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Basic Financial Statement Analysis




                          By Abhijit Singh Thakur
                                 abhijit1979s@gmail.com
                                        +91 9766 498 350
                                           (i3 Fin, Pune)
Table of Contents


Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement : Analysis

Income Statement: An Introduction

Income Statement : Analysis

Balance Sheet: An Introduction

Balance Sheet: Analysis

Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
Financial Statement Analysis: Introduction

  Who uses Financial Statements


                                           To Ensure
Government and Regulatory Bodies           • Compatibility with Law
Tax department, Accounting                 • Quality of Disclosures
body, Securities regulator.                • Protect interest of Claimholders




Creditors                                  To Analyze
                                           • Liquidity Position
Debt holders & Credit rating Agencies
                                           • Repayment capacity
                                           • Possibility of default



Investors
                                           To Analyze
Retail Investors, Buy-side and sell-side   • Profitability
analysts.                                  • Sustainability
                                           • growth
Table of Contents


Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement : Analysis

Income Statement: An Introduction

Income Statement : Analysis

Balance Sheet: An Introduction

Balance Sheet: Analysis

Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
Cash Flow Statement: Introduction

The Cash Flow Statement: Construction


Net Income
Add: Depreciation                                    Cash flow from operations
Add: (Increase) / Decrease in Accounts receivables   indicates the cash the business has
Add: (Increase) / Decrease in Inventories            generated from its core operations
Add: Increase / (Decrease) in Accounts payable       and the amount of funds available for
Add: Increase / (Decrease) in Accrued Liabilities    expansion and other activities.
Cash Flow from Operations2 (CFO)
                                                     Cash flow from Investing
                                                     indicates the cash the business has
Capital Expenditures
                                                     spent on expansion and investments
Investments
                                                     in other activities like investments in
Cash Flow from Investing (CFI)
                                                     marketable securities.
Debt raised
Debt repaid                                          Cash flow from financing
Equity Capital Issued                                indicates the cash the business has
Share Buyback                                        generated from raising and repayment
Dividends Paid                                       of debt and equity capital.
Cash flow from Financing (CFF)

                                                                            2 Using   indirect method
Table of Contents


Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement : Analysis

Income Statement: An Introduction

Income Statement : Analysis

Balance Sheet: An Introduction

Balance Sheet: Analysis

Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
Cash Flow Statement: Analysis

The Cash Flow Statement: Analysis


Net Income                                           • Has depreciation risen considerably?
Add: Depreciation                                    • Has the firm given more credit to
                                                     generate sales?
Add: (Increase) / Decrease in Accounts receivables
                                                     • Have inventories piled up due to lack of
Add: (Increase) / Decrease in Inventories            demand?
Add: Increase / (Decrease) in Accounts payable       • Can the firm get enough credit from
Add: Increase / (Decrease) in Accrued Liabilities    suppliers?
Cash Flow from Operations2 (CFO)
                                                     • Does the firm have internal accruals for
Capital Expenditures                                 expansion?
Investments                                          • Has it invested sufficiently for future
Cash Flow from Investing (CFI)                       growth?

Debt raised
                                                     • Is the company having a healthy debt
Debt repaid
                                                     ratio?
Equity Capital Issued
                                                     • Has the it been able to repay its
Share Buyback                                        obligations?
Dividends Paid                                       • Would it be able to raise debt in future if
Cash flow from Financing (CFF)                       CFO falls short of Capex requirements?

                                                                               2 Using   indirect method
Table of Contents


Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement : Analysis

Income Statement: An Introduction

Income Statement : Analysis

Balance Sheet: An Introduction

Balance Sheet: Analysis

Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
Income Statement: Introduction

 Introduction to the Income Statement


Measure of Profitability
The income statement measures the income and expenditures of a company
during a given period and thus it measures profitability. It measures profitability
at 4 levels viz. Gross, Operating, Before tax and after tax.


Accumulated over a period of time
Unlike the balance sheet, the income statement measures the income and
expenditure over a given period of time, usually a quarter or an year.


Is a consequence of most3 Activities undertaken by a business
The income statement is a consequence of most of the activities a business
undertakes ranging from investments in capital, purchase of raw materials, due
to creditors and dues from customers, cash collections, tax payout, asset charges
etc. However, it is an incomplete story teller, which is completed after an
analysis of the other two statements.
                               3Off-balance sheet   items and FCCBs may not be reflected in the Income Statement
Table of Contents


Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement : Analysis

Income Statement: An Introduction

Income Statement : Analysis

Balance Sheet: An Introduction

Balance Sheet: Analysis

Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
Income Statement: Analysis

  Analysis of the Income Statement


Sales                                                  Includes both cash and credit sales
Cost of Goods Sold
Gross Profit                                           Includes Inventories, Wages, and
Selling, General & Administration expenses             expenses related to producing goods
EBITDA                                                 Marketing, advertising and salary
Depreciation & Amortization
                                                       expenses.
EBIT / Operating Profit
Interest                                               Depreciation of fixed assets and
Profit before tax / Pretax Income                      amortization of goodwill if any
Taxes
Profit After Tax / Net Profit                          Interest expense on debt
                                                       Includes taxes paid and deferred


 Measures the effect of inflation and price competitiveness of the company
 Measures the operational efficiency of the company
 Measures the overall internal efficiency of the company
Table of Contents


Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement : Analysis

Income Statement: An Introduction

Income Statement : Analysis

Balance Sheet: An Introduction

Balance Sheet: Analysis

Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
Balance Sheet: An introduction

     An Introduction to the Balance Sheet


                                              …is what company owes and owns on a
Assets = Liabilities + Stockholder’s Equity   particular date.
                                              Unlike the income statement, the Balance Sheet
                                              is a snapshot of a company on a particular date.
   Assets
   Cash & Cash Equivalents                    It gives a insight into what was used to
   Accounts Receivable
   Inventories
                                              generate sales
   Fixed Assets                               The balance sheet gives an insight into the items
   Goodwill and other intangibles             used to generate sales i.e. Capital used.

   Liabilities
   Accounts Payable                           Complements the income and cash flow
   Accrued Liabilities                        statement to form a holistic story
   Short-Term debt                            The Balance sheet along with the cash flow and
   Long-term debt                             income statement gives a clear picture of how
   Stockholder’s equity                       funds are employed and how well are they
                                              utilized.
Table of Contents


Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement : Analysis

Income Statement: An Introduction

Income Statement : Analysis

Balance Sheet: An Introduction

Balance Sheet: Analysis

Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
Balance Sheet: Analysis

  Table of Contents


Assets
Cash & Cash Equivalents            Is the firm holding too much or too less Cash?
Accounts Receivable                Has Accounts receivable increased suddenly?
Inventories                        Have inventories increased disproportionately to Sales?
Fixed Assets                       Has the company invested sufficiently in Fixed Assets for future
Goodwill and other intangibles     growth? Has it used its Assets efficiently?
                                   Has Accounts receivable increased suddenly?
Liabilities
Accounts Payable                   Have short-term liabilities fallen or increased drastically vis-à-vis
Accrued Liabilities                sales?
Short-Term debt
Long-term debt                     Does it include contingent liabilities like convertible bonds or
                                   FCCBs? What would be the cost for incremental borrowings for
Stockholder’s equity               future Capex?
Table of Contents


Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction

Cash Flow Statement : Analysis

Income Statement: An Introduction

Income Statement : Analysis

Balance Sheet: An Introduction

Balance Sheet: Analysis

Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
Financial Statement Integration

                                                     Sales
                                                     Cost of Goods Sold
Net Profit                                           Selling, General & Administration expenses
Add: Depreciation                                    Depreciation & Amortization
Add: (Increase) / Decrease in Accounts receivables   Interest
Add: (Increase) / Decrease in Inventories            Taxes
Add: Increase / (Decrease) in Accounts payable       Profit After Tax / Net Profit
Add: Increase / (Decrease) in Accrued Liabilities
[1] Cash Flow from Operations (CFO)
                                                       Assets
Capital Expenditures
                                                       Cash & Cash Equivalents
Investments
                                                       Accounts Receivable
[2] Cash Flow from Investing (CFI)
                                                       Inventories
                                                       Fixed Assets
Debt raised
                                                       Goodwill and other intangibles
Debt repaid
Equity Capital Issued
                                                       Liabilities
Share Buyback
                                                       Accounts Payable
Dividends Paid
                                                       Accrued Liabilities
[3] Cash flow from Financing (CFF)
                                                       Short-Term debt
                                                       Long-term debt
Net Cash [1] +[2] +[3]
                                                       Stockholder’s equity
Financial Statement Forecasting

 Guidelines for Financial Forecasting│ First Principles

Top-Down Vs Bottom-up
Top-down approach also known as E-I-C approach            Key drivers forecasting
Focuses on demand and its effect on company               Key drivers like Sales, Cost of
fundamentals for key drivers. However, other parameters   Goods Sold and Capital
are bottom-up, usually as a percentage of sales           Expenditure are forecasted using
                                                          macro-economic indicators and
                                                          industry/company specific
                                                          factors like availability of funds
                                                          etc.

Bottom-up approach                                        Key drivers forecasting
Focuses on historical growth and company                  Key drivers like Sales, Cost of
fundamentals alone. This gives a myopic picture of the    Goods Sold and Capital
company and misrepresents true value.                     Expenditure are forecasted using
                                                          Historical trends like
                                                          CAGR, Moving average, time
                                                          series analysis and regression.
Reference Books


        ▬ The Analysis and Use of Financial Statements
            Ashwinpaul Sondhi, Gerald White and Dov Fried

        ▬ International Financial Statement Analysis
            Robinson, Greuning, Henry and Broihahn

        ▬ Financial Theory and corporate Policy
            Thomas Copeland, Fred Weston and Kuldeep Shastri

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Financial statement analysis

  • 1. Basic Financial Statement Analysis By Abhijit Singh Thakur abhijit1979s@gmail.com +91 9766 498 350 (i3 Fin, Pune)
  • 2. Table of Contents Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement : Analysis Income Statement: An Introduction Income Statement : Analysis Balance Sheet: An Introduction Balance Sheet: Analysis Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
  • 3. Financial Statement Analysis: Introduction Who uses Financial Statements To Ensure Government and Regulatory Bodies • Compatibility with Law Tax department, Accounting • Quality of Disclosures body, Securities regulator. • Protect interest of Claimholders Creditors To Analyze • Liquidity Position Debt holders & Credit rating Agencies • Repayment capacity • Possibility of default Investors To Analyze Retail Investors, Buy-side and sell-side • Profitability analysts. • Sustainability • growth
  • 4. Table of Contents Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement : Analysis Income Statement: An Introduction Income Statement : Analysis Balance Sheet: An Introduction Balance Sheet: Analysis Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
  • 5. Cash Flow Statement: Introduction The Cash Flow Statement: Construction Net Income Add: Depreciation Cash flow from operations Add: (Increase) / Decrease in Accounts receivables indicates the cash the business has Add: (Increase) / Decrease in Inventories generated from its core operations Add: Increase / (Decrease) in Accounts payable and the amount of funds available for Add: Increase / (Decrease) in Accrued Liabilities expansion and other activities. Cash Flow from Operations2 (CFO) Cash flow from Investing indicates the cash the business has Capital Expenditures spent on expansion and investments Investments in other activities like investments in Cash Flow from Investing (CFI) marketable securities. Debt raised Debt repaid Cash flow from financing Equity Capital Issued indicates the cash the business has Share Buyback generated from raising and repayment Dividends Paid of debt and equity capital. Cash flow from Financing (CFF) 2 Using indirect method
  • 6. Table of Contents Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement : Analysis Income Statement: An Introduction Income Statement : Analysis Balance Sheet: An Introduction Balance Sheet: Analysis Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
  • 7. Cash Flow Statement: Analysis The Cash Flow Statement: Analysis Net Income • Has depreciation risen considerably? Add: Depreciation • Has the firm given more credit to generate sales? Add: (Increase) / Decrease in Accounts receivables • Have inventories piled up due to lack of Add: (Increase) / Decrease in Inventories demand? Add: Increase / (Decrease) in Accounts payable • Can the firm get enough credit from Add: Increase / (Decrease) in Accrued Liabilities suppliers? Cash Flow from Operations2 (CFO) • Does the firm have internal accruals for Capital Expenditures expansion? Investments • Has it invested sufficiently for future Cash Flow from Investing (CFI) growth? Debt raised • Is the company having a healthy debt Debt repaid ratio? Equity Capital Issued • Has the it been able to repay its Share Buyback obligations? Dividends Paid • Would it be able to raise debt in future if Cash flow from Financing (CFF) CFO falls short of Capex requirements? 2 Using indirect method
  • 8. Table of Contents Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement : Analysis Income Statement: An Introduction Income Statement : Analysis Balance Sheet: An Introduction Balance Sheet: Analysis Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
  • 9. Income Statement: Introduction Introduction to the Income Statement Measure of Profitability The income statement measures the income and expenditures of a company during a given period and thus it measures profitability. It measures profitability at 4 levels viz. Gross, Operating, Before tax and after tax. Accumulated over a period of time Unlike the balance sheet, the income statement measures the income and expenditure over a given period of time, usually a quarter or an year. Is a consequence of most3 Activities undertaken by a business The income statement is a consequence of most of the activities a business undertakes ranging from investments in capital, purchase of raw materials, due to creditors and dues from customers, cash collections, tax payout, asset charges etc. However, it is an incomplete story teller, which is completed after an analysis of the other two statements. 3Off-balance sheet items and FCCBs may not be reflected in the Income Statement
  • 10. Table of Contents Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement : Analysis Income Statement: An Introduction Income Statement : Analysis Balance Sheet: An Introduction Balance Sheet: Analysis Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
  • 11. Income Statement: Analysis Analysis of the Income Statement Sales Includes both cash and credit sales Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Includes Inventories, Wages, and Selling, General & Administration expenses expenses related to producing goods EBITDA Marketing, advertising and salary Depreciation & Amortization expenses. EBIT / Operating Profit Interest Depreciation of fixed assets and Profit before tax / Pretax Income amortization of goodwill if any Taxes Profit After Tax / Net Profit Interest expense on debt Includes taxes paid and deferred Measures the effect of inflation and price competitiveness of the company Measures the operational efficiency of the company Measures the overall internal efficiency of the company
  • 12. Table of Contents Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement : Analysis Income Statement: An Introduction Income Statement : Analysis Balance Sheet: An Introduction Balance Sheet: Analysis Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
  • 13. Balance Sheet: An introduction An Introduction to the Balance Sheet …is what company owes and owns on a Assets = Liabilities + Stockholder’s Equity particular date. Unlike the income statement, the Balance Sheet is a snapshot of a company on a particular date. Assets Cash & Cash Equivalents It gives a insight into what was used to Accounts Receivable Inventories generate sales Fixed Assets The balance sheet gives an insight into the items Goodwill and other intangibles used to generate sales i.e. Capital used. Liabilities Accounts Payable Complements the income and cash flow Accrued Liabilities statement to form a holistic story Short-Term debt The Balance sheet along with the cash flow and Long-term debt income statement gives a clear picture of how Stockholder’s equity funds are employed and how well are they utilized.
  • 14. Table of Contents Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement : Analysis Income Statement: An Introduction Income Statement : Analysis Balance Sheet: An Introduction Balance Sheet: Analysis Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
  • 15. Balance Sheet: Analysis Table of Contents Assets Cash & Cash Equivalents Is the firm holding too much or too less Cash? Accounts Receivable Has Accounts receivable increased suddenly? Inventories Have inventories increased disproportionately to Sales? Fixed Assets Has the company invested sufficiently in Fixed Assets for future Goodwill and other intangibles growth? Has it used its Assets efficiently? Has Accounts receivable increased suddenly? Liabilities Accounts Payable Have short-term liabilities fallen or increased drastically vis-à-vis Accrued Liabilities sales? Short-Term debt Long-term debt Does it include contingent liabilities like convertible bonds or FCCBs? What would be the cost for incremental borrowings for Stockholder’s equity future Capex?
  • 16. Table of Contents Financial Statement Analysis: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement: An Introduction Cash Flow Statement : Analysis Income Statement: An Introduction Income Statement : Analysis Balance Sheet: An Introduction Balance Sheet: Analysis Financial Statement Integration & Forecasting
  • 17. Financial Statement Integration Sales Cost of Goods Sold Net Profit Selling, General & Administration expenses Add: Depreciation Depreciation & Amortization Add: (Increase) / Decrease in Accounts receivables Interest Add: (Increase) / Decrease in Inventories Taxes Add: Increase / (Decrease) in Accounts payable Profit After Tax / Net Profit Add: Increase / (Decrease) in Accrued Liabilities [1] Cash Flow from Operations (CFO) Assets Capital Expenditures Cash & Cash Equivalents Investments Accounts Receivable [2] Cash Flow from Investing (CFI) Inventories Fixed Assets Debt raised Goodwill and other intangibles Debt repaid Equity Capital Issued Liabilities Share Buyback Accounts Payable Dividends Paid Accrued Liabilities [3] Cash flow from Financing (CFF) Short-Term debt Long-term debt Net Cash [1] +[2] +[3] Stockholder’s equity
  • 18. Financial Statement Forecasting Guidelines for Financial Forecasting│ First Principles Top-Down Vs Bottom-up Top-down approach also known as E-I-C approach Key drivers forecasting Focuses on demand and its effect on company Key drivers like Sales, Cost of fundamentals for key drivers. However, other parameters Goods Sold and Capital are bottom-up, usually as a percentage of sales Expenditure are forecasted using macro-economic indicators and industry/company specific factors like availability of funds etc. Bottom-up approach Key drivers forecasting Focuses on historical growth and company Key drivers like Sales, Cost of fundamentals alone. This gives a myopic picture of the Goods Sold and Capital company and misrepresents true value. Expenditure are forecasted using Historical trends like CAGR, Moving average, time series analysis and regression.
  • 19. Reference Books ▬ The Analysis and Use of Financial Statements Ashwinpaul Sondhi, Gerald White and Dov Fried ▬ International Financial Statement Analysis Robinson, Greuning, Henry and Broihahn ▬ Financial Theory and corporate Policy Thomas Copeland, Fred Weston and Kuldeep Shastri