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Technical and Market Analysis Mike Zaccardi Technical Analyst 2009-2010 Osprey Financial Group
Street Cred ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is Technical Analysis? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Technical Analysis per CFAI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TA vs. Fundamentals ,[object Object],[object Object]
Advantages of Technical Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Challenges to Technical Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Categories of Technical Indicators ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Contrarian Opinion Rules ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Smart Money Indicators ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Momentum Indicators ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Price and Volume Techniques ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Price and Volume Techniques ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
OFG Technical Calls
Raytheon (RTN) Upside Breakout
OIH Double-Bottom
Oil Services ETF 200-EMA
Energy E&P ETF (XOP)
USD – Reversal
DXY Flag Formation
OFG and the Dollar
Diamond Offshore (DO)
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX)
S&P 500 w/200ema & 50sma OFG Strategy:  Raise Cash on 2/3 with S&P at 1090-1105   Buy back equities between 1045-1060 Reasoning: Market was in Corrective phase, 200 ema @ 1045, 10% correction at 1035 – buyers likely to step in ahead of 10% number as it had been much anticipated
What Happened? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scotts Miracle Gro (SMG)
Anomalies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Technical Indicators
Candlesticks
Bullish Candle Formations
Bearish Candle Formation
Ichimoku
Golden Cross
Death Cross
Market Internal Indicators ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bollinger Bands ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bollinger Bands
Elliot Wave
Cup and Handle
AAPL
Fibonacci ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3 More… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Market Analysis Highlights ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
SPX YTD
10-yr Yield YTD
Small Caps vs. SPX
Internationals vs. SPX
Emerging Markets vs. SPX
CBOE VIX 1-Year
VIX 20-Year
[object Object]
VXX – Short Term VIX
NYSE Daily Volume 1-Year
Gold 1-Yr
Crude Oil 1-yr
US Dollar Index 1-Year
JPY,EUR,CHF,USD
Australian Dollar (AUDUSD)
EURCHF - Pegged
US Dollar Index 40-Year
S&P 500 Sectors YTD
S&P 500 Companies
Flash Crash – 5/6/2010 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
Apple on Flash Crash
 
DJIA All-time (log scale)
Now’s the time?
Or are we the next Japan?
10-yr Returns
Sentiment
All other Technical Indicators ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Want to be a TA? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Books ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Good Websites: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Technical Analysis Lecture 10-13-11