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Pro formas and forecasting 2010
Topics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Section 1 -- Sensitivity testing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Question – which assumptions are the most significant? For one quarter?  For the year? $100,000 18% 60% $3,000 35 days 50 days $350,000 $30,000 8% 15% 91% PLAN Sales performance vs. quota Executive compensation Interest rates paid % of equipment purchases financed Spending on new computers for each hire How fast we pay creditors How fast customers pay us Spending on marketing programs Annual travel expenses Commission rates Annual maintenance fees
These are the most significant assumptions -2 -- -1 -- -16 -55 -5 -1 +2 -3 -2 $ effect of a (10%) dif One quarter 2 1 Rank 2 3 1 Rank Annual -7 -1 -3 -2 -14 -75 -18 -6 -10 -26 -127 $ effect of a (10%) dif PLAN 91% Sales performance vs. quota $100,000 Executive compensation 18% Interest rates paid 60% % of equipment purchases financed $3,000 Spending on new computers for each hire 35 days How fast we pay creditors 50 days How fast customers pay $350,000 Spending on marketing programs $30,000 Annual travel expenses 8% Commission rates 15% Annual maintenance fees
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Section 2 – The one year financial model
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Step 1 -- Organize the model
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Step 2 -- Forecast billings (and, revenues)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Step 2 -- Forecast billings (and, revenues) (ctd)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Step 3 -- Forecast expenses
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Step 3 -- Forecast expenses (ctd)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Step 4 – Plan the financing and investing strategies
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Step 5 -- Create the balance sheet
Step 6 -- Test for reasonableness ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Step 6 -- Test for reasonableness (ctd) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Step 7 -- Make the Plan work ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Step 7 -- Make the Plan work (ctd) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Step 8 -- Summarize ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Section 3 – The cap (“capitalization”) table ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Pro Forma Financials And Forecasts

  • 1. Pro formas and forecasting 2010
  • 2.
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  • 4. Question – which assumptions are the most significant? For one quarter? For the year? $100,000 18% 60% $3,000 35 days 50 days $350,000 $30,000 8% 15% 91% PLAN Sales performance vs. quota Executive compensation Interest rates paid % of equipment purchases financed Spending on new computers for each hire How fast we pay creditors How fast customers pay us Spending on marketing programs Annual travel expenses Commission rates Annual maintenance fees
  • 5. These are the most significant assumptions -2 -- -1 -- -16 -55 -5 -1 +2 -3 -2 $ effect of a (10%) dif One quarter 2 1 Rank 2 3 1 Rank Annual -7 -1 -3 -2 -14 -75 -18 -6 -10 -26 -127 $ effect of a (10%) dif PLAN 91% Sales performance vs. quota $100,000 Executive compensation 18% Interest rates paid 60% % of equipment purchases financed $3,000 Spending on new computers for each hire 35 days How fast we pay creditors 50 days How fast customers pay $350,000 Spending on marketing programs $30,000 Annual travel expenses 8% Commission rates 15% Annual maintenance fees
  • 6.
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