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+ 
Matchmaker, Matchmaker, Make me a Match: Migration of 
Populations via Marriages in the Past 
/CUQP#2QTVGT 

OCUQPRQTVGT 
/CVJGOCVKECN+PUVKVWVG 
7PKXGTUKV[QH1ZHQTF 
Sang Hoon Lee (이상훈) , Robyn Ffrancon, 
Danny Abrams, Beom Jun Kim (김범준), and MAP, 
Phys. Rev. X, Vol. 4, 041009 (2014).
+ KPS Conference Author List
+Locations of Clan-Origin Names 
(determined from Google Maps API)
“The Ten Thousand Kims”
+Backing up a bit…
+“Social Physics” / “Sociophysics” 
! #WIWUV%QOVG
ł9KMKRGFKCECNNUJKOVJGHQWPFGTQH 
VJGFKUEKRNKPGQHUQEKQNQI[(KTUVWUGFVJGVGTOňUQEKCNRJ[UKEUʼn 
DWVEJCPIGFKVVQňUQEKQNQI[ʼnCHVGTKVYCUCRRTQRTKCVGFD[ 
QVJGTU 
! .CODGTV#FQNRJG,CESWGU3WGVGNGV
ł*KLCEMGFVJG 
VGTOňUQEKCNRJ[UKEUʼnHTQO%QOVG7UGFRTQDCDKNKV[CPF 
UVCVKUVKEUVQGZCOKPGRJGPQOGPCNKMGOCTTKCIGTCVGUETKOG 
TCVGUCPFVQVT[VQGZRNCKPVJGOYKVJKFGCUQVJGTVJCPUQEKCN 
HCEVQTU 
! 'TPUV)GQTI4CXGPUVGKP
ł6JGQT[QHOKITCVKQP 
! #NQVQHSWCPVKVCVKXGYQTMQPJWOCPOQDKNKV[GXGTUKPEG
+Ravenstein: “Currents of Migration”
+Ravenstein’s Theories of Migration 
(as stated in http://www.harpercollege.edu/mhealy/migrat/xp/mgraven.htm)
+Long-Term Migration 
! 1WTRCRGTEQPUKFGTUNQPIVGTOKPVGTPCNOKITCVKQP
UGXGTCN 
JWPFTGF[GCTU 
! /QUVRJ[UKEUDCUGFUVWFKGUEQPUKFGTOWEJUJQTVGTVGTO 
OQDKNKV[ 
! CVCUWEJCUOQDKNGRJQPGTGEQTFUEWTTGPE[OQXGOGPVU
Ņ9JGTGņU 
)GQTIGņGVE5VWFKGUQHňJWOCPF[PCOKEUʼnCPFCRRNKECVKQPUUWEJ 
CUDKQNQIKECNEQPVCIKQPU 
! .QPIVGTOOKITCVKQPKUTGNGXCPVHQTWTDCPKCVKQPFGOQITCRJKE 
UVTWEVWTGQHEKVKGUURTGCFQHEWNVWTGCPFTGNKIKQPGVE
+A Systems-Level Perspective 
! ň/KETQUEQRKEʼnRTQEGUUQHOCTTKCIGU
CPFCUUQEKCVGF 
OQXGOGPVQHDTKFGUEQPVTKDWVGUVQňOCETQUEQRKEʼn 
OKITCVKQP 
! 5VCVKUVKECNOGEJCPKEU 
! 9JCVVJGETKVKEUUC[ 
! #20#5TGHGTGGņUHKPCNYQTFUň6JGKTCPCN[UGUCTGCVVJG 
KPFKXKFWCNNGXGNCPFCEVWCNN[UGGMVQCEEQWPVHQTEQPVGZVKPC 
ECTGHWNCPFPWCPEGFHCUJKQP6JGTGUWNVUJGTGTGRTGUGPVGFC 
UWDUVCPVKCNUVGRDCEMYCTFKPVGTOUQHXCNWGCPFUQRJKUVKECVKQP 
HTQOVJGOCP[RWDNKUJGFCPCN[UGUVJCVJCXGCNTGCF[DGGP 
RWDNKUJGFKP-QTGCPCPFQT'PINKUJʼn 
! 'FKVQTKCNFGUMTGLGEVKQPHTQO0CVWTG%QOOWPKECVKQPUKP 
JQWTUCPFOKPWVG
%JCNNGPIG$GCVVJCV 
! 1WVVCMG
EQTTGEVGFFWTKPIRTQQHUňGTIQFKEENCOUʼn
+Our 10 jokbo 
t0 = earliest date 
Ne = number of entries 
Nc = number of clans 
All 10 jokbo for “ergodic” clans 
Results in main text for jokbo 1
Could also consider other “microscopic” mechanisms, such as intervening opportunities model
Our 10 jokbo 
t0 = earliest date 
Ne = number of entries 
Nc = number of clans 
All 10 jokbo for “ergodic” clans 
α, γ: fit parameters (last slide)
+Diffusion Constants of Clans 
199 “standardized” regions from 1985 and 2000 censuses. (See paper for discussion 
of how we produced them. Data available as supplementary information.)
Our 10 jokbo 
t0 = earliest date 
Ne = number of entries 
Nc = number of clans 
All 10 jokbo for “ergodic” clans 
D = diffusion constant
One measure of ergodicity: clan appears in at least some minimum (e.g. 150) 
of the 199 regions. (One can also examine ergodicity by plotting e.g. radii of 
gyration on the vertical axis.)
Population-Flow Networks
+Korea is (mostly) Mono-centric
+Growth of Seoul (Cartograms)
Video: Population Growth of Seoul 
(1970–2010)
+ 
Conclusions 
and 
Outlook 
! 9GGZCOKPGFJKUVQTKECNJWOCPOKITCVKQPQXGTNQPI 
VKOGUECNGU 
! ň/KETQUEQRKEʼnOGEJCPKUOUHQTOCVEJOCMKPI 
HQTU[UVGOUNGXGNCPCN[UKU 
! 9GCPCN[GFVYQEQORNGOGPVCT[FCVCUGVU 
! -QTGCPLQMDQ
IQQFVGORQTCNTGUQNWVKQPQPN[ 
ENCPUUQDKCUGFUCORNGCPFRQQTURCVKCN 
TGUQNWVKQP 
! /QFGTPEGPUWUFCVC
IQQFURCVKCNTGUQNWVKQP 
RQQTVGORQTCNTGUQNWVKQP 
! 'TIQFKEXGTUWUPQPGTIQFKEENCPU 
! KHHWUKXGXGTUWUEQPXGEVKXGOKITCVKQP 
! GUKTCDNGFCVCVQGZVGPFVJKUYQTM 
! ,QMDQHTQOOQTGENCPU 
! ň5KOKNCTʼnFCVCHTQOQVJGTEQWPVTKGUVQ 
GZCOKPGFKHHWUKQPXGTUWUEQPXGEVKQPCETQUU 
OCP[EWNVWTGU 
! )GPGVKEFCVC 
! #EMPQYNGFIGOGPVU 
! (WPFGFD['254% 
! *CYQQPI,GQPI=,GQPIHTQOQPITCG?HQT 
LQMDQFCVC 
! ,QUGH0QXQVP[HQT%GEJUWTPCOGFCVC

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Matchmaker110714

  • 1. + Matchmaker, Matchmaker, Make me a Match: Migration of Populations via Marriages in the Past /CUQP#2QTVGT OCUQPRQTVGT /CVJGOCVKECN+PUVKVWVG 7PKXGTUKV[QH1ZHQTF Sang Hoon Lee (이상훈) , Robyn Ffrancon, Danny Abrams, Beom Jun Kim (김범준), and MAP, Phys. Rev. X, Vol. 4, 041009 (2014).
  • 2. + KPS Conference Author List
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. +Locations of Clan-Origin Names (determined from Google Maps API)
  • 6.
  • 8.
  • 9. +Backing up a bit…
  • 10. +“Social Physics” / “Sociophysics” ! #WIWUV%QOVG ł9KMKRGFKCECNNUJKOVJGHQWPFGTQH VJGFKUEKRNKPGQHUQEKQNQI[(KTUVWUGFVJGVGTOňUQEKCNRJ[UKEUʼn DWVEJCPIGFKVVQňUQEKQNQI[ʼnCHVGTKVYCUCRRTQRTKCVGFD[ QVJGTU ! .CODGTV#FQNRJG,CESWGU3WGVGNGV ł*KLCEMGFVJG VGTOňUQEKCNRJ[UKEUʼnHTQO%QOVG7UGFRTQDCDKNKV[CPF UVCVKUVKEUVQGZCOKPGRJGPQOGPCNKMGOCTTKCIGTCVGUETKOG TCVGUCPFVQVT[VQGZRNCKPVJGOYKVJKFGCUQVJGTVJCPUQEKCN HCEVQTU ! 'TPUV)GQTI4CXGPUVGKP ł6JGQT[QHOKITCVKQP ! #NQVQHSWCPVKVCVKXGYQTMQPJWOCPOQDKNKV[GXGTUKPEG
  • 12. +Ravenstein’s Theories of Migration (as stated in http://www.harpercollege.edu/mhealy/migrat/xp/mgraven.htm)
  • 13. +Long-Term Migration ! 1WTRCRGTEQPUKFGTUNQPIVGTOKPVGTPCNOKITCVKQP UGXGTCN JWPFTGF[GCTU ! /QUVRJ[UKEUDCUGFUVWFKGUEQPUKFGTOWEJUJQTVGTVGTO OQDKNKV[ ! CVCUWEJCUOQDKNGRJQPGTGEQTFUEWTTGPE[OQXGOGPVU Ņ9JGTGņU )GQTIGņGVE5VWFKGUQHňJWOCPF[PCOKEUʼnCPFCRRNKECVKQPUUWEJ CUDKQNQIKECNEQPVCIKQPU ! .QPIVGTOOKITCVKQPKUTGNGXCPVHQTWTDCPKCVKQPFGOQITCRJKE UVTWEVWTGQHEKVKGUURTGCFQHEWNVWTGCPFTGNKIKQPGVE
  • 14. +A Systems-Level Perspective ! ň/KETQUEQRKEʼnRTQEGUUQHOCTTKCIGU CPFCUUQEKCVGF OQXGOGPVQHDTKFGUEQPVTKDWVGUVQňOCETQUEQRKEʼn OKITCVKQP ! 5VCVKUVKECNOGEJCPKEU ! 9JCVVJGETKVKEUUC[ ! #20#5TGHGTGGņUHKPCNYQTFUň6JGKTCPCN[UGUCTGCVVJG KPFKXKFWCNNGXGNCPFCEVWCNN[UGGMVQCEEQWPVHQTEQPVGZVKPC ECTGHWNCPFPWCPEGFHCUJKQP6JGTGUWNVUJGTGTGRTGUGPVGFC UWDUVCPVKCNUVGRDCEMYCTFKPVGTOUQHXCNWGCPFUQRJKUVKECVKQP HTQOVJGOCP[RWDNKUJGFCPCN[UGUVJCVJCXGCNTGCF[DGGP RWDNKUJGFKP-QTGCPCPFQT'PINKUJʼn ! 'FKVQTKCNFGUMTGLGEVKQPHTQO0CVWTG%QOOWPKECVKQPUKP JQWTUCPFOKPWVG %JCNNGPIG$GCVVJCV ! 1WVVCMG EQTTGEVGFFWTKPIRTQQHUňGTIQFKEENCOUʼn
  • 15. +Our 10 jokbo t0 = earliest date Ne = number of entries Nc = number of clans All 10 jokbo for “ergodic” clans Results in main text for jokbo 1
  • 16. Could also consider other “microscopic” mechanisms, such as intervening opportunities model
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. Our 10 jokbo t0 = earliest date Ne = number of entries Nc = number of clans All 10 jokbo for “ergodic” clans α, γ: fit parameters (last slide)
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. +Diffusion Constants of Clans 199 “standardized” regions from 1985 and 2000 censuses. (See paper for discussion of how we produced them. Data available as supplementary information.)
  • 27. Our 10 jokbo t0 = earliest date Ne = number of entries Nc = number of clans All 10 jokbo for “ergodic” clans D = diffusion constant
  • 28. One measure of ergodicity: clan appears in at least some minimum (e.g. 150) of the 199 regions. (One can also examine ergodicity by plotting e.g. radii of gyration on the vertical axis.)
  • 29.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34. +Korea is (mostly) Mono-centric
  • 35. +Growth of Seoul (Cartograms)
  • 36. Video: Population Growth of Seoul (1970–2010)
  • 37. + Conclusions and Outlook ! 9GGZCOKPGFJKUVQTKECNJWOCPOKITCVKQPQXGTNQPI VKOGUECNGU ! ň/KETQUEQRKEʼnOGEJCPKUOUHQTOCVEJOCMKPI HQTU[UVGOUNGXGNCPCN[UKU ! 9GCPCN[GFVYQEQORNGOGPVCT[FCVCUGVU ! -QTGCPLQMDQ IQQFVGORQTCNTGUQNWVKQPQPN[ ENCPUUQDKCUGFUCORNGCPFRQQTURCVKCN TGUQNWVKQP ! /QFGTPEGPUWUFCVC IQQFURCVKCNTGUQNWVKQP RQQTVGORQTCNTGUQNWVKQP ! 'TIQFKEXGTUWUPQPGTIQFKEENCPU ! KHHWUKXGXGTUWUEQPXGEVKXGOKITCVKQP ! GUKTCDNGFCVCVQGZVGPFVJKUYQTM ! ,QMDQHTQOOQTGENCPU ! ň5KOKNCTʼnFCVCHTQOQVJGTEQWPVTKGUVQ GZCOKPGFKHHWUKQPXGTUWUEQPXGEVKQPCETQUU OCP[EWNVWTGU ! )GPGVKEFCVC ! #EMPQYNGFIGOGPVU ! (WPFGFD['254% ! *CYQQPI,GQPI=,GQPIHTQOQPITCG?HQT LQMDQFCVC ! ,QUGH0QXQVP[HQT%GEJUWTPCOGFCVC