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In your notes

1.

Draw 2 graphs showing Mexico’s GDP over the
past 10 years. (nominal GDP and % change)
2.
How would you describe their economy?
Year

GDP

Percent change

2000

1065.207

8.27 %

2001

1079.214

1.31 %

2002

1097.527

1.70 %

2003

1135.984

3.50 %

2004

1231.841

8.44 %

2005

1297.514

5.33 %

2006

1408.444

8.55 %

2007

1496.239

6.23 %

2008

1547.597

3.43 %

2009

1467.581

-5.17 %

2010

1564.872

6.63 %
2 goals of Macroeconomic Policy



Long Term Growth
Stability
Mexico’s Economy
US GDP Changes




Write down 3 events that might have
either negatively or positively
affected the US GDP

For example: 1890’s Railroad
connections increased consumer
spending and investment
The Business Cycle


Changes in GDP over time


“downturn”
Recession
“slump”
6 + months of negative GDP growth
• Decreased Spending
• Lack of trade

Prosperity


“boom”
“Expansion”

6+ months of positive GDP growth
• Technology
• Productivity
Label recession on Mexico BR graph
Klein draw recession on PPF
In your notes
Calculate the GDP for Portugal in
2008. (in millions)
Consumers spent: $131,300
Investment: $42,000
Exported $56,000
Imports $87,000
Portugal: 10 million
people
Government: $90,000
Currency: Euro
What is Portugal’s GDP per
Capita?
Portugal
Great
Depression
1929-1933
27% drop in GDP
25% Unemployment
36% drop in World
trade
43 straight months
of declining
spending !!!!

Great
Recession
2007-2009
5 % drop in GDP
10% Unemployment
20% drop in World
trade
18 straight months
of declining
spending

Source Yoram Bauman, World Bank
Fiscal Cliff
Y = C + I + G + X >>>> (exports-imports)
Short Run
5% reduction in Government spending
Significant tax increases affect on I and C
What would a ________ say about this in SR and LR?

Keynesian
Classical Perspective (Hayek)
GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im)
Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if…

US consumers spend 5% more in
2012, than 2011 for the Winter
Holidays.
GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im)
Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if…

Banks report 3 % increase in business
spending
GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im)
Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if…

US government passes $800 billion
healthcare reform bill
GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im)
Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if…

Mexican citizens demand 15 % fewer
US made cars
GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im)
Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if…

The internet is created
GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im)
Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if…

US students learn about the benefits
of saving money
GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im)
Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if…

Free trade zone extends from Canada
to Argentina
GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im)
Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if…

US military invades Iran
GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im)
Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if…

World Demand for US timber increases
Assignment

What would happen to the GDP of the US if…(assume only 1 variable
changes)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

The government increases education spending by
$12 billion
Russians demand more US made cars
The US government decides the border fence is
too expensive and cuts its funding
US government places a tax on all Japanese
imports
Consumers get easier access to credit cards and
buy 35 % more video games this year
High school graduates get excited about the stock
market and invest 10% of their future incomes.
The price of food increases by 14% in 2010
US business become fearful of the coming
recession and slow spending by 4%
New modern warfare game released
Make up an example of your own, show GDP change.
Assignment

Create an assignment for the regular
students to do
#1 12 realistic scenarios for students to
choose the component. 3 for each part of
GDP. For example: 1965 US creates
Medicare (govt spending)
#2 2 GDP problems (C + I + G + X)
#3 Why is GDP per capita a better
measure of wealth than GDP?


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Friday business cycle AP Macro

  • 1. In your notes 1. Draw 2 graphs showing Mexico’s GDP over the past 10 years. (nominal GDP and % change) 2. How would you describe their economy? Year GDP Percent change 2000 1065.207 8.27 % 2001 1079.214 1.31 % 2002 1097.527 1.70 % 2003 1135.984 3.50 % 2004 1231.841 8.44 % 2005 1297.514 5.33 % 2006 1408.444 8.55 % 2007 1496.239 6.23 % 2008 1547.597 3.43 % 2009 1467.581 -5.17 % 2010 1564.872 6.63 %
  • 2. 2 goals of Macroeconomic Policy   Long Term Growth Stability
  • 4.
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  • 7. US GDP Changes   Write down 3 events that might have either negatively or positively affected the US GDP For example: 1890’s Railroad connections increased consumer spending and investment
  • 9.  “downturn” Recession “slump” 6 + months of negative GDP growth • Decreased Spending • Lack of trade Prosperity  “boom” “Expansion” 6+ months of positive GDP growth • Technology • Productivity
  • 10. Label recession on Mexico BR graph
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  • 16. In your notes Calculate the GDP for Portugal in 2008. (in millions) Consumers spent: $131,300 Investment: $42,000 Exported $56,000 Imports $87,000 Portugal: 10 million people Government: $90,000 Currency: Euro What is Portugal’s GDP per Capita?
  • 18.
  • 19. Great Depression 1929-1933 27% drop in GDP 25% Unemployment 36% drop in World trade 43 straight months of declining spending !!!! Great Recession 2007-2009 5 % drop in GDP 10% Unemployment 20% drop in World trade 18 straight months of declining spending Source Yoram Bauman, World Bank
  • 20. Fiscal Cliff Y = C + I + G + X >>>> (exports-imports) Short Run 5% reduction in Government spending Significant tax increases affect on I and C What would a ________ say about this in SR and LR? Keynesian Classical Perspective (Hayek)
  • 21.
  • 22. GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im) Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if… US consumers spend 5% more in 2012, than 2011 for the Winter Holidays.
  • 23. GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im) Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if… Banks report 3 % increase in business spending
  • 24. GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im) Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if… US government passes $800 billion healthcare reform bill
  • 25. GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im) Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if… Mexican citizens demand 15 % fewer US made cars
  • 26. GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im) Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if… The internet is created
  • 27. GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im) Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if… US students learn about the benefits of saving money
  • 28. GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im) Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if… Free trade zone extends from Canada to Argentina
  • 29. GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im) Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if… US military invades Iran
  • 30. GDP = C + I + G + (Ex – Im) Assuming everything else stays equal, what happens if… World Demand for US timber increases
  • 31. Assignment What would happen to the GDP of the US if…(assume only 1 variable changes) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. The government increases education spending by $12 billion Russians demand more US made cars The US government decides the border fence is too expensive and cuts its funding US government places a tax on all Japanese imports Consumers get easier access to credit cards and buy 35 % more video games this year High school graduates get excited about the stock market and invest 10% of their future incomes. The price of food increases by 14% in 2010 US business become fearful of the coming recession and slow spending by 4% New modern warfare game released Make up an example of your own, show GDP change.
  • 32. Assignment Create an assignment for the regular students to do #1 12 realistic scenarios for students to choose the component. 3 for each part of GDP. For example: 1965 US creates Medicare (govt spending) #2 2 GDP problems (C + I + G + X) #3 Why is GDP per capita a better measure of wealth than GDP? 