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How does it mix with
sustainability, business strategy
and consumer emotion?
THERISE
OFSCIENCE
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
THERISE
OFSCIENCE
DIRECTIONS15
DIMENSION1:
SCIENCE-BASED
GOALS
6
DAVIDCROFT
AMEASURED
APPROACH
8
MATTHEWSWIBEL
IT’SNOTJUST
SCIENCE
ONOURRADAR
10
MARKW.McELROY
SCIENCE+ETHICS
=CONTEXT
12
JOHNKORNERUPBANG
APPLYING
SCIENCE
14
CONTENTS
SCIENCEAND
DOUGHNUTS
2
INTHE
LABORATORY
4
DIRECTIONS 2015 TEAM
NIGEL SALTER
Founder & CEO
JIM PEACOCK
Director,
Consultancy &
Communications
NINA PICKUP
Creative Director
ANNIE LANCASTER
Senior Consultant
KRISTINA JOSS
Senior
Sustainability
Consultant
CAROLINE CARSON
Sustainability
Consultant
OLIVIA STANDISH
Researcher &
Project Lead
AMY KELLY
Studio Manager
RICHARD WILSON
Design Director
AMBER HADLEY
Designer
GARY McCALL
Print Manager
LOUISE MOYNA
Production
Team Lead
MARK LEVER
Senior Artworker
Science has always been a part of
sustainability solutions. Yet in recent
years it’s been lurking in the background
of the corporate sustainability debate,
biding its time, waiting for its moment
to shine. It seems as though that time
has arrived.
Companies from a wide range of sectors,
from beauty to construction, are giving
a greater prominence to science in their
approaches to sustainability. It’s now
being mixed with mainstream business
thinking, with sustainability theory, target
setting and strategy, and with brands
and their relationship to consumers
and investors. But can this heady mixture
be made to work?
Is science really going to unlock the big
sustainability challenges as it gets
blended into the hard realities of
business and marketing?
Are science-based targets the driver
of change?
How necessary and powerful are
academic frameworks connecting
the science behind sustainability
to business strategies?
And will consumers or investors ever
really be won over by scientific truths?
This 15th edition of Directions will
look at three dimensions contributing
to the rise of science in corporate
sustainability: science-based targets,
scientific frameworks, and stakeholder
engagement with science. We’ll hear
views for and against from academics
giving businesses the tools for science’s
adoption, and business leaders applying
these tools to their thinking and activities.
Is science going to save us all from
ourselves (and from our constant
theorising about sustainability)? Well,
take a look inside. At the very least we
think it’s hard to argue against the signs
that science is growing its influence and
looks set to transform the way we think
about corporate sustainability.
1
DIMENSION3:
STAKEHOLDER
ENGAGEMENT
36
ANDYHOWARD
DISSECTINGDATA 38
ANNIELANCASTER
THERE-
ENLIGHTENMENT
40DIMENSION2:
SCIENCE-BASED
FRAMEWORKS
16
GUIDOSCHMIDT-TRAUB
ORCHESTRATED
ACTION
18
KATERAWORTH
CANDOUGHNUTS
SAVEUS?
20
DR.JAKEREYNOLDS
REWIRING
THEECONOMY
24
PETERBAKKER
THEORYINTO
PRACTICE
28
DR.GEOFFKENDALL
BACKTO
THEFUTURE
30
CHRISTOPHERDAVIS
KATELEVINE
BEAUTYIS
ACADEMIC
34
CREATING
SOLUTIONS?
42
2
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
NIGEL SALTER
Founder & CEO
Salterbaxter
SCIENCEAND
DOUGHNUTS
–ISTHIS
SUSTAINABILITY’S
NEXTWAVE?Science was at the heart of sustainability from the start.
But now there’s a renewed interest in how it can direct
thinking and lead to better, more focused action. That’s
good, says Nigel Salter, but many challenges lie ahead.
3
And, finally, what about the social side
of sustainability?
The science has done a very good job
in certain aspects of environmental
performance – notably in understanding
climate change and the need to reduce
greenhouse gases.
Where social issues and the need to build
a more just and equitable global economy
are concerned, science has, so far, barely
scratched the surface.
THE DOUGHNUTS
This is where the doughnuts come in.
As we hear on page 20, Kate Raworth’s
Doughnut Model presents a picture of
where we must get to in the 21st century:
living safely below the planetary
boundaries but lifting people above the
inner ring of social resources to ensure
they can live in dignity and with fair access
to opportunity. The doughnut gives us a
clear picture of how and why we need to
get that balance right.
But on the final frontier, perhaps, lies
a very practical question – can science
help to sell stuff? By which I mean,
can science be used effectively to sell
the sustainability story to consumers?
Can it provide a new imperative to change
behaviours and alter purchasing patterns?
As we know from the GM foods debate,
consumers have very firm views about
issues and those views last even when
scientific arguments, seemingly full of
logic and reason, are presented to counter
them. There’s also a danger that attempts
to ‘educate’ consumers using science and
the power of logic can end up backfiring
because they can too easily seem
patronising.
This is the true test – and at present,
science isn’t winning.
So welcome to the new era of science-led
sustainability thinking!
Interesting times lie ahead. Let’s hope
the mixture of science, sustainability,
business strategy, brands and emotions
doesn’t get too explosive. If handled right,
it could be a far more creative force.
One Planet Thinking and Planetary
Boundaries have given us a very useful
way to look at environmental threats.
They map the environmental limits we
must live within if we want to preserve
an environment that can be shared safely
by the nine billion people who will live here
by the middle of the century.
Then we have the UN’s 17 Sustainable
Development Goals, with their 169
targets, which, rather remarkably, have
been agreed by 193 countries after a
huge and unprecedented stakeholder
consultation programme. They now stand
as a very practical guide for businesses
as they move forward on their individual
sustainability journeys.
AndwenowhavetheFuture-Fit
Benchmark, which really does look like a
workable framework allowing companies
to measure their performance in practical
ways and to begin the challenging but
essential task of fundamentally rethinking
their business models.
These all look like solid progress and clear
evidence that scientific insight is gaining
a necessary influence and providing
some fascinating new models and ideas
for business to work with.
BUT IT’S NOT NECESSARILY ALL GOOD
There are some risks and some possible
unintended consequences that need
to be thought about too.
As we hear in the pages that follow, in
some cases scientific targets – if adhered
to too rigidly or applied too bluntly – could
end up providing the wrong answers,
justifying a reduction in carbon-cutting
activity by some companies, for example.
Then there’s the ever-present danger that
business could merely turn science into
another PR exercise and use it to screen
a lack of real progress – a more rational
and seemingly more credible form of
greenwashing, if you like.
Similarly, as some of our writers warn,
there’s a danger of turning science-based
approaches into a self-serving industry,
another time and resource consuming
exercise that holds companies back from
acting on the things that will really make
a difference.
Science is, of course, not a new aspect
of sustainability thinking. It was where
it all started – long before the business
strategists, the management consultants
and the communications agencies got
in on the act.
But we have seen a significant refocusing
on science recently and it now seems to
be moving back to centre stage, claiming
what many would say is its rightful place
at the very heart of sustainability.
The interesting challenge will be to see if
it can really blend with business strategy,
with marketing, with branding and with
business performance and start to bring
about real change in tackling our pressing
environmental, economic and social
issues. To play a meaningful and lasting
role it is going to have to force change in
these areas and bring something useful
to an already crowded party.
The signs are that it is already making
a significant splash.
SCIENCE MAKING A SPLASH
Science-based targets have become
something of a holy grail over the past
year or so. Most businesses serious
about sustainability now see them as
a prerequisite to tackling and reporting
on their sustainability challenges –
an accepted science, you might say.
But do they work? How can they be
calculated? What are the implications of
using a real science-based approach?
And are these targets really practical or
workable enough for business to put
them to effective use?
There are, as you can see, still as many
questions as answers.
But our experience is that they are central
to the discussions in major corporations
right now, and as you’ll read in the
following pages, companies in diverse
sectors are grappling with them and
already applying some of the thinking.
That’s supported by some new and
developing science-based frameworks
for sustainability, that provide important
ways of looking at the sustainability
challenges we face.
4
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
INTHE
LABORATORYHere are some of the experts who have
contributed to this year’s publication:
Andy Howard
Andy Howard is the founder of Didas Research,
an independent research firm focused on long-term
equity investing. Andy previously led the GS SUSTAIN
research team at Goldman Sachs in London,
advised financial institutions with McKinsey,
and worked with the NGO Global Witness.
Christopher Davis
Christopher Davis is the Director of Corporate Social
Responsibility and Campaigns for The Body Shop
International. He joined the business in 2004 to work
with company founder Anita Roddick, and in 2010 was
awarded the United Nations Business Leaders Award
in recognition for his work.
David Croft
David Croft is Sustainable Development Director
for Diageo. Previously with Waitrose, Kraft Foods,
Cadbury, and the Co-operative Group, David’s
roles included leading technical, marketing and
sustainability functions in quality, safety, brand
marketing, sustainability, and sustainable agriculture.
John Kornerup Bang
John Kornerup Bang is Head of Positioning andStrategic Risk Management, Group Sustainabilityat A.P. Møller – Maersk Group. He is Lead Advisoron Climate Change for the Maersk Group.
Peter Bakker
Peter Bakker is the President and CEO of the World
Business Council for Sustainable Development.
Mr. Bakker is the recipient of the Clinton Global Citizen
Award (2009); the SAM Sustainability Leadership
Award (2010); and has been an Ambassador Against
Hunger for the UN World Food Programme since 2011.
He is also the Chairman of War Child Netherlands.
5
Kate Raworth
Kate Raworth is a Senior Associate of the Cambridge
Institute for Sustainability Leadership, focused on
exploring the economic mindset needed to address
the 21st century’s social and ecological challenges.
She is the creator of the doughnut of planetary and
social boundaries.
Matthew Swibel
Matthew Swibel is Lockheed Martin’s Director of
Corporate Sustainability, leading the sustainability
program, reporting and stakeholder engagement.
During his tenure Lockheed Martin has been named a
sector leader in environmental, social and governance
performance. Previously, Matt was an award-winning
business journalist, primarily with Forbes.
Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D
Mark W.McElroy,Ph.D.is the founder and Executive
Director at the Center for Sustainable Organizations
and the original developer of the Context-Based
Sustainability method.He is also co-founder ofThomas
& McElroy LLC,creators of the MultiCapital Scorecard,
and teaches in the MBA in Managing for Sustainability
programme at Marlboro College inVermont.
Kate Levine
Kate Levine is the Director of Commitment andCorporate Communications for The Body ShopInternational. Kate’s background is in corporatecommunications, having worked for many yearsin consultancies, most recently as a Partner atPagefield in London. Guido Schmidt-Traub
Guido Schmidt-Traub is Executive Director of the UN
Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN).
Launched by UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon,
the SDSN mobilises scientific and technical expertise
from academia, civil society, and the private sector
in support of sustainable development.
Dr. Geoff Kendall
Dr Geoff Kendall is CEO of the non-profit Future-FitFoundation, which is leading the creation of theFuture-Fit Business Benchmark.
Dr. Jake Reynolds
Dr. Jake Reynolds is Director, Sustainable Economyat the Cambridge Institute for SustainabilityLeadership. Jake leads the organisation’s effortswith business, government and finance leadersto build a sustainable economy.
6
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
In recent years we’ve seen
a surge in the number
of companies using
scientific evidence in
setting their sustainability
targets across a range
of environmental issues,
from water to energy use.
THINGS TO NOTE:
• The initial drive for science-based
targets came out of businesses
setting carbon targets in line with
requirements to keep global
temperature increases to below
2 degrees Celsius.
• The adoption of science-based carbon
targets has been accelerated by several
partnerships, including a joint initiative
by CDP, the UN Global Compact, the
World Resources Institute, and WWF
– called Science Based Targets (SBT)
– that aims to increase corporate
ambition on climate action by
changing the conversation
around decarbonisation.
The following section explores some
of the different ways leading businesses
are incorporating science into their
target setting (carbon and beyond).
It highlights the positive impacts,
as well as the limitations, of setting
science-based goals.
DIMENSION1:
SCIENCE-BASED
GOALS
7
8
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
Caroline Carson: Diageo has announced
20 new sustainability and responsibility
targets to be achieved by 2020. Can you
tell us more about the strategy?
David Croft: The strategy is around how
Diageo progresses in 2020 and beyond.
We are looking at three key areas –
alcohol in society, the communities
where we operate, and the environment.
The targets aim to act upon our most
material issues.
Our strategy has to focus on alcohol
– perhaps not usually a frontline
sustainability topic, but our approach
is very holistic. We take a ‘grain to glass’
approach: thinking through the impact
of our supply networks on their
communities.
In terms of implementation, there is a
much greater focus on impact. We’re
looking at what we do and what effect
it is having on us and on wider policy
goals – the Sustainable Development
Goals, for example.
THEISSUESWE’RETRYING
TOTACKLENEEDAHUGE
COALITIONOFTHEWILLING.
Science-based targets
have a vital role to play
in creating much better
sustainability metrics,
but they have their
limitations too. The key
is to measure the things
that really add value
and to use the right
language, argues
Diageo’s David Croft.
DAVID CROFT
Sustainable Development Director
Diageo
CAROLINE CARSON
Sustainability Consultant
Salterbaxter
AMEASURED
APPROACH
9
Business cannot operate in isolation.
The issues we’re trying to tackle need a
huge coalition of the willing. As a leading
organisation in our sector, we can help
support and strengthen that coalition.
CC: Do you think the evolution of
science-based targets has helped?
DC: Science-based activity has created
metrics that weren’t there before.
On the environmental side it works
fairly well, but some of the broader
issues we face are still hard to quantify.
We need pragmatism as well as metrics.
Without it you spend a lot of time and
resource measuring impacts that don’t
necessarily add value.
CC: Were you able to incorporate
these metrics in deciding your
strategy and targets?
DC: Being able to measure has certainly
played a role in setting targets, but it
was not the only lens. For me, it starts
with deciding the most material issues
we face. If we can’t measure everything
to the level we’d like – as with socio-
economic metrics – we try to create
frameworks to help that happen.
Science-based activity around the
environment has been very helpful,
particularly during our recent significant
growth.It helps us measure how well we are
achieving our targets in a wider context.
Although the science-based activity
is still developing, it generates
confidence that our approach is really
relevant to the risks the world faces.
Historically, not having science-based
targets meant organisations could
remain isolated – and that’s not the
strongest way forward.
CC: Are there other material issues to
which you apply a science or context
based approach other than carbon?
DC: We would certainly consider it.
The environmental data is years ahead
of the social data. I think the social side
will catch up, but it remains challenging
to get hold of the detailed data on health
or on livelihoods needed for a truly
science-based approach.
CC: Alcohol in society is one of your key
sustainability focus areas. Does science
play a role here too?
DC: Absolutely. We are committed to
delivering the Beer, Wine and Spirits
Producers’ Commitments1
. Last year
we had about 330 individual projects
to manage across a range of areas.
But the really key question is: which,
or which facets, of these programmes
are most effective?
Bizarrely, the sustainability movement
has been slow to apply impact
measurements around socio-economic
issues. Yet that’s exactly what we’d do
with any other business issue. It doesn’t
make sense but, previously, the data just
hasn’t been available.
CC: Diageo is on the advisory board
for the Science Based Targets (SBT)
Initiative. How did this come about?
DC: We’ve been involved from the
start because we wanted to put this
data-driven approach alongside the
pragmatic and materiality approaches
already there.
SBT provides suggestions and guidance.
Along with others on the advisory board,
we bring an ability to translate the ‘white
coat theory’ into practical approaches
for business.
WENEEDTOTRANSLATETHE
‘WHITECOATTHEORY’INTO
PRACTICALAPPROACHES
BUSINESSCANWORKWITH.
Because there’s a danger. If detail gets
too convoluted, it can switch an audience
off. So part of our role is thinking about
how guidance might be couched in future
to create and enable the desired impact.
CC: Do you have any advice for other
organisations looking to adopt a more
science-based approach?
DC: My start point is – let’s not create an
industry around science-based targets.
We need to be pragmatic or we’ll spend
a lot of time and resource that could
dilute the actual activity itself.
SBT is hugely valuable in helping us
focus on the right areas. It also enables
that coalition of the willing to move
consistently in a shared direction,
with the right degree of scale to tackle
these really big issues.
CC: What communication challenges
have you encountered?
DC: Well it can be a double-edged sword.
But I think the data helps you track
progress and communicate better.
Another danger is the language. It is
not always accessible and it’s important
to use language that connects with
different audiences – not everybody
is a scientist.
INMANYAREASOFSOCIETY,
THEREISAMISTRUST
OFSCIENCE.
CC: Is this something that can be
resolved through dialogue or
communications?
DC: I think it’s about dialogue, and
making certain that a broad stakeholder
group feeds into how targets are
developed and communicated.
It irritates me when a business says
‘the science tells me A+B = C’ with a
perfectly logical rationale that may
be completely devoid of any emotion.
When consumers don’t agree with that
logic, the response is often: ‘We’ll just
have to educate consumers’. That feels
terribly patronising.
There are wider contexts that motivate
people and change. If education was all
that is needed, everybody would have
been using low-energy light bulbs way
before policy required it. And that wasn’t
the case, was it?
1	 Leading producers of alcoholic beverages have made a collective commitment to reduce harmful drinking across five key areas – underage drinking, marketing
codes of practice, consumer information and responsible product innovation, drinking and driving, and enlisting retailer support in reducing harmful drinking.
(http://www.producerscommitments.org/)
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
Kristina Joss: Your sustainability
report is entitled ‘Science of Citizenship’.
How do you connect the science of
your business to the value you create
for society?
Matthew Swibel: Sustainability is
often best understood by recognising
systemic impacts. A systems view
creates opportunities to use science to
address complex challenges and gather
credible data to get to the heart of the
problem. Being a scientifically driven
business, we can take a systemic view.
MATTHEW SWIBEL
Director of Corporate Sustainability
Lockheed Martin
KRISTINA JOSS
Senior Sustainability Consultant
Salterbaxter
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
10
For Matthew Swibel, science offers a starting
point but not always a destination. Turning
data into knowledge requires judgements, too.
At their best, scientific approaches help focus
the conversation and provide the raw material
for finding effective solutions.
11
KJ: How are you using science
to enhance the sustainability
of your products/services?
MS: One example is how we are trying
to make solar energy more economical
through developing low-battery energy
storage. This will enable utilities to add
renewable energy to the mix without
disrupting the grid at high cost to
customers. Mining companies have
used our seismic sensors for several
years. Now oil and gas companies
are applying the science behind these
to make fracking safer.
KJ: Do your engineers and scientists
make the connection between
sustainability and science?
MS: I think that they are driven to
innovate with purpose and that’s often
closely linked to scientific discovery.
That’s a strong thread running through
our space programmes. Whether the
innovations are about finding life on
Mars or preventing wind farms jamming
radars, there’s a higher purpose to those
two very different challenges. I think
that’s what employees latch on to.
KJ: What are the challenges when you
talk about science and sustainability
to stakeholders?
MS: We’re trying to show the
interconnection between both
corporate and wider citizenship and,
within that, the relevance of science,
in terms of discovery and finding
solutions. Sustainability is too often
linked to the heart. Now we can say:
“let’s put our minds to work and not
get stymied by emotions”.
But when you welcome science into the
process you also have to shed long-held
biases. For example, a strictly scientific
approach to managing our carbon would
show we needn’t cut carbon again in
our business operations – and could
actually increase emissions and still be
contributing our ‘fair share’! So outcomes
need to be thought about too – and that’s
sometimes a complex conversation.
KJ: How is Lockheed Martin integrating
science into sustainability?
MS: Whether you’re talking about
advanced weather satellites or the
science behind flow batteries, there’s
a very close link between science and
our products. We also take a scientific
approach to organising ourselves,
for instance using data to analyse
where our weaknesses are in achieving
high productivity or developing work
accident risk indicators.
Most recently, we used the Centre of
Sustainable Organisations ‘context-
based’ carbon metric for our emissions
targets. However, we used the
methodology as a compass rather
than as a source for new thinking.
KJ: Does this help you set goals and
measure progress?
MS: I think it helps translate the goal
and understand the relative weight of
the target. Before, all we could say was:
“we are going to reduce absolute carbon
energy by a given percentage using a
2010 baseline”. Now we can credibly
say how close we got to the threshold.
So if business conditions mean we don’t
meet our target, we are smarter about
knowing how close we can go to the
threshold and not feel discouraged
with our performance.
KJ: How do you see the carbon
goal-setting process evolving?
MS: There’s still potential for different
carbon metrics to be harmonised.
We’d welcome that. Our voluntary
reduction targets extend to 2020,
so we will probably continue to
refer to goal-setting frameworks
in formulating our next longer-term
goals. And, as we become highly
energy efficient, we’ll want to
demonstrate we’re making long-term
progress not just year on year.
KJ: Your report says you monitor
frameworks such as science-based
targets. What other frameworks do
you rate highly?
MS: We use the World Resources
Institute (WRI)/World Business Council
for Sustainable Development (WBCSD)
Greenhouse Gas Protocol, Corporate
Accounting and Reporting Standard,
and we also consult ISO 14064-3 for
greenhouse gases. Then we use a
scientific approach to mitigate cyber
threats. Our process is now reflected
in the new National Institute for
Standards and Technology (NIST)
framework, which has been endorsed
by US Administration as the cyber
security framework that large
companies should follow for reducing
cyber risks to critical infrastructure.
KJ: Some feel science-based
frameworks are prescriptive and
stifle their sustainability approaches.
Do you agree?
MS: For someone like me who views
frameworks more as a starting than
a finishing point, the challenge is that
they could limit how firms respond to
the outcomes. Maybe there’s also a
fear that it’s a precursor to some kind
of auditable standard, which will not
necessarily drive change but just
increase costs. And maybe there’s
a worry it will remove some of the
entrepreneurialism that has propelled
sustainability efforts to date.
KJ: What would be your advice to other
businesses looking to adopt a more
scientific approach?
MS: First, make sure your objectives
are well stated – you can get quickly
derailed if you start with the wrong
objectives. Second: use science to
start the conversation, rather than
seeing it as a destination. It shouldn’t
be the only light on your radar.
SCIENCE
ETHICS
CONTEXT
12
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
THRESHOLDS AND ALLOCATIONS
To really understand that distinction
you need to start by understanding
the difference between thresholds
and allocations.
A threshold is a limit in the carrying
capacity of a resource, which can
either be an upper limit or a lower limit.
So a threshold of water in a watershed,
for example, is an upper limit that should
not be crossed. By contrast, a liveable
wage threshold is a lower limit that
should at least be met. Both thresholds
must be respected if society’s impacts
on water and wages are to be sustainable.
MARKW.McELROY,Ph.D
Founder  Executive Director
Center for Sustainable Organizations
Science-based metrics, while very useful, do not paint the
full picture of how sustainable individual organisations
are. Context-based metrics do. It’s helpful to know the
difference, as Mark W. McElroy explains.
Science-Based Goals/Metrics
These are grounded in scientific
or factual knowledge of the world’s
vital resources and how human
activities can and/or should affect
them. But they do not fully reflect
a fair and proportionate share
of the burdens to abide by them.
As the importance of sustainability
measurement and reporting grows,
it’s helpful to clarify the distinction
between so-called science and
context-based metrics.
These terms are not synonymous,
although they do overlap. More
importantly, science-based thinking
is by no means adequate for setting
goals or measuring performance in an
individual organisation’s sustainability –
necessary, perhaps, but still inadequate.
13
ETHICS-BASED METRICS
Some sustainability standards are not
science-based at all and are perhaps
better described as purely normative
or ethics-based. They express duties
or obligations organisations have to act
with like fairness, justice, integrity and
respect. Respecting racial and gender
equality come rushing to mind here.
Such purely normative thresholds,
however, are no less germane to
sustainability performance and must
be taken into account.
Context-based metrics, as indicated,
always bring allocations to the table
and are otherwise science- and/or
ethics-based. Only context-based
measures, therefore, make it possible
to set goals for, and assess performance
against, organisation-specific
sustainability standards of performance.
Neither science- nor ethics-based
measures do this on their own.
Of course, there are other metrics that
are not science-, ethics- or context-
based at all and which focus instead on,
say, the beneficial effects or good deeds
of a firm, such as levels of employment
or philanthropic contributions.
These should not be confused with
measures of sustainability performance.
Allocations, by contrast, are
fair, just and proportionate
shares of the burdens required
to abide by thresholds and
which are assigned to individual
actors, such as companies.
Once limits in the availability
of water resources in a watershed
have been determined, for
example, allocations can then
be made to individual users. In the
case of water, this will typically involve
allocations to multiple parties, the sum
of which should not exceed the available
upper limit (or threshold) of supplies.
Where liveable wages are concerned,
allocations are typically made to a single
party (i.e. to an employer relative to its
own workforce). So some thresholds are
shared while others are exclusive. Once
defined, allocations can be regarded as
goals or targets, since they tell us what
an organisation’s impacts on vital forms
of capital must be to be sustainable.
SCIENCE AND FAIRNESS
This explains why science-based
goals and metrics are by themselves
insufficient for setting targets or
assessing performance in individual
organisations. In order to be useful,
thresholds must be fairly apportioned
to individual actors.
And all of that must be done in a way that
adjusts for changes in an organisation’s
size over time or other changes that
occur and have an impact on the world.
This is systems thinking at its best and
nothing less will do.
This is what the allocation side of
context-based thinking is designed
to do. It adjusts for changes in the
facts and acknowledges differences
in accountability, even if we are,
simultaneously, still striving to abide
by science-based thresholds at the
macro level. Context-based goals and
metrics do that well; science-based
measures alone do not.
Context-Based Goals/Metrics
These are science- and morality-
based goals or metrics that fully
reflect fair and organisation-
specific allocations of the burdens
to maintain or produce vital
resources at levels required to
ensure stakeholder wellbeing.
Context-based environmental
metrics developed by the Center
for Sustainable Organizations
and the MultiCapital Scorecard
developed by Thomas  McElroy
make it possible to set goals
and measure performance in
fair and organisation-specific
ways. Companies using such
tools include Biogen Idec,
Ben  Jerry’s, New Chapter,
Agri-Mark, EMC, Autodesk,
BT and Lockheed Martin.
Ethics-Based Goals/Metrics
These are grounded in moral
or ethical rather than scientific
knowledge of vital natural resources
and how human activities can
and/or should affect them. But,
again, they do not fully reflect fair
or organisation-specific allocations
of the burdens to abide by them.
Acknowledgement:
An earlier version of this article first appeared on the Sustainable Brands website on 25 May 2015 (www.sustainablebrands.com),
and has been reprinted and updated here with permission.
14
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
To unlock growth, mitigate risks,
and raise sustainability performance
levels, companies are well advised
to be mindful of science when
developing their business strategies.
However, John Kornerup Bang is
sceptical of the value of scientific
goal setting when it’s decoupled
from your business reality.
APPLY NG
SC ENCETHEQUESTFORBUSINESSRELEVANCE
JOHN KORNERUP BANG
Head of Positioning  Risk Management
Group Sustainability, Maersk Group
SCIENCE, AND THE ROLE
OF ORGANISATIONS
Thefactthatscienceisrapidlymoving
centrestageinthecontextofsustainable
developmentisatrendthatcannotbe
ignored.Overall,itisaverygoodthing.
However,beforeapplyingsciencein
businesstargetsetting,wemustbe
mindfuloftherolecompaniescanbestplay
inthepursuitofsustainabledevelopment.
The fact is, the real challenge for
sustainable development is generally
not the lack of knowledge, nor is it the
availability of possible solutions.
Both are there and have been for a long
time. The real problems are twofold:
• the application of solutions at a scale
that is consistent with the size of the
problems; and
• the political will and space to really
accelerate these solutions.
Companies have a very important role
to play in both of these challenges.
15
TARGETSTHATARENOTBASED
ONTHATBUSINESSREALITY
RUNTHERISKOFBEING
SIMPLYEMPTYNUMBERS.
From a strategic, risk-management
perspective, the knowledge that
frameworks such as the Planetary
Boundaries model offer is useful for
companies. It is important to know where
the natural systems are approaching
boundaries because those boundaries
can hit you from a supply, as well
as from a regulatory point of view.
Also, the information from these
frameworks or models can highlight
areas in which your business can offer
solutions, enabling opportunities for
tailored, targeted innovation in your
most significant areas.
However, when such a framework is used
to drive target setting for your company,
you can become decoupled from your
business reality. When that happens,
I am sceptical about how it adds value.
LOOKING BEYOND CARBON
Currently, the science-based targets
agenda is primarily focused on
greenhouse gas emissions, and can
therefore oversimplify or narrow the
debate. Carbon reduction is definitely
a very significant factor when it comes
to shipping. But there’s no doubt that
shipping offers solutions when it
comes to the remaining Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs). It is
important to bear in mind that our
fundamental challenge is to reduce CO2
but enhance growth and development
at the same time. By just focusing
on the reductive part, you could lose
emphasis on the growth and the
development agenda.
ACCELERATING POLITICAL SOLUTIONS
It is so easy to expect politicians to come
up with solutions, but when companies
facilitate job creation from scaling
solutions to sustainable development,
and consequently generate profit and
tax revenues, it works as a foundation
politicians can use to push the
framework conditions further in the
direction of sustainable development.
So, with the right approach, businesses
can open up policy space.
Collaboration across businesses,
sectors, and regulatory bodies is
important, because achieving that scale
and profitability of solutions is hard to
do alone. The key is a close dialogue
between business and governments.
One of the merits of the SDG framework
is that it is very mindful of that.
The whole area of science has a really
strong role to play, and I welcome the
fact that it is becoming central to the
discussion again. But we need to
ensure we find the right application for
science as part of the holistic picture.
An over-focus on science-based targets
can distract from the real progress that
can be made. Target setting has to be
integrated with where we are heading
as a business and where our capabilities
are. When that is done, that is also where
businesses have the biggest contribution
to sustainable development.
THE ENGINE FOR SCALE
The engine for scale is business’s key
contribution to this space, and the
mechanism for that is profit. It’s about
maximising the positive impact of your
business within the framework of that
profit generating motor.
In order to unlock that potential, it’s
crucial that your work and your objectives
are set in the context of your business
strategy, your core competencies, and
other considerations such as your brand,
how can you communicate to markets,
your access to capital, and your appetite
for risk. In that way your sustainability
work becomes a relevant factor in your
business strategy and as the business
grows and prospers so does your positive
impact on society.
ASTHEBUSINESSGROWSAND
PROSPERSSODOESYOUR
POSITIVEIMPACTONSOCIETY.
When it comes to science-based targets
related to climate change, there is the
assumption that you have to work back
from the global carbon budget. But taking
shipping as an example; calculating back
from a global carbon budget, assuming a
share for the entire transport sector and
then for maritime shipping down to the
single company, can distract focus from
the business’s strategic context.
Additionally,theexerciseassumesthat
itispossibletopredictwheredisruptive
innovation–thatcouldshiftservice
deliverybetweensectors–willcomefrom.
Hence, an over-reliance on science-
based targets, at best, may just not be
relevant for developing your strategy.
But at worst it could actually induce you
to put cost into something that doesn’t
drive business performance at the same
time – a straightjacket that could hold
some potential back. In other words,
targets that are not based on that
business reality run the risk of being
simply empty numbers.
16
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
This section explores the development
of leading frameworks by academics and
how they are helping businesses relate
to the science behind environmental
and social issues.
As we have seen from the previous segment,
science-based goals alone won’t save the planet.
So, if taking science to the heart of business
and applying scientific solutions is the key
to sustainable business, how do we get there?
THINGS TO NOTE:
• Based on social studies and scientific
research like Limits to Growth,
these frameworks give businesses
scientifically validated vision, models
and metrics to help guide their strategy.
• And there are a number out there: from
Planetary Boundaries and One Planet
Thinking to The Doughnut model and
the Sustainable Development Goals.
17
18
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
GUIDOSCHMIDT-TRAUB
Executive Director
UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network
@gschmidttraub
ORCHESTRATED
ACTION
In September 2015 the largest ever
gathering of heads of state adopted
17 Sustainable Development Goals
(SDGs) and 169 targets that will apply
to all countries. They are the outcome
of an unprecedented global consultation
process involving governments,
civil society, and business.
There may be a lot of them and some may seem a bit
lofty, but the 17 Sustainable Development Goals and
their 169 targets are no pipe dream, and are using
science to set targets that nations and business can
use as a guiding star. They are a remarkable action
plan for business, says Guido Schmidt-Traub.
These SDGs establish quantitative
objectives through to 2030 to end
extreme poverty, generate sustainable
economic growth, ensure good health,
promote quality education, ensure
access to basic infrastructure, protect
the environment, curb human-induced
climate change, and promote gender
equality and social inclusion.
It would be easy to fault the SDGs
for being too many in number – what
company would set 169 targets?
Easy, too, to say they are, at times,
too ambitious or lofty.
But the world is complex, and it’s
remarkable that 193 governments
have agreed on a set of time-bound
objectives of this kind. The world needs
shared goals. We face major challenges
that can only be addressed through
enhanced cooperation across countries
and key players.
So, it would be a grave mistake for
companies to dismiss the Goals as a
UN pipe dream. Used correctly, they
can become a powerful tool for
companies to become more successful.
COORDINATED PROBLEM SOLVING
At the Sustainable Development
Solutions Network (SDSN) we have been
studying some of the main challenges
the goals address in great detail. While
solutions are available to address each
of these challenges, we’ve found that we
need much more coordinated problem
solving to deploy solutions at scale.
Think of the world as a large orchestra
where governments, businesses, and
civil society organisations play different
instruments. Since there is no global
conductor this orchestra lacks direction
and focus. The SDGs can become
a common song sheet. They are legally
non-binding and therefore do not
constitute rules, but as a widely
shared set of objectives they can be
communicated easily and provide
shared focus, so that our orchestra
becomes more harmonious.
19
Second, the SDGs provide a framework
for engaging governments and other
stakeholders. They also provide a
universally agreed framework for that
dialogue, helping all stakeholders
focus on the same sets of issues.
For example, several mining companies
are successfully using the MDGs as a
framework for stakeholder engagement.
Pharmaceutical companies have used
them to improve their relationship
with civil society and governments
on critical issues, such as access to
essential medicine. The SDGs are
broader and more universal, so virtually
every company will find them useful
as a basis for stakeholder engagement.
Third, the SDGs offer companies both an
accountability framework and a powerful
communication tool. As the recently
released SDG Compass – developed
by the UN Global Compact, GRI, and
WBCSD – demonstrates, the SDGs
can support business reporting and
accountability. Companies can use
them to train their staff on how their
products and services contribute
towards wider social objectives.
If successful, the SDGs will make a
major contribution towards sustainable
development.
Yet, success is far from guaranteed
and will not happen without decisive
leadership.
Business must get involved now to
overcome passivity, short-termism,
and – even – outright cynicism.
At the SDSN we are working to make
the SDGs a success, and we invite
companies to join us in that effort.
THINKOFTHEWORLDASA
LARGEORCHESTRAWHERE
GOVERNMENTS,BUSINESSES,
ANDCIVILSOCIETY
ORGANISATIONSPLAY
DIFFERENTINSTRUMENTS.
THESDGsCANBECOMEA
COMMONSONGSHEET.
For the first time in many countries these
pathways spell out how energy systems
can be redesigned using technologies
that are available today. They are now
being discussed in countries around
the world and provide a framework
for long-term business models in such
areas as energy efficiency, low-carbon
transport and renewable energy.
This is not theory. It is real business
that the Presidents of the US and China
have just committed their countries to.
Based on this work, the World Business
Council for Sustainable Development,
the International Energy Agency, and
the SDSN have launched the Low-Carbon
Technology Partnership initiative, which
explores how businesses can promote
the low-carbon technologies needed
to stay within 2°C.
These technologies provide another
long-term business opportunity.
The SDGs will support similar
discussions in many other areas and
provide fertile ground for innovative
companies to take a lead.
PROOF POSITIVE
The power of global goals has already
been demonstrated by the Millennium
Development Goals (MDGs). These
have supported an unprecedented
mobilisation of business and civil society,
particularly in the fight against child
mortality and infectious diseases.
The SDGs can serve the same role and be
useful for businesses in three main ways.
First, they provide a framework for
developing immediate and long-term
business strategies to support major
transformations needed towards
low-carbon energy, sustainable use
of water and materials, sustainable
agriculture, healthcare and education
for all, and cities that are productive,
resilient, and liveable.
Each of these transformations will require
new technologies and new business
models. Yet, the transformations are also
highly complex and require long-term
objectives with clear and predictable
policy frameworks that make sure
business has a level playing field.
Widely shared SDGs will force the same
discussions about energy policies,
healthcare strategies, the use of modern
technology in education, innovation for
low-carbon transport, water-efficient
agriculture and the circular economy,
in country after country. Countries will
explore how the goals can be achieved
over the long term and how business can
be empowered to provide the necessary
financing, the technologies, and the
service delivery.
Take the work of the Deep Decarbonization
Pathway Project promoted by SDSN and
The Institute for Sustainable Development
and International Relations (IDDRI),
for example. The project has mobilised
teams from 16 of the major greenhouse
gas-emitting countries to develop long-
term national pathways to ensure that
global temperatures do not rise beyond
the internationally agreed limit of 2°C.
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
KATE RAWORTH
Senior Associate
Cambridge Institute for
Sustainability Leadership
OLIVIA STANDISH
Researcher
Salterbaxter
CA
NDOUG
HNUTSSAVEUS?
Q
21
Our aim in the 21st century must be
to live between social and planetary
boundaries, something we are currently
failing to do. The Doughnut model is a
powerful tool for helping non-scientists
understand the science of earth systems
and of social needs. Here Kate Raworth
explains how her concept can help
companies think differently about
growth and play their part in moving
humanity into this safe and just space.
Olivia Standish: Can you give us a brief
overview of the Doughnut concept, and
what led your thinking in this direction?
Kate Raworth: Human wellbeing has
two fundamental aspects. Firstly, we all
need resources to lead a life of dignity
and opportunity – the resources to
meet our human rights to health, water,
food, energy, income and education;
to be resilient, have a voice, have jobs,
and to have these things with social
equity and gender equality.
But secondly, we must also protect
and steward the planetary life-support
systems on which we fundamentally
depend – ample fresh water, a safe
climate, a protective ozone layer,
fertile soil, and healthy oceans.
These two are both aspects of our
wellbeing – we can’t trade them off
against each other. The Doughnut
image aims to capture that in a simple,
easy-to-communicate way.
On the outside of the Doughnut is an
‘environmental ceiling’ consisting of
the planetary boundaries – nine critical
Earth systems which keep the planet
in a stable state. We need to ensure that
we don’t put so much pressure on any
one of those systems that we push the
planet out of the safe space that it has
been in for the past 10,000 years.
When I first saw the planetary
boundaries diagram I had this great
rush of adrenaline, because at last
I was seeing natural scientists drawing
boundaries around the space the
economy could occupy. It’s a hugely
important rebalancing of our economic
thinking, setting it in the much bigger
context of the life systems on which
we depend.
But you need to supplement it with
a ‘social foundation’, because just
as beyond the environmental ceiling
lies unacceptable environmental
degradation, so too, below the social
foundation is a space of unacceptable
human deprivation.
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
22
water
food
health
gender
equality
voice
social
equity
energy jobs
resilience
education
income
the
safe and just space for hum
a
nity
ENVIRONMENTAL CEILING
SOCIAL FOUNDATION
climate change
land
u
se
change
biodiversityloss
ozonedepletion
loading
phosphoruscycles
oceanacidification
chemicalpollution
freshwater
use
atmosphericaerosol
nitrogenand
INCLU
SIVE
AND SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC DEVELO
PM
ENT
And we invite them to look at their
business and ask: ‘how does our core
practice put pressure on the social and
planetary boundaries? Which ones do
we affect most and what business
risks are we creating as a result?
How can we move away from the
planetary boundaries or lift people
above the social foundation?’
Following the CISL programme several
businesses have approached me.
Sainsbury’s, for example, asked me
to work with them in using the Doughnut
to reflect on the progress they have
made to date and the progress still
needed. They also invited me to present
it to their meat, fish and poultry
suppliers, to communicate that they
were stepping up action in this area, and
thinking on a much broader scale about
the impacts of their business.
Then we ran a workshop with the
Sainsbury’s in-house team, exploring
the impacts of meat production, taking
both sides of the Doughnut into account
– land use, impacts on climate change,
water impact, nitrogen impact, the
impact it had on employees, and the
wages and incomes paid to suppliers.
OS: What is the relationship between
the Doughnut model and the Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs)?
KR: The SDGs strongly reflect many
of the dimensions of the Doughnut.
I was delighted to learn from insiders
to the process that the Doughnut
diagram was literally on the table as
the SDGs text was being negotiated.
HUMANITY’SFUNDAMENTAL
CHALLENGEISTOMOVEINTO
THESPACEBETWEENTHE
SOCIALFOUNDATIONANDTHE
ENVIRONMENTALCEILING.
Already we have transgressed the
boundaries on both sides. Many millions
of people live in appalling deprivation.
One person in three lives on less than
$2 a day, one in ten is undernourished
and one in five has no access to
electricity. And we have already
transgressed four of the nine planetary
boundaries – for climate change, land
use change, nitrogen and phosphorus
flows, and biodiversity loss.
So humanity’s fundamental challenge
in the 21st century is to move into the
space that lies between the social
foundation and the environmental
ceiling – an environmentally safe space,
and a socially just one. It would be an
extraordinary achievement if we could
be the turn-around generation that
starts moving us there.
To do that, we have to ask ourselves
what kind of economy and what kind
of businesses will help take us there.
For companies the priority is to ensure
that your business is a ‘Doughnut Brand’.
OS: Are there any Doughnut brands
out there at the moment?
KR: There is certainly a growing number
of companies that are trying to figure
out how to become one. I am senior
associate at the Cambridge Institute
for Sustainability Leadership, and
we use the Doughnut in our executive
programmes, working with major
companies from across many sectors.
It’s a starting place for looking at the
sustainability challenge they face in
the 21st century.
22
23
Of course many companies still struggle
with the eternal tension between
creating shareholder value and hitting
sustainability and social targets.
That’s why I think the ultimate act of
sustainability this century is going
to be the transformation of corporate
governance. I hope we’ll see more
companies saying: ‘if we are going to
be truly socially and environmentally
sustainable, we need to change the
way we are incorporated. If we are
forever bound by the belief that we need
to maximise shareholder return we are
never going to tackle the real priorities’.
OS: How do you see businesses leading
in this area?
KR: The 20th century was a century
of monetary metrics; it was the century
in which GDP was invented and in
which accounting and shareholder
value really moved centre stage.
I think the 21st century will see us
move beyond monetary metrics to
material or ‘biophysical’ metrics,
and those metrics are fast improving.
Fifteen years ago, if you asked
somebody what their carbon footprint
was they would have thought it
absolutely bizarre. But now everyone
understands that concept – it’s become
part of how we understand the world.
Using an environmental profit and loss
account is a good example of leadership
in attempting to make this calculation.
We will see companies looking not just
at their carbon footprint, but their
nitrogen, water and land footprints,
and then aiming not just to reduce their
footprint but to become net positive.
The cradle-to-cradle and the circular
economy movements are leading
in this area.
A good example is Desso Carpets.
On its website, it reports its biophysical
metrics right up front next to the profits
– because taking these new metrics
seriously is clearly at the heart of what
the company considers itself to be.
I hope to see a lot more companies
following that example.
OS: Coming back to Planetary
Boundaries and the Doughnut model,
how do you see them evolving?
KR: Planetary boundaries are a
very powerful tool for bringing an
understanding of Earth-systems
science to non-scientists.
It’s not perfect or set in stone,
but we urgently need this science.
Over the past five or six years we’ve
seen it used widely outside the scientific
community. It has been very powerful
for the UN, NGOs, business and across
society, enabling people to understand
and talk about the Earth system as
a fundamental part of our wellbeing.
IT’SNOTPERFECTORSETIN
STONE,BUTWEURGENTLY
NEEDTHISSCIENCE.
The 21st century part is figuring out how
to use resources efficiently and equitably
so that we can meet the human rights
of more than nine billion people.
OS: How can businesses best
communicate the link between
environmental degradation and
economic development to consumers
and other stakeholders?
KR: It’s all about the language. If we
pitch it as a tension between economic
development and environmental
degradation, it creates a false
competition – one that just feels
impossible to win.
So to me it comes back to ‘is your brand
a Doughnut brand?’ If you’re part of
that, you’re part of the 21st century
transformation that we need.
And if you’re not part of that, there’s
only one question: what’s stopping you?
But the Doughnut concept was itself
shaped by earlier discussions of those
goals: I sourced the social foundation
from the social priorities that the
world’s governments brought to the
2012 Rio+20 conference.
The SDGs are very important. I think
it is vital that the global community
gets together every now and then, and
says ‘where are we going as humanity?’
ITISVITALTHATTHEGLOBAL
COMMUNITYGETSTOGETHER
EVERYNOWANDTHEN,
ANDSAYS‘WHEREARE
WEGOINGASHUMANITY?’
They provide a powerful guide to global
social and environmental priorities.
But I don’t think businesses should
follow them slavishly. You need to have
a vision that is aligned with them,
rather than relying exclusively on
their targets and indicators.
OS: What would be your advice to
businesses thinking of using the SDGs or
other more human-focused frameworks?
KR: If you’re really going to be a Doughnut
brand you need to go beyond having a
sustainability strategy. These ideas need
to be part of the corporate mission, part
of the vision of what the company is.
I really like the work of Marjorie Kelly
and her book, Owning Our Future,
which talks about companies having a
‘living purpose’. The Doughnut is a great
starting point to help a company identify
its living purpose and to find ways to
earn a financial return in the process.
OS: Do you think that a scientific
approach is important to support that?
KR: Yes I do. Understanding how our
planet works and the life-support
systems on which we depend is
fundamental in designing businesses
that can thrive.
24
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
Incremental change is no longer enough: organisations
need to incorporate climate science and the context in
which they operate into their sustainability strategies.
Achieving sustainable development means fundamentally
rethinking our approach to managing the economy,
says Jake Reynolds of the Cambridge Institute for
Sustainability Leadership (CISL).
DR. JAKE REYNOLDS
Director, Sustainable Economy
Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership
25
Based on 25 years of working with
business leaders, we have reached
a clear conclusion and it’s this: we need
a fundamental rewiring of our economy
to tilt the operating conditions for
companies in favour of sustainable
development. That means actively
encouraging business models that
create prosperity without eroding
the natural and social capital on
which we rely.
Rewiring the Economy – our recently
launched ten-year, ten-point plan
– is aimed at laying down these new
economic foundations. The plan
pinpoints ten tasks, which – if addressed
collaboratively by governments, business
and finance institutions – would match
up economic progress with the UN’s
sustainable development goals (SDGs).
BOLD AMBITIONS
One of the ten tasks in the framework
is all about the need for businesses
to set truly bold ambitions.
The economy is clearly not set up to
deal with the significant impacts we
have seen since ‘the great acceleration’
began in the 1950s. Business-as-
usual operation is contributing to
environmental degradation rather
than offering solutions.
In the absence of public policy action,
many companies are responding
with well-intentioned sustainability
strategies. Thousands are reporting
sustainability performance or investing
in CSR. But the economy remains largely
unchanged by these initiatives – they
are too small and incremental to alter
conventional economic behaviour.
Tackling this problem head on, Rewiring
the Economy encourages the key players
– governments, business and financial
institutions – to work together to
create conditions where sustainable
business models thrive because they
are commercially successful. Such
conditions would see poor performers
lose market share and ultimately
disappear, replaced by firms that
generate social and environmental value
as a function of their core business.
REPORTING SHORTFALLS
There has been a radical improvement
in sustainability reporting over the past
decade, with more information and metrics
available than ever before. While that’s
undoubtedly a positive development,
it’s clear not all reports get to the heart
of the company’s core business.
The audience is becoming less tolerant of
such anomalies. Indeed – as both oil and
gas companies and banks have learned
– some industries are being characterised
as having no social purpose.
There are, of course, a number of
businesses leading the way in
measurement and disclosure. Kering,
owner of Puma, has its Environmental
Profit and Loss approach, and Kingfisher
and BT have ‘net positive’ and ‘net good’
strategies.
But even they face a significant challenge.
What does a company do once it has set a
goal of becoming net positive? How does
a business deal with a ‘debt to nature’ of
hundreds of millions of dollars per annum?
How to respond is a big question, full of
value judgements as well as science-
proofed targets and metrics. For example,
if a company wishes to claim it is a good
climate-change performer, it might
choose one of three very different options.
It could take the position that it
will emit less CO2
than last year –
the incremental position.
It could show that it has calculated
what its fair share of global emissions
is and will stay within budget –
the science-based approach.
Or it could demonstrate that it has a
plan for ensuring that its whole industry,
and the economy in general, is working
to ensure the planet stays within two
degrees of global warming – the science
+ system approach.
The stance taken will depend on the
extent to which the company regards
itself as a leader, the nature of its
dialogue with civil society and the risks
it sees of not tackling pressing issues.
BUSINESS-AS-USUALOPERATION
ISCONTRIBUTINGTO
ENVIRONMENTALDEGRADATION
RATHERTHANOFFERING
SOLUTIONS.
WENEEDAFUNDAMENTAL
REWIRINGOFOURECONOMYTO
TILTTHEOPERATINGCONDITIONS
FORCOMPANIESINFAVOUROF
SUSTAINABLEDEVELOPMENT.
26
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
CISL’s ten tasks for business,
finance, and government to
lay the foundations for a
sustainable economy.
27
RE-ENGINEERING BUSINESS
PRIORITIES
Business can and must play a central
role in this process of economic rewiring.
Take the work being done through the
Cambridge Natural Capital Leaders
Platform, for example. This brings
together companies who are placing a
value on their impacts and dependency
on natural capital, and who can,
therefore, make better decisions,
identify new opportunities and
contribute solutions to natural capital
loss and ecosystem degradation.
CISL’s new project, Action Linking Growth
with Nature (ALIGN), is taking this
work further by convening companies
actually investing in natural capital and
asking: can we produce private returns
alongside things of real public value such
as improved livelihoods, conservation
and resource protection?
MAKING THE CASE
We urge companies to help build the
momentum for sustainability among
the public through consistent brand
and marketing messages.
But it’s vital that these communications
are authentic and are not perceived
as greenwash. It’s precisely this
sort of approach that has allowed
Marks  Spencer’s widely publicised
Plan A to make a positive connection
with customers.
The UN’s launch of its Sustainable
Development Goals, and the COP21
climate change talks in Paris in
December provide opportunities
for companies to make the case
more strongly than ever.
Many will be showing the public, and
governments, how they are meeting
the challenge of converting the science
of sustainability into world-class
business strategies that will make
a meaningful difference.
COLLABORATION
Why are we so confident about that?
Well, there is no doubt that private sector
engagement on sustainability is growing,
including among the investors and
financial intermediaries that shape
the flow of capital into the economy.
A new class of collaboration is
foreseeable that will help meet
emissions targets quicker; one that will
extend over time to other critical issues
like global health, resource use and
ecosystem quality based on increasingly
robust science and standards.
In tandem we foresee governments
beginning to call into question the vast
sums of money spent on subsidising
fossil energy – estimated by the IEA to
be $548bn in 20141
(four times those to
renewable energy) and over $5tn p.a. by
the IMF2
(more than global government
health spending). In seeking alternatives
to this inefficient use of resources the
net effect on carbon-intensive assets
could be severe, but it will serve to
stimulate already fast-growing, low-
carbon innovation – exactly the kind
of ‘tilt’ we are seeking to, as we say,
‘rewire the economy’.
We foresee other opportunities for
‘rewiring’, not least in the area of tax
reform where burdens still fall on
‘goods’ like labour, rather than ‘bads’
like pollution and over-consumption.
Innovation policy and economic metrics
are other examples of where we see
rewiring opportunities. If we get this right
then sustainable business models will
be buoyed by a tide of economic logic
rather than against it; it will be possible
to take a science-based approach
to target setting without fear of being
undercut by competitors who have
no such intent.
In short, with those foundations in
place, business will be enabled to
get on with the task of building a
sustainable economy.
SUSTAINABLEBUSINESSMODELS
WILLBEBUOYEDBYATIDEOF
ECONOMICLOGICRATHER
THANAGAINSTIT.
THEREISNODOUBTTHAT
PRIVATESECTORENGAGEMENT
ONSUSTAINABILITY
ISGROWING.
1 http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/resources/energysubsidies/
2 https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2015/wp15105.pdf
28
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
The World Business Council for Sustainable Development has
developed a number of sustainability frameworks for businesses
which are rooted in scientific consensus. Peter Bakker details
how these science-based frameworks and scientific approaches
are challenging business as usual, and helping business to lay
the foundations for a more sustainable world.
PETER BAKKER
President and CEO
World Business Council
for Sustainable Development
29
The need for a sustainable world is
more urgent than ever. As we count
down towards the end of this critical
year, it would be easy to lose hope.
The climate has changed, land is
degraded worldwide and biodiversity
loss shows no signs of slowing.
There is still war, growing inequality,
youth unemployment and hunger.
WHATFILLSMEWITH
OPTIMISMISSEEINGHOW
BUSINESSISNOWADDRESSING
THEGLOBALSUSTAINABILITY
CHALLENGESTHAT
GOVERNMENTSCANNOT
RESOLVEALONE.
But there is also opportunity. What
fills me with optimism is seeing how
business is now addressing the
global sustainability challenges that
governments cannot resolve alone.
Forward-thinking companies know
their success depends on developing
sustainably. The WBCSD have long
championed the integration of
sustainability into core business
strategy. With real integration,
sustainability will become an integral
part of a company’s decision-making
and performance management
systems. The integration of financial,
environmental and social capital
elements into corporate governance,
valuation and reporting will incentivise
sustainable corporate behaviour.
And, by enhancing the overlap between
public and private interests, businesses
can help lay the foundations for a truly
sustainable world. Here are some of
the WBCSD’s key frameworks helping
businesses to achieve this:
PUTTING VISION 2050
INTO ACTION
In 2010 the WBCSD published Vision
2050 – a wide-reaching report on the
priorities that must be addressed by
2050 in order for nine billion people
to live well and within the boundaries
of the planet.
It was the result of an intensive 18-month
study of environmental, demographic
and development trends, and was
completed in partnership with the
Stockholm Resilience Centre, the World
Resources Institute and our member
companies. Significantly, for the first
time, insiders from global business
publicly stated that business-as-usual
was no longer an option and outlined
pathways for transformational change.
Vision 2050’s long-term perspective
needed a pragmatic roadmap and that
led to Action2020. This action plan
identified the targets that must be
achieved by 2020 to stay on track for
2050. These goals form the core of
our work programme which seeks to
accomplish a science-based societal
target by 2020 for six key areas:
• social impact
• sustainable lifestyles
• climate change
• ecosystems and landscape
management
• water
• safe and sustainable materials.
Across these areas, our members
develop and deploy business solutions
whose impact can be measured. There
are sector and value-chain projects
too, ranging from sustainable cities
to forests and biomaterial solutions.
We’re taking steps towards meeting
human needs within planetary
boundaries, but there’s much more
to do. At the WBCSD, we are pioneering
collaborative solutions to drive
sustainability deeper and further.
REDEFINING VALUE
A defining part of the WBCSD’s work
is building frameworks that help
sustainable companies become
recognised and rewarded for their
integrated performance, and showing
others how they can gain this competitive
edge. Our Redefining Value Programme
aims to achieve this vision by improving
the effectiveness of non-financial
reporting so that it progressively reflects
the true value of a company by disclosing
true profits and true costs.
Additionally, in 2016, two consortia
managed by the WBCSD and the
International Union for Conservation of
Nature will deliver the Natural Capital
Protocol, a harmonised measurement
and valuation framework for natural
capital. We are also developing a Social
Capital Protocol to measure and manage
social impact.
HELPING BUSINESSES TO REALISE
THE SDGs
We are developing the SDG Compass for
Business in partnership with the United
Nations Global Compact (UNGC) and
the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI).
The SDG Compass will help businesses
understand the methodologies and tools
available to match up their strategy with
the SDGs. We now need business to get
engaged and bring forward its positive
influence on society through innovation,
investment and labour. The SDGs
constitute the framework conditions
for successful businesses of the future.
30
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
BACKTO
THE
Almost 50 years ago we put a man on
the moon. But here are a few questions
for you about that extraordinary
achievement:
What was the first, necessary
precondition for making it happen?
Was it our ability to develop sophisticated
technologies? Was it our willingness
to embrace a seemingly impossible
vision? Was it our commitment to invest
whatever it took to get the job done?
All these factors were, of course, critical.
But the first and most important
precondition was that the destination
was clear and compelling – we knew
exactly what to aim for, and we all
wanted to go.
Su
Sustainability
01
DR. GEOFF KENDALL
CEO
Future-Fit Foundation
Sc
Bu
Fu
Science
Business
Future-Fit
02
03
04
Current ways of measuring sustainability either
exaggerate achievement or utterly fail to capture
real progress. We need a new kind of metric
that connects businesses with the scientific context
surrounding their actions, and gives them a clear
and compelling destination, says Geoff Kendall
of the Future-Fit Foundation.
31
FUTUREWE’VEHADNOCLARITYWHEN
ITCOMESTOWHATHAS
OFTENBEENCALLEDTHIS
GENERATION’SMOON-SHOT:
THETRANSITIONTOA
SUSTAINABLEECONOMY.
Unfortunately, we’ve had no such clarity
when it comes to what has often been
called this generation’s ‘moon-shot’:
the transition to a sustainable economy.
It is now widely accepted that we need
to rapidly and radically change the
way we do business if we are to avoid
the worst effects of climate change,
resource scarcity, environmental
degradation and population growth.
And we need every business to play
its part in this transition, because our
economy as a whole can only become
sustainable if every company operating
within it is sustainable too.
CURRENT LIMITATIONS
But what, exactly, does it mean for
a company to ‘be sustainable’?
And how can we measure – and thus
manage – progress toward this
destination? Until now there has been
no clear answer to either question.
You may be thinking: ‘but there are
no end of ratings, rankings and indices
that claim to measure corporate
sustainability performance –
surely they’re telling companies
what to aim for?’
The answer, in a word, is no.
Current metrics measure relative
improvements in today’s best practice.
They do not track absolute progress
toward tomorrow’s required practice.
That matters because there are two
problems with rewarding incremental
progress.
First, it can make companies look
far better than they actually are.
For example, last year the Dow Jones
Sustainability Index announced that
an oil company was 85% sustainable.
That’s not exactly going to keep the
company’s CEO and investors awake
at night, pondering how to decarbonize
their business model. Current metrics
lull decision makers into believing that
doing better than last year, or better
than ‘the next guy’, is enough.
The second problem is that by not
putting today’s actions in a future
context, we’re failing to acknowledge
those companies that are really
stepping up to do what’s necessary.
A handful of forward-thinking CEOs
have committed to deliver net positive
benefits to society, in areas as diverse
as reforestation, carbon capture, and
poverty alleviation. That’s what true
sustainability leadership looks like.
But metrics that dwell on the status
quo often don’t even register such
bold commitments, let alone capture
their full potential.
32
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
A NEW KIND OF METRIC
So we need a new kind of metric, one that
tells companies where they need to be
– based on best-available environmental,
social and systems science – and which
encourages and rewards progress
towards that point.
That, in a nutshell, is the motivation
behind the Future-Fit Business
Benchmark, a new open-source
tool grounded in a simple definition:
a Future-Fit company is one that in
no way undermines the possibility
that humans and other life will flourish
on Earth forever.1
This is far from utopian. Future-Fitness
is not about demanding that every
company tackles societal problems,
eschews growth, or renounces profit.
Rather, it is about defining the minimum
that any company must do to avoid
degrading the social fabric and natural
processes we all depend upon.
The Benchmark centres around
21 Future-Fit goals: performance
thresholds spanning the full range of
environmental and social issues that
may be affected – positive or negatively
– by a company’s operations, its supply
chain, and the products it sells.
These goals collectively define the line
in the sand that all companies should
aim for. And we’re close to completing
work on a complementary set of Future-
Fit key performance indicators (KPIs),
to help companies measure where
their biggest gaps are, and where to
prioritise accordingly.
THEFUTURE-FITBUSINESS
BENCHMARKOFFERS
COMPANIESSOMETHING
THEY’VEBEENLACKING:
ACLEARDESTINATION
TOAIMFOR.
Over the past year we’ve worked with
a range of companies – from social
enterprises to global brands – to explore
what the Future-Fit goals mean to
them. No two businesses are the same,
so it’s unsurprising that discussions
have varied wildly.
For example, one goal – all employees
are paid at least a living wage – was
quickly dismissed – not as unimportant,
but as unproblematic – by a wealth
management fund.
But it proved a major sticking point for
a company that depends upon cheap
labour in developing nations.
Another goal – Products emit no
greenhouse gases when used as
intended – was understandably a source
of concern for one car manufacturer, the
bulk of whose products are still powered
by fossil fuels. However, another car
company – Tesla – has already reached
this goal, as all of its cars are powered
by electricity.
CONVERSATIONS WORTH HAVING
In every such discussion, reactions to
Future-Fit goals tend to fall into one
of three categories. There are goals
that seem ‘easy’, because the company’s
business model has very little impact
in that area. There are goals for which
the path to success is clear – it’s just
a matter of time and money. And then
there are goals that appear impossible.
This last category is the most interesting.
When someone says that a particular
goal can’t be reached, what they
really mean is that it can’t be reached
within the confines of their current
business model.
Which of course begs the question:
how would the business model have
to change? Now that is a conversation
worth having.
Going to the moon was a choice;
transitioning to a sustainable
economy is not.
The Future-Fit Business Benchmark
offers companies something they’ve
been lacking: a clear destination to
aim for.
But to reach it will require a willingness
to explore and embrace completely
new ways of doing business. Incremental
improvement is not enough. After all,
we didn’t reach the moon by shuffling
up the nearest mountain.
Fu
Future-Fit
04
Su
Sustainability
01
Bu
Business
03
Sc
Science
02
1 This is based on John Ehrenfeld’s definition of a sustainable society, more details of which can be found
at johnehrenfeld.com
33
Step one: Identified a set of
seven Future-Fit business
principles that can be applied
at the level of an individual.
Step two: Translated
the principles into a clear
set of environmental and
social performance
thresholds or goals.
Step three: Arrived at
a set of 21 Future-Fit
goals with KPIs.
CREATING THE FUTURE-FIT BUSINESS
BENCHMARK INVOLVED THREE STEPS
•	Step one – began with identifying a
set of system conditions that describe
how a truly sustainable society must
operate. Thankfully, more than
25 years of academic research have
already been devoted to this task2
.
We translated the results of that
effort into a set of Future-Fit business
principles that can be applied at
the level of an individual company.
There are seven of these principles.
Here’s an example: A Future-Fit
business ensures no harmful
substance escapes into the
environment.
•	Step two – involved translating
the principles into a clear set of
environmental and social performance
thresholds or goals. To develop these
Future-Fit goals we cross-referenced
all of a hypothetical company’s critical
relationships – with its customers,
communities, suppliers, employees,
owners, and the environment –
against each business principle,
to identify the full range of actions
that might cause breaches to occur.
For example, by looking at the
intersection of customers with
the principle mentioned above,
we deduced that a Future-Fit
company’s products emit no harmful
substances when used as intended.
FUTURE-FIT – IN THE FIELD
Companies, sustainability
professionals and consultants
are now beginning to adopt and
use Future-Fit concepts.
The first company to commit to
becoming Future-Fit is the social
enterprise BR!GHT Products.
Its Sun Bell product is claimed
to be the world’s most elegant,
durable and multi-functional
solar lantern – and over a million
people in the developing world are
already benefiting from it. BR!GHT
embraced Future-Fitness to
ensure the positive social impact
of its products is not compromised
by any other aspect of its rapidly
growing business.
Large companies are
understandably slower to
declare ambitions that may mean
disrupting established business
models. But over the past year
we’ve heard from a dozen or
so sustainability professionals,
working for global brands in
sectors as diverse as fashion,
cosmetics and mining, who are
using the Benchmark to spark
conversations within their
organisations.
And it’s not just companies who
are paying attention. Future-Fit
concepts and goals are cropping
up in consultant offerings and
supply chain tools. For instance,
we are partnering with B Lab to
ensure the next iteration of the
methodology it uses to score
prospective B-Corps matches
up, where appropriate,
with Future-Fit criteria.
These early signs suggest that,
when it comes to setting science-
based business goals, the debate
is shifting: from what and why,
to how and when.
BUILDING A
SCIENCE-BASED BENCHMARK
•	Step three – after a round of public
consultation to challenge and refine
our work, we’ve arrived at a set of
21 Future-Fit goals. Collectively,
these goals draw the line in the
sand the business world has been
lacking. But to identify their biggest
‘performance gaps’ – and thus
prioritize what matters most –
companies also need to be able
to tell how far away they are from
reaching each goal. So we created
a concise, credible and comparable
set of KPIs that enable progress
toward each goal to be measured –
and thus managed. This work is due
for completion in December 2015.
2 You can find out more at thenaturalstep.org
34
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
The Body Shop is known for being one of the first businesses to shape
ethical consumerism, led from the heart. But as the sustainability debate
has matured, there is a need to change tack: to embrace the latest scientific
thinking and collaborate with academia to continue to drive the agenda.
Christopher Davis and Kate Levine talk to Annie Lancaster about
how scientific thinking is helping The Body Shop do just that.
CHRISTOPHER DAVIS
Director of Corporate Social
Responsibility and Campaigns
The Body Shop International
KATE LEVINE
Director of Commitment and
Corporate Communications
The Body Shop International
Annie Lancaster: As your sustainability
strategy has developed, what role has
science played in that development?
Christopher Davis: Historically, the
company has been led from its heart;
building sustainability strategy around
the philosophies of Anita [Roddick] that
business can be a real driver for change,
so I think it’s fair to say that science
hasn’t been at the centre of our strategy
in distant past. However, we are now
embracing what we see as an exciting
new development – science moving
more to the fore.
AL: What is driving this change in
approach?
CD: Being led by your heart is a
wonderful thing, but times are changing
and for us it’s time for us to look at things
a little bit differently too. The advances
in science and academia are a massive
factor. The way the academic community
has begun to work with business, even
in the past few years, has led to a
transformation in our own perspective.
Likewise, we’re witnessing scientists
having an interest in what we’re doing,
applying theory into practice. We are
seeing a big shift, and a positive shift too.
AL: You recently reviewed Natural
Capitalism and Planetary Boundaries
as potential frameworks to support
The Body Shop’s strategy. What was
it about these approaches that
appealed to you?
CD: It was the fact that they were taking a
different approach; a holistic perspective,
looking at society and the ecosystem.
Of course, the fact that these approaches
are based wholly on credible scientific
data had a really big influence on us.
35
ANNIE LANCASTER
Senior Consultant
Salterbaxter
Our challenge is taking that scientific
study and applying it to business.
That’s where the future lies: ensuring
that theory and practice can be joined.
And that’s where the scientific and
business communities have got such
a rich opportunity to collaborate
much more effectively.
AL: Do you see science playing a
bigger role in corporate sustainability
in the future?
CD: Yes, absolutely. I have no doubt
it’s going to be the thing that drives us.
We have started to embrace the work of
the Cambridge Institute for Sustainable
Leadership. We’ve been sending our team
members on courses there to connect
them to leading perspectives. It’s got us
thinking differently on a strategic level.
We’re also exploring a new partnership
with a leading academic institution
around scientific innovations and
sustainable design. It is our intention to
apply our learnings to the business on a
practical, rather than a theoretical, level.
Both are equally valuable, as we’re
getting that independent perspective
into our business, challenging our
thoughts and our norms. It’s about the
meeting of minds, isn’t it? It’s about
both parties wanting to learn from one
another: for businesses, the academic
theory. For academics, the faster,
more rapid application of thought.
IT’SUPTOALLOFUS
TOEMBRACE,INTERPRET,
ANDAPPLYTHESCIENCE
THEBESTWECAN.
AL: One of the challenges around
science-based target setting is
whether or not they stifle innovation.
Kate Levine: There’s a parallel with the
argument from years ago as to whether
corporate sustainability should be
regulation based or voluntary. A lot of
people were saying that regulation would
stifle innovation. But leaders see where
they have to go for compliance and then
look where they can innovate beyond
that. I think this is exactly the same with
science-based targets.
AL: Can science play a significant role
in helping businesses connect their
business ambitions to the bigger
challenges facing society?
CD: Yes, certainly. What’s interesting
about science is that it can be a meeting
point for business, for government, for
civil society; when fact-based knowledge
is there at the centre. It’s up to all of us
to embrace, interpret, and apply it the
best we can.
AL: Do you think consumers care about
science when it comes to sustainability?
CD: I think that one of our responsibilities
as a company is to lead our consumers;
to take decisions that have been
influenced by and have embraced the
latest scientific research. For example,
recently we have been working with
concepts like green chemistry in making
our formulations more degradable.
We are not doing it in response to specific
customer demands; often there are
actions we’ll take because they will
have a more positive effect on the
environment, but we also hope to lead
the debate.
AL: Which ties right back to the history of
The Body Shop – taking that leadership
role before it was demanded of you.
KL: We have a very close connection with
our consumers – perhaps more so than
other brands. The challenge is to use
science for leadership purposes but also
continue to connect with our customers.
This is where communication is really
important. Economists, academics and
social sciences are very important in
giving customers security in the
knowledge that our actions are endorsed
by independent third parties. But it might
also give those, who didn’t think they
were interested, that curiosity to know
more. We can lead the way, but the
key is to make sure that we take our
customers with us.
SCIENCECANTURNPEOPLE
OFFUNLESSYOUCANMAKE
ITINTERESTING.
AL: What advice would you give other
businesses that are looking to adopt
a more scientific approach?
KL: Science can turn people off unless
you can make it interesting. It’s really
important for the communications
and the sustainability teams to work
very closely together in order to
create engaging messaging. Internal
communications pieces are absolutely
vital and also must be consistent with
what we are saying externally.
CD: Go back to school. Learn from super
smart people who were studying the
environment or social sciences. Go back
and listen because this area of study is
growing and advancing at a tremendous
rate. Go back and challenge academics
to address some of the challenges that
we are facing within our business.
In our experiences academia has been
so open to us, it’s a great opportunity
for all of us to take action. If we don’t
work together the planet and society
are facing potential disaster – there is
a moral as well as a practical imperative
to take action.
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
36
The following section explores how
organisations can communicate
successfully around scientific
sustainability concepts with
different key stakeholders.
KEY QUESTIONS:
•	Whether it’s in raising investment or
in increasing sales, does science
have a role to play in bringing
stakeholders along on the journey?
•	What can organisations do to
successfully communicate the science
behind their decision-making to
consumers, and should they even try?
There may be convincing arguments for adopting a
science-based approach, and targets and frameworks
in place to help you achieve it, but how can this be
turned into compelling storytelling for either investors
or end consumers?
DIMENSION3:
STAKEHOLDER
ENGAGEMENT
37
DIS-
SECT-
ANDY HOWARD
Founder
Didas Research
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
‘Scientific’ may be too strong a word, but some
organisations are taking a more structured and
data-driven approach to their sustainability
communications with investors. Analysts are also
becoming more systematic in their use of data
to inform their investment decisions or ratings.
But the bridge between environmental and social
trends, business models, and investment analysis is
still being built, says Andy Howard of Didas Research.
Long-time environmental, social and
governance (ESG) analysts were
schooled in an era where if companies
reported any CSR information, it was
patchy and inconsistent. Content was
more an adjunct to case studies and
photographs of polar bears, icebergs and
smiling children, rather than reflecting
a company’s core business issues.
The truth is, until seven or eight years
ago, quantitative ESG analysis was
a largely theoretical exercise
predominantly untroubled by data.
That picture has changed significantly
in recent years. Corporate sustainability
reporting has ballooned in breadth and
depth. Investor demand for objective
environmental and social analysis has
grown as the commitment to integrate
it into mainstream reporting has spread.
Younger generations of analysts trained
in numerical analysis have entered the
industry and technological advances have
made extracting and using data easier.
These changes are all structural and
they will continue to increase demand
for rigorous, objective and investment-
relevant ESG analysis.
But what is the real supply and demand
picture here? Well, the numbers are
pretty impressive.
The Governance  Accountability
Institute finds that three-quarters of the
SP 500 published sustainability reports
last year, up from just one-fifth in 2011.
Globally, the number of sustainability
reports tracked by the Global Reporting
Initiative has grown eight-fold since
the launch of the UN Principles for
Responsible Investment a decade ago.
The information they contain is also
becoming more rigorous and objective.
Data is replacing stories and case
studies, with the GRI providing the
reporting standards most follow.
RISING DEMAND FOR DATA
Rising demand prompts more analysts
to use that data. Nine in ten of the top
50 global fund managers have signed
the UN Principles for Responsible
Investment, which commits them to
integrating environmental, social and
governance factors into investment
decisions, processes and stewardship.
Investors’ growing willingness to adopt
long-term investment strategies
also tends to raise the importance
of environmental and social analysis.
The decades long march towards
shorter-term investing bottomed out
in 2008. Since then, the average length
of time investors hold onto stocks has
doubled, to around 16 months currently.
ING
DATA
39
DOUBLE-EDGED SWORD
However, having more data is a double-
edged sword.
Distilling performance into formulae and
metrics may bring an objective lens to
an otherwise woolly subject and be more
scalable than relying on conversations
with silver-tongued investor relations
executives. But data-driven metrics are
only as useful as the logic on which they
are based. Data analysis is a tool and not,
in itself, an answer.
Unfortunately, there has been too little
attention paid to the logic underpinning
ESG analysis. A perception of ‘ESG
performance’ persists. It is a convenient
illusion that sidesteps the need to think
about what it means, how it should
be measured and the investment
value of the results.
While a few investors venture into the
primary data that companies report,
most rely on ESG ratings from firms like
MSCI, Sustainalytics or EIRIS to provide
bite-sized answers, which are then
used to screen stocks for investment
and engagement.
That emphasis on single-number ratings
is evident in Bloomberg’s statement that,
of all the detailed raw data it collects
and publishes through its terminals,
the single most used ESG data point
by far is its ‘ESG Disclosure’ rating
– a score which provides, at best,
a crude proxy for performance.
DATA-DRIVENMETRICS
AREONLYASUSEFULASTHE
LOGICONWHICHTHEYARE
BASED.DATAANALYSIS
ISATOOL,NOTANANSWER.
All this would matter less if there was,
at least, a consistent view of strong or
weak ESG performances. There isn’t.
Our analysis of the ratings six large
agencies give to the same 100 large
global companies shows very little
correlation between their conclusions.
There’s just no apparent agreement
between them on how to rate this
group of companies.
The challenge is reflected in academia.
We examined 20 of the most downloaded
research articles looking at the
relationship between ESG performance
and profitability or stock returns.
Unsurprisingly, most conclude that ESG
measures can enhance performance.
But, on a closer look, seemingly rigorous
conclusions are, in effect, mostly exercises
in correlating opaque ratings of unclear
provenance with stock price data.
These challenges will subside. As fund
managers’ awareness of the importance
of environmental and social change
grows, scrutiny of the analytical
process is becoming more intense.
Most investors now understand
how important it is for companies
to be able to adapt to the changing
expectations of workers, customers,
communities or other stakeholders.
So, it is likely that the discussion will
shift from ‘does ESG affect financial
performance?’ to ‘how do environmental
and social trends affect financial
performance?’ and ‘how should we
measure performance?’
HOW SHOULD WE MEASURE
PERFORMANCE?
The latter questions are a prompt
re-examination of what ESG issues are,
how business models are affected and
how best to measure performance.
The result will be a welcome broadening
of the topic and more understanding
of the relationship between social and
environmental trends, industry impacts,
business performance and profitability.
A sharper light of investor scrutiny
should drive rhetoric and irrelevance
from the discussion, with interesting,
but immaterial, topics hopefully
consuming less attention.
On the other hand, definitions of
sustainability are likely to broaden.
If supply chain ethical standards are
important, why shouldn’t information
on supplier concentration and
geographic distribution, or insight into
supply chain strategies and information
systems, demand similar scrutiny?
More sophistication in ESG analysis will
also push more of the information out of
companies’ control. For instance, today’s
technology makes it relatively easy
to examine employees’ perceptions of
companies, customers’ views of their
products or the lawsuits, and product
recalls or corruption probes they have
faced without opening a CSR report.
Frameworks like the one being developed
by Future-Fit should find a willing
audience amongst fund managers
building ESG analytical tools. Our own
research is grounded in bottom up,
evidence-based analysis of trends in
the stakeholders most important to each
sector. This informs the performance
areas we focus on and the data we use
to gauge strengths or weaknesses. Other
analysts are likely to develop similar
products using different frameworks.
The result will be a more rigorous and
investment-focused ESG analysis,
with less room for companies to hide
behind sustainability reports that sit
at a tangent to core business functions.
40
DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER
THERE-ENLIGHTENMENTTHE TIMES, THEY ARE A-CHANGING
For decades science has been seen by
many as boring and best kept behind
closed doors, but the last few years have
seen a change: science is now breaking
out of the laboratory.
We face many problems as a global
society, problems so enormous, they
seem impossible to solve: economic
stagnation, environmental degradation,
population explosion, climate change,
the list goes on. It’s no coincidence
that superhero films have seen such
resurgence of late: the world is longing
for a hero to swoop in and solve our
challenges for us.
But we are also witnessing scientific
breakthroughs at an unprecedented rate:
artificial intelligence, 3D printing, the
discovery of the ‘God Particle’, and the
possibility that the conditions for life
exist on other planets. In the absence of
The Avengers, we are increasingly aware
that we need scientists today to solve the
problems of tomorrow. Rather than fear
or deride the men in white coats, we are
starting to revere them.
•	Take the ‘Brian Cox effect’ here in the
UK. The captivating physicist, now an
A-List celebrity, is single-handedly
credited with raising the university
application rate for Physics by 52%.1
•	American astrophysicist Neil deGrasse
Tyson hosted one of the most watched
events at this year’s South by
Southwest festival, and is so popular
online he has triggered his own meme.
•	The Facebook fan-page ‘I F*cking Love
Science’, dedicated to popularising
scientific breakthroughs, has just
under 22 million fans. That’s more
than Harry Styles, Leonardo DiCaprio,
or the Rolling Stones.
Science and emotion are often believed to be
entirely separate, non-complementary entities.
Therefore a common fear expressed over the
preceding pages is that without an emotional hook,
communicating the science behind your strategies
and activities can leave audiences cold. But is this
the case? Annie Lancaster argues that, when it
comes to science, consumers are now more
receptive than ever before.
ITHINKTHATOURSOCIETY
NEEDSMOREHEROESWHOARE
SCIENTISTS,RESEARCHERS
ANDENGINEERS.
Mark Zuckerberg
Over the previous pages we have seen
how science, the long-time partner of
sustainability, is once again coming to
the forefront of sustainable leadership.
And yet, very few outside of the
sustainability community
would know that this change
is taking place.
The reason? Brands are
wary of leading their
communications with science
for fear that it will be boring,
or confusing, or both. For too
long, science has had a bit
of an image problem.
ANNIE LANCASTER
Senior Consultant
Salterbaxter
Directions 2015: The Rise of Science
Directions 2015: The Rise of Science
Directions 2015: The Rise of Science
Directions 2015: The Rise of Science
Directions 2015: The Rise of Science
Directions 2015: The Rise of Science

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Directions 2015: The Rise of Science

  • 1. How does it mix with sustainability, business strategy and consumer emotion? THERISE OFSCIENCE
  • 3. DIRECTIONS 2015 TEAM NIGEL SALTER Founder & CEO JIM PEACOCK Director, Consultancy & Communications NINA PICKUP Creative Director ANNIE LANCASTER Senior Consultant KRISTINA JOSS Senior Sustainability Consultant CAROLINE CARSON Sustainability Consultant OLIVIA STANDISH Researcher & Project Lead AMY KELLY Studio Manager RICHARD WILSON Design Director AMBER HADLEY Designer GARY McCALL Print Manager LOUISE MOYNA Production Team Lead MARK LEVER Senior Artworker Science has always been a part of sustainability solutions. Yet in recent years it’s been lurking in the background of the corporate sustainability debate, biding its time, waiting for its moment to shine. It seems as though that time has arrived. Companies from a wide range of sectors, from beauty to construction, are giving a greater prominence to science in their approaches to sustainability. It’s now being mixed with mainstream business thinking, with sustainability theory, target setting and strategy, and with brands and their relationship to consumers and investors. But can this heady mixture be made to work? Is science really going to unlock the big sustainability challenges as it gets blended into the hard realities of business and marketing? Are science-based targets the driver of change? How necessary and powerful are academic frameworks connecting the science behind sustainability to business strategies? And will consumers or investors ever really be won over by scientific truths? This 15th edition of Directions will look at three dimensions contributing to the rise of science in corporate sustainability: science-based targets, scientific frameworks, and stakeholder engagement with science. We’ll hear views for and against from academics giving businesses the tools for science’s adoption, and business leaders applying these tools to their thinking and activities. Is science going to save us all from ourselves (and from our constant theorising about sustainability)? Well, take a look inside. At the very least we think it’s hard to argue against the signs that science is growing its influence and looks set to transform the way we think about corporate sustainability. 1 DIMENSION3: STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT 36 ANDYHOWARD DISSECTINGDATA 38 ANNIELANCASTER THERE- ENLIGHTENMENT 40DIMENSION2: SCIENCE-BASED FRAMEWORKS 16 GUIDOSCHMIDT-TRAUB ORCHESTRATED ACTION 18 KATERAWORTH CANDOUGHNUTS SAVEUS? 20 DR.JAKEREYNOLDS REWIRING THEECONOMY 24 PETERBAKKER THEORYINTO PRACTICE 28 DR.GEOFFKENDALL BACKTO THEFUTURE 30 CHRISTOPHERDAVIS KATELEVINE BEAUTYIS ACADEMIC 34 CREATING SOLUTIONS? 42
  • 4. 2 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER NIGEL SALTER Founder & CEO Salterbaxter SCIENCEAND DOUGHNUTS –ISTHIS SUSTAINABILITY’S NEXTWAVE?Science was at the heart of sustainability from the start. But now there’s a renewed interest in how it can direct thinking and lead to better, more focused action. That’s good, says Nigel Salter, but many challenges lie ahead.
  • 5. 3 And, finally, what about the social side of sustainability? The science has done a very good job in certain aspects of environmental performance – notably in understanding climate change and the need to reduce greenhouse gases. Where social issues and the need to build a more just and equitable global economy are concerned, science has, so far, barely scratched the surface. THE DOUGHNUTS This is where the doughnuts come in. As we hear on page 20, Kate Raworth’s Doughnut Model presents a picture of where we must get to in the 21st century: living safely below the planetary boundaries but lifting people above the inner ring of social resources to ensure they can live in dignity and with fair access to opportunity. The doughnut gives us a clear picture of how and why we need to get that balance right. But on the final frontier, perhaps, lies a very practical question – can science help to sell stuff? By which I mean, can science be used effectively to sell the sustainability story to consumers? Can it provide a new imperative to change behaviours and alter purchasing patterns? As we know from the GM foods debate, consumers have very firm views about issues and those views last even when scientific arguments, seemingly full of logic and reason, are presented to counter them. There’s also a danger that attempts to ‘educate’ consumers using science and the power of logic can end up backfiring because they can too easily seem patronising. This is the true test – and at present, science isn’t winning. So welcome to the new era of science-led sustainability thinking! Interesting times lie ahead. Let’s hope the mixture of science, sustainability, business strategy, brands and emotions doesn’t get too explosive. If handled right, it could be a far more creative force. One Planet Thinking and Planetary Boundaries have given us a very useful way to look at environmental threats. They map the environmental limits we must live within if we want to preserve an environment that can be shared safely by the nine billion people who will live here by the middle of the century. Then we have the UN’s 17 Sustainable Development Goals, with their 169 targets, which, rather remarkably, have been agreed by 193 countries after a huge and unprecedented stakeholder consultation programme. They now stand as a very practical guide for businesses as they move forward on their individual sustainability journeys. AndwenowhavetheFuture-Fit Benchmark, which really does look like a workable framework allowing companies to measure their performance in practical ways and to begin the challenging but essential task of fundamentally rethinking their business models. These all look like solid progress and clear evidence that scientific insight is gaining a necessary influence and providing some fascinating new models and ideas for business to work with. BUT IT’S NOT NECESSARILY ALL GOOD There are some risks and some possible unintended consequences that need to be thought about too. As we hear in the pages that follow, in some cases scientific targets – if adhered to too rigidly or applied too bluntly – could end up providing the wrong answers, justifying a reduction in carbon-cutting activity by some companies, for example. Then there’s the ever-present danger that business could merely turn science into another PR exercise and use it to screen a lack of real progress – a more rational and seemingly more credible form of greenwashing, if you like. Similarly, as some of our writers warn, there’s a danger of turning science-based approaches into a self-serving industry, another time and resource consuming exercise that holds companies back from acting on the things that will really make a difference. Science is, of course, not a new aspect of sustainability thinking. It was where it all started – long before the business strategists, the management consultants and the communications agencies got in on the act. But we have seen a significant refocusing on science recently and it now seems to be moving back to centre stage, claiming what many would say is its rightful place at the very heart of sustainability. The interesting challenge will be to see if it can really blend with business strategy, with marketing, with branding and with business performance and start to bring about real change in tackling our pressing environmental, economic and social issues. To play a meaningful and lasting role it is going to have to force change in these areas and bring something useful to an already crowded party. The signs are that it is already making a significant splash. SCIENCE MAKING A SPLASH Science-based targets have become something of a holy grail over the past year or so. Most businesses serious about sustainability now see them as a prerequisite to tackling and reporting on their sustainability challenges – an accepted science, you might say. But do they work? How can they be calculated? What are the implications of using a real science-based approach? And are these targets really practical or workable enough for business to put them to effective use? There are, as you can see, still as many questions as answers. But our experience is that they are central to the discussions in major corporations right now, and as you’ll read in the following pages, companies in diverse sectors are grappling with them and already applying some of the thinking. That’s supported by some new and developing science-based frameworks for sustainability, that provide important ways of looking at the sustainability challenges we face.
  • 6. 4 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER INTHE LABORATORYHere are some of the experts who have contributed to this year’s publication: Andy Howard Andy Howard is the founder of Didas Research, an independent research firm focused on long-term equity investing. Andy previously led the GS SUSTAIN research team at Goldman Sachs in London, advised financial institutions with McKinsey, and worked with the NGO Global Witness. Christopher Davis Christopher Davis is the Director of Corporate Social Responsibility and Campaigns for The Body Shop International. He joined the business in 2004 to work with company founder Anita Roddick, and in 2010 was awarded the United Nations Business Leaders Award in recognition for his work. David Croft David Croft is Sustainable Development Director for Diageo. Previously with Waitrose, Kraft Foods, Cadbury, and the Co-operative Group, David’s roles included leading technical, marketing and sustainability functions in quality, safety, brand marketing, sustainability, and sustainable agriculture. John Kornerup Bang John Kornerup Bang is Head of Positioning andStrategic Risk Management, Group Sustainabilityat A.P. Møller – Maersk Group. He is Lead Advisoron Climate Change for the Maersk Group. Peter Bakker Peter Bakker is the President and CEO of the World Business Council for Sustainable Development. Mr. Bakker is the recipient of the Clinton Global Citizen Award (2009); the SAM Sustainability Leadership Award (2010); and has been an Ambassador Against Hunger for the UN World Food Programme since 2011. He is also the Chairman of War Child Netherlands.
  • 7. 5 Kate Raworth Kate Raworth is a Senior Associate of the Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership, focused on exploring the economic mindset needed to address the 21st century’s social and ecological challenges. She is the creator of the doughnut of planetary and social boundaries. Matthew Swibel Matthew Swibel is Lockheed Martin’s Director of Corporate Sustainability, leading the sustainability program, reporting and stakeholder engagement. During his tenure Lockheed Martin has been named a sector leader in environmental, social and governance performance. Previously, Matt was an award-winning business journalist, primarily with Forbes. Mark W. McElroy, Ph.D Mark W.McElroy,Ph.D.is the founder and Executive Director at the Center for Sustainable Organizations and the original developer of the Context-Based Sustainability method.He is also co-founder ofThomas & McElroy LLC,creators of the MultiCapital Scorecard, and teaches in the MBA in Managing for Sustainability programme at Marlboro College inVermont. Kate Levine Kate Levine is the Director of Commitment andCorporate Communications for The Body ShopInternational. Kate’s background is in corporatecommunications, having worked for many yearsin consultancies, most recently as a Partner atPagefield in London. Guido Schmidt-Traub Guido Schmidt-Traub is Executive Director of the UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN). Launched by UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, the SDSN mobilises scientific and technical expertise from academia, civil society, and the private sector in support of sustainable development. Dr. Geoff Kendall Dr Geoff Kendall is CEO of the non-profit Future-FitFoundation, which is leading the creation of theFuture-Fit Business Benchmark. Dr. Jake Reynolds Dr. Jake Reynolds is Director, Sustainable Economyat the Cambridge Institute for SustainabilityLeadership. Jake leads the organisation’s effortswith business, government and finance leadersto build a sustainable economy.
  • 8. 6 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER In recent years we’ve seen a surge in the number of companies using scientific evidence in setting their sustainability targets across a range of environmental issues, from water to energy use. THINGS TO NOTE: • The initial drive for science-based targets came out of businesses setting carbon targets in line with requirements to keep global temperature increases to below 2 degrees Celsius. • The adoption of science-based carbon targets has been accelerated by several partnerships, including a joint initiative by CDP, the UN Global Compact, the World Resources Institute, and WWF – called Science Based Targets (SBT) – that aims to increase corporate ambition on climate action by changing the conversation around decarbonisation. The following section explores some of the different ways leading businesses are incorporating science into their target setting (carbon and beyond). It highlights the positive impacts, as well as the limitations, of setting science-based goals. DIMENSION1: SCIENCE-BASED GOALS
  • 9. 7
  • 10. 8 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER Caroline Carson: Diageo has announced 20 new sustainability and responsibility targets to be achieved by 2020. Can you tell us more about the strategy? David Croft: The strategy is around how Diageo progresses in 2020 and beyond. We are looking at three key areas – alcohol in society, the communities where we operate, and the environment. The targets aim to act upon our most material issues. Our strategy has to focus on alcohol – perhaps not usually a frontline sustainability topic, but our approach is very holistic. We take a ‘grain to glass’ approach: thinking through the impact of our supply networks on their communities. In terms of implementation, there is a much greater focus on impact. We’re looking at what we do and what effect it is having on us and on wider policy goals – the Sustainable Development Goals, for example. THEISSUESWE’RETRYING TOTACKLENEEDAHUGE COALITIONOFTHEWILLING. Science-based targets have a vital role to play in creating much better sustainability metrics, but they have their limitations too. The key is to measure the things that really add value and to use the right language, argues Diageo’s David Croft. DAVID CROFT Sustainable Development Director Diageo CAROLINE CARSON Sustainability Consultant Salterbaxter AMEASURED APPROACH
  • 11. 9 Business cannot operate in isolation. The issues we’re trying to tackle need a huge coalition of the willing. As a leading organisation in our sector, we can help support and strengthen that coalition. CC: Do you think the evolution of science-based targets has helped? DC: Science-based activity has created metrics that weren’t there before. On the environmental side it works fairly well, but some of the broader issues we face are still hard to quantify. We need pragmatism as well as metrics. Without it you spend a lot of time and resource measuring impacts that don’t necessarily add value. CC: Were you able to incorporate these metrics in deciding your strategy and targets? DC: Being able to measure has certainly played a role in setting targets, but it was not the only lens. For me, it starts with deciding the most material issues we face. If we can’t measure everything to the level we’d like – as with socio- economic metrics – we try to create frameworks to help that happen. Science-based activity around the environment has been very helpful, particularly during our recent significant growth.It helps us measure how well we are achieving our targets in a wider context. Although the science-based activity is still developing, it generates confidence that our approach is really relevant to the risks the world faces. Historically, not having science-based targets meant organisations could remain isolated – and that’s not the strongest way forward. CC: Are there other material issues to which you apply a science or context based approach other than carbon? DC: We would certainly consider it. The environmental data is years ahead of the social data. I think the social side will catch up, but it remains challenging to get hold of the detailed data on health or on livelihoods needed for a truly science-based approach. CC: Alcohol in society is one of your key sustainability focus areas. Does science play a role here too? DC: Absolutely. We are committed to delivering the Beer, Wine and Spirits Producers’ Commitments1 . Last year we had about 330 individual projects to manage across a range of areas. But the really key question is: which, or which facets, of these programmes are most effective? Bizarrely, the sustainability movement has been slow to apply impact measurements around socio-economic issues. Yet that’s exactly what we’d do with any other business issue. It doesn’t make sense but, previously, the data just hasn’t been available. CC: Diageo is on the advisory board for the Science Based Targets (SBT) Initiative. How did this come about? DC: We’ve been involved from the start because we wanted to put this data-driven approach alongside the pragmatic and materiality approaches already there. SBT provides suggestions and guidance. Along with others on the advisory board, we bring an ability to translate the ‘white coat theory’ into practical approaches for business. WENEEDTOTRANSLATETHE ‘WHITECOATTHEORY’INTO PRACTICALAPPROACHES BUSINESSCANWORKWITH. Because there’s a danger. If detail gets too convoluted, it can switch an audience off. So part of our role is thinking about how guidance might be couched in future to create and enable the desired impact. CC: Do you have any advice for other organisations looking to adopt a more science-based approach? DC: My start point is – let’s not create an industry around science-based targets. We need to be pragmatic or we’ll spend a lot of time and resource that could dilute the actual activity itself. SBT is hugely valuable in helping us focus on the right areas. It also enables that coalition of the willing to move consistently in a shared direction, with the right degree of scale to tackle these really big issues. CC: What communication challenges have you encountered? DC: Well it can be a double-edged sword. But I think the data helps you track progress and communicate better. Another danger is the language. It is not always accessible and it’s important to use language that connects with different audiences – not everybody is a scientist. INMANYAREASOFSOCIETY, THEREISAMISTRUST OFSCIENCE. CC: Is this something that can be resolved through dialogue or communications? DC: I think it’s about dialogue, and making certain that a broad stakeholder group feeds into how targets are developed and communicated. It irritates me when a business says ‘the science tells me A+B = C’ with a perfectly logical rationale that may be completely devoid of any emotion. When consumers don’t agree with that logic, the response is often: ‘We’ll just have to educate consumers’. That feels terribly patronising. There are wider contexts that motivate people and change. If education was all that is needed, everybody would have been using low-energy light bulbs way before policy required it. And that wasn’t the case, was it? 1 Leading producers of alcoholic beverages have made a collective commitment to reduce harmful drinking across five key areas – underage drinking, marketing codes of practice, consumer information and responsible product innovation, drinking and driving, and enlisting retailer support in reducing harmful drinking. (http://www.producerscommitments.org/)
  • 12. DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER Kristina Joss: Your sustainability report is entitled ‘Science of Citizenship’. How do you connect the science of your business to the value you create for society? Matthew Swibel: Sustainability is often best understood by recognising systemic impacts. A systems view creates opportunities to use science to address complex challenges and gather credible data to get to the heart of the problem. Being a scientifically driven business, we can take a systemic view. MATTHEW SWIBEL Director of Corporate Sustainability Lockheed Martin KRISTINA JOSS Senior Sustainability Consultant Salterbaxter DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER 10 For Matthew Swibel, science offers a starting point but not always a destination. Turning data into knowledge requires judgements, too. At their best, scientific approaches help focus the conversation and provide the raw material for finding effective solutions.
  • 13. 11 KJ: How are you using science to enhance the sustainability of your products/services? MS: One example is how we are trying to make solar energy more economical through developing low-battery energy storage. This will enable utilities to add renewable energy to the mix without disrupting the grid at high cost to customers. Mining companies have used our seismic sensors for several years. Now oil and gas companies are applying the science behind these to make fracking safer. KJ: Do your engineers and scientists make the connection between sustainability and science? MS: I think that they are driven to innovate with purpose and that’s often closely linked to scientific discovery. That’s a strong thread running through our space programmes. Whether the innovations are about finding life on Mars or preventing wind farms jamming radars, there’s a higher purpose to those two very different challenges. I think that’s what employees latch on to. KJ: What are the challenges when you talk about science and sustainability to stakeholders? MS: We’re trying to show the interconnection between both corporate and wider citizenship and, within that, the relevance of science, in terms of discovery and finding solutions. Sustainability is too often linked to the heart. Now we can say: “let’s put our minds to work and not get stymied by emotions”. But when you welcome science into the process you also have to shed long-held biases. For example, a strictly scientific approach to managing our carbon would show we needn’t cut carbon again in our business operations – and could actually increase emissions and still be contributing our ‘fair share’! So outcomes need to be thought about too – and that’s sometimes a complex conversation. KJ: How is Lockheed Martin integrating science into sustainability? MS: Whether you’re talking about advanced weather satellites or the science behind flow batteries, there’s a very close link between science and our products. We also take a scientific approach to organising ourselves, for instance using data to analyse where our weaknesses are in achieving high productivity or developing work accident risk indicators. Most recently, we used the Centre of Sustainable Organisations ‘context- based’ carbon metric for our emissions targets. However, we used the methodology as a compass rather than as a source for new thinking. KJ: Does this help you set goals and measure progress? MS: I think it helps translate the goal and understand the relative weight of the target. Before, all we could say was: “we are going to reduce absolute carbon energy by a given percentage using a 2010 baseline”. Now we can credibly say how close we got to the threshold. So if business conditions mean we don’t meet our target, we are smarter about knowing how close we can go to the threshold and not feel discouraged with our performance. KJ: How do you see the carbon goal-setting process evolving? MS: There’s still potential for different carbon metrics to be harmonised. We’d welcome that. Our voluntary reduction targets extend to 2020, so we will probably continue to refer to goal-setting frameworks in formulating our next longer-term goals. And, as we become highly energy efficient, we’ll want to demonstrate we’re making long-term progress not just year on year. KJ: Your report says you monitor frameworks such as science-based targets. What other frameworks do you rate highly? MS: We use the World Resources Institute (WRI)/World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD) Greenhouse Gas Protocol, Corporate Accounting and Reporting Standard, and we also consult ISO 14064-3 for greenhouse gases. Then we use a scientific approach to mitigate cyber threats. Our process is now reflected in the new National Institute for Standards and Technology (NIST) framework, which has been endorsed by US Administration as the cyber security framework that large companies should follow for reducing cyber risks to critical infrastructure. KJ: Some feel science-based frameworks are prescriptive and stifle their sustainability approaches. Do you agree? MS: For someone like me who views frameworks more as a starting than a finishing point, the challenge is that they could limit how firms respond to the outcomes. Maybe there’s also a fear that it’s a precursor to some kind of auditable standard, which will not necessarily drive change but just increase costs. And maybe there’s a worry it will remove some of the entrepreneurialism that has propelled sustainability efforts to date. KJ: What would be your advice to other businesses looking to adopt a more scientific approach? MS: First, make sure your objectives are well stated – you can get quickly derailed if you start with the wrong objectives. Second: use science to start the conversation, rather than seeing it as a destination. It shouldn’t be the only light on your radar.
  • 14. SCIENCE ETHICS CONTEXT 12 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER THRESHOLDS AND ALLOCATIONS To really understand that distinction you need to start by understanding the difference between thresholds and allocations. A threshold is a limit in the carrying capacity of a resource, which can either be an upper limit or a lower limit. So a threshold of water in a watershed, for example, is an upper limit that should not be crossed. By contrast, a liveable wage threshold is a lower limit that should at least be met. Both thresholds must be respected if society’s impacts on water and wages are to be sustainable. MARKW.McELROY,Ph.D Founder Executive Director Center for Sustainable Organizations Science-based metrics, while very useful, do not paint the full picture of how sustainable individual organisations are. Context-based metrics do. It’s helpful to know the difference, as Mark W. McElroy explains. Science-Based Goals/Metrics These are grounded in scientific or factual knowledge of the world’s vital resources and how human activities can and/or should affect them. But they do not fully reflect a fair and proportionate share of the burdens to abide by them. As the importance of sustainability measurement and reporting grows, it’s helpful to clarify the distinction between so-called science and context-based metrics. These terms are not synonymous, although they do overlap. More importantly, science-based thinking is by no means adequate for setting goals or measuring performance in an individual organisation’s sustainability – necessary, perhaps, but still inadequate.
  • 15. 13 ETHICS-BASED METRICS Some sustainability standards are not science-based at all and are perhaps better described as purely normative or ethics-based. They express duties or obligations organisations have to act with like fairness, justice, integrity and respect. Respecting racial and gender equality come rushing to mind here. Such purely normative thresholds, however, are no less germane to sustainability performance and must be taken into account. Context-based metrics, as indicated, always bring allocations to the table and are otherwise science- and/or ethics-based. Only context-based measures, therefore, make it possible to set goals for, and assess performance against, organisation-specific sustainability standards of performance. Neither science- nor ethics-based measures do this on their own. Of course, there are other metrics that are not science-, ethics- or context- based at all and which focus instead on, say, the beneficial effects or good deeds of a firm, such as levels of employment or philanthropic contributions. These should not be confused with measures of sustainability performance. Allocations, by contrast, are fair, just and proportionate shares of the burdens required to abide by thresholds and which are assigned to individual actors, such as companies. Once limits in the availability of water resources in a watershed have been determined, for example, allocations can then be made to individual users. In the case of water, this will typically involve allocations to multiple parties, the sum of which should not exceed the available upper limit (or threshold) of supplies. Where liveable wages are concerned, allocations are typically made to a single party (i.e. to an employer relative to its own workforce). So some thresholds are shared while others are exclusive. Once defined, allocations can be regarded as goals or targets, since they tell us what an organisation’s impacts on vital forms of capital must be to be sustainable. SCIENCE AND FAIRNESS This explains why science-based goals and metrics are by themselves insufficient for setting targets or assessing performance in individual organisations. In order to be useful, thresholds must be fairly apportioned to individual actors. And all of that must be done in a way that adjusts for changes in an organisation’s size over time or other changes that occur and have an impact on the world. This is systems thinking at its best and nothing less will do. This is what the allocation side of context-based thinking is designed to do. It adjusts for changes in the facts and acknowledges differences in accountability, even if we are, simultaneously, still striving to abide by science-based thresholds at the macro level. Context-based goals and metrics do that well; science-based measures alone do not. Context-Based Goals/Metrics These are science- and morality- based goals or metrics that fully reflect fair and organisation- specific allocations of the burdens to maintain or produce vital resources at levels required to ensure stakeholder wellbeing. Context-based environmental metrics developed by the Center for Sustainable Organizations and the MultiCapital Scorecard developed by Thomas McElroy make it possible to set goals and measure performance in fair and organisation-specific ways. Companies using such tools include Biogen Idec, Ben Jerry’s, New Chapter, Agri-Mark, EMC, Autodesk, BT and Lockheed Martin. Ethics-Based Goals/Metrics These are grounded in moral or ethical rather than scientific knowledge of vital natural resources and how human activities can and/or should affect them. But, again, they do not fully reflect fair or organisation-specific allocations of the burdens to abide by them. Acknowledgement: An earlier version of this article first appeared on the Sustainable Brands website on 25 May 2015 (www.sustainablebrands.com), and has been reprinted and updated here with permission.
  • 16. 14 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER To unlock growth, mitigate risks, and raise sustainability performance levels, companies are well advised to be mindful of science when developing their business strategies. However, John Kornerup Bang is sceptical of the value of scientific goal setting when it’s decoupled from your business reality. APPLY NG SC ENCETHEQUESTFORBUSINESSRELEVANCE JOHN KORNERUP BANG Head of Positioning Risk Management Group Sustainability, Maersk Group SCIENCE, AND THE ROLE OF ORGANISATIONS Thefactthatscienceisrapidlymoving centrestageinthecontextofsustainable developmentisatrendthatcannotbe ignored.Overall,itisaverygoodthing. However,beforeapplyingsciencein businesstargetsetting,wemustbe mindfuloftherolecompaniescanbestplay inthepursuitofsustainabledevelopment. The fact is, the real challenge for sustainable development is generally not the lack of knowledge, nor is it the availability of possible solutions. Both are there and have been for a long time. The real problems are twofold: • the application of solutions at a scale that is consistent with the size of the problems; and • the political will and space to really accelerate these solutions. Companies have a very important role to play in both of these challenges.
  • 17. 15 TARGETSTHATARENOTBASED ONTHATBUSINESSREALITY RUNTHERISKOFBEING SIMPLYEMPTYNUMBERS. From a strategic, risk-management perspective, the knowledge that frameworks such as the Planetary Boundaries model offer is useful for companies. It is important to know where the natural systems are approaching boundaries because those boundaries can hit you from a supply, as well as from a regulatory point of view. Also, the information from these frameworks or models can highlight areas in which your business can offer solutions, enabling opportunities for tailored, targeted innovation in your most significant areas. However, when such a framework is used to drive target setting for your company, you can become decoupled from your business reality. When that happens, I am sceptical about how it adds value. LOOKING BEYOND CARBON Currently, the science-based targets agenda is primarily focused on greenhouse gas emissions, and can therefore oversimplify or narrow the debate. Carbon reduction is definitely a very significant factor when it comes to shipping. But there’s no doubt that shipping offers solutions when it comes to the remaining Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). It is important to bear in mind that our fundamental challenge is to reduce CO2 but enhance growth and development at the same time. By just focusing on the reductive part, you could lose emphasis on the growth and the development agenda. ACCELERATING POLITICAL SOLUTIONS It is so easy to expect politicians to come up with solutions, but when companies facilitate job creation from scaling solutions to sustainable development, and consequently generate profit and tax revenues, it works as a foundation politicians can use to push the framework conditions further in the direction of sustainable development. So, with the right approach, businesses can open up policy space. Collaboration across businesses, sectors, and regulatory bodies is important, because achieving that scale and profitability of solutions is hard to do alone. The key is a close dialogue between business and governments. One of the merits of the SDG framework is that it is very mindful of that. The whole area of science has a really strong role to play, and I welcome the fact that it is becoming central to the discussion again. But we need to ensure we find the right application for science as part of the holistic picture. An over-focus on science-based targets can distract from the real progress that can be made. Target setting has to be integrated with where we are heading as a business and where our capabilities are. When that is done, that is also where businesses have the biggest contribution to sustainable development. THE ENGINE FOR SCALE The engine for scale is business’s key contribution to this space, and the mechanism for that is profit. It’s about maximising the positive impact of your business within the framework of that profit generating motor. In order to unlock that potential, it’s crucial that your work and your objectives are set in the context of your business strategy, your core competencies, and other considerations such as your brand, how can you communicate to markets, your access to capital, and your appetite for risk. In that way your sustainability work becomes a relevant factor in your business strategy and as the business grows and prospers so does your positive impact on society. ASTHEBUSINESSGROWSAND PROSPERSSODOESYOUR POSITIVEIMPACTONSOCIETY. When it comes to science-based targets related to climate change, there is the assumption that you have to work back from the global carbon budget. But taking shipping as an example; calculating back from a global carbon budget, assuming a share for the entire transport sector and then for maritime shipping down to the single company, can distract focus from the business’s strategic context. Additionally,theexerciseassumesthat itispossibletopredictwheredisruptive innovation–thatcouldshiftservice deliverybetweensectors–willcomefrom. Hence, an over-reliance on science- based targets, at best, may just not be relevant for developing your strategy. But at worst it could actually induce you to put cost into something that doesn’t drive business performance at the same time – a straightjacket that could hold some potential back. In other words, targets that are not based on that business reality run the risk of being simply empty numbers.
  • 18. 16 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER This section explores the development of leading frameworks by academics and how they are helping businesses relate to the science behind environmental and social issues. As we have seen from the previous segment, science-based goals alone won’t save the planet. So, if taking science to the heart of business and applying scientific solutions is the key to sustainable business, how do we get there? THINGS TO NOTE: • Based on social studies and scientific research like Limits to Growth, these frameworks give businesses scientifically validated vision, models and metrics to help guide their strategy. • And there are a number out there: from Planetary Boundaries and One Planet Thinking to The Doughnut model and the Sustainable Development Goals.
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  • 20. 18 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER GUIDOSCHMIDT-TRAUB Executive Director UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network @gschmidttraub ORCHESTRATED ACTION In September 2015 the largest ever gathering of heads of state adopted 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and 169 targets that will apply to all countries. They are the outcome of an unprecedented global consultation process involving governments, civil society, and business. There may be a lot of them and some may seem a bit lofty, but the 17 Sustainable Development Goals and their 169 targets are no pipe dream, and are using science to set targets that nations and business can use as a guiding star. They are a remarkable action plan for business, says Guido Schmidt-Traub. These SDGs establish quantitative objectives through to 2030 to end extreme poverty, generate sustainable economic growth, ensure good health, promote quality education, ensure access to basic infrastructure, protect the environment, curb human-induced climate change, and promote gender equality and social inclusion. It would be easy to fault the SDGs for being too many in number – what company would set 169 targets? Easy, too, to say they are, at times, too ambitious or lofty. But the world is complex, and it’s remarkable that 193 governments have agreed on a set of time-bound objectives of this kind. The world needs shared goals. We face major challenges that can only be addressed through enhanced cooperation across countries and key players. So, it would be a grave mistake for companies to dismiss the Goals as a UN pipe dream. Used correctly, they can become a powerful tool for companies to become more successful. COORDINATED PROBLEM SOLVING At the Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN) we have been studying some of the main challenges the goals address in great detail. While solutions are available to address each of these challenges, we’ve found that we need much more coordinated problem solving to deploy solutions at scale. Think of the world as a large orchestra where governments, businesses, and civil society organisations play different instruments. Since there is no global conductor this orchestra lacks direction and focus. The SDGs can become a common song sheet. They are legally non-binding and therefore do not constitute rules, but as a widely shared set of objectives they can be communicated easily and provide shared focus, so that our orchestra becomes more harmonious.
  • 21. 19 Second, the SDGs provide a framework for engaging governments and other stakeholders. They also provide a universally agreed framework for that dialogue, helping all stakeholders focus on the same sets of issues. For example, several mining companies are successfully using the MDGs as a framework for stakeholder engagement. Pharmaceutical companies have used them to improve their relationship with civil society and governments on critical issues, such as access to essential medicine. The SDGs are broader and more universal, so virtually every company will find them useful as a basis for stakeholder engagement. Third, the SDGs offer companies both an accountability framework and a powerful communication tool. As the recently released SDG Compass – developed by the UN Global Compact, GRI, and WBCSD – demonstrates, the SDGs can support business reporting and accountability. Companies can use them to train their staff on how their products and services contribute towards wider social objectives. If successful, the SDGs will make a major contribution towards sustainable development. Yet, success is far from guaranteed and will not happen without decisive leadership. Business must get involved now to overcome passivity, short-termism, and – even – outright cynicism. At the SDSN we are working to make the SDGs a success, and we invite companies to join us in that effort. THINKOFTHEWORLDASA LARGEORCHESTRAWHERE GOVERNMENTS,BUSINESSES, ANDCIVILSOCIETY ORGANISATIONSPLAY DIFFERENTINSTRUMENTS. THESDGsCANBECOMEA COMMONSONGSHEET. For the first time in many countries these pathways spell out how energy systems can be redesigned using technologies that are available today. They are now being discussed in countries around the world and provide a framework for long-term business models in such areas as energy efficiency, low-carbon transport and renewable energy. This is not theory. It is real business that the Presidents of the US and China have just committed their countries to. Based on this work, the World Business Council for Sustainable Development, the International Energy Agency, and the SDSN have launched the Low-Carbon Technology Partnership initiative, which explores how businesses can promote the low-carbon technologies needed to stay within 2°C. These technologies provide another long-term business opportunity. The SDGs will support similar discussions in many other areas and provide fertile ground for innovative companies to take a lead. PROOF POSITIVE The power of global goals has already been demonstrated by the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). These have supported an unprecedented mobilisation of business and civil society, particularly in the fight against child mortality and infectious diseases. The SDGs can serve the same role and be useful for businesses in three main ways. First, they provide a framework for developing immediate and long-term business strategies to support major transformations needed towards low-carbon energy, sustainable use of water and materials, sustainable agriculture, healthcare and education for all, and cities that are productive, resilient, and liveable. Each of these transformations will require new technologies and new business models. Yet, the transformations are also highly complex and require long-term objectives with clear and predictable policy frameworks that make sure business has a level playing field. Widely shared SDGs will force the same discussions about energy policies, healthcare strategies, the use of modern technology in education, innovation for low-carbon transport, water-efficient agriculture and the circular economy, in country after country. Countries will explore how the goals can be achieved over the long term and how business can be empowered to provide the necessary financing, the technologies, and the service delivery. Take the work of the Deep Decarbonization Pathway Project promoted by SDSN and The Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI), for example. The project has mobilised teams from 16 of the major greenhouse gas-emitting countries to develop long- term national pathways to ensure that global temperatures do not rise beyond the internationally agreed limit of 2°C.
  • 22. DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER KATE RAWORTH Senior Associate Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership OLIVIA STANDISH Researcher Salterbaxter CA NDOUG HNUTSSAVEUS?
  • 23. Q 21 Our aim in the 21st century must be to live between social and planetary boundaries, something we are currently failing to do. The Doughnut model is a powerful tool for helping non-scientists understand the science of earth systems and of social needs. Here Kate Raworth explains how her concept can help companies think differently about growth and play their part in moving humanity into this safe and just space. Olivia Standish: Can you give us a brief overview of the Doughnut concept, and what led your thinking in this direction? Kate Raworth: Human wellbeing has two fundamental aspects. Firstly, we all need resources to lead a life of dignity and opportunity – the resources to meet our human rights to health, water, food, energy, income and education; to be resilient, have a voice, have jobs, and to have these things with social equity and gender equality. But secondly, we must also protect and steward the planetary life-support systems on which we fundamentally depend – ample fresh water, a safe climate, a protective ozone layer, fertile soil, and healthy oceans. These two are both aspects of our wellbeing – we can’t trade them off against each other. The Doughnut image aims to capture that in a simple, easy-to-communicate way. On the outside of the Doughnut is an ‘environmental ceiling’ consisting of the planetary boundaries – nine critical Earth systems which keep the planet in a stable state. We need to ensure that we don’t put so much pressure on any one of those systems that we push the planet out of the safe space that it has been in for the past 10,000 years. When I first saw the planetary boundaries diagram I had this great rush of adrenaline, because at last I was seeing natural scientists drawing boundaries around the space the economy could occupy. It’s a hugely important rebalancing of our economic thinking, setting it in the much bigger context of the life systems on which we depend. But you need to supplement it with a ‘social foundation’, because just as beyond the environmental ceiling lies unacceptable environmental degradation, so too, below the social foundation is a space of unacceptable human deprivation.
  • 24. DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER 22 water food health gender equality voice social equity energy jobs resilience education income the safe and just space for hum a nity ENVIRONMENTAL CEILING SOCIAL FOUNDATION climate change land u se change biodiversityloss ozonedepletion loading phosphoruscycles oceanacidification chemicalpollution freshwater use atmosphericaerosol nitrogenand INCLU SIVE AND SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC DEVELO PM ENT And we invite them to look at their business and ask: ‘how does our core practice put pressure on the social and planetary boundaries? Which ones do we affect most and what business risks are we creating as a result? How can we move away from the planetary boundaries or lift people above the social foundation?’ Following the CISL programme several businesses have approached me. Sainsbury’s, for example, asked me to work with them in using the Doughnut to reflect on the progress they have made to date and the progress still needed. They also invited me to present it to their meat, fish and poultry suppliers, to communicate that they were stepping up action in this area, and thinking on a much broader scale about the impacts of their business. Then we ran a workshop with the Sainsbury’s in-house team, exploring the impacts of meat production, taking both sides of the Doughnut into account – land use, impacts on climate change, water impact, nitrogen impact, the impact it had on employees, and the wages and incomes paid to suppliers. OS: What is the relationship between the Doughnut model and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)? KR: The SDGs strongly reflect many of the dimensions of the Doughnut. I was delighted to learn from insiders to the process that the Doughnut diagram was literally on the table as the SDGs text was being negotiated. HUMANITY’SFUNDAMENTAL CHALLENGEISTOMOVEINTO THESPACEBETWEENTHE SOCIALFOUNDATIONANDTHE ENVIRONMENTALCEILING. Already we have transgressed the boundaries on both sides. Many millions of people live in appalling deprivation. One person in three lives on less than $2 a day, one in ten is undernourished and one in five has no access to electricity. And we have already transgressed four of the nine planetary boundaries – for climate change, land use change, nitrogen and phosphorus flows, and biodiversity loss. So humanity’s fundamental challenge in the 21st century is to move into the space that lies between the social foundation and the environmental ceiling – an environmentally safe space, and a socially just one. It would be an extraordinary achievement if we could be the turn-around generation that starts moving us there. To do that, we have to ask ourselves what kind of economy and what kind of businesses will help take us there. For companies the priority is to ensure that your business is a ‘Doughnut Brand’. OS: Are there any Doughnut brands out there at the moment? KR: There is certainly a growing number of companies that are trying to figure out how to become one. I am senior associate at the Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership, and we use the Doughnut in our executive programmes, working with major companies from across many sectors. It’s a starting place for looking at the sustainability challenge they face in the 21st century. 22
  • 25. 23 Of course many companies still struggle with the eternal tension between creating shareholder value and hitting sustainability and social targets. That’s why I think the ultimate act of sustainability this century is going to be the transformation of corporate governance. I hope we’ll see more companies saying: ‘if we are going to be truly socially and environmentally sustainable, we need to change the way we are incorporated. If we are forever bound by the belief that we need to maximise shareholder return we are never going to tackle the real priorities’. OS: How do you see businesses leading in this area? KR: The 20th century was a century of monetary metrics; it was the century in which GDP was invented and in which accounting and shareholder value really moved centre stage. I think the 21st century will see us move beyond monetary metrics to material or ‘biophysical’ metrics, and those metrics are fast improving. Fifteen years ago, if you asked somebody what their carbon footprint was they would have thought it absolutely bizarre. But now everyone understands that concept – it’s become part of how we understand the world. Using an environmental profit and loss account is a good example of leadership in attempting to make this calculation. We will see companies looking not just at their carbon footprint, but their nitrogen, water and land footprints, and then aiming not just to reduce their footprint but to become net positive. The cradle-to-cradle and the circular economy movements are leading in this area. A good example is Desso Carpets. On its website, it reports its biophysical metrics right up front next to the profits – because taking these new metrics seriously is clearly at the heart of what the company considers itself to be. I hope to see a lot more companies following that example. OS: Coming back to Planetary Boundaries and the Doughnut model, how do you see them evolving? KR: Planetary boundaries are a very powerful tool for bringing an understanding of Earth-systems science to non-scientists. It’s not perfect or set in stone, but we urgently need this science. Over the past five or six years we’ve seen it used widely outside the scientific community. It has been very powerful for the UN, NGOs, business and across society, enabling people to understand and talk about the Earth system as a fundamental part of our wellbeing. IT’SNOTPERFECTORSETIN STONE,BUTWEURGENTLY NEEDTHISSCIENCE. The 21st century part is figuring out how to use resources efficiently and equitably so that we can meet the human rights of more than nine billion people. OS: How can businesses best communicate the link between environmental degradation and economic development to consumers and other stakeholders? KR: It’s all about the language. If we pitch it as a tension between economic development and environmental degradation, it creates a false competition – one that just feels impossible to win. So to me it comes back to ‘is your brand a Doughnut brand?’ If you’re part of that, you’re part of the 21st century transformation that we need. And if you’re not part of that, there’s only one question: what’s stopping you? But the Doughnut concept was itself shaped by earlier discussions of those goals: I sourced the social foundation from the social priorities that the world’s governments brought to the 2012 Rio+20 conference. The SDGs are very important. I think it is vital that the global community gets together every now and then, and says ‘where are we going as humanity?’ ITISVITALTHATTHEGLOBAL COMMUNITYGETSTOGETHER EVERYNOWANDTHEN, ANDSAYS‘WHEREARE WEGOINGASHUMANITY?’ They provide a powerful guide to global social and environmental priorities. But I don’t think businesses should follow them slavishly. You need to have a vision that is aligned with them, rather than relying exclusively on their targets and indicators. OS: What would be your advice to businesses thinking of using the SDGs or other more human-focused frameworks? KR: If you’re really going to be a Doughnut brand you need to go beyond having a sustainability strategy. These ideas need to be part of the corporate mission, part of the vision of what the company is. I really like the work of Marjorie Kelly and her book, Owning Our Future, which talks about companies having a ‘living purpose’. The Doughnut is a great starting point to help a company identify its living purpose and to find ways to earn a financial return in the process. OS: Do you think that a scientific approach is important to support that? KR: Yes I do. Understanding how our planet works and the life-support systems on which we depend is fundamental in designing businesses that can thrive.
  • 26. 24 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER Incremental change is no longer enough: organisations need to incorporate climate science and the context in which they operate into their sustainability strategies. Achieving sustainable development means fundamentally rethinking our approach to managing the economy, says Jake Reynolds of the Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership (CISL). DR. JAKE REYNOLDS Director, Sustainable Economy Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership
  • 27. 25 Based on 25 years of working with business leaders, we have reached a clear conclusion and it’s this: we need a fundamental rewiring of our economy to tilt the operating conditions for companies in favour of sustainable development. That means actively encouraging business models that create prosperity without eroding the natural and social capital on which we rely. Rewiring the Economy – our recently launched ten-year, ten-point plan – is aimed at laying down these new economic foundations. The plan pinpoints ten tasks, which – if addressed collaboratively by governments, business and finance institutions – would match up economic progress with the UN’s sustainable development goals (SDGs). BOLD AMBITIONS One of the ten tasks in the framework is all about the need for businesses to set truly bold ambitions. The economy is clearly not set up to deal with the significant impacts we have seen since ‘the great acceleration’ began in the 1950s. Business-as- usual operation is contributing to environmental degradation rather than offering solutions. In the absence of public policy action, many companies are responding with well-intentioned sustainability strategies. Thousands are reporting sustainability performance or investing in CSR. But the economy remains largely unchanged by these initiatives – they are too small and incremental to alter conventional economic behaviour. Tackling this problem head on, Rewiring the Economy encourages the key players – governments, business and financial institutions – to work together to create conditions where sustainable business models thrive because they are commercially successful. Such conditions would see poor performers lose market share and ultimately disappear, replaced by firms that generate social and environmental value as a function of their core business. REPORTING SHORTFALLS There has been a radical improvement in sustainability reporting over the past decade, with more information and metrics available than ever before. While that’s undoubtedly a positive development, it’s clear not all reports get to the heart of the company’s core business. The audience is becoming less tolerant of such anomalies. Indeed – as both oil and gas companies and banks have learned – some industries are being characterised as having no social purpose. There are, of course, a number of businesses leading the way in measurement and disclosure. Kering, owner of Puma, has its Environmental Profit and Loss approach, and Kingfisher and BT have ‘net positive’ and ‘net good’ strategies. But even they face a significant challenge. What does a company do once it has set a goal of becoming net positive? How does a business deal with a ‘debt to nature’ of hundreds of millions of dollars per annum? How to respond is a big question, full of value judgements as well as science- proofed targets and metrics. For example, if a company wishes to claim it is a good climate-change performer, it might choose one of three very different options. It could take the position that it will emit less CO2 than last year – the incremental position. It could show that it has calculated what its fair share of global emissions is and will stay within budget – the science-based approach. Or it could demonstrate that it has a plan for ensuring that its whole industry, and the economy in general, is working to ensure the planet stays within two degrees of global warming – the science + system approach. The stance taken will depend on the extent to which the company regards itself as a leader, the nature of its dialogue with civil society and the risks it sees of not tackling pressing issues. BUSINESS-AS-USUALOPERATION ISCONTRIBUTINGTO ENVIRONMENTALDEGRADATION RATHERTHANOFFERING SOLUTIONS. WENEEDAFUNDAMENTAL REWIRINGOFOURECONOMYTO TILTTHEOPERATINGCONDITIONS FORCOMPANIESINFAVOUROF SUSTAINABLEDEVELOPMENT.
  • 28. 26 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER CISL’s ten tasks for business, finance, and government to lay the foundations for a sustainable economy.
  • 29. 27 RE-ENGINEERING BUSINESS PRIORITIES Business can and must play a central role in this process of economic rewiring. Take the work being done through the Cambridge Natural Capital Leaders Platform, for example. This brings together companies who are placing a value on their impacts and dependency on natural capital, and who can, therefore, make better decisions, identify new opportunities and contribute solutions to natural capital loss and ecosystem degradation. CISL’s new project, Action Linking Growth with Nature (ALIGN), is taking this work further by convening companies actually investing in natural capital and asking: can we produce private returns alongside things of real public value such as improved livelihoods, conservation and resource protection? MAKING THE CASE We urge companies to help build the momentum for sustainability among the public through consistent brand and marketing messages. But it’s vital that these communications are authentic and are not perceived as greenwash. It’s precisely this sort of approach that has allowed Marks Spencer’s widely publicised Plan A to make a positive connection with customers. The UN’s launch of its Sustainable Development Goals, and the COP21 climate change talks in Paris in December provide opportunities for companies to make the case more strongly than ever. Many will be showing the public, and governments, how they are meeting the challenge of converting the science of sustainability into world-class business strategies that will make a meaningful difference. COLLABORATION Why are we so confident about that? Well, there is no doubt that private sector engagement on sustainability is growing, including among the investors and financial intermediaries that shape the flow of capital into the economy. A new class of collaboration is foreseeable that will help meet emissions targets quicker; one that will extend over time to other critical issues like global health, resource use and ecosystem quality based on increasingly robust science and standards. In tandem we foresee governments beginning to call into question the vast sums of money spent on subsidising fossil energy – estimated by the IEA to be $548bn in 20141 (four times those to renewable energy) and over $5tn p.a. by the IMF2 (more than global government health spending). In seeking alternatives to this inefficient use of resources the net effect on carbon-intensive assets could be severe, but it will serve to stimulate already fast-growing, low- carbon innovation – exactly the kind of ‘tilt’ we are seeking to, as we say, ‘rewire the economy’. We foresee other opportunities for ‘rewiring’, not least in the area of tax reform where burdens still fall on ‘goods’ like labour, rather than ‘bads’ like pollution and over-consumption. Innovation policy and economic metrics are other examples of where we see rewiring opportunities. If we get this right then sustainable business models will be buoyed by a tide of economic logic rather than against it; it will be possible to take a science-based approach to target setting without fear of being undercut by competitors who have no such intent. In short, with those foundations in place, business will be enabled to get on with the task of building a sustainable economy. SUSTAINABLEBUSINESSMODELS WILLBEBUOYEDBYATIDEOF ECONOMICLOGICRATHER THANAGAINSTIT. THEREISNODOUBTTHAT PRIVATESECTORENGAGEMENT ONSUSTAINABILITY ISGROWING. 1 http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/resources/energysubsidies/ 2 https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2015/wp15105.pdf
  • 30. 28 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER The World Business Council for Sustainable Development has developed a number of sustainability frameworks for businesses which are rooted in scientific consensus. Peter Bakker details how these science-based frameworks and scientific approaches are challenging business as usual, and helping business to lay the foundations for a more sustainable world. PETER BAKKER President and CEO World Business Council for Sustainable Development
  • 31. 29 The need for a sustainable world is more urgent than ever. As we count down towards the end of this critical year, it would be easy to lose hope. The climate has changed, land is degraded worldwide and biodiversity loss shows no signs of slowing. There is still war, growing inequality, youth unemployment and hunger. WHATFILLSMEWITH OPTIMISMISSEEINGHOW BUSINESSISNOWADDRESSING THEGLOBALSUSTAINABILITY CHALLENGESTHAT GOVERNMENTSCANNOT RESOLVEALONE. But there is also opportunity. What fills me with optimism is seeing how business is now addressing the global sustainability challenges that governments cannot resolve alone. Forward-thinking companies know their success depends on developing sustainably. The WBCSD have long championed the integration of sustainability into core business strategy. With real integration, sustainability will become an integral part of a company’s decision-making and performance management systems. The integration of financial, environmental and social capital elements into corporate governance, valuation and reporting will incentivise sustainable corporate behaviour. And, by enhancing the overlap between public and private interests, businesses can help lay the foundations for a truly sustainable world. Here are some of the WBCSD’s key frameworks helping businesses to achieve this: PUTTING VISION 2050 INTO ACTION In 2010 the WBCSD published Vision 2050 – a wide-reaching report on the priorities that must be addressed by 2050 in order for nine billion people to live well and within the boundaries of the planet. It was the result of an intensive 18-month study of environmental, demographic and development trends, and was completed in partnership with the Stockholm Resilience Centre, the World Resources Institute and our member companies. Significantly, for the first time, insiders from global business publicly stated that business-as-usual was no longer an option and outlined pathways for transformational change. Vision 2050’s long-term perspective needed a pragmatic roadmap and that led to Action2020. This action plan identified the targets that must be achieved by 2020 to stay on track for 2050. These goals form the core of our work programme which seeks to accomplish a science-based societal target by 2020 for six key areas: • social impact • sustainable lifestyles • climate change • ecosystems and landscape management • water • safe and sustainable materials. Across these areas, our members develop and deploy business solutions whose impact can be measured. There are sector and value-chain projects too, ranging from sustainable cities to forests and biomaterial solutions. We’re taking steps towards meeting human needs within planetary boundaries, but there’s much more to do. At the WBCSD, we are pioneering collaborative solutions to drive sustainability deeper and further. REDEFINING VALUE A defining part of the WBCSD’s work is building frameworks that help sustainable companies become recognised and rewarded for their integrated performance, and showing others how they can gain this competitive edge. Our Redefining Value Programme aims to achieve this vision by improving the effectiveness of non-financial reporting so that it progressively reflects the true value of a company by disclosing true profits and true costs. Additionally, in 2016, two consortia managed by the WBCSD and the International Union for Conservation of Nature will deliver the Natural Capital Protocol, a harmonised measurement and valuation framework for natural capital. We are also developing a Social Capital Protocol to measure and manage social impact. HELPING BUSINESSES TO REALISE THE SDGs We are developing the SDG Compass for Business in partnership with the United Nations Global Compact (UNGC) and the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI). The SDG Compass will help businesses understand the methodologies and tools available to match up their strategy with the SDGs. We now need business to get engaged and bring forward its positive influence on society through innovation, investment and labour. The SDGs constitute the framework conditions for successful businesses of the future.
  • 32. 30 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER BACKTO THE Almost 50 years ago we put a man on the moon. But here are a few questions for you about that extraordinary achievement: What was the first, necessary precondition for making it happen? Was it our ability to develop sophisticated technologies? Was it our willingness to embrace a seemingly impossible vision? Was it our commitment to invest whatever it took to get the job done? All these factors were, of course, critical. But the first and most important precondition was that the destination was clear and compelling – we knew exactly what to aim for, and we all wanted to go. Su Sustainability 01 DR. GEOFF KENDALL CEO Future-Fit Foundation Sc Bu Fu Science Business Future-Fit 02 03 04 Current ways of measuring sustainability either exaggerate achievement or utterly fail to capture real progress. We need a new kind of metric that connects businesses with the scientific context surrounding their actions, and gives them a clear and compelling destination, says Geoff Kendall of the Future-Fit Foundation.
  • 33. 31 FUTUREWE’VEHADNOCLARITYWHEN ITCOMESTOWHATHAS OFTENBEENCALLEDTHIS GENERATION’SMOON-SHOT: THETRANSITIONTOA SUSTAINABLEECONOMY. Unfortunately, we’ve had no such clarity when it comes to what has often been called this generation’s ‘moon-shot’: the transition to a sustainable economy. It is now widely accepted that we need to rapidly and radically change the way we do business if we are to avoid the worst effects of climate change, resource scarcity, environmental degradation and population growth. And we need every business to play its part in this transition, because our economy as a whole can only become sustainable if every company operating within it is sustainable too. CURRENT LIMITATIONS But what, exactly, does it mean for a company to ‘be sustainable’? And how can we measure – and thus manage – progress toward this destination? Until now there has been no clear answer to either question. You may be thinking: ‘but there are no end of ratings, rankings and indices that claim to measure corporate sustainability performance – surely they’re telling companies what to aim for?’ The answer, in a word, is no. Current metrics measure relative improvements in today’s best practice. They do not track absolute progress toward tomorrow’s required practice. That matters because there are two problems with rewarding incremental progress. First, it can make companies look far better than they actually are. For example, last year the Dow Jones Sustainability Index announced that an oil company was 85% sustainable. That’s not exactly going to keep the company’s CEO and investors awake at night, pondering how to decarbonize their business model. Current metrics lull decision makers into believing that doing better than last year, or better than ‘the next guy’, is enough. The second problem is that by not putting today’s actions in a future context, we’re failing to acknowledge those companies that are really stepping up to do what’s necessary. A handful of forward-thinking CEOs have committed to deliver net positive benefits to society, in areas as diverse as reforestation, carbon capture, and poverty alleviation. That’s what true sustainability leadership looks like. But metrics that dwell on the status quo often don’t even register such bold commitments, let alone capture their full potential.
  • 34. 32 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER A NEW KIND OF METRIC So we need a new kind of metric, one that tells companies where they need to be – based on best-available environmental, social and systems science – and which encourages and rewards progress towards that point. That, in a nutshell, is the motivation behind the Future-Fit Business Benchmark, a new open-source tool grounded in a simple definition: a Future-Fit company is one that in no way undermines the possibility that humans and other life will flourish on Earth forever.1 This is far from utopian. Future-Fitness is not about demanding that every company tackles societal problems, eschews growth, or renounces profit. Rather, it is about defining the minimum that any company must do to avoid degrading the social fabric and natural processes we all depend upon. The Benchmark centres around 21 Future-Fit goals: performance thresholds spanning the full range of environmental and social issues that may be affected – positive or negatively – by a company’s operations, its supply chain, and the products it sells. These goals collectively define the line in the sand that all companies should aim for. And we’re close to completing work on a complementary set of Future- Fit key performance indicators (KPIs), to help companies measure where their biggest gaps are, and where to prioritise accordingly. THEFUTURE-FITBUSINESS BENCHMARKOFFERS COMPANIESSOMETHING THEY’VEBEENLACKING: ACLEARDESTINATION TOAIMFOR. Over the past year we’ve worked with a range of companies – from social enterprises to global brands – to explore what the Future-Fit goals mean to them. No two businesses are the same, so it’s unsurprising that discussions have varied wildly. For example, one goal – all employees are paid at least a living wage – was quickly dismissed – not as unimportant, but as unproblematic – by a wealth management fund. But it proved a major sticking point for a company that depends upon cheap labour in developing nations. Another goal – Products emit no greenhouse gases when used as intended – was understandably a source of concern for one car manufacturer, the bulk of whose products are still powered by fossil fuels. However, another car company – Tesla – has already reached this goal, as all of its cars are powered by electricity. CONVERSATIONS WORTH HAVING In every such discussion, reactions to Future-Fit goals tend to fall into one of three categories. There are goals that seem ‘easy’, because the company’s business model has very little impact in that area. There are goals for which the path to success is clear – it’s just a matter of time and money. And then there are goals that appear impossible. This last category is the most interesting. When someone says that a particular goal can’t be reached, what they really mean is that it can’t be reached within the confines of their current business model. Which of course begs the question: how would the business model have to change? Now that is a conversation worth having. Going to the moon was a choice; transitioning to a sustainable economy is not. The Future-Fit Business Benchmark offers companies something they’ve been lacking: a clear destination to aim for. But to reach it will require a willingness to explore and embrace completely new ways of doing business. Incremental improvement is not enough. After all, we didn’t reach the moon by shuffling up the nearest mountain. Fu Future-Fit 04 Su Sustainability 01 Bu Business 03 Sc Science 02 1 This is based on John Ehrenfeld’s definition of a sustainable society, more details of which can be found at johnehrenfeld.com
  • 35. 33 Step one: Identified a set of seven Future-Fit business principles that can be applied at the level of an individual. Step two: Translated the principles into a clear set of environmental and social performance thresholds or goals. Step three: Arrived at a set of 21 Future-Fit goals with KPIs. CREATING THE FUTURE-FIT BUSINESS BENCHMARK INVOLVED THREE STEPS • Step one – began with identifying a set of system conditions that describe how a truly sustainable society must operate. Thankfully, more than 25 years of academic research have already been devoted to this task2 . We translated the results of that effort into a set of Future-Fit business principles that can be applied at the level of an individual company. There are seven of these principles. Here’s an example: A Future-Fit business ensures no harmful substance escapes into the environment. • Step two – involved translating the principles into a clear set of environmental and social performance thresholds or goals. To develop these Future-Fit goals we cross-referenced all of a hypothetical company’s critical relationships – with its customers, communities, suppliers, employees, owners, and the environment – against each business principle, to identify the full range of actions that might cause breaches to occur. For example, by looking at the intersection of customers with the principle mentioned above, we deduced that a Future-Fit company’s products emit no harmful substances when used as intended. FUTURE-FIT – IN THE FIELD Companies, sustainability professionals and consultants are now beginning to adopt and use Future-Fit concepts. The first company to commit to becoming Future-Fit is the social enterprise BR!GHT Products. Its Sun Bell product is claimed to be the world’s most elegant, durable and multi-functional solar lantern – and over a million people in the developing world are already benefiting from it. BR!GHT embraced Future-Fitness to ensure the positive social impact of its products is not compromised by any other aspect of its rapidly growing business. Large companies are understandably slower to declare ambitions that may mean disrupting established business models. But over the past year we’ve heard from a dozen or so sustainability professionals, working for global brands in sectors as diverse as fashion, cosmetics and mining, who are using the Benchmark to spark conversations within their organisations. And it’s not just companies who are paying attention. Future-Fit concepts and goals are cropping up in consultant offerings and supply chain tools. For instance, we are partnering with B Lab to ensure the next iteration of the methodology it uses to score prospective B-Corps matches up, where appropriate, with Future-Fit criteria. These early signs suggest that, when it comes to setting science- based business goals, the debate is shifting: from what and why, to how and when. BUILDING A SCIENCE-BASED BENCHMARK • Step three – after a round of public consultation to challenge and refine our work, we’ve arrived at a set of 21 Future-Fit goals. Collectively, these goals draw the line in the sand the business world has been lacking. But to identify their biggest ‘performance gaps’ – and thus prioritize what matters most – companies also need to be able to tell how far away they are from reaching each goal. So we created a concise, credible and comparable set of KPIs that enable progress toward each goal to be measured – and thus managed. This work is due for completion in December 2015. 2 You can find out more at thenaturalstep.org
  • 36. 34 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER The Body Shop is known for being one of the first businesses to shape ethical consumerism, led from the heart. But as the sustainability debate has matured, there is a need to change tack: to embrace the latest scientific thinking and collaborate with academia to continue to drive the agenda. Christopher Davis and Kate Levine talk to Annie Lancaster about how scientific thinking is helping The Body Shop do just that. CHRISTOPHER DAVIS Director of Corporate Social Responsibility and Campaigns The Body Shop International KATE LEVINE Director of Commitment and Corporate Communications The Body Shop International Annie Lancaster: As your sustainability strategy has developed, what role has science played in that development? Christopher Davis: Historically, the company has been led from its heart; building sustainability strategy around the philosophies of Anita [Roddick] that business can be a real driver for change, so I think it’s fair to say that science hasn’t been at the centre of our strategy in distant past. However, we are now embracing what we see as an exciting new development – science moving more to the fore. AL: What is driving this change in approach? CD: Being led by your heart is a wonderful thing, but times are changing and for us it’s time for us to look at things a little bit differently too. The advances in science and academia are a massive factor. The way the academic community has begun to work with business, even in the past few years, has led to a transformation in our own perspective. Likewise, we’re witnessing scientists having an interest in what we’re doing, applying theory into practice. We are seeing a big shift, and a positive shift too. AL: You recently reviewed Natural Capitalism and Planetary Boundaries as potential frameworks to support The Body Shop’s strategy. What was it about these approaches that appealed to you? CD: It was the fact that they were taking a different approach; a holistic perspective, looking at society and the ecosystem. Of course, the fact that these approaches are based wholly on credible scientific data had a really big influence on us.
  • 37. 35 ANNIE LANCASTER Senior Consultant Salterbaxter Our challenge is taking that scientific study and applying it to business. That’s where the future lies: ensuring that theory and practice can be joined. And that’s where the scientific and business communities have got such a rich opportunity to collaborate much more effectively. AL: Do you see science playing a bigger role in corporate sustainability in the future? CD: Yes, absolutely. I have no doubt it’s going to be the thing that drives us. We have started to embrace the work of the Cambridge Institute for Sustainable Leadership. We’ve been sending our team members on courses there to connect them to leading perspectives. It’s got us thinking differently on a strategic level. We’re also exploring a new partnership with a leading academic institution around scientific innovations and sustainable design. It is our intention to apply our learnings to the business on a practical, rather than a theoretical, level. Both are equally valuable, as we’re getting that independent perspective into our business, challenging our thoughts and our norms. It’s about the meeting of minds, isn’t it? It’s about both parties wanting to learn from one another: for businesses, the academic theory. For academics, the faster, more rapid application of thought. IT’SUPTOALLOFUS TOEMBRACE,INTERPRET, ANDAPPLYTHESCIENCE THEBESTWECAN. AL: One of the challenges around science-based target setting is whether or not they stifle innovation. Kate Levine: There’s a parallel with the argument from years ago as to whether corporate sustainability should be regulation based or voluntary. A lot of people were saying that regulation would stifle innovation. But leaders see where they have to go for compliance and then look where they can innovate beyond that. I think this is exactly the same with science-based targets. AL: Can science play a significant role in helping businesses connect their business ambitions to the bigger challenges facing society? CD: Yes, certainly. What’s interesting about science is that it can be a meeting point for business, for government, for civil society; when fact-based knowledge is there at the centre. It’s up to all of us to embrace, interpret, and apply it the best we can. AL: Do you think consumers care about science when it comes to sustainability? CD: I think that one of our responsibilities as a company is to lead our consumers; to take decisions that have been influenced by and have embraced the latest scientific research. For example, recently we have been working with concepts like green chemistry in making our formulations more degradable. We are not doing it in response to specific customer demands; often there are actions we’ll take because they will have a more positive effect on the environment, but we also hope to lead the debate. AL: Which ties right back to the history of The Body Shop – taking that leadership role before it was demanded of you. KL: We have a very close connection with our consumers – perhaps more so than other brands. The challenge is to use science for leadership purposes but also continue to connect with our customers. This is where communication is really important. Economists, academics and social sciences are very important in giving customers security in the knowledge that our actions are endorsed by independent third parties. But it might also give those, who didn’t think they were interested, that curiosity to know more. We can lead the way, but the key is to make sure that we take our customers with us. SCIENCECANTURNPEOPLE OFFUNLESSYOUCANMAKE ITINTERESTING. AL: What advice would you give other businesses that are looking to adopt a more scientific approach? KL: Science can turn people off unless you can make it interesting. It’s really important for the communications and the sustainability teams to work very closely together in order to create engaging messaging. Internal communications pieces are absolutely vital and also must be consistent with what we are saying externally. CD: Go back to school. Learn from super smart people who were studying the environment or social sciences. Go back and listen because this area of study is growing and advancing at a tremendous rate. Go back and challenge academics to address some of the challenges that we are facing within our business. In our experiences academia has been so open to us, it’s a great opportunity for all of us to take action. If we don’t work together the planet and society are facing potential disaster – there is a moral as well as a practical imperative to take action.
  • 38. DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER 36 The following section explores how organisations can communicate successfully around scientific sustainability concepts with different key stakeholders. KEY QUESTIONS: • Whether it’s in raising investment or in increasing sales, does science have a role to play in bringing stakeholders along on the journey? • What can organisations do to successfully communicate the science behind their decision-making to consumers, and should they even try? There may be convincing arguments for adopting a science-based approach, and targets and frameworks in place to help you achieve it, but how can this be turned into compelling storytelling for either investors or end consumers? DIMENSION3: STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT
  • 39. 37
  • 40. DIS- SECT- ANDY HOWARD Founder Didas Research DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER ‘Scientific’ may be too strong a word, but some organisations are taking a more structured and data-driven approach to their sustainability communications with investors. Analysts are also becoming more systematic in their use of data to inform their investment decisions or ratings. But the bridge between environmental and social trends, business models, and investment analysis is still being built, says Andy Howard of Didas Research. Long-time environmental, social and governance (ESG) analysts were schooled in an era where if companies reported any CSR information, it was patchy and inconsistent. Content was more an adjunct to case studies and photographs of polar bears, icebergs and smiling children, rather than reflecting a company’s core business issues. The truth is, until seven or eight years ago, quantitative ESG analysis was a largely theoretical exercise predominantly untroubled by data. That picture has changed significantly in recent years. Corporate sustainability reporting has ballooned in breadth and depth. Investor demand for objective environmental and social analysis has grown as the commitment to integrate it into mainstream reporting has spread. Younger generations of analysts trained in numerical analysis have entered the industry and technological advances have made extracting and using data easier. These changes are all structural and they will continue to increase demand for rigorous, objective and investment- relevant ESG analysis. But what is the real supply and demand picture here? Well, the numbers are pretty impressive. The Governance Accountability Institute finds that three-quarters of the SP 500 published sustainability reports last year, up from just one-fifth in 2011. Globally, the number of sustainability reports tracked by the Global Reporting Initiative has grown eight-fold since the launch of the UN Principles for Responsible Investment a decade ago. The information they contain is also becoming more rigorous and objective. Data is replacing stories and case studies, with the GRI providing the reporting standards most follow. RISING DEMAND FOR DATA Rising demand prompts more analysts to use that data. Nine in ten of the top 50 global fund managers have signed the UN Principles for Responsible Investment, which commits them to integrating environmental, social and governance factors into investment decisions, processes and stewardship. Investors’ growing willingness to adopt long-term investment strategies also tends to raise the importance of environmental and social analysis. The decades long march towards shorter-term investing bottomed out in 2008. Since then, the average length of time investors hold onto stocks has doubled, to around 16 months currently.
  • 41. ING DATA 39 DOUBLE-EDGED SWORD However, having more data is a double- edged sword. Distilling performance into formulae and metrics may bring an objective lens to an otherwise woolly subject and be more scalable than relying on conversations with silver-tongued investor relations executives. But data-driven metrics are only as useful as the logic on which they are based. Data analysis is a tool and not, in itself, an answer. Unfortunately, there has been too little attention paid to the logic underpinning ESG analysis. A perception of ‘ESG performance’ persists. It is a convenient illusion that sidesteps the need to think about what it means, how it should be measured and the investment value of the results. While a few investors venture into the primary data that companies report, most rely on ESG ratings from firms like MSCI, Sustainalytics or EIRIS to provide bite-sized answers, which are then used to screen stocks for investment and engagement. That emphasis on single-number ratings is evident in Bloomberg’s statement that, of all the detailed raw data it collects and publishes through its terminals, the single most used ESG data point by far is its ‘ESG Disclosure’ rating – a score which provides, at best, a crude proxy for performance. DATA-DRIVENMETRICS AREONLYASUSEFULASTHE LOGICONWHICHTHEYARE BASED.DATAANALYSIS ISATOOL,NOTANANSWER. All this would matter less if there was, at least, a consistent view of strong or weak ESG performances. There isn’t. Our analysis of the ratings six large agencies give to the same 100 large global companies shows very little correlation between their conclusions. There’s just no apparent agreement between them on how to rate this group of companies. The challenge is reflected in academia. We examined 20 of the most downloaded research articles looking at the relationship between ESG performance and profitability or stock returns. Unsurprisingly, most conclude that ESG measures can enhance performance. But, on a closer look, seemingly rigorous conclusions are, in effect, mostly exercises in correlating opaque ratings of unclear provenance with stock price data. These challenges will subside. As fund managers’ awareness of the importance of environmental and social change grows, scrutiny of the analytical process is becoming more intense. Most investors now understand how important it is for companies to be able to adapt to the changing expectations of workers, customers, communities or other stakeholders. So, it is likely that the discussion will shift from ‘does ESG affect financial performance?’ to ‘how do environmental and social trends affect financial performance?’ and ‘how should we measure performance?’ HOW SHOULD WE MEASURE PERFORMANCE? The latter questions are a prompt re-examination of what ESG issues are, how business models are affected and how best to measure performance. The result will be a welcome broadening of the topic and more understanding of the relationship between social and environmental trends, industry impacts, business performance and profitability. A sharper light of investor scrutiny should drive rhetoric and irrelevance from the discussion, with interesting, but immaterial, topics hopefully consuming less attention. On the other hand, definitions of sustainability are likely to broaden. If supply chain ethical standards are important, why shouldn’t information on supplier concentration and geographic distribution, or insight into supply chain strategies and information systems, demand similar scrutiny? More sophistication in ESG analysis will also push more of the information out of companies’ control. For instance, today’s technology makes it relatively easy to examine employees’ perceptions of companies, customers’ views of their products or the lawsuits, and product recalls or corruption probes they have faced without opening a CSR report. Frameworks like the one being developed by Future-Fit should find a willing audience amongst fund managers building ESG analytical tools. Our own research is grounded in bottom up, evidence-based analysis of trends in the stakeholders most important to each sector. This informs the performance areas we focus on and the data we use to gauge strengths or weaknesses. Other analysts are likely to develop similar products using different frameworks. The result will be a more rigorous and investment-focused ESG analysis, with less room for companies to hide behind sustainability reports that sit at a tangent to core business functions.
  • 42. 40 DIRECTIONS 2015  SALTERBAXTER THERE-ENLIGHTENMENTTHE TIMES, THEY ARE A-CHANGING For decades science has been seen by many as boring and best kept behind closed doors, but the last few years have seen a change: science is now breaking out of the laboratory. We face many problems as a global society, problems so enormous, they seem impossible to solve: economic stagnation, environmental degradation, population explosion, climate change, the list goes on. It’s no coincidence that superhero films have seen such resurgence of late: the world is longing for a hero to swoop in and solve our challenges for us. But we are also witnessing scientific breakthroughs at an unprecedented rate: artificial intelligence, 3D printing, the discovery of the ‘God Particle’, and the possibility that the conditions for life exist on other planets. In the absence of The Avengers, we are increasingly aware that we need scientists today to solve the problems of tomorrow. Rather than fear or deride the men in white coats, we are starting to revere them. • Take the ‘Brian Cox effect’ here in the UK. The captivating physicist, now an A-List celebrity, is single-handedly credited with raising the university application rate for Physics by 52%.1 • American astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson hosted one of the most watched events at this year’s South by Southwest festival, and is so popular online he has triggered his own meme. • The Facebook fan-page ‘I F*cking Love Science’, dedicated to popularising scientific breakthroughs, has just under 22 million fans. That’s more than Harry Styles, Leonardo DiCaprio, or the Rolling Stones. Science and emotion are often believed to be entirely separate, non-complementary entities. Therefore a common fear expressed over the preceding pages is that without an emotional hook, communicating the science behind your strategies and activities can leave audiences cold. But is this the case? Annie Lancaster argues that, when it comes to science, consumers are now more receptive than ever before. ITHINKTHATOURSOCIETY NEEDSMOREHEROESWHOARE SCIENTISTS,RESEARCHERS ANDENGINEERS. Mark Zuckerberg Over the previous pages we have seen how science, the long-time partner of sustainability, is once again coming to the forefront of sustainable leadership. And yet, very few outside of the sustainability community would know that this change is taking place. The reason? Brands are wary of leading their communications with science for fear that it will be boring, or confusing, or both. For too long, science has had a bit of an image problem. ANNIE LANCASTER Senior Consultant Salterbaxter