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PART 3
SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS

Mining

Recommendations: 32
Active

2013

Dormant

Active

2012

Dormant

Active

2011

Progress:
8
Improved

Dormant

3

Declined

20

No Longer Relevant

1

Backward/Regression

13

Started

4

Substantial Progress

Steady

Rating:
1
11

2

Not Ongoing
Completed

137
PART 3
SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS

MINING
“SECTION 4. Grant of Mineral Agreements Pending New Legislation. No new mineral
agreements shall be entered into until a legislation rationalizing existing revenue sharing
schemes and mechanisms shall have taken effect. The DENR may continue to grant and
issue Exploration Permits under existing laws, rules and guidelines.”
- Executive Order No. 79, July 6, 2012.

With an estimated $1.4 trillion in reserves, Philippine mining potential ranks fifth in
the world, covering an estimated 9 million hectares, but less than 2% of these have
mining permits. After long stagnation, the sector began coming back after a 2005 SC
decision affirming RA 7942, considered a world-class legal framework for sustainable
development. Minerals development should be a government priority and has great
potential for jobs and revenue. Government has identified over 60 priority PPP mining
projects. Mining can support poor rural areas through high quality jobs, local tax
payments, and community development. The national government receives substantial
royalty and tax payments. Government revenue from mining has more than doubled
to PhP 22.2 billion in 2011 from PhP 10.4 billion in 2007. Full development of the
sector, however, continues to face significant challenges. Lengthy tedious approvals
for Exploration Permits (EPs) continue to impede investment. Several LGUs have closed
their provinces to mining. Industry is concerned that the Writ of Kalikasan might disturb
lawful activities. An investor cannot tell easily if land is ancestral land. Skilled Mines and
Geosciences Bureau (MGB) personnel often leave public service. EO 79 has imposed a
moratorium on new mining permits, pending the passage of a new law on the revenue
sharing scheme between industry and government. Designation of “no-go” areas may
undervalue areas closed to mining for minor tourist or agricultural value. The immediate
future for the growth of the mining sector is not positive.

138 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT
2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Backward/Regression

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

PART 3: SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS: MINING

139
2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Backward/Regression

Not Ongoing

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

140 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT
2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Started

Started

Started

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

PART 3: SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS: MINING

141
Mining and Quarrying Gross Value Added (GVA), 1990-2003
160

80%
Gross Value Added
YOY Growth, rhs

120

60%

80

40%

40

20%

0

-40

0%

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Source: NSCB; Old series (1997-back) New series (1998-onwards)

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Substantial Progress

Substantial Progress

Completed

Mineral Products Exports , 1990-Nov 2013
4.0

200%
Value, in Bn US$, lhs

Series2

3.0

150%

2.0

100%

1.0

50%

0.0

0%

-1.0

-50%

-2.0

-100%

Source: NSO

142 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT

-20%
2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Backward/Regression

Backward/Regression

Not Ongoing

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Started

Started

Started

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Started

Started

Started

PART 3: SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS: MINING

143
2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Substantial Progress

Started

Substantial Progress

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

No Longer Relevant

Backward/Regression

Backward/Regression

144 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT
2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Started

Started

Not Ongoing

Mining Goods Exports Distribution, Jan-Nov 2013
Iron Ore Agglomerates,
3.3%

Chromium Ore, 0.5%

Gold, 2.2%

Copper Metal, 19.9%

Others, 60.6%

Copper Concentrates,
13.6%
Source: NSO

PART 3: SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS: MINING

145
Share in ASEAN-6 Total Mineral Products Exports, 1995-2012

60%

Indonesia
Thailand
Singapore
Malaysia
Philippines
Vietnam

50%
40%
30%
20%

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

0%

1995

10%

Source: UNCTAD; Includes ores, metals, precious stones and non-monetary gold

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Started

Started

Started

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Started

Substantial Progress

146 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT
2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Started

No Longer Relevant

Completed

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Started

Started

Started

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Backward/Regression

Not Ongoing

PART 3: SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS: MINING

147
2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Backward/Regression

No Longer Relevant

No Longer Relevant

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

Started

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Started

Started

Started

148 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT
2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Started

Started

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

Not Ongoing

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Started

Substantial Progress

Started

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Started

Started

Started

PART 3: SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS: MINING

149
2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Substantial Progress

Substantial Progress

Substantial Progress

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Substantial Progress

Substantial Progress

Started

2011 Rating

2012 Rating

2013 Rating

Started

Substantial Progress

Substantial Progress

150 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT

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Mining Arangkada-3rd-Anniversary-Assesment

  • 1. PART 3 SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS Mining Recommendations: 32 Active 2013 Dormant Active 2012 Dormant Active 2011 Progress: 8 Improved Dormant 3 Declined 20 No Longer Relevant 1 Backward/Regression 13 Started 4 Substantial Progress Steady Rating: 1 11 2 Not Ongoing Completed 137
  • 2. PART 3 SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS MINING “SECTION 4. Grant of Mineral Agreements Pending New Legislation. No new mineral agreements shall be entered into until a legislation rationalizing existing revenue sharing schemes and mechanisms shall have taken effect. The DENR may continue to grant and issue Exploration Permits under existing laws, rules and guidelines.” - Executive Order No. 79, July 6, 2012. With an estimated $1.4 trillion in reserves, Philippine mining potential ranks fifth in the world, covering an estimated 9 million hectares, but less than 2% of these have mining permits. After long stagnation, the sector began coming back after a 2005 SC decision affirming RA 7942, considered a world-class legal framework for sustainable development. Minerals development should be a government priority and has great potential for jobs and revenue. Government has identified over 60 priority PPP mining projects. Mining can support poor rural areas through high quality jobs, local tax payments, and community development. The national government receives substantial royalty and tax payments. Government revenue from mining has more than doubled to PhP 22.2 billion in 2011 from PhP 10.4 billion in 2007. Full development of the sector, however, continues to face significant challenges. Lengthy tedious approvals for Exploration Permits (EPs) continue to impede investment. Several LGUs have closed their provinces to mining. Industry is concerned that the Writ of Kalikasan might disturb lawful activities. An investor cannot tell easily if land is ancestral land. Skilled Mines and Geosciences Bureau (MGB) personnel often leave public service. EO 79 has imposed a moratorium on new mining permits, pending the passage of a new law on the revenue sharing scheme between industry and government. Designation of “no-go” areas may undervalue areas closed to mining for minor tourist or agricultural value. The immediate future for the growth of the mining sector is not positive. 138 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT
  • 3. 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Backward/Regression Not Ongoing Not Ongoing 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Not Ongoing Not Ongoing PART 3: SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS: MINING 139
  • 4. 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Not Ongoing Not Ongoing 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Backward/Regression Not Ongoing 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Not Ongoing Not Ongoing 140 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT
  • 5. 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Started Started Started 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Not Ongoing Not Ongoing 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Not Ongoing Not Ongoing PART 3: SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS: MINING 141
  • 6. Mining and Quarrying Gross Value Added (GVA), 1990-2003 160 80% Gross Value Added YOY Growth, rhs 120 60% 80 40% 40 20% 0 -40 0% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: NSCB; Old series (1997-back) New series (1998-onwards) 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Substantial Progress Substantial Progress Completed Mineral Products Exports , 1990-Nov 2013 4.0 200% Value, in Bn US$, lhs Series2 3.0 150% 2.0 100% 1.0 50% 0.0 0% -1.0 -50% -2.0 -100% Source: NSO 142 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT -20%
  • 7. 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Backward/Regression Backward/Regression Not Ongoing 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Started Started Started 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Started Started Started PART 3: SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS: MINING 143
  • 8. 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Substantial Progress Started Substantial Progress 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Not Ongoing Not Ongoing 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating No Longer Relevant Backward/Regression Backward/Regression 144 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT
  • 9. 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Started Started Not Ongoing Mining Goods Exports Distribution, Jan-Nov 2013 Iron Ore Agglomerates, 3.3% Chromium Ore, 0.5% Gold, 2.2% Copper Metal, 19.9% Others, 60.6% Copper Concentrates, 13.6% Source: NSO PART 3: SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS: MINING 145
  • 10. Share in ASEAN-6 Total Mineral Products Exports, 1995-2012 60% Indonesia Thailand Singapore Malaysia Philippines Vietnam 50% 40% 30% 20% 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 0% 1995 10% Source: UNCTAD; Includes ores, metals, precious stones and non-monetary gold 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Started Started Started 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Started Substantial Progress 146 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT
  • 11. 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Started No Longer Relevant Completed 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Started Started Started 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Backward/Regression Not Ongoing PART 3: SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS: MINING 147
  • 12. 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Backward/Regression No Longer Relevant No Longer Relevant 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Not Ongoing Started 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Not Ongoing Not Ongoing 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Started Started Started 148 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT
  • 13. 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Started Started 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Not Ongoing Not Ongoing Not Ongoing 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Started Substantial Progress Started 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Started Started Started PART 3: SEVEN BIG WINNER SECTORS: MINING 149
  • 14. 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Substantial Progress Substantial Progress Substantial Progress 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Substantial Progress Substantial Progress Started 2011 Rating 2012 Rating 2013 Rating Started Substantial Progress Substantial Progress 150 ARANGKADA PHILIPPINES 3rd ANNIVERSARY ASSESSMENT