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California
Housing Market
Update
Monthly Sales and
Price Statistics
February 2022
Existing Home Sales
% change
-8.2% YTY
California Housing Market Snapshot
page
02
Price
$771,270
+10.3% Y2Y
Unsold
Inventory Index
2.0 months
-4.8% Y2Y
Median Days
on Market
9 days
-10.0% Y2Y
February 2022
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-8.3% YTD
424,640
Existing Home Sales
% change
-9.9% YTY
February 2022 Southern California Housing Snapshot
page
3
Unsold
Inventory Index
2.0 months
Median Days
on Market
9 days
Sales Price to
List Price Ratio
102.7%
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-9.9% YTD
Existing Home Price
% change
$760,000
+12.6% YTY
Existing Home Sales
% change
-16.3% YTY
February 2022 Central Coast Housing Snapshot
page
4
Unsold
Inventory Index
2.0 months
Median Days
on Market
10 days
Sales Price to
List Price Ratio
100.7%
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-18.4% YTD
Existing Home Price
% change
$912,250
+10.1% YTY
Existing Home Sales
% change
+1.2% YTY
February 2022 Central Valley Housing Snapshot
page
5
Unsold
Inventory Index
1.9 months
Median Days
on Market
7 days
Sales Price to
List Price Ratio
101.6%
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-1.5% YTD
Existing Home Price
% change
$465,000
+14.8% YTY
Existing Home Sales
% change
-13.7% YTY
February 2022 Bay Area Housing Snapshot
page
6
Unsold
Inventory Index
1.9 months
Median Days
on Market
9 days
Sales Price to
List Price Ratio
110.0%
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-18.1% YTD
Existing Home Price
% change
$1,335,000
+15.9% YTY
Existing Home Sales
% change
-8.5% YTY
February 2022 Far North Housing Snapshot
page
7
Unsold
Inventory Index
3.0 months
Median Days
on Market
22 days
Sales Price to
List Price Ratio
100.0%
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-3.5% YTD
Existing Home Price
% change
$375,000
+11.9% YTY
Sales
Sales dipped from last year but remained above pre-
pandemic levels
page
9
California, February 2022 Sales: 424,640 Units, -8.3% YTD, -8.2% YTY, -4.5% MTM
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
Jan-05
Sep-05
May-06
Jan-07
Sep-07
May-08
Jan-09
Sep-09
May-10
Jan-11
Sep-11
May-12
Jan-13
Sep-13
May-14
Jan-15
Sep-15
May-16
Jan-17
Sep-17
May-18
Jan-19
Sep-19
May-20
Jan-21
Sep-21
SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Sales had the smallest drop in seven months
page
10
-8.2%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Year-over-Year % Chg 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Year-over-Year % Chg)
SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Bay Area had the biggest decline of all regions
page
11
-13.7%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
Sep-16
Jan-17
May-17
Sep-17
Jan-18
May-18
Sep-18
Jan-19
May-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
May-20
Sep-20
Jan-21
May-21
Sep-21
Jan-22
YoY
%
chg.
Bay Area 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Bay Area)
SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
So. California sales dropped almost 10 percent
page
12
-9.9%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
Sep-16
Jan-17
May-17
Sep-17
Jan-18
May-18
Sep-18
Jan-19
May-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
May-20
Sep-20
Jan-21
May-21
Sep-21
Jan-22
So CA 6 per. Mov. Avg. (So CA)
YoY
%
chg.
SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Central Valley sales had first increase in eight
months
page
13
1.2%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
Sep-16
Jan-17
May-17
Sep-17
Jan-18
May-18
Sep-18
Jan-19
May-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
May-20
Sep-20
Jan-21
May-21
Sep-21
Jan-22
Central Valley 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Central Valley)
YoY
%
chg.
SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Sales by Region
page
14
-16.3%
-13.7%-12.6%
-9.9%
-8.5%
1.2%
-18%
-16%
-14%
-12%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
February 2021 Home Sales
Growth by Region
Central
Valley
22%
S.F. Bay
Area
16%
Southern
California
49%
Central
Coast
4%
Far North
3%
Other
Counties
6%
February 2022
Home Sales by Region
Upper priced segments moderated in recent months
page
15
February 2022
(YTY% Chg.)
28%
44%
28%
35%
42%
23%
$0 - $499k
$500 - $999k
$1M+
Share by Price Segment
2022
2021
SERIES: Sales of Existing Detached Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-52%
-29%
-8% -7%
4% 6%
24%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
Top-end of the market growth subsided
page
16
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
350%
YTY
%
Chg.
in
Sales
$0 - $299k $300 - $399k $400 - $499k $500 - $749k
$750 - $999k $1,000 - $1,999k $2,000k+
SERIES: Percent Change in Sales
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Share of million-dollar home sales bounced back
after reaching 11-month low
page
17
-1.9%
27.8%
28.1%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
%
of
Sales
Share Gap $0-$499k $1,000k and up
SERIES: Sales by Price Range
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
COVID-19
Outbreak
Pending sales continued to decline by double-digits
page
18
-12.5%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Jan-17
Apr-17
Jul-17
Oct-17
Jan-18
Apr-18
Jul-18
Oct-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Jul-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Apr-20
Jul-20
Oct-20
Jan-21
Apr-21
Jul-21
Oct-21
Jan-22
YTY
%
Chg.
in
Pending
Sales
SERIES: Percent Change in Pending Sales
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Pending sales at the more affordable segments shrunk
the most from last year
page
19
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-20
Jul-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Jan-21
Feb-21
Mar-21
Apr-21
May-21
Jun-21
Jul-21
Aug-21
Sep-21
Oct-21
Nov-21
Dec-21
Jan-22
Feb-22
YTY
%
Chg.
in
Pending
Sales
$0 - $299k $300 - $399k $400 - $499k $500 - $749k
$750 - $999k $1,000 - $1,999k $2,000k+
SERIES: Percent Change in Pending Sales
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Pending sales improved from last month for all
but the lowest price segment
page
20
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
MTM
%
Chg.
in
pending
Sales
$0 - $299k $300 - $399k $400 - $499k $500 - $749k
$750 - $999k $1,000 - $1,999k $2,000k+
SERIES: Percent Change in Pending Sales
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Pending sales – Condos/Townhomes down
slightly more than single-family homes
page
21
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
Jan-18
Mar-18
May-18
Jul-18
Sep-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
Mar-19
May-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Mar-20
May-20
Jul-20
Sep-20
Nov-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Jul-21
Sep-21
Nov-21
Jan-22
YTY
%
Chg.
in
Pending
Sales
SFH Condo/Townhome
SERIES: Percent Change in Pending Sales
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Price
California median home price back to
double-digit growth
page
23
California, February 2022: $771,270, +0.7% MTM, +10.3% YTY
$-
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
$900,000
Jan-05
Sep-05
May-06
Jan-07
Sep-07
May-08
Jan-09
Sep-09
May-10
Jan-11
Sep-11
May-12
Jan-13
Sep-13
May-14
Jan-15
Sep-15
May-16
Jan-17
Sep-17
May-18
Jan-19
Sep-19
May-20
Jan-21
Sep-21
SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Condo/Townhome median price
set a new record
page
24
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
Jan-05
Sep-05
May-06
Jan-07
Sep-07
May-08
Jan-09
Sep-09
May-10
Jan-11
Sep-11
May-12
Jan-13
Sep-13
May-14
Jan-15
Sep-15
May-16
Jan-17
Sep-17
May-18
Jan-19
Sep-19
May-20
Jan-21
Sep-21
Median
Price
SERIES: Median Price of Existing Condos/Townhomes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
California, February 2021: $530,000, February 2022: $640,000
Median price growth - condos continued to outpace
single-family homes
page
25
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50% Jan-05
Sep-05
May-06
Jan-07
Sep-07
May-08
Jan-09
Sep-09
May-10
Jan-11
Sep-11
May-12
Jan-13
Sep-13
May-14
Jan-15
Sep-15
May-16
Jan-17
Sep-17
May-18
Jan-19
Sep-19
May-20
Jan-21
Sep-21
YTY%
Chg.
in
Price
Condo Single-Family Homes
SERIES: Median Price of Existing SFH & Condo/Townhomes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Price/Square foot bounced back
page
26
February 2022: $392, +5.4% MTM, +16.0% YTY
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450 Jan-07
Jul-07
Jan-08
Jul-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Jan-10
Jul-10
Jan-11
Jul-11
Jan-12
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
Jul-14
Jan-15
Jul-15
Jan-16
Jul-16
Jan-17
Jul-17
Jan-18
Jul-18
Jan-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Jul-20
Jan-21
Jul-21
Jan-22
PRICE
PER
SQ.
FT.
SERIES: Median Price Per Square Feet of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
The Price/Square foot gap between home types
widened to the highest on record
page
27
$392
$548
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
Jan-07
Jul-07
Jan-08
Jul-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Jan-10
Jul-10
Jan-11
Jul-11
Jan-12
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
Jul-14
Jan-15
Jul-15
Jan-16
Jul-16
Jan-17
Jul-17
Jan-18
Jul-18
Jan-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Jul-20
Jan-21
Jul-21
Jan-22
PRICE
PER
SQ.
FT.
Diff. in Price/Sq. Ft. SFH Condo/Townhome
SERIES: Median Price Per Square Feet of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
90%
92%
94%
96%
98%
100%
102%
104%
106%
Jan-07
Jul-07
Jan-08
Jul-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Jan-10
Jul-10
Jan-11
Jul-11
Jan-12
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
Jul-14
Jan-15
Jul-15
Jan-16
Jul-16
Jan-17
Jul-17
Jan-18
Jul-18
Jan-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Jul-20
Jan-21
Jul-21
Jan-22
Sales-to-List
Price
Ratio
Sales price-to-list price ratio began to rise again
page
28
Feb 2022: 102.6%, +5.4% MTM, +16.0% YTY
SERIES: Sales to List Ratio of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Share of homes sold above asking price
surged to 6-month high
page
29
56.6%
Peak:71.4%
65.4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Jan-17
Apr-17
Jul-17
Oct-17
Jan-18
Apr-18
Jul-18
Oct-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Jul-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Apr-20
Jul-20
Oct-20
Jan-21
Apr-21
Jul-21
Oct-21
Jan-22
%
of
sales
with
price
above
asking
price
SERIES: Sales with sold price above asking price (Existing SFH)
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Homes sold above asking price - by county
page
30
Feb 2022: % sold above asking price (26/50 Counties at or above 50%)
89%
9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
50%
SERIES: % of homes sold above asking price
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
List price vs. sales price
page
31
-8.80%
10.85%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60% Jan-12
Jun-12
Nov-12
Apr-13
Sep-13
Feb-14
Jul-14
Dec-14
May-15
Oct-15
Mar-16
Aug-16
Jan-17
Jun-17
Nov-17
Apr-18
Sep-18
Feb-19
Jul-19
Dec-19
May-20
Oct-20
Mar-21
Aug-21
Jan-22
YTY%
Chg.
in
Price
Listing Price Sales Price
SERIES: List price growth and sales price growth
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Prices continued to grow by double-digits
for all percentiles
page
32
SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
16.4%
12.2%
11.1% 10.6%
11.6% 11.6%
12.5%
14.8%
8.0%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 80-85 86-90 91-95 96-100
Percentile
Year-over-Year Price Growth
Price growth solid at all percentiles
page
33
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Jan-18
Mar-18
May-18
Jul-18
Sep-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
Mar-19
May-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Mar-20
May-20
Jul-20
Sep-20
Nov-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Jul-21
Sep-21
Nov-21
Jan-22
YTY%
Chg.
in
Price
0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100
SERIES: Percent Change in Price
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
California Market Velocity and Price Growth
page
34
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Dec-08
Apr-09
Aug-09
Dec-09
Apr-10
Aug-10
Dec-10
Apr-11
Aug-11
Dec-11
Apr-12
Aug-12
Dec-12
Apr-13
Aug-13
Dec-13
Apr-14
Aug-14
Dec-14
Apr-15
Aug-15
Dec-15
Apr-16
Aug-16
Dec-16
Apr-17
Aug-17
Dec-17
Apr-18
Aug-18
Dec-18
Apr-19
Aug-19
Dec-19
Apr-20
Aug-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Aug-21
Dec-21
-150%
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
Existing
SFR
Median
Price
Growth
Market
Velocity
Price Growth Market Velocity (12 month trailing average)
SERIES: Market Velocity & Price Growth
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Mortgage payment increased at the
fastest pace in eight months
page
35
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Jan-16
Jul-16
Jan-17
Jul-17
Jan-18
Jul-18
Jan-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Jul-20
Jan-21
Jul-21
Jan-22
YTY%
Chg.
California Median Price vs. Mortgage Payment
Price Growth Mortgage Pmt Growth
2.81%
3.76%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
Sep-16
Jan-17
May-17
Sep-17
Jan-18
May-18
Sep-18
Jan-19
May-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
May-20
Sep-20
Jan-21
May-21
Sep-21
Jan-22
30 Yr. FRM
SERIES: Price Growth vs. Mortgage Payment Growth
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Mortgage payment increased at the
fastest pace in eight months
page
36
10.3%
24.3%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Jan-16
Apr-16
Jul-16
Oct-16
Jan-17
Apr-17
Jul-17
Oct-17
Jan-18
Apr-18
Jul-18
Oct-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Jul-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Apr-20
Jul-20
Oct-20
Jan-21
Apr-21
Jul-21
Oct-21
Jan-22
YTY%
Chg.
California Median Price vs. Mortgage Payment
Price Growth Mortgage Pmt Growth
SERIES: Price Growth vs. Mortgage Payment Growth
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Inventory &
Active Listings
Inventory reached highest level in 12 months
page
38
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
Jan-05
Sep-05
May-06
Jan-07
Sep-07
May-08
Jan-09
Sep-09
May-10
Jan-11
Sep-11
May-12
Jan-13
Sep-13
May-14
Jan-15
Sep-15
May-16
Jan-17
Sep-17
May-18
Jan-19
Sep-19
May-20
Jan-21
Sep-21
Months
of
Supply
SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
February 2021: 2.1 Months; February 2022: 2.0 Months
Inventory reached highest level in 12 months
page
39
0
1
2
3
4
5
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19
Jun-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-20
Jul-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Jan-21
Feb-21
Mar-21
Apr-21
May-21
Jun-21
Jul-21
Aug-21
Sep-21
Oct-21
Nov-21
Dec-21
Months
of
Supply
SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
February 2021: 2.1 Months; February 2022: 2.0 Months
Unsold Inventory bounced back for all regions
page
40
2.0
1.9
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
Jan-09
Jul-09
Jan-10
Jul-10
Jan-11
Jul-11
Jan-12
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
Jul-14
Jan-15
Jul-15
Jan-16
Jul-16
Jan-17
Jul-17
Jan-18
Jul-18
Jan-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Jul-20
Jan-21
Jul-21
Jan-22
Months
of
Supply
Bay Area So CA Central Valley
SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Active listings improved as the market geared up for
the homebuying season
page
41
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
California Active Listings by Month
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Active listings started rising as the market
approaches the spring home buying season
page
42
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
Jan-18
Mar-18
May-18
Jul-18
Sep-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
Mar-19
May-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Mar-20
May-20
Jul-20
Sep-20
Nov-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Jul-21
Sep-21
Nov-21
Jan-22
California Active Listings by Month
Active listings had smallest drop in 31 months
page
43
-5.3%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Jan-15
Mar-15
May-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Nov-15
Jan-16
Mar-16
May-16
Jul-16
Sep-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
Mar-17
May-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
May-18
Jul-18
Sep-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
Mar-19
May-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Mar-20
May-20
Jul-20
Sep-20
Nov-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Jul-21
Sep-21
Nov-21
Jan-22
Year-over-Year % Chg
SERIES: Active Listing of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
New listings had the smallest drop since Aug 2021
page
44
23,205
21,001 21,146
17,290 16,522
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Jan-18
Apr-18
Jul-18
Oct-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Jul-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Apr-20
Jul-20
Oct-20
Jan-21
Apr-21
Jul-21
Oct-21
Jan-22
#
of
new
listings
SERIES: New Listings (Existing Single-Family Homes)
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-4.4%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Jan-19
Apr-19
Jul-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Apr-20
Jul-20
Oct-20
Jan-21
Apr-21
Jul-21
Oct-21
Jan-22
YTY%
chg.
in
new
listings
New Listings (Existing Single-Family Homes)
New active listings exceeded sales for the first
time in 20 months
page
45
23,205
21,001 21,146
17,290
16,522
16,027
14,910 15,933 17,511
15,998
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000 New Active Sales
SERIES: New Listings vs. Sales (Existing Single-Family Homes)
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Sales vs. New Active Listings
Imbalance between sales and newly active listings
continue to deplete overall supply level
page
46
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19
Jun-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-20
Jul-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Jan-21
Feb-21
Mar-21
Apr-21
May-21
Jun-21
Jul-21
Aug-21
Sep-21
Oct-21
Nov-21
Dec-21
Jan-22
Feb-22
yty% chg. in sales yty% chg. in new active listings yty% chg. in total active listings
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Supply started improving in more affordable regions
page
47
2,831
7,970
3,095
859 826
2,444
7,257
3,197
622 842
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
San Francisco
Bay Area
Southern
California
Central Valley Central Coast Far North
Active
Listings
Feb-21 Feb-22
SERIES: Active Listings of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Supply declined faster than demand
in the Central Coast region
page
48
-13.7% -9.9%
1.2%
-16.3%
-8.5%
-13.7%
-8.9%
3.3%
-27.6%
1.9%
-40%
0%
40%
San Francisco
Bay Area
Southern
California
Central Valley Central Coast Far North
Year-to-Year
%
Chg
Sales Active Listings
February 2022
SERIES: Sales and Listings of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Market Competitiveness
Time on market dipped to the lowest level in six months
page
50
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Days
on
Market
SERIES: Median Time of Market of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
California, February 2021: 10.0 Days; February 2022: 9.0 Days
Median time on market grew except the high-end
market
page
51
SERIES: Median Time on Market of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
10
8 8 9
13
10
11
16
32
10
11 10 9 8 8 8 8 8
10 9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 80-85 86-90 91-95 96-100 Total
Days
on
Market
Percentile
Median Time on Market
Feb-21 Feb-22
Sales-to-list price ratio remained robust for the top end
page
52
100.0%
101.2% 101.8%
104.1%
105.6%
106.7%
107.5%
108.7%
100.0%
102.6%
92%
94%
96%
98%
100%
102%
104%
106%
108%
110%
0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 80-85 86-90 91-95 96-100 Total
California Sales-to-List Price Ratio by Quintile
Feb-21 Feb-22
SERIES: Sales to List Ratio of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Median sales vs. list price growth $1M+ properties
page
53
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Jan-09
Jul-09
Jan-10
Jul-10
Jan-11
Jul-11
Jan-12
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
Jul-14
Jan-15
Jul-15
Jan-16
Jul-16
Jan-17
Jul-17
Jan-18
Jul-18
Jan-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Jul-20
Jan-21
Jul-21
YTY%
Chg.
in
Price
California Median Sales vs. List Price Growth
Listing Price Sales Price
SERIES: Sales to List Ratio of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Reduced-Price Listings
page
54
Share of Listings with a Reduced Price: 16.7%; Median Reduction Amount: -5.3%
-10%
-9%
-8%
-7%
-6%
-5%
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1/1/2010
6/1/2010
11/1/2010
4/1/2011
9/1/2011
2/1/2012
7/1/2012
12/1/2012
5/1/2013
10/1/2013
3/1/2014
8/1/2014
1/1/2015
6/1/2015
11/1/2015
4/1/2016
9/1/2016
2/1/2017
7/1/2017
12/1/2017
5/1/2018
10/1/2018
3/1/2019
8/1/2019
1/1/2020
6/1/2020
11/1/2020
4/1/2021
9/1/2021
2/1/2022
Share Reduced Median Reduction
SERIES: Listing Price of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Growth in Reduced-Price Listings
page
55
Growth in Share of Listings with a Reduced Price: -1.1%
Growth in Median Reduction Amount: 0.4%
-0.4%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
1/1/2015
4/1/2015
7/1/2015
10/1/2015
1/1/2016
4/1/2016
7/1/2016
10/1/2016
1/1/2017
4/1/2017
7/1/2017
10/1/2017
1/1/2018
4/1/2018
7/1/2018
10/1/2018
1/1/2019
4/1/2019
7/1/2019
10/1/2019
1/1/2020
4/1/2020
7/1/2020
10/1/2020
1/1/2021
4/1/2021
7/1/2021
10/1/2021
1/1/2022
YTY
%
chg.
Share Reduced Median Reduction
SERIES: Listing Price of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

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California Housing Market Update - Feb 2022 CAR

  • 1. California Housing Market Update Monthly Sales and Price Statistics February 2022
  • 2. Existing Home Sales % change -8.2% YTY California Housing Market Snapshot page 02 Price $771,270 +10.3% Y2Y Unsold Inventory Index 2.0 months -4.8% Y2Y Median Days on Market 9 days -10.0% Y2Y February 2022 CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -8.3% YTD 424,640
  • 3. Existing Home Sales % change -9.9% YTY February 2022 Southern California Housing Snapshot page 3 Unsold Inventory Index 2.0 months Median Days on Market 9 days Sales Price to List Price Ratio 102.7% CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -9.9% YTD Existing Home Price % change $760,000 +12.6% YTY
  • 4. Existing Home Sales % change -16.3% YTY February 2022 Central Coast Housing Snapshot page 4 Unsold Inventory Index 2.0 months Median Days on Market 10 days Sales Price to List Price Ratio 100.7% CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -18.4% YTD Existing Home Price % change $912,250 +10.1% YTY
  • 5. Existing Home Sales % change +1.2% YTY February 2022 Central Valley Housing Snapshot page 5 Unsold Inventory Index 1.9 months Median Days on Market 7 days Sales Price to List Price Ratio 101.6% CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -1.5% YTD Existing Home Price % change $465,000 +14.8% YTY
  • 6. Existing Home Sales % change -13.7% YTY February 2022 Bay Area Housing Snapshot page 6 Unsold Inventory Index 1.9 months Median Days on Market 9 days Sales Price to List Price Ratio 110.0% CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -18.1% YTD Existing Home Price % change $1,335,000 +15.9% YTY
  • 7. Existing Home Sales % change -8.5% YTY February 2022 Far North Housing Snapshot page 7 Unsold Inventory Index 3.0 months Median Days on Market 22 days Sales Price to List Price Ratio 100.0% CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -3.5% YTD Existing Home Price % change $375,000 +11.9% YTY
  • 9. Sales dipped from last year but remained above pre- pandemic levels page 9 California, February 2022 Sales: 424,640 Units, -8.3% YTD, -8.2% YTY, -4.5% MTM - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 Jan-05 Sep-05 May-06 Jan-07 Sep-07 May-08 Jan-09 Sep-09 May-10 Jan-11 Sep-11 May-12 Jan-13 Sep-13 May-14 Jan-15 Sep-15 May-16 Jan-17 Sep-17 May-18 Jan-19 Sep-19 May-20 Jan-21 Sep-21 SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 10. Sales had the smallest drop in seven months page 10 -8.2% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Year-over-Year % Chg 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Year-over-Year % Chg) SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 11. Bay Area had the biggest decline of all regions page 11 -13.7% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% Jan-10 May-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-12 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-13 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 Jan-21 May-21 Sep-21 Jan-22 YoY % chg. Bay Area 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Bay Area) SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 12. So. California sales dropped almost 10 percent page 12 -9.9% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Jan-10 May-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-12 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-13 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 Jan-21 May-21 Sep-21 Jan-22 So CA 6 per. Mov. Avg. (So CA) YoY % chg. SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 13. Central Valley sales had first increase in eight months page 13 1.2% -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Jan-10 May-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-12 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-13 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 Jan-21 May-21 Sep-21 Jan-22 Central Valley 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Central Valley) YoY % chg. SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 14. CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Sales by Region page 14 -16.3% -13.7%-12.6% -9.9% -8.5% 1.2% -18% -16% -14% -12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% February 2021 Home Sales Growth by Region Central Valley 22% S.F. Bay Area 16% Southern California 49% Central Coast 4% Far North 3% Other Counties 6% February 2022 Home Sales by Region
  • 15. Upper priced segments moderated in recent months page 15 February 2022 (YTY% Chg.) 28% 44% 28% 35% 42% 23% $0 - $499k $500 - $999k $1M+ Share by Price Segment 2022 2021 SERIES: Sales of Existing Detached Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -52% -29% -8% -7% 4% 6% 24% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40%
  • 16. Top-end of the market growth subsided page 16 -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% YTY % Chg. in Sales $0 - $299k $300 - $399k $400 - $499k $500 - $749k $750 - $999k $1,000 - $1,999k $2,000k+ SERIES: Percent Change in Sales SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 17. Share of million-dollar home sales bounced back after reaching 11-month low page 17 -1.9% 27.8% 28.1% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% % of Sales Share Gap $0-$499k $1,000k and up SERIES: Sales by Price Range SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® COVID-19 Outbreak
  • 18. Pending sales continued to decline by double-digits page 18 -12.5% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 YTY % Chg. in Pending Sales SERIES: Percent Change in Pending Sales SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 19. Pending sales at the more affordable segments shrunk the most from last year page 19 -100% 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% 500% Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 YTY % Chg. in Pending Sales $0 - $299k $300 - $399k $400 - $499k $500 - $749k $750 - $999k $1,000 - $1,999k $2,000k+ SERIES: Percent Change in Pending Sales SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 20. Pending sales improved from last month for all but the lowest price segment page 20 -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% MTM % Chg. in pending Sales $0 - $299k $300 - $399k $400 - $499k $500 - $749k $750 - $999k $1,000 - $1,999k $2,000k+ SERIES: Percent Change in Pending Sales SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 21. Pending sales – Condos/Townhomes down slightly more than single-family homes page 21 -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 Sep-18 Nov-18 Jan-19 Mar-19 May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20 Sep-20 Nov-20 Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 Sep-21 Nov-21 Jan-22 YTY % Chg. in Pending Sales SFH Condo/Townhome SERIES: Percent Change in Pending Sales SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 22. Price
  • 23. California median home price back to double-digit growth page 23 California, February 2022: $771,270, +0.7% MTM, +10.3% YTY $- $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 $700,000 $800,000 $900,000 Jan-05 Sep-05 May-06 Jan-07 Sep-07 May-08 Jan-09 Sep-09 May-10 Jan-11 Sep-11 May-12 Jan-13 Sep-13 May-14 Jan-15 Sep-15 May-16 Jan-17 Sep-17 May-18 Jan-19 Sep-19 May-20 Jan-21 Sep-21 SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 24. Condo/Townhome median price set a new record page 24 $0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 $700,000 Jan-05 Sep-05 May-06 Jan-07 Sep-07 May-08 Jan-09 Sep-09 May-10 Jan-11 Sep-11 May-12 Jan-13 Sep-13 May-14 Jan-15 Sep-15 May-16 Jan-17 Sep-17 May-18 Jan-19 Sep-19 May-20 Jan-21 Sep-21 Median Price SERIES: Median Price of Existing Condos/Townhomes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® California, February 2021: $530,000, February 2022: $640,000
  • 25. Median price growth - condos continued to outpace single-family homes page 25 -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Jan-05 Sep-05 May-06 Jan-07 Sep-07 May-08 Jan-09 Sep-09 May-10 Jan-11 Sep-11 May-12 Jan-13 Sep-13 May-14 Jan-15 Sep-15 May-16 Jan-17 Sep-17 May-18 Jan-19 Sep-19 May-20 Jan-21 Sep-21 YTY% Chg. in Price Condo Single-Family Homes SERIES: Median Price of Existing SFH & Condo/Townhomes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 26. Price/Square foot bounced back page 26 February 2022: $392, +5.4% MTM, +16.0% YTY $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jan-22 PRICE PER SQ. FT. SERIES: Median Price Per Square Feet of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 27. The Price/Square foot gap between home types widened to the highest on record page 27 $392 $548 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jan-22 PRICE PER SQ. FT. Diff. in Price/Sq. Ft. SFH Condo/Townhome SERIES: Median Price Per Square Feet of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 29. Share of homes sold above asking price surged to 6-month high page 29 56.6% Peak:71.4% 65.4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 % of sales with price above asking price SERIES: Sales with sold price above asking price (Existing SFH) SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 30. Homes sold above asking price - by county page 30 Feb 2022: % sold above asking price (26/50 Counties at or above 50%) 89% 9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 50% SERIES: % of homes sold above asking price SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 31. List price vs. sales price page 31 -8.80% 10.85% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Jan-12 Jun-12 Nov-12 Apr-13 Sep-13 Feb-14 Jul-14 Dec-14 May-15 Oct-15 Mar-16 Aug-16 Jan-17 Jun-17 Nov-17 Apr-18 Sep-18 Feb-19 Jul-19 Dec-19 May-20 Oct-20 Mar-21 Aug-21 Jan-22 YTY% Chg. in Price Listing Price Sales Price SERIES: List price growth and sales price growth SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 32. Prices continued to grow by double-digits for all percentiles page 32 SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® 16.4% 12.2% 11.1% 10.6% 11.6% 11.6% 12.5% 14.8% 8.0% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 80-85 86-90 91-95 96-100 Percentile Year-over-Year Price Growth
  • 33. Price growth solid at all percentiles page 33 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 Sep-18 Nov-18 Jan-19 Mar-19 May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20 Sep-20 Nov-20 Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 Sep-21 Nov-21 Jan-22 YTY% Chg. in Price 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 SERIES: Percent Change in Price SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 34. California Market Velocity and Price Growth page 34 -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Dec-08 Apr-09 Aug-09 Dec-09 Apr-10 Aug-10 Dec-10 Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Aug-12 Dec-12 Apr-13 Aug-13 Dec-13 Apr-14 Aug-14 Dec-14 Apr-15 Aug-15 Dec-15 Apr-16 Aug-16 Dec-16 Apr-17 Aug-17 Dec-17 Apr-18 Aug-18 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Apr-21 Aug-21 Dec-21 -150% -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% Existing SFR Median Price Growth Market Velocity Price Growth Market Velocity (12 month trailing average) SERIES: Market Velocity & Price Growth SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 35. Mortgage payment increased at the fastest pace in eight months page 35 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jan-22 YTY% Chg. California Median Price vs. Mortgage Payment Price Growth Mortgage Pmt Growth 2.81% 3.76% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 Jan-21 May-21 Sep-21 Jan-22 30 Yr. FRM SERIES: Price Growth vs. Mortgage Payment Growth SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 36. Mortgage payment increased at the fastest pace in eight months page 36 10.3% 24.3% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 YTY% Chg. California Median Price vs. Mortgage Payment Price Growth Mortgage Pmt Growth SERIES: Price Growth vs. Mortgage Payment Growth SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 38. Inventory reached highest level in 12 months page 38 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 Jan-05 Sep-05 May-06 Jan-07 Sep-07 May-08 Jan-09 Sep-09 May-10 Jan-11 Sep-11 May-12 Jan-13 Sep-13 May-14 Jan-15 Sep-15 May-16 Jan-17 Sep-17 May-18 Jan-19 Sep-19 May-20 Jan-21 Sep-21 Months of Supply SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® February 2021: 2.1 Months; February 2022: 2.0 Months
  • 39. Inventory reached highest level in 12 months page 39 0 1 2 3 4 5 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Months of Supply SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® February 2021: 2.1 Months; February 2022: 2.0 Months
  • 40. Unsold Inventory bounced back for all regions page 40 2.0 1.9 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jan-22 Months of Supply Bay Area So CA Central Valley SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 41. CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Active listings improved as the market geared up for the homebuying season page 41 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 California Active Listings by Month 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
  • 42. CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Active listings started rising as the market approaches the spring home buying season page 42 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 Sep-18 Nov-18 Jan-19 Mar-19 May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20 Sep-20 Nov-20 Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 Sep-21 Nov-21 Jan-22 California Active Listings by Month
  • 43. Active listings had smallest drop in 31 months page 43 -5.3% -60% -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17 Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 Sep-18 Nov-18 Jan-19 Mar-19 May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20 Sep-20 Nov-20 Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 Jul-21 Sep-21 Nov-21 Jan-22 Year-over-Year % Chg SERIES: Active Listing of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 44. New listings had the smallest drop since Aug 2021 page 44 23,205 21,001 21,146 17,290 16,522 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 # of new listings SERIES: New Listings (Existing Single-Family Homes) SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -4.4% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 YTY% chg. in new listings New Listings (Existing Single-Family Homes)
  • 45. New active listings exceeded sales for the first time in 20 months page 45 23,205 21,001 21,146 17,290 16,522 16,027 14,910 15,933 17,511 15,998 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 New Active Sales SERIES: New Listings vs. Sales (Existing Single-Family Homes) SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Sales vs. New Active Listings
  • 46. Imbalance between sales and newly active listings continue to deplete overall supply level page 46 -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 yty% chg. in sales yty% chg. in new active listings yty% chg. in total active listings SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 47. Supply started improving in more affordable regions page 47 2,831 7,970 3,095 859 826 2,444 7,257 3,197 622 842 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 San Francisco Bay Area Southern California Central Valley Central Coast Far North Active Listings Feb-21 Feb-22 SERIES: Active Listings of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 48. Supply declined faster than demand in the Central Coast region page 48 -13.7% -9.9% 1.2% -16.3% -8.5% -13.7% -8.9% 3.3% -27.6% 1.9% -40% 0% 40% San Francisco Bay Area Southern California Central Valley Central Coast Far North Year-to-Year % Chg Sales Active Listings February 2022 SERIES: Sales and Listings of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 50. Time on market dipped to the lowest level in six months page 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Days on Market SERIES: Median Time of Market of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® California, February 2021: 10.0 Days; February 2022: 9.0 Days
  • 51. Median time on market grew except the high-end market page 51 SERIES: Median Time on Market of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® 10 8 8 9 13 10 11 16 32 10 11 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 10 9 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 80-85 86-90 91-95 96-100 Total Days on Market Percentile Median Time on Market Feb-21 Feb-22
  • 52. Sales-to-list price ratio remained robust for the top end page 52 100.0% 101.2% 101.8% 104.1% 105.6% 106.7% 107.5% 108.7% 100.0% 102.6% 92% 94% 96% 98% 100% 102% 104% 106% 108% 110% 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 80-85 86-90 91-95 96-100 Total California Sales-to-List Price Ratio by Quintile Feb-21 Feb-22 SERIES: Sales to List Ratio of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 53. Median sales vs. list price growth $1M+ properties page 53 -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 YTY% Chg. in Price California Median Sales vs. List Price Growth Listing Price Sales Price SERIES: Sales to List Ratio of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 54. Reduced-Price Listings page 54 Share of Listings with a Reduced Price: 16.7%; Median Reduction Amount: -5.3% -10% -9% -8% -7% -6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 1/1/2010 6/1/2010 11/1/2010 4/1/2011 9/1/2011 2/1/2012 7/1/2012 12/1/2012 5/1/2013 10/1/2013 3/1/2014 8/1/2014 1/1/2015 6/1/2015 11/1/2015 4/1/2016 9/1/2016 2/1/2017 7/1/2017 12/1/2017 5/1/2018 10/1/2018 3/1/2019 8/1/2019 1/1/2020 6/1/2020 11/1/2020 4/1/2021 9/1/2021 2/1/2022 Share Reduced Median Reduction SERIES: Listing Price of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 55. Growth in Reduced-Price Listings page 55 Growth in Share of Listings with a Reduced Price: -1.1% Growth in Median Reduction Amount: 0.4% -0.4% -0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 1/1/2015 4/1/2015 7/1/2015 10/1/2015 1/1/2016 4/1/2016 7/1/2016 10/1/2016 1/1/2017 4/1/2017 7/1/2017 10/1/2017 1/1/2018 4/1/2018 7/1/2018 10/1/2018 1/1/2019 4/1/2019 7/1/2019 10/1/2019 1/1/2020 4/1/2020 7/1/2020 10/1/2020 1/1/2021 4/1/2021 7/1/2021 10/1/2021 1/1/2022 YTY % chg. Share Reduced Median Reduction SERIES: Listing Price of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®