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Advancing NAPs after Paris: the ICT sector contribution
Luis Neves, GeSI Chairman
NAP Expo – Bonn, 14 July 2016
Content
2
 Introduction to GeSI
 The ICT industry contribution on the road to Paris
 SMARTer2030: exploring the ICT sector contribution to NAPs
 How do we unlock the full ICT potential?
 Building on SMARTer2030: ICT and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
 ICT-enabled resilience building: Momentum for Change success stories
 The ICT sector own adaptation to climate change
About GeSI
Created in 2001, GeSI is a strategic partnership bringing together
companies active in the ICT sector and international organisations
committed to creating and promoting technologies and practices that
foster economic, environmental and social sustainability, while driving
economic growth and productivity
3
Our vision
A sustainable world
through responsible,
ICT-enabled
transformation
Our mission
By 2017, GeSI is the recognised thought leader,
partner of choice and proactive driver of the ICT
sustainability agenda as measured by
development and use of its tools, broad member
base and contribution to relevant policies
GeSI members…
4
…and partners
5
GeSI’s contribution to COP21
6
 SMARTer2030: quantifying the social, environmental and economic benefits of ICT-enabled
cross-sector solutions
 Collaboration with UNFCCC in the Momentum for Change Initiative, recognizing examples of
successful adaptation/mitigation projects enabled by ICT
 A signatory to the Paris Pledge for Action
The world is not on track: under business as usual, CO2e emissions will
continue to grow
7
CO2e emissions forecast (Gt CO2e)
Historically each 1% of growth in GDP equated to
a 0.5% increase in CO2e emissions
Source: WRI, IPCC, World Bank, GeSI, Accenture analysis & CO2 models
63.5
2015
52.4
2030 BAUBusiness as usual (BAU) increase
11.1
ICT can decrease global carbon emissions, stimulate economic growth
and deliver benefits to society
SMARTer2030 main findings
#SMARTer2030
 ICT has the potential to enable a 20%
reduction of global CO2e emissions by
2030, holding them at 2015 levels
 At the same time, ICT can reduce the
consumption of scarce resources
ICT is good for growth.An assessment of
eight economic sectors* shows that it
could generate:
 Over 6 trillion USD in new revenues in
2030
 Close to 5 trillion USD in cost savings
in 2030, including 2.3 trillion USD from
energy efficiency
* Energy, food, health, learning, buildings,
mobility & logistics, work & business,
manufacturing
ICT could connect 2.5 billion previously
unconnected people to ICT services by
2030, enabling a total of:
 1.6 billion people connected to e-
health
 0.5 billion e-learning participants
ICT could realize a benefit 9.7 times higher than its own emissions in
2030, while its own footprint is expected to fall
ICT benefits factor in 2020 and 2030 (Gt CO2e)
ICT-enabled
ICT-footprint 1.43
1.25
1.27 7.2x
9.7x
ICT-footprint
ICT-enabled 9.10
ICT-footprint
ICT-enabled 12.08
7.80
5.5x
SMARTer
2030
Source: Source: WRI, IPCC, GeSI, SMARTer2020, Accenture analysis & CO2 models
SMARTer
2020 (2012 report)
SMART
2020 (2008 report)
Smart solutions to mobility, manufacturing, agriculture, building and
energy deliver ICT’s potential of 12Gt CO2e
CO2e abatement potential by sector (Gt CO2e)
1 Smart mobility solutions consider improved driving efficiency but also the reduced need to travel from various sectors, including health, learning, commerce, etc.
2 12 Gt CO2e reduction in 2030 enabled by ICT include 2 Gt CO2e abatement from integration of renewable energy production into the grid. In its business as usual emissions forecast for
2030 the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) already considers the CO2e abatement potential from renewable energy.
Therefore, the additional ICT-enabled CO2e reduction against the IPCC emissions forecast for 2030 is 10 Gt CO2e
Source: WRI, IPCC, World Bank, GeSI, Accenture analysis & CO2 models
#SMARTer2030
Buildings ICT-enabled savings2
2.0
Manu-facturing EnergyAgriculture
2.0
3.6
1.8
2.7
12.1
Mobility1
ICT has the potential to maintain global CO2e emissions at 2015 levels, decoupling economic growth from
emissions growth
To fully realize ICT’s potential, stakeholder action is required with policy
action as a key priority
Prioritized policy action areas
Source: WBSD, We mean business coalition, UN, GeSI
#SMARTer2030
National CO2 targets Investment incentives in
infrastructure deployment
Fair, balanced & consistent
regulatory approach
Set national CO2 targets and recognize
ICT solutions as an effective and
necessary tool to decrease carbon
emissions while enabling continued
economic growth and sustainable living
Create investment incentives in
infrastructure deployment to connect
the unconnected and enable more
people across all income segments to
have access to ICT solutions
Establish a fair, balanced and consistent
regulatory approach to ICT solutions
that promotes innovation and
investment, protects intellectual
property rights and ensures consumer
privacy and security
Building on SMARTer2030: ICT and the Sustainable Development
Goals (SDGs)
12
 The GeSI #SystemTransformation report, launched in June 2016, builds on the SMARTer2030
main findings and explores the ICT contribution to the achievement of the Sustainable
Development Goals
 Analysis of the current implementation status of the SDGs shows that every country has
achievement gaps in >50% of the SDGs, and that >25% of countries have implementation gaps
in all 17 SDGs
 The GeSI research shows that digital solutions are indispensable to achieve all 17 SDGs and
>50% of the 169 related targets
1. Diffusion Speed and Reach
 23x higher adoption rate for mobile networks vs. grid
electricity in Sub-Saharan Africa
 90% of world’s data created in last two years
2. People Centric
 100 billion connected devices by 2030
 three-figure growth rates for wearable health
3. New Business Models
 326% growth rate for smart watches, taking over
market share from Swiss makers
 100% growth rate for MKopa, delivering solar-based,
off-grid lighting solutions
Why Digital?
Unique properties to transform the world with speed & impact
Connectivity & digital solutions are indispensable to meeting the 17
SDGs for 8.5bn people by 2030
Source: GeSI and Accenture Strategy Analysis, 2016
ICT SECTOR
2030 Sustainable
Development Goals
Food & Housing
• Smart agriculture
• Smart building
Participation & Security
• E-government
• Smart police
• Real-time disaster warnings
Infrastructure & Environment
• Connectivity
• Smart energy
• Smart conservation
• Smart water
management
Work & Business
• E-banking
• E-commerce
• E-work
• Smart manufacturing
Health & Learning
• E-health
• E-learning
Mobility
• Connected private
transportation
• Smart logistics
• Traffic control &
optimization
ICT-enabled adaptation – Examples from Momentum for Change
15
A UNFCCC-GeSI initiative to recognize ICT-enabled projects building resilience to climate change. The
2015 winners included:
 Community-Based Flood Early-Warning System: enhancing the resilience to flood hazards of 45
vulnerable communities in the Indian Himalayan region, thanks to a system of flood sensors detecting
rising water levels and transmitting the information via mobile phones to local villages
 Enabling farmers to adapt to climate change: helping >100,000 Ugandan farmers cope with drought
and other climatic stresses through a series of ICT tools collecting, analyzing and disseminating
relevant information, agricultural advisories, and crop/livestock market information
 Lifelink Water Solutions: a cloud-based water management system implemented at >40 pilot sites in
Kenya/Uganda, helping build resilience to climate change by providing access to safe, sustainable and
affordable water
 Mapping exposure to sea level rise: helping Pacific Island countries adapt to sea level rise by training
government decision-makers to use ICT tools and flood maps to understand and mitigate risks
ICT sector adaptation to climate change (1/2)
16
 Climate change impacts on the ICT sector:
 Infrastructure degradation
 Risks to workers’ health and safety
 Reduction of wireless services quality
 Increased operational and business costs
 ICT sector responses to climate change:
 Mitigation: reducing emissions, enabling efficiency in other sectors
 Adaptation: helping countries and other sectors monitor and adapt to climate change
impacts + developing adaptation strategy for the sector itself
ICT sector adaptation to climate change (2/2)
17
 Resilient Pathways: a collaboration between ITU, UNFCCC, UNESCO, and Deutsche Telekom,
with the goal to support innovative solutions to reduce GHG emissions and adapt to climate
change
 Suggested actions identified by the report:
 Widen device tolerance to better withstand extreme weather conditions
 Increase networks resilience
 Carry out periodical climate risk assessments on existing networks
 Share best practices
18
Thank you!
Global e-Sustainability Initiative
info@gesi.org
+32 2 282 84 42
c/o Scotland House
Rond-Point Schuman 6
1040 Brussels
Belgium

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Advancing NAPs after Paris: ICT sector contribution

  • 1. Advancing NAPs after Paris: the ICT sector contribution Luis Neves, GeSI Chairman NAP Expo – Bonn, 14 July 2016
  • 2. Content 2  Introduction to GeSI  The ICT industry contribution on the road to Paris  SMARTer2030: exploring the ICT sector contribution to NAPs  How do we unlock the full ICT potential?  Building on SMARTer2030: ICT and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)  ICT-enabled resilience building: Momentum for Change success stories  The ICT sector own adaptation to climate change
  • 3. About GeSI Created in 2001, GeSI is a strategic partnership bringing together companies active in the ICT sector and international organisations committed to creating and promoting technologies and practices that foster economic, environmental and social sustainability, while driving economic growth and productivity 3 Our vision A sustainable world through responsible, ICT-enabled transformation Our mission By 2017, GeSI is the recognised thought leader, partner of choice and proactive driver of the ICT sustainability agenda as measured by development and use of its tools, broad member base and contribution to relevant policies
  • 6. GeSI’s contribution to COP21 6  SMARTer2030: quantifying the social, environmental and economic benefits of ICT-enabled cross-sector solutions  Collaboration with UNFCCC in the Momentum for Change Initiative, recognizing examples of successful adaptation/mitigation projects enabled by ICT  A signatory to the Paris Pledge for Action
  • 7. The world is not on track: under business as usual, CO2e emissions will continue to grow 7 CO2e emissions forecast (Gt CO2e) Historically each 1% of growth in GDP equated to a 0.5% increase in CO2e emissions Source: WRI, IPCC, World Bank, GeSI, Accenture analysis & CO2 models 63.5 2015 52.4 2030 BAUBusiness as usual (BAU) increase 11.1
  • 8. ICT can decrease global carbon emissions, stimulate economic growth and deliver benefits to society SMARTer2030 main findings #SMARTer2030  ICT has the potential to enable a 20% reduction of global CO2e emissions by 2030, holding them at 2015 levels  At the same time, ICT can reduce the consumption of scarce resources ICT is good for growth.An assessment of eight economic sectors* shows that it could generate:  Over 6 trillion USD in new revenues in 2030  Close to 5 trillion USD in cost savings in 2030, including 2.3 trillion USD from energy efficiency * Energy, food, health, learning, buildings, mobility & logistics, work & business, manufacturing ICT could connect 2.5 billion previously unconnected people to ICT services by 2030, enabling a total of:  1.6 billion people connected to e- health  0.5 billion e-learning participants
  • 9. ICT could realize a benefit 9.7 times higher than its own emissions in 2030, while its own footprint is expected to fall ICT benefits factor in 2020 and 2030 (Gt CO2e) ICT-enabled ICT-footprint 1.43 1.25 1.27 7.2x 9.7x ICT-footprint ICT-enabled 9.10 ICT-footprint ICT-enabled 12.08 7.80 5.5x SMARTer 2030 Source: Source: WRI, IPCC, GeSI, SMARTer2020, Accenture analysis & CO2 models SMARTer 2020 (2012 report) SMART 2020 (2008 report)
  • 10. Smart solutions to mobility, manufacturing, agriculture, building and energy deliver ICT’s potential of 12Gt CO2e CO2e abatement potential by sector (Gt CO2e) 1 Smart mobility solutions consider improved driving efficiency but also the reduced need to travel from various sectors, including health, learning, commerce, etc. 2 12 Gt CO2e reduction in 2030 enabled by ICT include 2 Gt CO2e abatement from integration of renewable energy production into the grid. In its business as usual emissions forecast for 2030 the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) already considers the CO2e abatement potential from renewable energy. Therefore, the additional ICT-enabled CO2e reduction against the IPCC emissions forecast for 2030 is 10 Gt CO2e Source: WRI, IPCC, World Bank, GeSI, Accenture analysis & CO2 models #SMARTer2030 Buildings ICT-enabled savings2 2.0 Manu-facturing EnergyAgriculture 2.0 3.6 1.8 2.7 12.1 Mobility1 ICT has the potential to maintain global CO2e emissions at 2015 levels, decoupling economic growth from emissions growth
  • 11. To fully realize ICT’s potential, stakeholder action is required with policy action as a key priority Prioritized policy action areas Source: WBSD, We mean business coalition, UN, GeSI #SMARTer2030 National CO2 targets Investment incentives in infrastructure deployment Fair, balanced & consistent regulatory approach Set national CO2 targets and recognize ICT solutions as an effective and necessary tool to decrease carbon emissions while enabling continued economic growth and sustainable living Create investment incentives in infrastructure deployment to connect the unconnected and enable more people across all income segments to have access to ICT solutions Establish a fair, balanced and consistent regulatory approach to ICT solutions that promotes innovation and investment, protects intellectual property rights and ensures consumer privacy and security
  • 12. Building on SMARTer2030: ICT and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 12  The GeSI #SystemTransformation report, launched in June 2016, builds on the SMARTer2030 main findings and explores the ICT contribution to the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals  Analysis of the current implementation status of the SDGs shows that every country has achievement gaps in >50% of the SDGs, and that >25% of countries have implementation gaps in all 17 SDGs  The GeSI research shows that digital solutions are indispensable to achieve all 17 SDGs and >50% of the 169 related targets
  • 13. 1. Diffusion Speed and Reach  23x higher adoption rate for mobile networks vs. grid electricity in Sub-Saharan Africa  90% of world’s data created in last two years 2. People Centric  100 billion connected devices by 2030  three-figure growth rates for wearable health 3. New Business Models  326% growth rate for smart watches, taking over market share from Swiss makers  100% growth rate for MKopa, delivering solar-based, off-grid lighting solutions Why Digital? Unique properties to transform the world with speed & impact
  • 14. Connectivity & digital solutions are indispensable to meeting the 17 SDGs for 8.5bn people by 2030 Source: GeSI and Accenture Strategy Analysis, 2016 ICT SECTOR 2030 Sustainable Development Goals Food & Housing • Smart agriculture • Smart building Participation & Security • E-government • Smart police • Real-time disaster warnings Infrastructure & Environment • Connectivity • Smart energy • Smart conservation • Smart water management Work & Business • E-banking • E-commerce • E-work • Smart manufacturing Health & Learning • E-health • E-learning Mobility • Connected private transportation • Smart logistics • Traffic control & optimization
  • 15. ICT-enabled adaptation – Examples from Momentum for Change 15 A UNFCCC-GeSI initiative to recognize ICT-enabled projects building resilience to climate change. The 2015 winners included:  Community-Based Flood Early-Warning System: enhancing the resilience to flood hazards of 45 vulnerable communities in the Indian Himalayan region, thanks to a system of flood sensors detecting rising water levels and transmitting the information via mobile phones to local villages  Enabling farmers to adapt to climate change: helping >100,000 Ugandan farmers cope with drought and other climatic stresses through a series of ICT tools collecting, analyzing and disseminating relevant information, agricultural advisories, and crop/livestock market information  Lifelink Water Solutions: a cloud-based water management system implemented at >40 pilot sites in Kenya/Uganda, helping build resilience to climate change by providing access to safe, sustainable and affordable water  Mapping exposure to sea level rise: helping Pacific Island countries adapt to sea level rise by training government decision-makers to use ICT tools and flood maps to understand and mitigate risks
  • 16. ICT sector adaptation to climate change (1/2) 16  Climate change impacts on the ICT sector:  Infrastructure degradation  Risks to workers’ health and safety  Reduction of wireless services quality  Increased operational and business costs  ICT sector responses to climate change:  Mitigation: reducing emissions, enabling efficiency in other sectors  Adaptation: helping countries and other sectors monitor and adapt to climate change impacts + developing adaptation strategy for the sector itself
  • 17. ICT sector adaptation to climate change (2/2) 17  Resilient Pathways: a collaboration between ITU, UNFCCC, UNESCO, and Deutsche Telekom, with the goal to support innovative solutions to reduce GHG emissions and adapt to climate change  Suggested actions identified by the report:  Widen device tolerance to better withstand extreme weather conditions  Increase networks resilience  Carry out periodical climate risk assessments on existing networks  Share best practices
  • 18. 18 Thank you! Global e-Sustainability Initiative info@gesi.org +32 2 282 84 42 c/o Scotland House Rond-Point Schuman 6 1040 Brussels Belgium