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Climate change and its effect on
Agriculture
Climate Change : Impacts on
Indian Agriculture
Contents :-
 Weather
 Climate
 Global climate change
 Effects of climate change
 Global warming
 Green house effect
 Agriculture and climate change is a three fold relationship
 Current issues in agriculture
 Impacts of climate change in agriculture
 Potential impact of climate change on wheat production in india
 Effect of climate change in rice production system
 What can be done?
 Conclusion
 Reference
First of all, you should know that
weather and climate
are not the same thing.
WEATHER IS:
 Short term
 Limited area
 Can change rapidly
 Difficult to predict
WEATHER is what’s
happening outside your
window right now.
CLIMATE IS:
 Long term
 Wide area
 Seasonal changes
 Measured over
long spans of time
CLIMATE is the average
of many years of
weather observation.
Global Climate Change
 Identifiable change in the climate of
Earth as a whole that lasts for an
extended period of time (decades or
longer)
 When due to natural processes, it is
usually referred to as global climate
variability
 Usually refers to changes forced by
human activities that change the
atmosphere
Climate is affected by many factors
ABIOTIC FACTORS:
Ocean Currents
Solar Radiation
Evaporation
Volcanic Activity
BIOTIC FACTORS:
Transpiration
Respiration
Photosynthesis
Decomposition
Some Effects of Climate Change
 An average increase in Earth’s temperature during the last
century
 Melting of polar ice—polar bears and other animals are drowning
 Migrating birds are forced to change their time and place of
migration
 Melting of glaciers will lead to higher sea level, which will cause
floods and put many low-elevation regions at risk of
disappearing under water
 Longer summers can disrupt animal habitation
 New and widespread diseases because of warm climate
 Damaged crops due to sudden climate change and floods
 Average precipitation increase around the world
 Droughts, heat waves, extreme winters and storms, hurricanes,
typhoons
 More wildfires
Contribution of different sectors in world to climate
change. (Sources of Greenhouse Gas emissions)
What Is Global Warming?
 Global warming is when the earth heats up and
the temperature increases
 More recently, the temperatures have been rising,
causing more dangers for people, animals, plants
and our environment.
The Greenhouse Effect
 The greenhouse effect is when the temperature
goes up, on Earth, since the sun’s heat and light
energy is trapped in the earth’s atmosphere.
 While the heat from the sun enters our
atmosphere, the heat has trouble leaving back
out our atmosphere
This figure shows worldwide emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous
oxide, and several fluorinated gases from 1990 to 2010. For consistency,
emissions are expressed in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalents.
These totals include emissions and sinks due to land-use change and
forestry.
* HFCs are hydrofluorocarbons, PFCs are perfluorocarbons, and SF6 is
Estimates of Future Levels of CO2
Year CO2, ppm
2000 369
2010-2015 388-398
2050/2060 463-623
2100 478-1099
In the coming decades, climate change and other
global trends will endanger agriculture, food
security, and rural livelihoods.
I. Agriculture as a contributor to Climate Change
II. Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture
III. Agriculture as a potential moderator of Climate
Change
Agriculture & Climate Change:
A three-fold relationship
Food demands will rise
In order to meet global demands, we
will need
60-70%
food
by 2050.
Current Issues in Agriculture
 Overproduction in short-term, yet food insecurity for
a large population
 Decline in yields
 Diversification
 Quality and quantity of water resources
Source of 30% of total global
anthropogenic emissions of GHGs
 Particulate matter & GHGs from land
clearance by fire & burning of
residues
 anthropogenic emissions of CH4 and
N2O
 CH4: from rice & livestock production
 N2O from fertilizers & manure
(FAO 2003, Gomiero et al. 2008)
laobumpkin.blogspot.com
www.dowagro.com
www.ncagr.gov
II. Impacts of Climate Change on
Agriculture
 Greater loss expected in Rabi. Every 1oC increase in
temperature reduces wheat production by 4-5 million
tons. Loss only 1-2 million tons if farmers could plant in
time
 Reduced frequency of frost damage: less damage to
potato, peas, mustard
 Increased droughts and floods are likely to increase
production variability
 Cereal productivity to decrease by 10-40% by 2100.
Potential Impact of Climate Change on
Wheat Production in India
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070
Production,Mtons
Year
Source: Aggarwal et al. (2002)
Stress
• Stress in physical terms is defined as mechanical
force per unit area applied to an object.
• In response to the applied stress, an object
undergoes a change in the dimension , which is
also known as strain.
• stress is an adverse force or a condition,
which inhibits the normal functioning and well
being of a biological system such as plants.
• Various types of stress are
• freezing, chilling, heat, drought, flood, salinity, etc.
How hot is too hot ?
 CO2 emitted by humans is main cause (IPCC)
 Global Surface temperatures risen – 0.8C since 1880s (IPCC),
Australian temperatures risen 0.9C since 1910 (CSIRO)
Sources: IPCC (2013), CSIRO (2014), Graph from Trenbeth & Fasullo (2013)
Rising CO2 and temperature
Heat stress in rice production systems
 All rice production systems will be exposed to heat stress but rainfed
uplands are particularly vulnerable
 Heat stress leads to high sterility, stunting and accelerated
development
 Above 33 ºC sterility of rice drastically increases
 Severe yield reduction
 Grain quality (chalkiness) increases with high Temp.
Physiological reaction of plant to low
temperature
Each plant has its unique set of temperature requirement, which
are optimum for its proper growth and development.
 A set of temperature conditions, which are optimum for one plant
may be stressful for another plant. many plants, especially those,
which are native to warm habitat, exhibit symptoms of injury when
exposed to low non-freezing temperatures.
Projected impacts of climate change
on Indian agriculture
Increasing temperature would increase fertilizer
requirement for the same production targets; and result
in higher emissions
Increasing sea and river water temperatures are likely to
affect fish breeding, migration, and harvests. Coral reefs
start declining from 2030.
Increased water, shelter, and energy requirement for
livestock; implications for milk production
Climate Variability and Climate Change-
Another Driver in Agriculture
 Increase in CO2
 Increase in temperature
 Sea level rise
 Variability and extreme events such as
floods and drought
III. Agriculture as part of the solution?
Increasing carbon sequestration through land
management
Rotations with cover crops, green manure
Agroforestry
Conservation tillage
 Could reduce global CO2 emissions by 5-15%
Organic farming (but limited benefits)
 Enhances carbon storage in soil
Projected beneficial impacts of
climate change on Indian
agriculture
Reduced frequency of frost damage: less damage to potato,
peas, mustard
New ‘flooded’ areas may become available for fisheries in
coastal regions
Other potential benefits, if any, need to be characterized
Adaptations to Climate
Change
 New varieties: drought/heat resistant
 New farm management practices
 Change in land use
 Watershed management
 Agri-insurance
First we must admit that climate change is
everyone’s problem. No agency, government,
or scientist can “fix it” for us. We are all in
this together.
We got here because of our lifestyle. So our
lifestyle has to change.
Here’s what you can do…
What can be done?
There are several types of options…
 Reduce emissions of greenhouse gases
 Attempt to develop alternatives energies
 Allow emission to continue, but prepare for global
climate changes
 Allow emissions to continue as normal and leave
preparations up to individual countries
 Combine any of these ideas
 Come up with your own unique plan!
Conclusions
 Climate change is a reality
 Indian agriculture is likely to suffer losses due to heat, erratic weather, and
decreased irrigation availability
 Adaptation strategies can help minimize negative impacts
 These need research, funding, and policy support
 Costs of adaptation and mitigation are unknown but likely to be high; costs
of inaction could be even higher
Climate change…Isit the Beginning of the end..??
The earth is heating..So is the environment..
Now..Its Upto Us..What We can Do..??
Come Forward..
Join hands..
Save Agriculture..to
sustain ourselves..
Thank You

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climate change and its effect on agriculture

  • 1. Climate change and its effect on Agriculture
  • 2. Climate Change : Impacts on Indian Agriculture
  • 3. Contents :-  Weather  Climate  Global climate change  Effects of climate change  Global warming  Green house effect  Agriculture and climate change is a three fold relationship  Current issues in agriculture  Impacts of climate change in agriculture  Potential impact of climate change on wheat production in india  Effect of climate change in rice production system  What can be done?  Conclusion  Reference
  • 4. First of all, you should know that weather and climate are not the same thing.
  • 5. WEATHER IS:  Short term  Limited area  Can change rapidly  Difficult to predict WEATHER is what’s happening outside your window right now.
  • 6. CLIMATE IS:  Long term  Wide area  Seasonal changes  Measured over long spans of time CLIMATE is the average of many years of weather observation.
  • 7. Global Climate Change  Identifiable change in the climate of Earth as a whole that lasts for an extended period of time (decades or longer)  When due to natural processes, it is usually referred to as global climate variability  Usually refers to changes forced by human activities that change the atmosphere
  • 8. Climate is affected by many factors ABIOTIC FACTORS: Ocean Currents Solar Radiation Evaporation Volcanic Activity BIOTIC FACTORS: Transpiration Respiration Photosynthesis Decomposition
  • 9. Some Effects of Climate Change  An average increase in Earth’s temperature during the last century  Melting of polar ice—polar bears and other animals are drowning  Migrating birds are forced to change their time and place of migration  Melting of glaciers will lead to higher sea level, which will cause floods and put many low-elevation regions at risk of disappearing under water  Longer summers can disrupt animal habitation  New and widespread diseases because of warm climate  Damaged crops due to sudden climate change and floods  Average precipitation increase around the world  Droughts, heat waves, extreme winters and storms, hurricanes, typhoons  More wildfires
  • 10. Contribution of different sectors in world to climate change. (Sources of Greenhouse Gas emissions)
  • 11. What Is Global Warming?  Global warming is when the earth heats up and the temperature increases  More recently, the temperatures have been rising, causing more dangers for people, animals, plants and our environment.
  • 12. The Greenhouse Effect  The greenhouse effect is when the temperature goes up, on Earth, since the sun’s heat and light energy is trapped in the earth’s atmosphere.  While the heat from the sun enters our atmosphere, the heat has trouble leaving back out our atmosphere
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  • 14. This figure shows worldwide emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and several fluorinated gases from 1990 to 2010. For consistency, emissions are expressed in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalents. These totals include emissions and sinks due to land-use change and forestry. * HFCs are hydrofluorocarbons, PFCs are perfluorocarbons, and SF6 is
  • 15. Estimates of Future Levels of CO2 Year CO2, ppm 2000 369 2010-2015 388-398 2050/2060 463-623 2100 478-1099
  • 16. In the coming decades, climate change and other global trends will endanger agriculture, food security, and rural livelihoods.
  • 17. I. Agriculture as a contributor to Climate Change II. Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture III. Agriculture as a potential moderator of Climate Change Agriculture & Climate Change: A three-fold relationship
  • 18. Food demands will rise In order to meet global demands, we will need 60-70% food by 2050.
  • 19. Current Issues in Agriculture  Overproduction in short-term, yet food insecurity for a large population  Decline in yields  Diversification  Quality and quantity of water resources
  • 20. Source of 30% of total global anthropogenic emissions of GHGs  Particulate matter & GHGs from land clearance by fire & burning of residues  anthropogenic emissions of CH4 and N2O  CH4: from rice & livestock production  N2O from fertilizers & manure (FAO 2003, Gomiero et al. 2008) laobumpkin.blogspot.com www.dowagro.com www.ncagr.gov
  • 21. II. Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture  Greater loss expected in Rabi. Every 1oC increase in temperature reduces wheat production by 4-5 million tons. Loss only 1-2 million tons if farmers could plant in time  Reduced frequency of frost damage: less damage to potato, peas, mustard  Increased droughts and floods are likely to increase production variability  Cereal productivity to decrease by 10-40% by 2100.
  • 22. Potential Impact of Climate Change on Wheat Production in India 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 Production,Mtons Year Source: Aggarwal et al. (2002)
  • 23. Stress • Stress in physical terms is defined as mechanical force per unit area applied to an object. • In response to the applied stress, an object undergoes a change in the dimension , which is also known as strain. • stress is an adverse force or a condition, which inhibits the normal functioning and well being of a biological system such as plants. • Various types of stress are • freezing, chilling, heat, drought, flood, salinity, etc.
  • 24. How hot is too hot ?  CO2 emitted by humans is main cause (IPCC)  Global Surface temperatures risen – 0.8C since 1880s (IPCC), Australian temperatures risen 0.9C since 1910 (CSIRO) Sources: IPCC (2013), CSIRO (2014), Graph from Trenbeth & Fasullo (2013) Rising CO2 and temperature
  • 25. Heat stress in rice production systems  All rice production systems will be exposed to heat stress but rainfed uplands are particularly vulnerable  Heat stress leads to high sterility, stunting and accelerated development  Above 33 ºC sterility of rice drastically increases  Severe yield reduction  Grain quality (chalkiness) increases with high Temp.
  • 26. Physiological reaction of plant to low temperature Each plant has its unique set of temperature requirement, which are optimum for its proper growth and development.  A set of temperature conditions, which are optimum for one plant may be stressful for another plant. many plants, especially those, which are native to warm habitat, exhibit symptoms of injury when exposed to low non-freezing temperatures.
  • 27. Projected impacts of climate change on Indian agriculture Increasing temperature would increase fertilizer requirement for the same production targets; and result in higher emissions Increasing sea and river water temperatures are likely to affect fish breeding, migration, and harvests. Coral reefs start declining from 2030. Increased water, shelter, and energy requirement for livestock; implications for milk production
  • 28. Climate Variability and Climate Change- Another Driver in Agriculture  Increase in CO2  Increase in temperature  Sea level rise  Variability and extreme events such as floods and drought
  • 29. III. Agriculture as part of the solution? Increasing carbon sequestration through land management Rotations with cover crops, green manure Agroforestry Conservation tillage  Could reduce global CO2 emissions by 5-15% Organic farming (but limited benefits)  Enhances carbon storage in soil
  • 30. Projected beneficial impacts of climate change on Indian agriculture Reduced frequency of frost damage: less damage to potato, peas, mustard New ‘flooded’ areas may become available for fisheries in coastal regions Other potential benefits, if any, need to be characterized
  • 31. Adaptations to Climate Change  New varieties: drought/heat resistant  New farm management practices  Change in land use  Watershed management  Agri-insurance
  • 32. First we must admit that climate change is everyone’s problem. No agency, government, or scientist can “fix it” for us. We are all in this together. We got here because of our lifestyle. So our lifestyle has to change. Here’s what you can do… What can be done?
  • 33. There are several types of options…  Reduce emissions of greenhouse gases  Attempt to develop alternatives energies  Allow emission to continue, but prepare for global climate changes  Allow emissions to continue as normal and leave preparations up to individual countries  Combine any of these ideas  Come up with your own unique plan!
  • 34. Conclusions  Climate change is a reality  Indian agriculture is likely to suffer losses due to heat, erratic weather, and decreased irrigation availability  Adaptation strategies can help minimize negative impacts  These need research, funding, and policy support  Costs of adaptation and mitigation are unknown but likely to be high; costs of inaction could be even higher
  • 35. Climate change…Isit the Beginning of the end..?? The earth is heating..So is the environment.. Now..Its Upto Us..What We can Do..??
  • 36. Come Forward.. Join hands.. Save Agriculture..to sustain ourselves..