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Sharon Poerwanto Brian J Chen Anusha Bhagnani David Z Wang At the forefront of innovation  Red Bulls
Main recommendation Create JV with  bicycle manufacturer  while reducing lead time Product creation  paves way  for expansion Boost future  Innovation One step ahead  of the competition  1 2 3
What Motivates Shimano? Risk  Management Motivations Motives drive  decision making Strategy supports  these motives Financial Gain Innovation and  Technology 2 1 3 “ Inspire ourselves to  think creative ,  improve  technical skills  and  achieve objectives through  innovation   and  responsiveness to challenges .” Shimano
What is Shimano Good at? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],1 2 First mover advantage Integrated components Motivations
What are the constraints?  Constraints Direct Competition  Long lead time 120 days Product to market Product  development 1 2 80% ,[object Object],[object Object],0 days
What does Shimano need to do?  Need to increase  market  share increase Need to be technological leader & Development of new products Leads to a b Constraints
Criteria to Evaluate Options  Criteria & Options Financial gain Innovation and  technology Risk  management 1 3 Highest NPV Capabilities for every component Maximise Resources  Criteria derived from goal to increase MS 2
What are our options?  Developed Rest of  World Road bikes Mountain bikes ,[object Object],[object Object],Hybrid bikes High Low Raw materials Component  Bicycle manufacturer Supply  chain ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Criteria & Options
Option 1: Low cost strategy  - Dilution of R & D capabilities - Shift to new emerging markets -  Pressure to outsource manufacturing -  Need massive global integrated  operations -  Decrease in margins -  Increase price  competition Business Risk Innovation capabilities Financial gains $621 mil. Developed Rest of  World Road bikes Mountain bikes Hybrid bikes Raw materials Component  Bicycle manufacturer 1 3 2
Option 2:  Hybrid bicycles Developed Rest of  World Road bikes Mountain bikes Hybrid bikes Raw materials Component  Bicycle manufacturer - Hybrid not a breakthrough product - Presence in all 3 product lines  -  Giant present in market -  High fixed cost and capital outlay -  No first mover  advantage -  Fighting on cost Business Risk Innovation capabilities Financial gains $763 mil. 1 3 2
Option 3: Innovate high end  Developed Rest of  World Road bikes Mountain bikes Hybrid bikes Raw materials Component  Bicycle manufacturer - Able to impact product innovation - Potential to change consumer trends -  Adoption problems -  Partnership with potential JV -  First mover advantage -  Market leader in high  end Business Risk Innovation capabilities Financial gains $996 mil. 1 3 2
Options Utilise resource capability Defeat direct competition Forefront of consumer trends 2. Hybrid 1. Low End 3. New Product Factors Weights 2. 3. 1. Maximise financial gain  Preferred option: Innovate high end TOTAL 100% 1.80 1.40 2.80 Criteria & Options 20% 20% 20% 40% 1 3 1 2 2 3.20 3 2 3 3 1 2.20 2 1 2 1 4 3.00
Trek Carbon fiber frame maximizes power, minimizes weight Innovate full bicycle architecture, not just components! Components Shimano Innovation  in linked  component  sets   Bontrager Focus on comfort, weight, aerodynamics Frames Mechanical Parts Non-Moving Parts Preferred option: Trek-Shimano X Preferred option x
Preferred Option: Joint venture with Trek  Raw materials Component manufacture Bicycle manufacture ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],-  Jointly sponsor Lance Armstrong -  Combined R & D team -  Integrated selling NPV: $996 mil x
… Superior pricing COGS 60 Additional benefits from JV Increased COGS to 70% Current Targeted Selling Price (%) COGS 70 Gross  Profit 40 Gross  Profit 40 +Gross Profit 20 130 100 Preferred option x
Short run strategy  ,[object Object],[object Object],Marketing Sales Production Engineering X team CEO Bicycle division 1-2 yrs ,[object Object],5 yr implementation x
Medium run strategy 2-4 yrs 150-200 scientists to Team X R & D lab in Waterloo, Wisconsin R&D Prototype in year 2 Test on professional racers & patent Develop Launch final product in Europe  Sponsor  Tour de France Teams Launch Through Trek stores Distribute Endorsements by  Óscar Pereiro   Enthusiast Magazines Market 5 yr implementation x
Mid to long run strategy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],4-5 yrs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],x
Increasing market size Financials
Looking into the future x Financials
Market Penetration for High End Net Income Market Acceptance of Trek-Shimano X Sensitivity Analysis
Timeframe  Impact of  Recommendation 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Global  Expansion Continuous research on niches Roll out in developed regions Current product $100 mil investment in production facilities Review/ Feedback Trek-Shimano X $50 mil initial JV  Investment with Trek Prototype & test market Roll-out Trek-Shimano X in Europe
Recommendation revisited Product creation paves  way for expansion Boost future  Innovation One step ahead  of the competition  Net Profit (mil $) Relative market share 250 85% 80% 190 Value Achieved x Improved Position Strong  Joint Venture
Sharon Poerwanto Brian J Chen Anusha Bhagnani David Z Wang 24 Mar 2007 At the forefront of innovation  Red Bulls Q & A
Environment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Financials ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Trek-Shimano X ,[object Object],Index of further analysis Mitigation ,[object Object]
Defining the market Low-End Mid-End High-End ,[object Object],$300 – $500 < $300 Mountain Extra traction & shock absorption, wheel suspension, saturated market Road Racing, touring & utility bikes, saturated market Hybrid In between the two ranges, including comfort bikes & small wheelers
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Competitors
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Why not emerging market?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Assumptions for Trek-Shimano X
Key Financial Assumptions 1.
units sold 2.
units sold 3.
Market Share Projections (x) 4.
Pro Forma  In USD mln. 5.
NPV for the Trek-Shimano JV : 995.77 million USD In USD mln. NPV for Low End Market : 628.38 million USD In USD mln. NPV for Hybrid Option : 763.97 million USD Cash Flow Projections 6.
7a.
7b.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mitigations: Plan B

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2007 1st Place

  • 1. Sharon Poerwanto Brian J Chen Anusha Bhagnani David Z Wang At the forefront of innovation Red Bulls
  • 2. Main recommendation Create JV with bicycle manufacturer while reducing lead time Product creation paves way for expansion Boost future Innovation One step ahead of the competition 1 2 3
  • 3. What Motivates Shimano? Risk Management Motivations Motives drive decision making Strategy supports these motives Financial Gain Innovation and Technology 2 1 3 “ Inspire ourselves to think creative , improve technical skills and achieve objectives through innovation and responsiveness to challenges .” Shimano
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. What does Shimano need to do? Need to increase market share increase Need to be technological leader & Development of new products Leads to a b Constraints
  • 7. Criteria to Evaluate Options Criteria & Options Financial gain Innovation and technology Risk management 1 3 Highest NPV Capabilities for every component Maximise Resources Criteria derived from goal to increase MS 2
  • 8.
  • 9. Option 1: Low cost strategy - Dilution of R & D capabilities - Shift to new emerging markets - Pressure to outsource manufacturing - Need massive global integrated operations - Decrease in margins - Increase price competition Business Risk Innovation capabilities Financial gains $621 mil. Developed Rest of World Road bikes Mountain bikes Hybrid bikes Raw materials Component Bicycle manufacturer 1 3 2
  • 10. Option 2: Hybrid bicycles Developed Rest of World Road bikes Mountain bikes Hybrid bikes Raw materials Component Bicycle manufacturer - Hybrid not a breakthrough product - Presence in all 3 product lines - Giant present in market - High fixed cost and capital outlay - No first mover advantage - Fighting on cost Business Risk Innovation capabilities Financial gains $763 mil. 1 3 2
  • 11. Option 3: Innovate high end Developed Rest of World Road bikes Mountain bikes Hybrid bikes Raw materials Component Bicycle manufacturer - Able to impact product innovation - Potential to change consumer trends - Adoption problems - Partnership with potential JV - First mover advantage - Market leader in high end Business Risk Innovation capabilities Financial gains $996 mil. 1 3 2
  • 12. Options Utilise resource capability Defeat direct competition Forefront of consumer trends 2. Hybrid 1. Low End 3. New Product Factors Weights 2. 3. 1. Maximise financial gain Preferred option: Innovate high end TOTAL 100% 1.80 1.40 2.80 Criteria & Options 20% 20% 20% 40% 1 3 1 2 2 3.20 3 2 3 3 1 2.20 2 1 2 1 4 3.00
  • 13. Trek Carbon fiber frame maximizes power, minimizes weight Innovate full bicycle architecture, not just components! Components Shimano Innovation in linked component sets Bontrager Focus on comfort, weight, aerodynamics Frames Mechanical Parts Non-Moving Parts Preferred option: Trek-Shimano X Preferred option x
  • 14.
  • 15. … Superior pricing COGS 60 Additional benefits from JV Increased COGS to 70% Current Targeted Selling Price (%) COGS 70 Gross Profit 40 Gross Profit 40 +Gross Profit 20 130 100 Preferred option x
  • 16.
  • 17. Medium run strategy 2-4 yrs 150-200 scientists to Team X R & D lab in Waterloo, Wisconsin R&D Prototype in year 2 Test on professional racers & patent Develop Launch final product in Europe Sponsor Tour de France Teams Launch Through Trek stores Distribute Endorsements by Óscar Pereiro Enthusiast Magazines Market 5 yr implementation x
  • 18.
  • 20. Looking into the future x Financials
  • 21. Market Penetration for High End Net Income Market Acceptance of Trek-Shimano X Sensitivity Analysis
  • 22. Timeframe Impact of Recommendation 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Global Expansion Continuous research on niches Roll out in developed regions Current product $100 mil investment in production facilities Review/ Feedback Trek-Shimano X $50 mil initial JV Investment with Trek Prototype & test market Roll-out Trek-Shimano X in Europe
  • 23. Recommendation revisited Product creation paves way for expansion Boost future Innovation One step ahead of the competition Net Profit (mil $) Relative market share 250 85% 80% 190 Value Achieved x Improved Position Strong Joint Venture
  • 24. Sharon Poerwanto Brian J Chen Anusha Bhagnani David Z Wang 24 Mar 2007 At the forefront of innovation Red Bulls Q & A
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 34. Pro Forma In USD mln. 5.
  • 35. NPV for the Trek-Shimano JV : 995.77 million USD In USD mln. NPV for Low End Market : 628.38 million USD In USD mln. NPV for Hybrid Option : 763.97 million USD Cash Flow Projections 6.
  • 36. 7a.
  • 37. 7b.
  • 38.