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Gridley & Company LLC

Ad Exchanges, Targeting
    & Optimization

“From Mad Men to X-Men”


     January 2010
       CONFIDENTIAL
Table of Contents

   I.   Industry Introduction and Overview

   II. The Landscape of Players

   III. The Opportunities

   IV. How Gridley Can Help




January 2010                       2
I. Industry Introduction and Overview




January 2010            3
Introduction
               • Almost every slice of the advertising pie is undergoing major transformation

               • With new devices, channels, technologies, content, and formats, advertising
                 has never been more complex

               • Ad exchanges, ad networks, optimizers, targeting platforms, new forms of
                 data, and the explosion of online inventory has forced massive changes in
                 the old ways of Madison Avenue

               • Today’s Don Draper needs to be part Wall Street trader, part techie, and part
                 media maven – the new X-Men

               • The stakes are high and new technologies are the hot topic

               • The landscape has loads of interest with
                 investment and M&A activity ready to take off

               • This Gridley Industry Overview is designed to help
                 you navigate this new landscape




January 2010                                4
A Lot at Stake in Online Display Advertising
 • Improving economy + re-entry of financial and auto advertisers = double digit
   growth in 2010

 • Display will represent more than 30% of total online spend next year, second only
   behind search

 • Online display will continue to capture shifting ad spend from large brand
   marketers
                                               U.S. Online Advertising Spending, by Format
           ($ in millions)
                                                                                                   '09 - '10                                    '10 - '13
           Channel                            2007         2008          2009          2010        Growth          2011      2012      2013      CAGR
           Search                            $8,810       $10,528       $11,370      $12,507         10.0%        $14,008   $15,549   $17,104     11.0%
           Display Advertising                7,153         7,639         7,544        7,740          2.6%          8,103     8,479     8,843      4.5%
           Classifieds/Auctions               3,271         3,147         2,908        2,878         (1.0%)         2,936     2,979     3,023      1.7%
           Lead Generation/E-mail             1,972         2,134         2,153        2,226          3.4%          2,315     2,393     2,459      3.4%
             Total                          $21,206       $23,448       $23,975      $25,351          5.7%        $27,362   $29,400   $31,429      7.4%

           % Mix
           Search                              41.5%        44.9%         47.4%         49.3%        51.2%          52.9%     54.4%
           Display Advertising                 33.7%        32.6%         31.5%         30.5%        29.6%          28.8%     28.1%
           Classifieds/Auctions                15.4%        13.4%         12.1%         11.4%        10.7%          10.1%      9.6%
           Lead Generation/E-mail               9.3%         9.1%          9.0%          8.8%         8.5%           8.1%      7.8%
             Total                            100.0%       100.0%        100.0%        100.0%       100.0%         100.0%    100.0%

    Source: Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB), PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), and Barclays Capital estimates.


January 2010                                                                         5
But Online Display Faces Challenges
 • Way too many vendors representing inventory
    – Hundreds of ad networks in all shapes and sizes
    – Horizontal, vertical, display, performance, video, in-game, social apps, and mobile
 • Fragmented audiences
    – Traffic is dispersed across the entire “tail”
 • Lack of transparency in ad networks
    – Advertisers don’t know where and when their ads run
    – Publishers are not guaranteed “blind” inventory
 • No standard KPI’s
    – How do you measure success and attribution? Clicks? Engagements?
 • Little control over pricing
    – Advertisers want to maximize ROI = lower CPM + higher conversion
    – Publishers want to maximize yield = higher CPM + more premium inventory
 • Agencies / buyers are giving away a lot of margin to the ad networks
    – Ad networks are making 30% - 40% margins

January 2010                                     6
Exchange Technologies are Taking the Lead
 • Real-time Exchanges offer transparency, market pricing, and liquidity

 • Demand Side Platforms are offering the holdcos and marketers a solution

 • Trading Desks at the agencies are becoming the experts at optimization

 • Data Providers and Exchanges offer online audience segmentation at a detailed
   level

 • Ad Creative Optimization allows dynamic ad serving of the right ad to the right
   audience at the right time

 • Social Targeting platforms enable marketers to target based on social interactions

 • Publishing Yield Optimizers aggregate inventory and maximize CPMs for publishers
   – looks a lot like the exchanges

 • Ad Networks are trying to hold on to their high margins by adding better targeting
   technologies, high value services, and / or going deep into a vertical



January 2010                              7
The New Players are Staking Out Positions
   • New ad targeting, optimization, and data companies are redefining the landscape
                              Demand Side – Advertising $$                                   Supply Side - Inventory


                                             Ad
                                              Ad                                                  Direct Sales
                                          “Traders”
                                          “Traders”                                                  Force
                Agencies / Media Buyers




                                                             Demand
                                                             Demand
                                                               Side
                                                               Side
                                                           Optimization
                                                           Optimization
                                                            Platforms
                                                            Platforms        The Ad
                                                                              The Ad
                                                                            Exchanges
                                                                            Exchanges




                                                                                                                 Data Measurement
 Advertisers




                                                              Data
                                                              Data




                                                                                                                                    Publishers
                                                           Providers &
                                                           Providers &
                                                           Exchanges
                                                           Exchanges


                                                                                                   Display Ad
                                                             Social
                                                              Social      Publishing Yield
                                                                          Publishing Yield         Networks
                                                            Targeting
                                                            Targeting       Optimizers
                                                                            Optimizers




                       Rich Media                     Ad Creative
                                                      Ad Creative
                      Ad Platforms                    Optimizers
                                                      Optimizers


January 2010                                                                8
The New Players are Staking Out Positions
                              Demand Side – Advertising $$                                             Supply Side - Inventory

                                                                Demand Side
                                                                Optimization             Ad                 Direct Sales
                                                                 Platforms




                                                                                                                                  Compete, comScore, Quantcast, Nielsen NetRatings
                                                                                      Exchanges                Force
                Agencies / Media Buyers




                                                   Ad
                                                                                                                     24/7
                                                “Traders”                                                         Adconion
                                                                                                                    Adify
                                                                                                                    Adroll




                                                                                                                                               Data Measurement
                                                                                                             Audience Science
                                                                                                                     Bizo
                                                                                                                  Brand.net
                                                     Data
 Advertisers




                                                                                                                                                                                     Publishers
                                                                                                                  BrightRoll
                                                  Providers &                                                    Burst Media
                                                                                                                    Casale
                                                  Exchanges                                                   Collective Media
                                                                                                                  Connexus
                                                                                                               CPX Interactive
                                                                                                              Epic Advertising
                                                                                                               FOX Audience
                                                                                                                   Network
                                                                                                             Google Ad Network
                                                   Social                                                       Gorilla Nation
                                                                                                                 InterCLICK
                                                  Targeting                                                        Kontera
                                                                                                              Microsoft Media
                                                                                                                   Network
                                                                                                                 Platform-A
                                                                                                               Specific Media
                                                                                                                Tremor Media
                                          Eyeblaster                                                            Tribal Fusion
                                                                                    Publishing Yield              Turn Inc.
                                          EyeWonder                                                          Undertone Network
                                           Pointroll                    Ad Creative   Optimizers                 ValueClick
                                            Unicast                     Optimizers                              Vibrant Media
                                                                                                            Yahoo Media Network
                                           VideoEgg                                                                 Yume




January 2010                                                                          9
Key Factors for Success
 • “Industrial-grade” technology platforms that deliver true
   real-time performance at scale
                                                                  

 • Easy-to-use platform interfaces that minimize work flow
   disruptions
                                                                  

 • Ability to provide transparency and “trustability” across      
   platform or service offerings

 • Strong “customer” services focus as new marketers and          
   suppliers enter market

 • Clear performance measurement and reports that don’t           
   require a Ph.D. to understand

 • Ability to draw actionable insights out of reports, activate   
   vast stores of data, and implement the “call-to-action”




January 2010                                10
Participants at 2010 Gridley Conference
   • Gridley has stayed in front of this emerging industry and continues to provide
     thought leadership

      PRESENTATIONS                  PANELISTS                  ATTENDEES




January 2010                              11
II. The Landscape of Players




January 2010                12
The Ad Traders are at the Agencies
   • The ad holdcos are actively positioning themselves in the landscape
     – Evaluating all the players but have never been successful at buying
       technology companies
   • Ultimately will stay gate keepers of the media spend and utilize their
     “traders” and technology for execution and analysis
                         Havas                  IPG            MDC Partners       Omnicom Group            Publicis           WPP Group
                                                                Varick Media       Omnicom Media         VivaKi Nerve       Media Innovation
    Trading Unit         Adnetik              Cadreon
                                                                Management          Group Digital           Center            Group / B3

                                                                                          N/A

    Head of Unit Nathan Woodman         Quentin George       Darren Herman        Matt Spiegel        Curt Hecht           Brian Lesser
    Description    Digital trading    Custom audience     Media traders using Partnering with Fox     Digital media       Optimizer of ad
                   network and agency trading marketplace algorithms and data Audience Network        optimization agency network spend
                                                          to trade in real-time (FAN) for access to   for premium
                                                                                audience targeting    inventory
                                                                                tools

    Technology     DataXu               Multiple platforms   Multiple platforms  FAN's Audience       Private platform     Private platform
    Platform                                                                     Insights, Audience   (Audience on
                                                                                 Planner and Real-    Demand)
                                                                                 Time Bidding         ATOM Systems
                                                                                 platforms            (Razorfish)
    Status         Not operating in U.S. Out of beta and     Established in 2008 Announced October    Test mode in 2008;   Went live in middle
                   yet                   serving clients                         2009                 live clients today   of 2008




January 2010                                                            13
The Demand Side Optimization Platforms
 • New breed of trading technology platforms that combine bid optimization, data
   integration, analytics, and supply relationships to optimize display ad buys
    – “Bloomberg terminals” for the media buyers
 • “Trading desks” provide the execution – Adnetik, Cadreon, Varick Media, Living
   Segments, VivaKi, and B3
 • Attracting a lot of interest from investors and strategic buyers
                                                                                                        Capital
                                              Year                                                      Raised
      Company                               Founded                         Investors                   ($mm)
                      www.adbuyer.com         NA      NA                                                  NA
                      New York, NY

                      www.appnexus.com       2007     First Round Capital, Khosla Ventures, Kodiak      $10.5
                      New York, NY                    Venture Partners, Venrock

                      www.dataxu.com         2007     Atlas Venture LLP, Flybridge Capital Partners       6.0
                      Cambridge, MA

                      www.invitemedia.com    2007     First Round Capital                                 NA
                      Philadelphia, PA

                      www.mediamath.com      2007     Safeguard Scientifics, Inc.; QED Investors LLC;    16.6
                      New York, NY                    European Founders Fund

                      www.turn.com           2005     Focus Ventures, Norwest Venture Partners,          38.5
                      Redwood City, CA                Shasta Ventures, Trident Capital

                      www.xplusone.com       1999     ATV, Blue Chip Ventures, Hudson Ventures, Seed     30.8
                      New York, NY                    Partners, WS Capital


January 2010                                  14
Data Providers & Exchanges
 • Data exchanges provide cookie data to segment high value audiences
    – Allows media buyers to target only the impressions they want
 • Incorporating data from multiple sources – offline and online
 • Speaking the language of database marketers – data management, audience
   segmentation, new marketing cohorts
                                                                                                            Capital
                                                   Year                                                     Raised
          Company                                Founded                         Investors                  ($mm)
                         www.almondnet.com        1998     Argoquest Inc.                                    $1.0
                         New York, NY
                         www.bizo.com             2008     Ascent Ventures, Venrock                           NA
                         San Francisco, CA
                         www.bluekai.com          2007     Battery Ventures, Redpoint Ventures               13.7
                         Bellevue, WA
                         www.brilig.com            NA      NA                                                 NA
                         New York, NY
                         www.datalogix.com        2002     Advantage Capital Partners, General Catalyst      15.2
                         Westminster, CO                   Partners, Sequel Venture Partners
                         www.exelate.com          2006     Carmel Ventures                                    4.0
                         Petach Tikvah, Israel
                         www.lotame.com           2006     Battery Ventures, Betaworks, Emergence Capital    25.0
                         Elkridge, MD                      Partners, Hillcrest Capital Partners
                         www.quantcast.com        2005     Polaris Venture Partners, Inc., Revolution        25.7
                         San Francisco, CA                 Ventures, The Founders Fund
                         www.permuto.com          2008     Onset Ventures, Rembrandt Venture Partners         6.0
                         Palo Alto, CA
                         www.targusinfo.com       2005     TA Associates, Inc.                               60.0
                         Vienna, VA



January 2010                                       15
Ad Creative Optimizers
 • Dynamic ad creative optimizes ads using the best creative assets when the ad is
   served
    – Ability to serve ads in different colors, images, messaging, and lay-out to different
      audiences in real-time and at scale
 • Integrates third party data to determine most effective ad to serve to right audience
   at right time
                                                                                                               Capital
                                                    Year                                                       Raised
 Company                                          Founded                      Investors                       ($mm)
                     www.adisn.com                 2007     Battery Ventures                                    $2.2
                     Long Beach, CA

                     www.adroitinteractive.com      NA      NA                                                   NA
                     Boston, MA

                     www.aggregateknowledge.com    2005     DAG Ventures, First Round Capital, Kleiner          25.2
                     San Mateo, CA                          Perkins, Red Rock Ventures, VantagePoint

                     www.teracent.com              2006     KPG Ventures, New Enterprise Associates              7.8
                     San Mateo, CA                          Acquired by Google on 11/23/09
                     www.tumri.com                 2004     Accel Partners, Shasta Ventures, Tenaya Capital,    26.5
                     Mountain View, CA                      Time Warner Investments




January 2010                                         16
The Ad Exchanges
 • Ad exchanges are the NASDAQ or NYSE for online ad inventory
 • Provides transparent, dynamic pricing for advertisers
 • Provides liquidity for publishers
 • Big players already own this market




 • Other exchanges are getting in the game




 • Sell-side yield optimizers / inventory aggregators look a lot like the exchanges
 • Today exchanges are for high volume, non-premium inventory
 • In the future, exchanges will list premium inventory too



January 2010                               17
Publishing Yield Optimizers
 • New platform technologies aggregate publisher inventory and optimize yield on the
   ad networks and exchanges

 • Publishers sell impressions to the highest bidder

 • Publishers can consolidate ad network relationships into a single optimizer

 • Platforms operating in real-time bidding environment look like the exchanges


                                                                                                           Capital
                                               Year                                                        Raised
     Company                                 Founded                      Investors                        ($mm)
                    www.admeld.com            2007     Foundry Group, Spark Capital                        $15.0
                    New York, NY

                    www.pubmatic.com          2006     Draper Fisher Jurvetson, Helion Venture Partners,     7.0
                    Palo Alto, CA                      Nexus India

                    www.rubiconproject.com    2007     Clearstone Ventures, IDG Ventures, Mayfield          33.0
                    Los Angeles, CA                    Fund, Peacock Fund, Stanford, UC Berkeley




January 2010                                   18
Social Targeting
 • Optimizing ads based on social marketing data
    – Identifying the influencers through social connections
    – Did you download a song? How big is your friends network? Did you comment on a
      picture?
 • Activating data based on social graph and engagement

                                                                                                            Capital
                                                Year                                                        Raised
   Company                                    Founded                       Investors                       ($mm)
                      www.33across.com         2007     First Round Capital, RoseTech Ventures, LLC           NA
                      New York, NY

                      www.lotame.com           2006     Battery Ventures, Betaworks, Emergence Capital      $25.0
                      Elkridge, MD                      Partners, Hillcrest Capital Partners

                      www.media6degrees.com    2008     Contour Venture Partners, Coriolis Ventures, U.S.    11.8
                      New York, NY                      Venture Partners, Venrock

                      www.seethroo.us          2007     NA                                                    NA
                      Los Angeles, CA

                      www.rapleaf.com          2005     Active Starts, Dace Ventures, Felicis Ventures,       NA
                      San Francisco, CA                 SoftTech VC, The Founders Fund




January 2010                                    19
III. The Opportunities




January 2010             20
Fewer Vendors, More Capabilities
   • Today, many companies offer pieces of the puzzle, but few offer the full suite
     – Marketers and publishers want fewer vendors, which will drive consolidation
   • Consolidators will seek to acquire stand-alone technologies or services to be the
     one-stop shop
     – Look for acquisitions of stand-alone platforms like the data exchanges & providers, ad
       creative optimizers, social targeting platforms, and publishing yield optimizers
   • Ad networks will begin to consolidate into a few power groups representing
     inventory and strong media relationships
     – The “Titans” Aren’t Going Anywhere: 24/7, FOX Audience Network, Google Ad
       Network, Microsoft Media Network, Platform A, and Yahoo Media Network
     – The Consolidators: Adconion, Collective Media, Connexus, Epic Advertising, Specific
       Media, ValueClick, and “Titans”
     – The Targets: Adroll, Audience Science, Bizo, Brand.net. BrightRoll, Gorilla Nation,
       InterCLICK, Kontera, Tremor Media, Turn, Vibrant Media, and Yume
     – The Question Marks: Burst Media, Casale, CPX Interactive, Tribal Fusion, Undertone
       Networks


January 2010                                  21
Who Will Own What?

   • The Ad Holdcos

     – Specialized agencies with their own “trading desks”

     – Traders will trade on the exchanges through multiple primary optimization platforms

     – Will opportunistically acquire specialized technologies and services in online data, data
       analytics, market research, and ad creative technologies

   • The “Titans”

     – Google, Microsoft, AOL, and Yahoo will dominate the exchanges and networks

     – Will acquire across entire spectrum of landscape

     – Will compete for inventory listings by offering best execution and liquidity

     – Since all have multiple capabilities across online ad technologies, they will be
       interested in many areas including data providers & exchanges, secondary vertical
       exchanges, social targeting, yield optimization

January 2010                                   22
Who Will Own What?

   • The Data Companies and Database Marketers

     – Will aggressively pursue all data-centric technology platforms across landscape

     – The data exchanges and platforms, demand side platforms, and social targeting
       companies will be their highest priority

     – Database marketers with multi-channel agency services will also look at ad creative
       optimizers and rich media ad serving

   • The Technology Players

     – Look for technology leaders like Adobe, Akamai, Cisco, IBM, and others to make “best-
       in-class” technology platform acquisitions across landscape

     – Some precedents have been set: Adobe / Omniture; Akamai / Acerno; Cisco /
       Tribe.net, Five Across, and Starent




January 2010                                 23
Who Will Own What?

   • The Diversified Media Giants

     – Will continue to have a high level of interest across landscape

     – Already investing across entire spectrum

       • Meredith: Genex, New Media Strategies, Healia, The Hyperfactory

       • Gannett: Pointroll, 4INFO, Ripple6

       • NBC Universal: 4INFO, Greystripe, EveryZing, Rubicon Project

       • Forbes.com: Investopedia, PublicPost

       • Cox Enterprises: Adify




January 2010                                  24
Possible Strategic Buyers by Category
                              Demand Side – Advertising $$                                                    Supply Side - Inventory

                                                              Demand Side
                                                              Optimization                   Ad
                                             Ad
                                              Ad
                                                               Platforms                  Exchanges                Direct Sales
                                          “Traders”
                                          “Traders”                                                                   Force
                                                                  Ad Holdcos
                                                                   Ad Holdcos
                Agencies / Media Buyers




                                                               Data & Analytics
                                                                Data & Analytics
                                                                    Database
                                                                    Database
                                                                   Marketing
                                                                    Marketing
                                                               Diversified Media
                                                               Diversified Media
                                                                Internet Titans
                                                                 Internet Titans
                                                                  Technology
                                                                   Technology              Internet Titans
                                                                                            Internet Titans
                                                                                             Technology
                                                                                              Technology




                                                                                                                                  Data Measurement
                                                                  Ad Holdcos
                                                                   Ad Holdcos
 Advertisers




                                                               Data & Analytics
                                                                Data & Analytics




                                                                                                                                                     Publishers
                                             Data                   Database
                                                                    Database
                                                                   Marketing
                                          Providers &               Marketing
                                                               Diversified Media
                                                               Diversified Media
                                          Exchanges             Internet Titans
                                                                 Internet Titans
                                                                  Technology
                                                                   Technology

                                                                  Ad Holdcos
                                                                   Ad Holdcos
                                                               Data & Analytics
                                                                Data & Analytics
                                                                                                                    Display Ad
                                                                                             Ad Holdcos
                                                                                              Ad Holdcos
                                                                    Database
                                                                    Database                                        Networks
                                            Social                 Marketing
                                                                    Marketing
                                                                                          Diversified Media
                                                                                          Diversified Media
                                                               Diversified Media           Internet Titans
                                                                                            Internet Titans
                                           Targeting           Diversified Media             Technology
                                                                                              Technology
                                                                Internet Titans
                                                                 Internet Titans
                                                                  Technology
                                                                   Technology



                                                          Ad Holdcos
                                                           Ad Holdcos
                                                                                         Publishing Yield
                                                       Data & Analytics
                                                        Data & Analytics                   Optimizers
                       Rich Media                          Database
                                                            Database
                                                           Marketing       Ad Creative
                      Ad Platforms                          Marketing
                                                       Diversified Media
                                                       Diversified Media   Optimizers
                                                        Internet Titans
                                                         Internet Titans




January 2010                                                                               25
Opportunities by Category
 • Buy-side Optimization Platforms
    – Platforms will power the trading desks of the media trading units
    – Near-term high growth opportunity for arbs
    – Long-term high growth opportunity as more $$$ is deployed on platforms
    – Likely Interested Buyers: technology-centric agencies, data & analytics companies,
      database marketers, diversified media, internet titans, technology companies
 • Data Providers & Exchanges
    – Near-term high growth opportunity as enhanced data drives high CPM and arbs can
      leverage spread
    – Long-term high growth opportunity as audience segmentation becomes fundamental
      buying approach
    – Getting high level of interest from all sides
    – Interested Buyers: technology-centric agencies, data & analytics companies, database
      marketers, diversified media, internet titans, technology companies




January 2010                                    26
Opportunities by Category
 •   Social Targeting
     – Near-term high growth opportunities as marketers seek social marketing buys
     – Companies will either become data providers or agencies
     – Likely Interested Buyers: technology-centric agencies, data & analytics companies,
       database marketers, diversified media, internet titans, technology companies
 • Ad Creative Optimizers
     – New breed of ad servers that optimize ad based on variable creative assets
     – Long-term high growth opportunity as marketers adopt creative dynamic ad serving
     – Likely Interested Buyers: technology-centric agencies, data & analytics companies,
       database marketers, diversified media, internet titans
 • Ad Exchanges
     – Look for the big, established exchanges to make strategic acquisitions to drive scale
     – Near-term consolidation of niche/vertical exchanges
     – Likely Interested Buyers: internet titans, technology companies



January 2010                                   27
Opportunities by Category
 • Publishing Yield Optimizers
    – Aggregating publishing inventory and providing yield maximization from bidders
    – Need to pick the right horse
    – Near-term high growth opportunity for first-movers who aggregate high volume inventory
    – Likely Interested Buyers: technology-centric agencies, diversified media, internet titans,
      and technology companies




January 2010                                   28
IV. How Gridley Can Help




January 2010              29
About Gridley
   • Leading boutique Investment Bank specializing in Information Services
     – Comprehensive perspective on Advertising, Marketing , Financial Technology,
       Outsourcing and Information Services trends and transactions
   • Strong industry reputation on assignments led by senior bankers
     – Sellside = Excellent strategic positioning and valuation
     – Buyside = Deep knowledge and access to emerging companies and industry trends
   • Trusted advisor and strategic matchmaker
     – Thoughtful M&A ideas – not just the logical public company combinations
     – Deliver value to buyers and sellers alike
   • Broad industry network developed over 20+ years
     – Industry leaders, hot emerging growth companies, and senior investors
     – Senior executives on Gridley Advisory Board
   • Well-known thought leader
     – Host of leading Annual Information Services Conference and participant in industry
       events
     – Sought after commentator and resource for the media
     – Highly regarded quarterly newsletter – 2,500+ distribution

January 2010                                  30
Gridley Can Help You…
 • Understand the dynamics of this industry in transition

 • Identify the companies on our market map that best fit your interest areas – we’ve
   met with these companies and know their CEOs
    – What their strengths, weaknesses, and key market positioning are

    – Who their management teams and investors are

 • Navigate the Ad Holding Company, Database Marketing, and Data Provider worlds

 • Identify the financial investors and strategic investors most interested in this
   emerging industry

 • Execute your financial objectives
    – Sellside Advisory Services

    – Buyside Advisory Services

    – Private Placement Agent Services


January 2010                                31
Gridley Can Help You…
 • Understand the dynamics of this industry in transition

 • Identify the companies on our market map that best fit your interest areas – we’ve
   met with these companies and know their CEOs
    – What their strengths, weaknesses, and key market positioning are

    – Who their management teams and investors are

 • Navigate the Ad Holding Company, Database Marketing, and Data Provider worlds

 • Identify the financial investors and strategic investors most interested in this
   emerging industry

 • Execute your financial objectives
    – Sellside Advisory Services

    – Buyside Advisory Services

    – Private Placement Agent Services


January 2010                                32
Gridley Has the Expertise
 • Decades of experience executing transactions at the nexus of database marketing
   and internet services



      Database Marketing                                              Internet Services
                                                   Undisclosed         Undisclosed             $20,000,000            Undisclosed
          Undisclosed          Undisclosed


              Sold to           Sold to Dun &         Acquired             Acquired            Investment by          Acquired
       Parthenon Capital LLC   Bradstreet Corp.      Pepperjam         Silverlign Group       TZP Group LLC         Ward Media, Inc.
              Advisor              Advisor             Advisor              Advisor           Placement Agent           Advisor
           August 2006            April 2001       September 2009          April 2009         December 2008           March 2008



                                $112,400,000       $157,000,000        Undisclosed            Undisclosed            $113,189,337
           $20,000,000                                                                     Ad-serving Business of
                                                                      Email Business of
                                       The
                                       M/A/R/C
            Strategic                  Group          Acquired             Sold to               Sold to            Secondary Offering
          Investment by        Sold to Omnicom      e-Dialog, Inc.       One to One             Aegis plc
         Young & Rubicam            Group                              Interactive, Inc.
                                                      Advisor                                    Advisor              Co-manager
             Advisor                 Advisor                               Advisor
           March 2000           November 1999      January 2008           July 2007             June 2007              May 2006




          $101,000,000         $175,000,000        $138,000,000         $58,000,000            $50,000,000            $31,000,000


       Sold CMG Direct Corp.                         Acquired            Acquired              Initial Public
                               Sold to Young &    Modem Media, Inc.    Performics, Inc.          Offering            Preferred Stock
       to Marketing Services
            Group Inc.          Rubicam Inc.
                                                      Advisor              Advisor             Co-manager              Sole Agent
             Advisor              Advisor                                 May 2004            September 1999         September 1999
            June 1999            May 1999           October 2004




January 2010                                                 33
Linda Gridley                                       Stan Sandberg
               President & CEO                                     Managing Director
               212.400.9710 tel                                      212.400.9709
         linda.gridley@gridleyco.com                         stan.sandberg@gridleyco.com




                                   Gridley & Company LLC
                                  10 East 53rd Street, 24th Floor
                                      New York, NY 10022
                                        212.400.9720 tel
                                        212.400.9717 fax
                                       www.gridleyco.com




January 2010                                    34

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Mad men to x men

  • 1. Gridley & Company LLC Ad Exchanges, Targeting & Optimization “From Mad Men to X-Men” January 2010 CONFIDENTIAL
  • 2. Table of Contents I. Industry Introduction and Overview II. The Landscape of Players III. The Opportunities IV. How Gridley Can Help January 2010 2
  • 3. I. Industry Introduction and Overview January 2010 3
  • 4. Introduction • Almost every slice of the advertising pie is undergoing major transformation • With new devices, channels, technologies, content, and formats, advertising has never been more complex • Ad exchanges, ad networks, optimizers, targeting platforms, new forms of data, and the explosion of online inventory has forced massive changes in the old ways of Madison Avenue • Today’s Don Draper needs to be part Wall Street trader, part techie, and part media maven – the new X-Men • The stakes are high and new technologies are the hot topic • The landscape has loads of interest with investment and M&A activity ready to take off • This Gridley Industry Overview is designed to help you navigate this new landscape January 2010 4
  • 5. A Lot at Stake in Online Display Advertising • Improving economy + re-entry of financial and auto advertisers = double digit growth in 2010 • Display will represent more than 30% of total online spend next year, second only behind search • Online display will continue to capture shifting ad spend from large brand marketers U.S. Online Advertising Spending, by Format ($ in millions) '09 - '10 '10 - '13 Channel 2007 2008 2009 2010 Growth 2011 2012 2013 CAGR Search $8,810 $10,528 $11,370 $12,507 10.0% $14,008 $15,549 $17,104 11.0% Display Advertising 7,153 7,639 7,544 7,740 2.6% 8,103 8,479 8,843 4.5% Classifieds/Auctions 3,271 3,147 2,908 2,878 (1.0%) 2,936 2,979 3,023 1.7% Lead Generation/E-mail 1,972 2,134 2,153 2,226 3.4% 2,315 2,393 2,459 3.4% Total $21,206 $23,448 $23,975 $25,351 5.7% $27,362 $29,400 $31,429 7.4% % Mix Search 41.5% 44.9% 47.4% 49.3% 51.2% 52.9% 54.4% Display Advertising 33.7% 32.6% 31.5% 30.5% 29.6% 28.8% 28.1% Classifieds/Auctions 15.4% 13.4% 12.1% 11.4% 10.7% 10.1% 9.6% Lead Generation/E-mail 9.3% 9.1% 9.0% 8.8% 8.5% 8.1% 7.8% Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Source: Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB), PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), and Barclays Capital estimates. January 2010 5
  • 6. But Online Display Faces Challenges • Way too many vendors representing inventory – Hundreds of ad networks in all shapes and sizes – Horizontal, vertical, display, performance, video, in-game, social apps, and mobile • Fragmented audiences – Traffic is dispersed across the entire “tail” • Lack of transparency in ad networks – Advertisers don’t know where and when their ads run – Publishers are not guaranteed “blind” inventory • No standard KPI’s – How do you measure success and attribution? Clicks? Engagements? • Little control over pricing – Advertisers want to maximize ROI = lower CPM + higher conversion – Publishers want to maximize yield = higher CPM + more premium inventory • Agencies / buyers are giving away a lot of margin to the ad networks – Ad networks are making 30% - 40% margins January 2010 6
  • 7. Exchange Technologies are Taking the Lead • Real-time Exchanges offer transparency, market pricing, and liquidity • Demand Side Platforms are offering the holdcos and marketers a solution • Trading Desks at the agencies are becoming the experts at optimization • Data Providers and Exchanges offer online audience segmentation at a detailed level • Ad Creative Optimization allows dynamic ad serving of the right ad to the right audience at the right time • Social Targeting platforms enable marketers to target based on social interactions • Publishing Yield Optimizers aggregate inventory and maximize CPMs for publishers – looks a lot like the exchanges • Ad Networks are trying to hold on to their high margins by adding better targeting technologies, high value services, and / or going deep into a vertical January 2010 7
  • 8. The New Players are Staking Out Positions • New ad targeting, optimization, and data companies are redefining the landscape Demand Side – Advertising $$ Supply Side - Inventory Ad Ad Direct Sales “Traders” “Traders” Force Agencies / Media Buyers Demand Demand Side Side Optimization Optimization Platforms Platforms The Ad The Ad Exchanges Exchanges Data Measurement Advertisers Data Data Publishers Providers & Providers & Exchanges Exchanges Display Ad Social Social Publishing Yield Publishing Yield Networks Targeting Targeting Optimizers Optimizers Rich Media Ad Creative Ad Creative Ad Platforms Optimizers Optimizers January 2010 8
  • 9. The New Players are Staking Out Positions Demand Side – Advertising $$ Supply Side - Inventory Demand Side Optimization Ad Direct Sales Platforms Compete, comScore, Quantcast, Nielsen NetRatings Exchanges Force Agencies / Media Buyers Ad 24/7 “Traders” Adconion Adify Adroll Data Measurement Audience Science Bizo Brand.net Data Advertisers Publishers BrightRoll Providers & Burst Media Casale Exchanges Collective Media Connexus CPX Interactive Epic Advertising FOX Audience Network Google Ad Network Social Gorilla Nation InterCLICK Targeting Kontera Microsoft Media Network Platform-A Specific Media Tremor Media Eyeblaster Tribal Fusion Publishing Yield Turn Inc. EyeWonder Undertone Network Pointroll Ad Creative Optimizers ValueClick Unicast Optimizers Vibrant Media Yahoo Media Network VideoEgg Yume January 2010 9
  • 10. Key Factors for Success • “Industrial-grade” technology platforms that deliver true real-time performance at scale  • Easy-to-use platform interfaces that minimize work flow disruptions  • Ability to provide transparency and “trustability” across  platform or service offerings • Strong “customer” services focus as new marketers and  suppliers enter market • Clear performance measurement and reports that don’t  require a Ph.D. to understand • Ability to draw actionable insights out of reports, activate  vast stores of data, and implement the “call-to-action” January 2010 10
  • 11. Participants at 2010 Gridley Conference • Gridley has stayed in front of this emerging industry and continues to provide thought leadership PRESENTATIONS PANELISTS ATTENDEES January 2010 11
  • 12. II. The Landscape of Players January 2010 12
  • 13. The Ad Traders are at the Agencies • The ad holdcos are actively positioning themselves in the landscape – Evaluating all the players but have never been successful at buying technology companies • Ultimately will stay gate keepers of the media spend and utilize their “traders” and technology for execution and analysis Havas IPG MDC Partners Omnicom Group Publicis WPP Group Varick Media Omnicom Media VivaKi Nerve Media Innovation Trading Unit Adnetik Cadreon Management Group Digital Center Group / B3 N/A Head of Unit Nathan Woodman Quentin George Darren Herman Matt Spiegel Curt Hecht Brian Lesser Description Digital trading Custom audience Media traders using Partnering with Fox Digital media Optimizer of ad network and agency trading marketplace algorithms and data Audience Network optimization agency network spend to trade in real-time (FAN) for access to for premium audience targeting inventory tools Technology DataXu Multiple platforms Multiple platforms FAN's Audience Private platform Private platform Platform Insights, Audience (Audience on Planner and Real- Demand) Time Bidding ATOM Systems platforms (Razorfish) Status Not operating in U.S. Out of beta and Established in 2008 Announced October Test mode in 2008; Went live in middle yet serving clients 2009 live clients today of 2008 January 2010 13
  • 14. The Demand Side Optimization Platforms • New breed of trading technology platforms that combine bid optimization, data integration, analytics, and supply relationships to optimize display ad buys – “Bloomberg terminals” for the media buyers • “Trading desks” provide the execution – Adnetik, Cadreon, Varick Media, Living Segments, VivaKi, and B3 • Attracting a lot of interest from investors and strategic buyers Capital Year Raised Company Founded Investors ($mm) www.adbuyer.com NA NA NA New York, NY www.appnexus.com 2007 First Round Capital, Khosla Ventures, Kodiak $10.5 New York, NY Venture Partners, Venrock www.dataxu.com 2007 Atlas Venture LLP, Flybridge Capital Partners 6.0 Cambridge, MA www.invitemedia.com 2007 First Round Capital NA Philadelphia, PA www.mediamath.com 2007 Safeguard Scientifics, Inc.; QED Investors LLC; 16.6 New York, NY European Founders Fund www.turn.com 2005 Focus Ventures, Norwest Venture Partners, 38.5 Redwood City, CA Shasta Ventures, Trident Capital www.xplusone.com 1999 ATV, Blue Chip Ventures, Hudson Ventures, Seed 30.8 New York, NY Partners, WS Capital January 2010 14
  • 15. Data Providers & Exchanges • Data exchanges provide cookie data to segment high value audiences – Allows media buyers to target only the impressions they want • Incorporating data from multiple sources – offline and online • Speaking the language of database marketers – data management, audience segmentation, new marketing cohorts Capital Year Raised Company Founded Investors ($mm) www.almondnet.com 1998 Argoquest Inc. $1.0 New York, NY www.bizo.com 2008 Ascent Ventures, Venrock NA San Francisco, CA www.bluekai.com 2007 Battery Ventures, Redpoint Ventures 13.7 Bellevue, WA www.brilig.com NA NA NA New York, NY www.datalogix.com 2002 Advantage Capital Partners, General Catalyst 15.2 Westminster, CO Partners, Sequel Venture Partners www.exelate.com 2006 Carmel Ventures 4.0 Petach Tikvah, Israel www.lotame.com 2006 Battery Ventures, Betaworks, Emergence Capital 25.0 Elkridge, MD Partners, Hillcrest Capital Partners www.quantcast.com 2005 Polaris Venture Partners, Inc., Revolution 25.7 San Francisco, CA Ventures, The Founders Fund www.permuto.com 2008 Onset Ventures, Rembrandt Venture Partners 6.0 Palo Alto, CA www.targusinfo.com 2005 TA Associates, Inc. 60.0 Vienna, VA January 2010 15
  • 16. Ad Creative Optimizers • Dynamic ad creative optimizes ads using the best creative assets when the ad is served – Ability to serve ads in different colors, images, messaging, and lay-out to different audiences in real-time and at scale • Integrates third party data to determine most effective ad to serve to right audience at right time Capital Year Raised Company Founded Investors ($mm) www.adisn.com 2007 Battery Ventures $2.2 Long Beach, CA www.adroitinteractive.com NA NA NA Boston, MA www.aggregateknowledge.com 2005 DAG Ventures, First Round Capital, Kleiner 25.2 San Mateo, CA Perkins, Red Rock Ventures, VantagePoint www.teracent.com 2006 KPG Ventures, New Enterprise Associates 7.8 San Mateo, CA Acquired by Google on 11/23/09 www.tumri.com 2004 Accel Partners, Shasta Ventures, Tenaya Capital, 26.5 Mountain View, CA Time Warner Investments January 2010 16
  • 17. The Ad Exchanges • Ad exchanges are the NASDAQ or NYSE for online ad inventory • Provides transparent, dynamic pricing for advertisers • Provides liquidity for publishers • Big players already own this market • Other exchanges are getting in the game • Sell-side yield optimizers / inventory aggregators look a lot like the exchanges • Today exchanges are for high volume, non-premium inventory • In the future, exchanges will list premium inventory too January 2010 17
  • 18. Publishing Yield Optimizers • New platform technologies aggregate publisher inventory and optimize yield on the ad networks and exchanges • Publishers sell impressions to the highest bidder • Publishers can consolidate ad network relationships into a single optimizer • Platforms operating in real-time bidding environment look like the exchanges Capital Year Raised Company Founded Investors ($mm) www.admeld.com 2007 Foundry Group, Spark Capital $15.0 New York, NY www.pubmatic.com 2006 Draper Fisher Jurvetson, Helion Venture Partners, 7.0 Palo Alto, CA Nexus India www.rubiconproject.com 2007 Clearstone Ventures, IDG Ventures, Mayfield 33.0 Los Angeles, CA Fund, Peacock Fund, Stanford, UC Berkeley January 2010 18
  • 19. Social Targeting • Optimizing ads based on social marketing data – Identifying the influencers through social connections – Did you download a song? How big is your friends network? Did you comment on a picture? • Activating data based on social graph and engagement Capital Year Raised Company Founded Investors ($mm) www.33across.com 2007 First Round Capital, RoseTech Ventures, LLC NA New York, NY www.lotame.com 2006 Battery Ventures, Betaworks, Emergence Capital $25.0 Elkridge, MD Partners, Hillcrest Capital Partners www.media6degrees.com 2008 Contour Venture Partners, Coriolis Ventures, U.S. 11.8 New York, NY Venture Partners, Venrock www.seethroo.us 2007 NA NA Los Angeles, CA www.rapleaf.com 2005 Active Starts, Dace Ventures, Felicis Ventures, NA San Francisco, CA SoftTech VC, The Founders Fund January 2010 19
  • 21. Fewer Vendors, More Capabilities • Today, many companies offer pieces of the puzzle, but few offer the full suite – Marketers and publishers want fewer vendors, which will drive consolidation • Consolidators will seek to acquire stand-alone technologies or services to be the one-stop shop – Look for acquisitions of stand-alone platforms like the data exchanges & providers, ad creative optimizers, social targeting platforms, and publishing yield optimizers • Ad networks will begin to consolidate into a few power groups representing inventory and strong media relationships – The “Titans” Aren’t Going Anywhere: 24/7, FOX Audience Network, Google Ad Network, Microsoft Media Network, Platform A, and Yahoo Media Network – The Consolidators: Adconion, Collective Media, Connexus, Epic Advertising, Specific Media, ValueClick, and “Titans” – The Targets: Adroll, Audience Science, Bizo, Brand.net. BrightRoll, Gorilla Nation, InterCLICK, Kontera, Tremor Media, Turn, Vibrant Media, and Yume – The Question Marks: Burst Media, Casale, CPX Interactive, Tribal Fusion, Undertone Networks January 2010 21
  • 22. Who Will Own What? • The Ad Holdcos – Specialized agencies with their own “trading desks” – Traders will trade on the exchanges through multiple primary optimization platforms – Will opportunistically acquire specialized technologies and services in online data, data analytics, market research, and ad creative technologies • The “Titans” – Google, Microsoft, AOL, and Yahoo will dominate the exchanges and networks – Will acquire across entire spectrum of landscape – Will compete for inventory listings by offering best execution and liquidity – Since all have multiple capabilities across online ad technologies, they will be interested in many areas including data providers & exchanges, secondary vertical exchanges, social targeting, yield optimization January 2010 22
  • 23. Who Will Own What? • The Data Companies and Database Marketers – Will aggressively pursue all data-centric technology platforms across landscape – The data exchanges and platforms, demand side platforms, and social targeting companies will be their highest priority – Database marketers with multi-channel agency services will also look at ad creative optimizers and rich media ad serving • The Technology Players – Look for technology leaders like Adobe, Akamai, Cisco, IBM, and others to make “best- in-class” technology platform acquisitions across landscape – Some precedents have been set: Adobe / Omniture; Akamai / Acerno; Cisco / Tribe.net, Five Across, and Starent January 2010 23
  • 24. Who Will Own What? • The Diversified Media Giants – Will continue to have a high level of interest across landscape – Already investing across entire spectrum • Meredith: Genex, New Media Strategies, Healia, The Hyperfactory • Gannett: Pointroll, 4INFO, Ripple6 • NBC Universal: 4INFO, Greystripe, EveryZing, Rubicon Project • Forbes.com: Investopedia, PublicPost • Cox Enterprises: Adify January 2010 24
  • 25. Possible Strategic Buyers by Category Demand Side – Advertising $$ Supply Side - Inventory Demand Side Optimization Ad Ad Ad Platforms Exchanges Direct Sales “Traders” “Traders” Force Ad Holdcos Ad Holdcos Agencies / Media Buyers Data & Analytics Data & Analytics Database Database Marketing Marketing Diversified Media Diversified Media Internet Titans Internet Titans Technology Technology Internet Titans Internet Titans Technology Technology Data Measurement Ad Holdcos Ad Holdcos Advertisers Data & Analytics Data & Analytics Publishers Data Database Database Marketing Providers & Marketing Diversified Media Diversified Media Exchanges Internet Titans Internet Titans Technology Technology Ad Holdcos Ad Holdcos Data & Analytics Data & Analytics Display Ad Ad Holdcos Ad Holdcos Database Database Networks Social Marketing Marketing Diversified Media Diversified Media Diversified Media Internet Titans Internet Titans Targeting Diversified Media Technology Technology Internet Titans Internet Titans Technology Technology Ad Holdcos Ad Holdcos Publishing Yield Data & Analytics Data & Analytics Optimizers Rich Media Database Database Marketing Ad Creative Ad Platforms Marketing Diversified Media Diversified Media Optimizers Internet Titans Internet Titans January 2010 25
  • 26. Opportunities by Category • Buy-side Optimization Platforms – Platforms will power the trading desks of the media trading units – Near-term high growth opportunity for arbs – Long-term high growth opportunity as more $$$ is deployed on platforms – Likely Interested Buyers: technology-centric agencies, data & analytics companies, database marketers, diversified media, internet titans, technology companies • Data Providers & Exchanges – Near-term high growth opportunity as enhanced data drives high CPM and arbs can leverage spread – Long-term high growth opportunity as audience segmentation becomes fundamental buying approach – Getting high level of interest from all sides – Interested Buyers: technology-centric agencies, data & analytics companies, database marketers, diversified media, internet titans, technology companies January 2010 26
  • 27. Opportunities by Category • Social Targeting – Near-term high growth opportunities as marketers seek social marketing buys – Companies will either become data providers or agencies – Likely Interested Buyers: technology-centric agencies, data & analytics companies, database marketers, diversified media, internet titans, technology companies • Ad Creative Optimizers – New breed of ad servers that optimize ad based on variable creative assets – Long-term high growth opportunity as marketers adopt creative dynamic ad serving – Likely Interested Buyers: technology-centric agencies, data & analytics companies, database marketers, diversified media, internet titans • Ad Exchanges – Look for the big, established exchanges to make strategic acquisitions to drive scale – Near-term consolidation of niche/vertical exchanges – Likely Interested Buyers: internet titans, technology companies January 2010 27
  • 28. Opportunities by Category • Publishing Yield Optimizers – Aggregating publishing inventory and providing yield maximization from bidders – Need to pick the right horse – Near-term high growth opportunity for first-movers who aggregate high volume inventory – Likely Interested Buyers: technology-centric agencies, diversified media, internet titans, and technology companies January 2010 28
  • 29. IV. How Gridley Can Help January 2010 29
  • 30. About Gridley • Leading boutique Investment Bank specializing in Information Services – Comprehensive perspective on Advertising, Marketing , Financial Technology, Outsourcing and Information Services trends and transactions • Strong industry reputation on assignments led by senior bankers – Sellside = Excellent strategic positioning and valuation – Buyside = Deep knowledge and access to emerging companies and industry trends • Trusted advisor and strategic matchmaker – Thoughtful M&A ideas – not just the logical public company combinations – Deliver value to buyers and sellers alike • Broad industry network developed over 20+ years – Industry leaders, hot emerging growth companies, and senior investors – Senior executives on Gridley Advisory Board • Well-known thought leader – Host of leading Annual Information Services Conference and participant in industry events – Sought after commentator and resource for the media – Highly regarded quarterly newsletter – 2,500+ distribution January 2010 30
  • 31. Gridley Can Help You… • Understand the dynamics of this industry in transition • Identify the companies on our market map that best fit your interest areas – we’ve met with these companies and know their CEOs – What their strengths, weaknesses, and key market positioning are – Who their management teams and investors are • Navigate the Ad Holding Company, Database Marketing, and Data Provider worlds • Identify the financial investors and strategic investors most interested in this emerging industry • Execute your financial objectives – Sellside Advisory Services – Buyside Advisory Services – Private Placement Agent Services January 2010 31
  • 32. Gridley Can Help You… • Understand the dynamics of this industry in transition • Identify the companies on our market map that best fit your interest areas – we’ve met with these companies and know their CEOs – What their strengths, weaknesses, and key market positioning are – Who their management teams and investors are • Navigate the Ad Holding Company, Database Marketing, and Data Provider worlds • Identify the financial investors and strategic investors most interested in this emerging industry • Execute your financial objectives – Sellside Advisory Services – Buyside Advisory Services – Private Placement Agent Services January 2010 32
  • 33. Gridley Has the Expertise • Decades of experience executing transactions at the nexus of database marketing and internet services Database Marketing Internet Services Undisclosed Undisclosed $20,000,000 Undisclosed Undisclosed Undisclosed Sold to Sold to Dun & Acquired Acquired Investment by Acquired Parthenon Capital LLC Bradstreet Corp. Pepperjam Silverlign Group TZP Group LLC Ward Media, Inc. Advisor Advisor Advisor Advisor Placement Agent Advisor August 2006 April 2001 September 2009 April 2009 December 2008 March 2008 $112,400,000 $157,000,000 Undisclosed Undisclosed $113,189,337 $20,000,000 Ad-serving Business of Email Business of The M/A/R/C Strategic Group Acquired Sold to Sold to Secondary Offering Investment by Sold to Omnicom e-Dialog, Inc. One to One Aegis plc Young & Rubicam Group Interactive, Inc. Advisor Advisor Co-manager Advisor Advisor Advisor March 2000 November 1999 January 2008 July 2007 June 2007 May 2006 $101,000,000 $175,000,000 $138,000,000 $58,000,000 $50,000,000 $31,000,000 Sold CMG Direct Corp. Acquired Acquired Initial Public Sold to Young & Modem Media, Inc. Performics, Inc. Offering Preferred Stock to Marketing Services Group Inc. Rubicam Inc. Advisor Advisor Co-manager Sole Agent Advisor Advisor May 2004 September 1999 September 1999 June 1999 May 1999 October 2004 January 2010 33
  • 34. Linda Gridley Stan Sandberg President & CEO Managing Director 212.400.9710 tel 212.400.9709 linda.gridley@gridleyco.com stan.sandberg@gridleyco.com Gridley & Company LLC 10 East 53rd Street, 24th Floor New York, NY 10022 212.400.9720 tel 212.400.9717 fax www.gridleyco.com January 2010 34