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Unemployment & INFLATION
              Abu bakar Siddique    (11011519-028)
              Junaid Arshad        (11011519-072)
              Usama Bilal          (11011519-070)
              Usama Imtiaz         (11011519-110)
              Usman Saeed          (11011519-074)




                 BS Computer Science (3rd
                       Semester)
TOPIC TO BE COVERED
Definition                         U
Measurement                        N
      Unemployment Rate             E
Types Of Unemployment              M
Voluntary Unemployment             P
Involuntary Unemployment           L
  •   Fractional Unemployment       O
                                    Y
  •   Structural Unemployment
                                    M
  •   Cyclical Unemployment
                                    E
  •   Seasonal Unemployment         N
  •   Regional Unemployment         T
  •   Classical Unemployment
Unemployment
 Unemployment (or joblessness) occurs
   when people are without work and
        actively seeking work



A SITUATION WHERE SOME PEOPLE ARE WILLING AND
   ABLE TO WORK ,BUT ARE UNABLE TO FIND PAID
                 EMPLOYMENT




          Unemployment
DEFINITION ACCORDING TO
                   ILO

• ILO   (International Labor Organization)
• Unemployment as defined by the ILO occurs when people are
  without job and they have actively looked for work with in the
  past four weeks

• SOME REALITY BASE FACTS
• This incidence is much higher in urban then rural area
• Unemployment rates for women are higher then those for
  men.
EFFECTS OF UNEMPLOYMENT


• Effect of unemployment (at individual level)
• Mantel stress
• Loss of self esteem
• Directly linked to poverty and Malnutrition


• Effect of unemployment (at social level)
• Civil unrest
• Law an order problems
• Trade barriers
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
Unemployment Formula

 ( unemployment labor force /total labor force )*100


Unemployment Rate In Pakistan
 Unemployment Rate in Pakistan decreased to 5.70 percent in the second
 quarter of 2011 from 6.10 percent in the first quarter of 2011
TYPES OF UNEMPLOYMENT




   Unemployment
VOLUNTARY UNEMPLOYMENT
• Voluntary unemployment is defined as a
  situation when workers choose not to work at the
  current equilibrium wage rate. For one reason or
  another, workers may elect not to participate in
  the labor market.

• Voluntary unemployment is likely to occur when
  the equilibrium wage rate is below the wage
  necessary to encourage individuals to supply
  their labor.
Classical Unemployment
Classical unemployment is caused when wages are ‘too’ high.
when workers themselves were blamed for not accepting lower
wages, or for asking for too high wages. Classical unemployment
is also called real wage unemployment.



              INVOLUNTARY
             UNEMPLOYMENT
  • When workers are prepared to work at the going wage
    rate but cannot find jobs.
FRICTIONAL
              UNEMPLOYMENT
Frictional (Search) Unemployment
• Frictional unemployment, also called search unemployment,
  occurs when workers lose their current job and are in the
  process of finding another one. This suggests that full
  employment is impossible at any one time because some
  workers will always be in the process of changing jobs.

• For example, college graduates that have never been in the labor force
  before are considered frictionally unemployed until they manage to find a job
  or a person has given exams of CSS and waiting for a high job.
STRUCTURAL
               UNEMPLOYMENT
  Structural Unemployment
• Structural unemployment occurs when certain industries decline because of
  long term changes in market conditions.

• Arises from the mismatch of skills and job opportunities as the pattern of
  labor demand in the economy changes.
• Often involves long-term unemployment .
• Prevalent in regions where industries go into long-term decline.
• Good example include industries such as mining , engineering and textiles.
• Occupational immobility of labor.
THERE ARE THREE TYPES OF LABOR
             IMMOBILITY:
Geographical immobility
Geographical immobility occurs when workers are not willing or able to move
from region to region, or town to town.
Other factors also contribute to geographical immobility, such as strong social
and family ties,
and parents being unwilling to disrupt their children’s education by changing
schools.
Industrial immobility
Industrial immobility occurs when workers do not move
between industries, such as moving from employment in motor industry to
employment in the insurance industry. Industrial immobility has affected the
UK, and many other industrial countries, as the growth of service
industries, and the decline of manufacturing industries, has increased the need
for mobility.
THERE ARE THREE TYPES OF LABOR
           IMMOBILITY:

• Occupational immobility
• Occupational immobility occurs when workers find it
  difficult to change jobs within an industry. For example, it
  may be very difficult for a doctor to retrain to be a dentist.
• Industrial and occupation immobility are most likely to
  happen when skills are not transferable between industry
  and job.
SEASONAL
              UNEMPLOYMENT
• Seasonal Unemployment
• Seasonal unemployment exists because certain industries only
  produce or distribute their products at certain times of the year.
  Industries where seasonal unemployment is common include farming,
  tourism, and construction.
•   Regular seasonal changes in employment/labor demand.
•   Affects certain industries more than others.
•   Catering and leisure.
•   Construction.
•   Retailing.
•   Tourism.
•   Agriculture.
CYCLICAL UNEMPLOYMENT

• Cyclical unemployment exists when individuals lose their
  jobs as a result of a downturn in aggregate demand


• If the decline in aggregate demand is persistent, and the
  unemployment long-term, it is called cyclical
  or Keynesian unemployment.


• Caused by a fall in aggregate demand leading to a loss of
  real national output and employment .
DISGUISED UNEMPLOYMENT:

• Disguised Unemployment:
• When persons are working as a labor just to help and
  engage busy, so a labor does not help in production
  increment. When more people are engaged in some
  activity than the number of person required for that, this is
  called disguised unemployment.
• Examples:
• In a farm, two kids are working as a labor to help their
  father and to engage busy. Here, two persons are
  unemployed and that is disguised unemployment.
• Regional Unemployment
• When structural unemployment affects local areas of an
  economy, it is called ‘regional’ unemployment. For example,
  unemployed coal miners in Baluchistan Area’s and ship workers
  in the Karachi add to regional unemployment in these areas.
MAJOR CAUSES OF UNEMPLOYMENT:
         IN PAKISTAN
 • Employment in the private sector absolutely stopped because they
   shifted their capital to other countries because of nationalization of
   industrial units badly affected the investment industrial sector.

 • The higher growth rate of population is the major cause of
   unemployment in Pakistan.

 • Karachi is the biggest industrial base of Pakistan, but investors are
   reluctant to invest there because of unrest and violence.

 • Our educational system is also responsible for increasing
   unemployment rate among the educated youth. The attitude of our
   youth towards the choice of a career is unrealistic and unproductive
MAJOR CAUSES OF
                   UNEMPLOYMENT:
                     IN PAKISTAN

• Lack of enough industries to employ ever increasing number
  of graduate in Pakistan

• The government is not involving in capital expenditures which
  create more jobs.

• Main issue of unemployment in our country is that when ever
  a new technology comes as software or hardware then all the
  people starts studying about that. Then at the end, you will
  see ten thousand students of a particular field about 5 to 10
  job vacancies.

• Lack of infrastructure and facilities in the field of energy,
  telecommunication and transportation also prevent the
  industrialist from setting up new industries.
SUGGESTIONS:
• 1) Govt. should make efforts to push economic growth process. For this purpose
  Economic Revival Package should announce for the revival of industries sector, to
  stimulate production and investment.

• 2) Govt. should seriously try to boost exports by lowering tariffs.

• 3) Govt. should announce a package for the development of agriculture sector.

• 4) Beside this a number of fiscal and monetary measures should take to attract
  industrialists and particularly foreign investment.

• 5) More Technical and Vocational training facilities should be provided. In this way
  unemployed people will get the chance to enhance their skills and become able to
  earn reasonable income.

• 6) With a view to reduce educate unemployment; self-employment scheme should
  be encouraged in true manners.
inflation
 Definition
INFLATION

• Inflation is a rise in the general level of prices of
  goods and services in an economy over a period of
  time.
TYPES OF
            INFLATION:




1.   DEMAND-PULL INFLATION
2.   COST-PUSH-INFLATION
3.   BUILT-IN INFLATION
4.   IMPORTED INFLATION
5.   INCOME INFLATION
6.   DIFICIT INFLATION
1. DEMAND-PULL INFLATION:

• Demand-pull     inflation   is  generated when
  aggregate demand for goods for all purposes-
  consumption, investment and government exceeds
  the supply of goods at current prices.
FACTORS OF DEMAND PULL
            INFLATION:


• Demand for non-development expenditures:
  The governments in Pakistan since 1947 have not
  been able to curb the non-development
  expenditures.
• Increase in worker remittances:
  During the last three years there is a rapid
  increase in the flow of worker remittances in
  the country .

• Increase in Wages:
  The rise in wages , salaries ,dearness
  allowances, bonuses in the annual budget
  increase the purchasing power of the
  employees.
• Foreign Economic assistance:
  For rapid economic development, Pakistan has
  been receiving foreign assistance.

• Construction of houses:
  Since 1970 the unproductive expenditure on the
  construction of houses, plazas etc. has also
  contributed to the rising trend in prices.
o Population explosion:

The population is increasing at the rate of about 1.9%
 in Pakistan.
COST-PUSH INFLATION:



• The rise in the general price level is also
  caused by the rising costs of the factors of
  production.
• Increase in Wages:
  The increase in wages and the rise in prices
  are chasing each other at a rapid speed
  causing personal rise in the level of prices.

• Rising prices of imported goods:
  The import prices of POL chemicals, fertilizers,
  non-electrical machinery etc have gone up
  in the world market.
• Increase in Indirect taxes:
 The increase in the indirect taxes every year has
  given the general price level .

• Rise in POL, Gas, and Excise Duty:
  The multiplier effect of the rise in POL, gas prices,
  and sales tax on a number of items has greatly
  contributed to the cost push effect.
• Sick Industrial Units:
  The increase in number of sick industrial units, fall in
  industrial production due to strikes, electricity
  breakdown cause decrease in production.
• Rise in support price of agriculture crops:
  The Government raises the support prices of cotton,
  wheat, sugar cane to protect the interests of
  farmers.
Built-in inflation:

Inflation caused by the expectation of inflation
occurring. For example, employees expect that
inflation will happen, and so they negotiate for
wage increases.
Imported inflation
   Open Inflation :
     “Government takes
      no steps to control
      price rice”
It is due to increase in imported
goods cost.
Income Inflation
• Increase in income , causes increase the money
  supply in the country that leads to income
  inflation…
Deficit inflation

• Government has to borrow from banks and
  non-banks & internal and external resources in
  case of deficit financing…
Effect of Inflation
Positive Effect                     Negative Effect
 Increase in production              Decrease the purchasing power
                                     and saving


 Increase employment opportunity     Increase the interest rate


 Enhance Economic development        Create lot of social evils


 Increase the profit of producers    Effect the existing creditors


 Benefit the cartels                 Effect the business cycle


 Benefits the inflator               hording
Monetary policy is the process by which the government, central bank,
        Monetary policy is the process by which the
  or monetary authority of a country controls supply and availability of
                                 money.
government, central bank of a country controls supply and
 Open market operations
 High interest rates…
 Reduction in monetary
  expansion
Fiscal policy:
Fiscal policy is changes in the taxing and
spending of the federal government for
purposes of expanding or contracting the
level of aggregate demand.
Fiscal policy:
 Highly increasing unproductive
  expenditures must be control
 Control on population
Fiscal policy:
 Import and export…
 Developments of agricultural and
  industrial sectors…
Fiscal policy:
 Increase in the growth rate of output
 Effective tax system will be helpful
 Improvement in balance of payment
DEGRRE
OF INFLATION:



 Moderate Inflation
          Range 1% to 20%

 Galloping Inflation
      Range 20% to 1000%

 Hyper Inflation
          Above 1000%
PAKISTAN 10.4%
Siddique

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Siddique

  • 1.
  • 2. Unemployment & INFLATION Abu bakar Siddique (11011519-028) Junaid Arshad (11011519-072) Usama Bilal (11011519-070) Usama Imtiaz (11011519-110) Usman Saeed (11011519-074) BS Computer Science (3rd Semester)
  • 3.
  • 4. TOPIC TO BE COVERED Definition U Measurement N Unemployment Rate E Types Of Unemployment M Voluntary Unemployment P Involuntary Unemployment L • Fractional Unemployment O Y • Structural Unemployment M • Cyclical Unemployment E • Seasonal Unemployment N • Regional Unemployment T • Classical Unemployment
  • 5. Unemployment Unemployment (or joblessness) occurs when people are without work and actively seeking work A SITUATION WHERE SOME PEOPLE ARE WILLING AND ABLE TO WORK ,BUT ARE UNABLE TO FIND PAID EMPLOYMENT Unemployment
  • 6. DEFINITION ACCORDING TO ILO • ILO (International Labor Organization) • Unemployment as defined by the ILO occurs when people are without job and they have actively looked for work with in the past four weeks • SOME REALITY BASE FACTS • This incidence is much higher in urban then rural area • Unemployment rates for women are higher then those for men.
  • 7. EFFECTS OF UNEMPLOYMENT • Effect of unemployment (at individual level) • Mantel stress • Loss of self esteem • Directly linked to poverty and Malnutrition • Effect of unemployment (at social level) • Civil unrest • Law an order problems • Trade barriers
  • 8. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Unemployment Formula ( unemployment labor force /total labor force )*100 Unemployment Rate In Pakistan Unemployment Rate in Pakistan decreased to 5.70 percent in the second quarter of 2011 from 6.10 percent in the first quarter of 2011
  • 9. TYPES OF UNEMPLOYMENT Unemployment
  • 10. VOLUNTARY UNEMPLOYMENT • Voluntary unemployment is defined as a situation when workers choose not to work at the current equilibrium wage rate. For one reason or another, workers may elect not to participate in the labor market. • Voluntary unemployment is likely to occur when the equilibrium wage rate is below the wage necessary to encourage individuals to supply their labor.
  • 11. Classical Unemployment Classical unemployment is caused when wages are ‘too’ high. when workers themselves were blamed for not accepting lower wages, or for asking for too high wages. Classical unemployment is also called real wage unemployment. INVOLUNTARY UNEMPLOYMENT • When workers are prepared to work at the going wage rate but cannot find jobs.
  • 12. FRICTIONAL UNEMPLOYMENT Frictional (Search) Unemployment • Frictional unemployment, also called search unemployment, occurs when workers lose their current job and are in the process of finding another one. This suggests that full employment is impossible at any one time because some workers will always be in the process of changing jobs. • For example, college graduates that have never been in the labor force before are considered frictionally unemployed until they manage to find a job or a person has given exams of CSS and waiting for a high job.
  • 13. STRUCTURAL UNEMPLOYMENT Structural Unemployment • Structural unemployment occurs when certain industries decline because of long term changes in market conditions. • Arises from the mismatch of skills and job opportunities as the pattern of labor demand in the economy changes. • Often involves long-term unemployment . • Prevalent in regions where industries go into long-term decline. • Good example include industries such as mining , engineering and textiles. • Occupational immobility of labor.
  • 14. THERE ARE THREE TYPES OF LABOR IMMOBILITY: Geographical immobility Geographical immobility occurs when workers are not willing or able to move from region to region, or town to town. Other factors also contribute to geographical immobility, such as strong social and family ties, and parents being unwilling to disrupt their children’s education by changing schools. Industrial immobility Industrial immobility occurs when workers do not move between industries, such as moving from employment in motor industry to employment in the insurance industry. Industrial immobility has affected the UK, and many other industrial countries, as the growth of service industries, and the decline of manufacturing industries, has increased the need for mobility.
  • 15. THERE ARE THREE TYPES OF LABOR IMMOBILITY: • Occupational immobility • Occupational immobility occurs when workers find it difficult to change jobs within an industry. For example, it may be very difficult for a doctor to retrain to be a dentist. • Industrial and occupation immobility are most likely to happen when skills are not transferable between industry and job.
  • 16. SEASONAL UNEMPLOYMENT • Seasonal Unemployment • Seasonal unemployment exists because certain industries only produce or distribute their products at certain times of the year. Industries where seasonal unemployment is common include farming, tourism, and construction. • Regular seasonal changes in employment/labor demand. • Affects certain industries more than others. • Catering and leisure. • Construction. • Retailing. • Tourism. • Agriculture.
  • 17. CYCLICAL UNEMPLOYMENT • Cyclical unemployment exists when individuals lose their jobs as a result of a downturn in aggregate demand • If the decline in aggregate demand is persistent, and the unemployment long-term, it is called cyclical or Keynesian unemployment. • Caused by a fall in aggregate demand leading to a loss of real national output and employment .
  • 18. DISGUISED UNEMPLOYMENT: • Disguised Unemployment: • When persons are working as a labor just to help and engage busy, so a labor does not help in production increment. When more people are engaged in some activity than the number of person required for that, this is called disguised unemployment. • Examples: • In a farm, two kids are working as a labor to help their father and to engage busy. Here, two persons are unemployed and that is disguised unemployment.
  • 19. • Regional Unemployment • When structural unemployment affects local areas of an economy, it is called ‘regional’ unemployment. For example, unemployed coal miners in Baluchistan Area’s and ship workers in the Karachi add to regional unemployment in these areas.
  • 20. MAJOR CAUSES OF UNEMPLOYMENT: IN PAKISTAN • Employment in the private sector absolutely stopped because they shifted their capital to other countries because of nationalization of industrial units badly affected the investment industrial sector. • The higher growth rate of population is the major cause of unemployment in Pakistan. • Karachi is the biggest industrial base of Pakistan, but investors are reluctant to invest there because of unrest and violence. • Our educational system is also responsible for increasing unemployment rate among the educated youth. The attitude of our youth towards the choice of a career is unrealistic and unproductive
  • 21. MAJOR CAUSES OF UNEMPLOYMENT: IN PAKISTAN • Lack of enough industries to employ ever increasing number of graduate in Pakistan • The government is not involving in capital expenditures which create more jobs. • Main issue of unemployment in our country is that when ever a new technology comes as software or hardware then all the people starts studying about that. Then at the end, you will see ten thousand students of a particular field about 5 to 10 job vacancies. • Lack of infrastructure and facilities in the field of energy, telecommunication and transportation also prevent the industrialist from setting up new industries.
  • 22. SUGGESTIONS: • 1) Govt. should make efforts to push economic growth process. For this purpose Economic Revival Package should announce for the revival of industries sector, to stimulate production and investment. • 2) Govt. should seriously try to boost exports by lowering tariffs. • 3) Govt. should announce a package for the development of agriculture sector. • 4) Beside this a number of fiscal and monetary measures should take to attract industrialists and particularly foreign investment. • 5) More Technical and Vocational training facilities should be provided. In this way unemployed people will get the chance to enhance their skills and become able to earn reasonable income. • 6) With a view to reduce educate unemployment; self-employment scheme should be encouraged in true manners.
  • 24. INFLATION • Inflation is a rise in the general level of prices of goods and services in an economy over a period of time.
  • 25. TYPES OF INFLATION: 1. DEMAND-PULL INFLATION 2. COST-PUSH-INFLATION 3. BUILT-IN INFLATION 4. IMPORTED INFLATION 5. INCOME INFLATION 6. DIFICIT INFLATION
  • 26. 1. DEMAND-PULL INFLATION: • Demand-pull inflation is generated when aggregate demand for goods for all purposes- consumption, investment and government exceeds the supply of goods at current prices.
  • 27.
  • 28. FACTORS OF DEMAND PULL INFLATION: • Demand for non-development expenditures: The governments in Pakistan since 1947 have not been able to curb the non-development expenditures.
  • 29. • Increase in worker remittances: During the last three years there is a rapid increase in the flow of worker remittances in the country . • Increase in Wages: The rise in wages , salaries ,dearness allowances, bonuses in the annual budget increase the purchasing power of the employees.
  • 30. • Foreign Economic assistance: For rapid economic development, Pakistan has been receiving foreign assistance. • Construction of houses: Since 1970 the unproductive expenditure on the construction of houses, plazas etc. has also contributed to the rising trend in prices.
  • 31. o Population explosion: The population is increasing at the rate of about 1.9% in Pakistan.
  • 32. COST-PUSH INFLATION: • The rise in the general price level is also caused by the rising costs of the factors of production.
  • 33. • Increase in Wages: The increase in wages and the rise in prices are chasing each other at a rapid speed causing personal rise in the level of prices. • Rising prices of imported goods: The import prices of POL chemicals, fertilizers, non-electrical machinery etc have gone up in the world market.
  • 34. • Increase in Indirect taxes: The increase in the indirect taxes every year has given the general price level . • Rise in POL, Gas, and Excise Duty: The multiplier effect of the rise in POL, gas prices, and sales tax on a number of items has greatly contributed to the cost push effect.
  • 35. • Sick Industrial Units: The increase in number of sick industrial units, fall in industrial production due to strikes, electricity breakdown cause decrease in production.
  • 36. • Rise in support price of agriculture crops: The Government raises the support prices of cotton, wheat, sugar cane to protect the interests of farmers.
  • 37. Built-in inflation: Inflation caused by the expectation of inflation occurring. For example, employees expect that inflation will happen, and so they negotiate for wage increases.
  • 38. Imported inflation  Open Inflation : “Government takes no steps to control price rice” It is due to increase in imported goods cost.
  • 39. Income Inflation • Increase in income , causes increase the money supply in the country that leads to income inflation…
  • 40. Deficit inflation • Government has to borrow from banks and non-banks & internal and external resources in case of deficit financing…
  • 42. Positive Effect Negative Effect Increase in production Decrease the purchasing power and saving Increase employment opportunity Increase the interest rate Enhance Economic development Create lot of social evils Increase the profit of producers Effect the existing creditors Benefit the cartels Effect the business cycle Benefits the inflator hording
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. Monetary policy is the process by which the government, central bank, Monetary policy is the process by which the or monetary authority of a country controls supply and availability of money. government, central bank of a country controls supply and
  • 48.  Open market operations  High interest rates…  Reduction in monetary expansion
  • 49. Fiscal policy: Fiscal policy is changes in the taxing and spending of the federal government for purposes of expanding or contracting the level of aggregate demand.
  • 50. Fiscal policy:  Highly increasing unproductive expenditures must be control  Control on population
  • 51. Fiscal policy:  Import and export…  Developments of agricultural and industrial sectors…
  • 52. Fiscal policy:  Increase in the growth rate of output  Effective tax system will be helpful  Improvement in balance of payment
  • 53. DEGRRE OF INFLATION:  Moderate Inflation Range 1% to 20%  Galloping Inflation Range 20% to 1000%  Hyper Inflation Above 1000%