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Michael Marco ID Epi class slides on HPV Natural History
1. Epidemiology & Natural History of HPV Infection and its Causal Relationship with Invasive Cervical Cancer Michael Marco, M.Phil., MPH, ID/Epi Pre-doctoral Training Fellow, CIDER, ICAP Infectious Disease Epidemiology - P8406 15 April 2010
14. Non-penetrative transmission has been documented, but is less likely (e.g., HIV) HPV in HIV+ women (pre-and post-HAART) is worthy a separate lecture. See Steben & Franco-Duarte review (Debatable; more for progression to cancer) CDC 2008
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17. HPV Prevalence in Women Varies Markedly in-and-between Populations Possibly an artifact of different assays (“home brewed”) used to measure HPV?
30. Detects only “high risk” (hr)HPV types, but does not identify the individual type. Only research assays (“home brewed”) offer information on the specific genotype
31. Would be useful for determining vaccine effectiveness in the community?
32. Indications for useRoutine adjunct to Pap in women 30 and over Management of ASCUS (atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance)
50. Measurement Error is Common in the Reading of Colposcopic Biopsies Shiffman, et al. 2007
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52. CIN 2 & CIN 3 lesions spontaneously clear in 30-40% of cases, however a higher percentage progress to cancer >12% if untreated
53. Cannot tell by the “look” of the lesions which ones will progress
54. CIN 2 is defined as an “intermediate diagnosis,” but is treated for safety as if it was CIN 3
55. Development of CIN 2 or CIN 3 are most often used as “surrogate endpoints” for invasive cervical cancer in prospective cohort studies
56. An immediate vs. differed treatment study for CIN 2 lesions would be beneficial, however, no IRB would approve it. Moskowitz 2007; Woodman 2007, Wacholder 2003
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58. Our study found that a single round of HPV testing was associated with a significant decline in the rate of advanced cervical cancers and associated deaths, as compared with the unscreened control group. By contrast, there was no significant reduction in the rate of death in either the cytologic-testing group or the VIA group, as compared with the control group. NOTE: no cancer-related deaths were observed in any of the HPV-negative women.