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C hanging Indian Retail Trends Prepared by : Mukesh Kumar Pgdrm-2b
Share of Retailing in Employment Across Different Countries Country Employment(%) India 8% USA 16% Poland 12% Brazil 15% China 7% Source:  Presentation to FICCI by Alan Rosling (Chairman, Jardine Matheson Group): “International Experience on Policy Issues.”
Retail Trade in India and South East Asia
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],* Source:  Singhal,Arvind; KSA technopak An overview of Indian retail sector
Indian Retail: Rural/Urban Split Source : National Account Statistics; Monthly per capita Expenditure and Technopak Analysis
Rural Retail Market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source: Navdanya/ Research Foundation for Science, Technology and Ecology Indian Retail Sector : Bases Of Ownership
Source:  Presentation to FICCI by MBN Rao (Chairman, Indian Bank): “ Strategy for Financing Service Sector” (Sept. 15, 2004)
Source :  P.G.Chengappa, Lalith Achoth, Arpita Mukherjee, B.M.Ramachandra Reddy and P.C.Ravi, Evolution of Food Retail Chains: The Indian Context, 5-6th Nov. 2003,  www.ficci.com
India #1 Emerging Retail Growth Market Source:-  A.T. Kearney Global Retail Development Index (GRDI)
Average Sales Per Sft Per Annum
...High Private Consumption Source : Central Statistical Organization (CS0) and Technopak Analysis GDP US$804 Bn Private  Consumption US $ 482 Bn(60%) Public Spending & Gross Capital Formation 40% Retail US $ 300 Bn (62%) Non-retail US $ 182 Bn (38%) Urban US$ 135 Bn (45%) Rural US $ Bn(55%)
Size of the Economy Sources •  2006 GDP :Central Statistical Organization (CS0) •  Growth Rates :Goldman Sach’s BRIC report (For details please refer to the appendix of this presentation)
Growing retail market Source:-  KSA Technopak analysis
Spontaneous Transformation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
F.D.I.
Why Only India....? India's GDP Growth Second Highest In The World
The Youth Brigade Takes Charge ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Workforce Gender Bender ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Baby Boomers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
F.D.I. GOOD OR BAD?
1  Wal-Mart  USA  256329  43.7  79.1  20.9 2  Carrefour  France  79609  77.4  50.7  49.3 3  Ahold  Netherlands  63325  84.0  15.8  84.2 4  Metro Gr  German  60532  50.5  52.9  47.1 5  Kroger  USA  53791  70.2  100.0  0.0 6  Tesco  UK  50326  74.6  80.1  19.9 7  Target  USA  48163  17.8  100.0  0.0 8  Rewe  German  44251  75.6  71.4  28.6 9  Costco  USA  41693  61.0  81.5  18.5 10  Aldi  German  41011  83.6  63.0  37.0 Source:  M+M Planet Retail (www.planetretail.net) Top 10 retail Giants Rank Company Origin Net Sales-03  ($mn)  Grocery Sales (%)  Domestic Sales (%)  Foreign Sales  (%)
Wal-Mart’s : Backdoor Entry
The World Of Wal-Mart
Issue of F.D.I or Wal-Mart ? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Wal-Mart  v/s Indian Retail Wal-Mart Indian Retail ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
F.D.I – Numerous Jobs? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],F.D.I : Good
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],F.D.I : Bad
Impact On :  Traditional Retailers & Modern Retailers
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Traditional Retailers
Impact Area : Modern retailers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Some Information ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],*  Planet Retail, December 2, 2005 ,[object Object]
TREM: Technopak Retail Evolution Model Not So Bad News, Yet  ! Source: KSA Technopak ,[object Object]
G1 Shift In Channel Mix Reduced by 16% Grows by 28%
G2 Shift In Channel Mix Reduced by  18% Grows by  34%
G3 Shift In Channel Mix Reduces by  8%
Lessons From Other Countries ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lessons From Other Countries  contd. From China:- In year 1994- 26% cap In year 2002-49% cap In year2004-100% cap
Kishore Biyani’s-Fair Price Store “ After the fight in organized retail  with biggies entering it, now its turn of unorganized market to hot up.” -Times Of India
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Competitive Advantage Of Small Retailers
Giants Coming To Support  Good News For Small Retailers  Small retailers are likely to witness support from suppliers with players like  HUL, Marico, Godrej & Tata Tea  already helping ‘Kirana’ stores in store design, inventory management, computerization and accounting systems
Whisper Started ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
T H A N K Y O U !

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Presentation On Future Of Indian Retail Sector

  • 1.  
  • 2. C hanging Indian Retail Trends Prepared by : Mukesh Kumar Pgdrm-2b
  • 3. Share of Retailing in Employment Across Different Countries Country Employment(%) India 8% USA 16% Poland 12% Brazil 15% China 7% Source: Presentation to FICCI by Alan Rosling (Chairman, Jardine Matheson Group): “International Experience on Policy Issues.”
  • 4. Retail Trade in India and South East Asia
  • 5.
  • 6. Indian Retail: Rural/Urban Split Source : National Account Statistics; Monthly per capita Expenditure and Technopak Analysis
  • 7.
  • 8. Source: Navdanya/ Research Foundation for Science, Technology and Ecology Indian Retail Sector : Bases Of Ownership
  • 9. Source: Presentation to FICCI by MBN Rao (Chairman, Indian Bank): “ Strategy for Financing Service Sector” (Sept. 15, 2004)
  • 10. Source : P.G.Chengappa, Lalith Achoth, Arpita Mukherjee, B.M.Ramachandra Reddy and P.C.Ravi, Evolution of Food Retail Chains: The Indian Context, 5-6th Nov. 2003, www.ficci.com
  • 11. India #1 Emerging Retail Growth Market Source:- A.T. Kearney Global Retail Development Index (GRDI)
  • 12. Average Sales Per Sft Per Annum
  • 13. ...High Private Consumption Source : Central Statistical Organization (CS0) and Technopak Analysis GDP US$804 Bn Private Consumption US $ 482 Bn(60%) Public Spending & Gross Capital Formation 40% Retail US $ 300 Bn (62%) Non-retail US $ 182 Bn (38%) Urban US$ 135 Bn (45%) Rural US $ Bn(55%)
  • 14. Size of the Economy Sources • 2006 GDP :Central Statistical Organization (CS0) • Growth Rates :Goldman Sach’s BRIC report (For details please refer to the appendix of this presentation)
  • 15. Growing retail market Source:- KSA Technopak analysis
  • 16.
  • 18. Why Only India....? India's GDP Growth Second Highest In The World
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 23. 1 Wal-Mart USA 256329 43.7 79.1 20.9 2 Carrefour France 79609 77.4 50.7 49.3 3 Ahold Netherlands 63325 84.0 15.8 84.2 4 Metro Gr German 60532 50.5 52.9 47.1 5 Kroger USA 53791 70.2 100.0 0.0 6 Tesco UK 50326 74.6 80.1 19.9 7 Target USA 48163 17.8 100.0 0.0 8 Rewe German 44251 75.6 71.4 28.6 9 Costco USA 41693 61.0 81.5 18.5 10 Aldi German 41011 83.6 63.0 37.0 Source: M+M Planet Retail (www.planetretail.net) Top 10 retail Giants Rank Company Origin Net Sales-03 ($mn) Grocery Sales (%) Domestic Sales (%) Foreign Sales (%)
  • 25. The World Of Wal-Mart
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. Impact On : Traditional Retailers & Modern Retailers
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. G1 Shift In Channel Mix Reduced by 16% Grows by 28%
  • 37. G2 Shift In Channel Mix Reduced by 18% Grows by 34%
  • 38. G3 Shift In Channel Mix Reduces by 8%
  • 39.
  • 40. Lessons From Other Countries contd. From China:- In year 1994- 26% cap In year 2002-49% cap In year2004-100% cap
  • 41. Kishore Biyani’s-Fair Price Store “ After the fight in organized retail with biggies entering it, now its turn of unorganized market to hot up.” -Times Of India
  • 42.
  • 43. Giants Coming To Support Good News For Small Retailers Small retailers are likely to witness support from suppliers with players like HUL, Marico, Godrej & Tata Tea already helping ‘Kirana’ stores in store design, inventory management, computerization and accounting systems
  • 44.
  • 45. T H A N K Y O U !