1. "Climate Change Indicators and Impacts:
Bangladesh Scenario”
Saeed Ahmed Siddiquee
Alumni, Jahangirnagar University
Email: shaikatbangla@gmail.com

2.  Climate Change: Significant change of an avg. weather of a specific region
over a significant period of time (more or less 30 years) is called CC.
 Factors of CC: Earth itself, sunlight intensity variation, anthropogenic
activities, geo-engineering, solar radiations, deviation of earth’s orbit, plate
tectonics, volcanism, earthquake etc.
 Physical evidences of CC: Vegetation, ice cores, dendochronology, pollen
analysis, insects, sea level rise etc.
 GHGs: CO2, CH4, N2O, HFC, Per Flouro Carbon, CFC, SF6

3. Most weather vulnerable countries to climate change:
1. Bangladesh 6. Haiti
2. Myanmar 7. Philippine
3. Honduras 8. Dominic
4. Nicaragua 9. Mongolia
5. Vietnam 10. Tajikistan

4. Dinajpur
Sunamganj
Satkhira

6. Methodology
• Cyclone-Surge Prone Areas of Satkhira
Study Area • Flash Flood-Prone Areas in Sunamganj
• Droughts-Prone Arid Areas of Dinajpur
• Cyclone-Surge Zone (Irrigated & Non
irrigated)
Zone Selection • Flash-Flood Zone (Irrigated & Non
Criteria irrigated)
• Drought Zone (Irrigated & Non irrigated)
• Review of Secondary Information (RSI)
• Reconnaissance Field Visit (RFV)
• Participatory Action Plan Development
Sample Collection (PAPD)
• Development of Questionnaire (DQ)
• Field Survey (FS)
• Focus Group Discussion (FGD)

7. Results and Discussions
Trend Analysis of Potential Indicators
1. Indicators of Seasonal Variation
Current Seasons of Study Areas (till 2011)
Previous Seasons of Study Areas (before 30 years)

8. 2. Indicators of Natural Hazards
Increased Decreased No change None
20% 10% 10% 10% 10% 20%
20% 30%
40% 50% 30%
20% 90%
100% 100% 90% 100%
80% 70% 10%
50% 50% 50%
30%
10%

9. 3. Indicators of Climate and Water
Hot and prolonged Increased Decreased Scarcity Saline
10%
50% 10%
80% 80%
90%
50% 10%
20% 20%
Temperature Humidity Rainfall Water GWL and
availability quality

10. 4. Indicators of Agriculture
120 Summer
100 Winter
% of People
80 Increased
60 Decreased
40
High
20
Low
0
Difficult
Easier
Agricultural Sectors

11. 5. Indicators of Livestock
Increased Decreased Cross and Hybrid
Short Long High
low Not observed
20% 20% 10%
30% 30%
30% 40%
80%
50%
80% 70% 70%
50% 50%
20%

12. 6. Indicators of Fisheries
Increased Decreased Smaller Saline High Low
40%
60%
70%
80%
50%
60%
40%
30%
20%
CPD Type of fish Species Species Price
appeared disappeared
Fisheries Indicator

13. 7. Indicators of Food Intake
Rarely (10 times/year) Sometimes (<45 times/year) Often (>45 times/year)
10% 10% 10% 10% 2%
20% 8%
30%
60%
70%
70% 70% 70%
50% 90% 90%
80%
20%
20%
20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
10%
Not have Unable to Take Take Take Take fewer Take food Hunger Hunger
enough eat Limited disliked smaller meal at outside sleep day-night
food Variety of food meal home
food
Indicator

14. 8. Indicators of Migration
10%
No Migration
30% Seasonal Migration
60% Permanent Migration

15. 9. Indicators of Income & Poverty
Income Level
Income Generating Activities
Employment Level
Importancy on Nutrition
Indicators
Food from VGD/VGF/Govt.
Increase
Food from Market
Decrease
Access to Seeds
Commercial Food Production
Subsistence Farming
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%100%120%
% of People

16. Recommended Adaptation Measures
Agriculture
 Use of more heat/drought/salt-tolerant crop varieties in areas
under water stress
 Use of more disease- and pest-tolerant crop varieties
Water Resources Management
 Improved efficiency of irrigation system
 Sustainable mode of irrigation in areas frequented by hill torrents
and flash floods
 Introduction of rainwater harvesting methods

17. Fisheries
 Breed fish tolerant to high water temperatures
 Fisheries’ management capabilities to cope with impacts of
climate change must be developed
 Assist communities in establishing deep-sea fishing
practices on a community basis
 Introduce more shrimp farms in villages and assist in direct
marketing.

18. Health and Hygiene
 Advocate better hygiene practices
 Educate communities concerning the spread of vector-borne diseases
 Through community involvement, establish wastewater treatment
systems (Pilot Project model).
Disaster Risk Reduction
 Capacity building of the communities for future climatic changes
 Supporting communities to better adapt to climatic changes
 Ensuring risk reduction measures across all the above-mentioned
sectors of agriculture, fisheries and health & hygiene.

19. Food Security
 Ensuring household food security via targeted safety nets.
 Ensuring household food security by lowering domestic
food prices.
 Measures to stimulate a medium-term food grain supply
response.
 Measures to handle the ‘spillover’ effects of the above-
mentioned policy responses
 Genetically Modified (GM) research is needed to avoid
food crisis.

20. "Only when the last tree has died and the last
river been poisoned and the last fish been caught
will we realize we cannot eat money"
-Cree Indian Proverb.
Thank you.