigger.
MARKET
In revenue terms, the legacy vendors control an
astounding 93% of revenue: $245B compared to $19B.
Source:
Tomasz Tunguz, Veture Capitalist at Redpoint Ventures
http://tomtunguz.com/saas-limitless-opportunity
SaaS
Legacy
SaaS is growing 5x faster
than on-premises software SaaS is growing 5x faster than
on-premises software.
85% of all new applications
are architected for SaaS.
Our market is event bigger if we
consider other kind of
subscription business:
•  Monthly gift boxes;
•  Online education;
•  Media subscription;
•  And more.
MARKET
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
$ 5.5 $ 8.0 $ 13.4 $ 21.2 $ 33.0 $ 47.2 $ 63.1 $ 78.4 $ 92.7 $ 105.4 $ 116.3 $ 125.5 $ 132.5
Source: Forrester Research, Inc. Forecast: Global Public Market Size
$78.4B
TotalpublicSaaSmarket(US$billions)
$132.5B
9.14% CAGR
The right metrics for
each stage of your
company
For a subscription business, there
are a few key metrics that need
your undivided attention. And the
priority of these metrics shift as
you grow.
 
This means that instead of
measuring dozens or hundreds of
different metrics, you should start
with the core only and evolve
from there – as your business
grows and demands more control
and higher complexity.
METRICS
Monthly Recurring
Revenue
Monthly Recurring Revenue, almost
always referred as MRR, is probably
the most important metric at all of
any subscription business.
Once you acquire a new customer
you got an recurring revenue, which
means you don’t have to worry
about one-off sales every month.
The general concept is that MRR is a
measure of the predicable and
recurring revenue components of
your subscription business.
METRICS
MRR
New MRR + Reactivated MRR, Net New MRR
New MRR is the simply new revenue brought by brand new
customers acquired.
Expansion MRR + Up-sell, Cross-sell
New revenue from existing customers due to up-sells and
cross-sells.
Contraction MRR + Cancellations, Refunds, Downgrades
Lost of revenue from existing customers due to downgrades,
cancellations and refunds.
Bookings, Revenues
and Billings
It’s important you keep track of all
these metrics very carefully.
You want to know how much
revenue your company has booked,
how much is your monthly
revenues, and how much revenue
you have actually billed.
In fact, that’s even crucial to decide
how to pay commissions and
variable compensation to your
sales reps.
Also: Deferred revenue.
METRICS Bookings
Bookings represent the commitment of a customer to spend
money with your company.
Revenue
Revenue happens when the service is actually provided and you
recognize money in exchange.
Billings
Billings is when you actually collect your customers money, up-
front or ratably during customer lifetime.
Customer
Acquisition Costs
Customer Acquisition Cost, or
simply CAC, refers to the resources
that a business must allocate
(financial or otherwise) in order to
acquire an additional customer.
METRICS
CAC
Customer
Lifetime Value
Customer lifetime value measures
the profit your business makes
from any given customer.
LTV
Unit economics help you make important decisions
about every aspect of the business.
CEO
How are our unit economics working?
Manage business unit economics to build a healthy company
and make sure we're not selling dollar bills for ninety cents.
Customer
Success
Which customer segments are yielding the best results?
Identify which customer segments holds the highest LTV and
lowest CAC. Know if they're churning before the payback period.
CFO
What are our MRR movements?
Track customers subscriptions, upgrades, downgrades and
cancellations. Manage MRR and make business predictable.
Also: LTV:CAC Ratio, Months to Recover CAC.
Churn
If you’re just getting started to
acquire your very first customers,
churn may not be a big deal, but as
soon as you get over a hundred
customers churn becomes crucial.
And by crucial, I mean it can be the
different between the success and
failure of your business.
	
Specially if you’re a high speed growth
company, churn can be extremely
frustrating because it means you’ll
have to spend your marketing & sales
resources to replace lost customers.
Also: Negative churn.
METRICS Before trying to reduce SaaS churn, it’s important
you understand what causes SaaS churn.
•  Customer is not the right fit;
•  Customer moves to a competitor;
•  Customer believes you don’t care about them;
•  Customer gets bigger, acquired or go bankruptcy;
•  Unintentional cancellations.
Read more
blog.saasmetrics.co
The essential SaaS metrics guide
saasmetrics.co/books/the-essential-saas-metrics-guide
Leo Faria
leo@saasmetrics.co
@lhfaria
www.saasmetrics.co

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How to create and measure a recurring revenue business

  • 1. How to create and measure a recurring revenue business Leo Faria leo@saasmetrics.co @lhfaria www.saasmetrics.co
  • 2. Welcome to the subscription economy We’re living the subscription economy. Business relations has shifted from one time sales to relationship based. The subscription economy is all about customer relationships. For companies, migrating from CAPEX to OPEX makes a lot of sense financially. INTRO 1970s Products 1990s Products + Services 2000s Customer Centric Today Relationship Centric Evolving the approach to interact and relate with customers
  • 3. Buying almost anything via subscription Subscription is becoming the default business model for many startups and new ventures around the world. Today you can almost any kind of goods based on a subscription model, from digital content to computer infrastructure. Not only startups, but traditional companies are also shifting to a subscription model. INTRO Music Movies Software Computing Food & Beverage Books
  • 4. A new way to buy products and services Via subscriptions, customers pay only for what they use. As the commitment is lower, customers are willing to try new things with lower risk. Operation and maintenance are no longer something customers need to worry about. Product evolution is part of the service. PRODUCT ECONOMY VS. SUBSCRIPTION Product Economy Subscription CAPEX OPEX High upfront investment, out of the core business Pay-as-you-go pricing Expensive and demanding setup and implementation Low or inexistent adoption barriers Unnecessary operation expenses and workload Operation expenses and workload as part of the service Highly dependent and tied to the solutions More flexibility to try new solutions and services Product evolutions upon paid updates Product evolution as part of the service BUY NOW SUBSCRIBE BUYER’S PERSPECTIVE
  • 5. Not like traditional business management Recurring revenue for the win. Recurring revenue businesses requires specific management methods and techniques. All the aspects of the business are affected by the goal of building long-term relationship with customers. Knowing exactly what and how to to measure is crucial. PRODUCT ECONOMY VS. SUBSCRIPTION BUILDER’S PERSPECTIVE BUY NOW SUBSCRIBE Product Economy Subscription Sell units Monetize customer relaionship Price per unit Pay-as-you-go pricing One time orders Multiple orders over a lifetime Simple financial metrics and accounting method Complex, interrelated bookings, billings and revenue Fast-moving levers Slow building business Start the month from scratch Visibility and predictability
  • 6. We’re only just at the beginning of SaaS We may have been talking about SaaS for more than a decade, but we’re still just at the beginning. The legacy software companies including Oracle, Microsoft, SAP and and IBM control 83% of the market cap of software businesses, representing $830B in market cap. The largest SaaS company, Salesforce, is just about half the size of SAP, and Microsoft is 8x bigger. MARKET In revenue terms, the legacy vendors control an astounding 93% of revenue: $245B compared to $19B. Source: Tomasz Tunguz, Veture Capitalist at Redpoint Ventures http://tomtunguz.com/saas-limitless-opportunity SaaS Legacy
  • 7. SaaS is growing 5x faster than on-premises software SaaS is growing 5x faster than on-premises software. 85% of all new applications are architected for SaaS. Our market is event bigger if we consider other kind of subscription business: •  Monthly gift boxes; •  Online education; •  Media subscription; •  And more. MARKET 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 $ 5.5 $ 8.0 $ 13.4 $ 21.2 $ 33.0 $ 47.2 $ 63.1 $ 78.4 $ 92.7 $ 105.4 $ 116.3 $ 125.5 $ 132.5 Source: Forrester Research, Inc. Forecast: Global Public Market Size $78.4B TotalpublicSaaSmarket(US$billions) $132.5B 9.14% CAGR
  • 8. The right metrics for each stage of your company For a subscription business, there are a few key metrics that need your undivided attention. And the priority of these metrics shift as you grow.   This means that instead of measuring dozens or hundreds of different metrics, you should start with the core only and evolve from there – as your business grows and demands more control and higher complexity. METRICS
  • 9. Monthly Recurring Revenue Monthly Recurring Revenue, almost always referred as MRR, is probably the most important metric at all of any subscription business. Once you acquire a new customer you got an recurring revenue, which means you don’t have to worry about one-off sales every month. The general concept is that MRR is a measure of the predicable and recurring revenue components of your subscription business. METRICS MRR New MRR + Reactivated MRR, Net New MRR New MRR is the simply new revenue brought by brand new customers acquired. Expansion MRR + Up-sell, Cross-sell New revenue from existing customers due to up-sells and cross-sells. Contraction MRR + Cancellations, Refunds, Downgrades Lost of revenue from existing customers due to downgrades, cancellations and refunds.
  • 10. Bookings, Revenues and Billings It’s important you keep track of all these metrics very carefully. You want to know how much revenue your company has booked, how much is your monthly revenues, and how much revenue you have actually billed. In fact, that’s even crucial to decide how to pay commissions and variable compensation to your sales reps. Also: Deferred revenue. METRICS Bookings Bookings represent the commitment of a customer to spend money with your company. Revenue Revenue happens when the service is actually provided and you recognize money in exchange. Billings Billings is when you actually collect your customers money, up- front or ratably during customer lifetime.
  • 11. Customer Acquisition Costs Customer Acquisition Cost, or simply CAC, refers to the resources that a business must allocate (financial or otherwise) in order to acquire an additional customer. METRICS CAC Customer Lifetime Value Customer lifetime value measures the profit your business makes from any given customer. LTV Unit economics help you make important decisions about every aspect of the business. CEO How are our unit economics working? Manage business unit economics to build a healthy company and make sure we're not selling dollar bills for ninety cents. Customer Success Which customer segments are yielding the best results? Identify which customer segments holds the highest LTV and lowest CAC. Know if they're churning before the payback period. CFO What are our MRR movements? Track customers subscriptions, upgrades, downgrades and cancellations. Manage MRR and make business predictable. Also: LTV:CAC Ratio, Months to Recover CAC.
  • 12. Churn If you’re just getting started to acquire your very first customers, churn may not be a big deal, but as soon as you get over a hundred customers churn becomes crucial. And by crucial, I mean it can be the different between the success and failure of your business. Specially if you’re a high speed growth company, churn can be extremely frustrating because it means you’ll have to spend your marketing & sales resources to replace lost customers. Also: Negative churn. METRICS Before trying to reduce SaaS churn, it’s important you understand what causes SaaS churn. •  Customer is not the right fit; •  Customer moves to a competitor; •  Customer believes you don’t care about them; •  Customer gets bigger, acquired or go bankruptcy; •  Unintentional cancellations.
  • 13. Read more blog.saasmetrics.co The essential SaaS metrics guide saasmetrics.co/books/the-essential-saas-metrics-guide Leo Faria leo@saasmetrics.co @lhfaria www.saasmetrics.co