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Crossing the Finish Line: Completing College at America’s Public Universities by William G. Bowen, Matthew M. Chingos, Michael S. McPherson
Table 1-1.  Flagship Universities by Selectivity Cluster ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TABLE 1-2.  State System Universities by Selectivity Cluster or HBCU Status ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Figure 1-1. Years of Schooling by Birth Cohorts, U.S. Native Born: 1876-1975
Figure 2-2. Bachelor’s Degree Attainment by Socioeconomic Status
Figure 3-10. Cumulative Withdrawal Proportions by SES, Flagships
Figure 5-5.  Undermatch Rates by Family Income and Parental Education
Figure 5-7.  Comparison of Overall Graduation Rates for Students Who Undermatched to a SEL B Institution and Students Who Did Not Undermatch
Figure 7-2.  BA Attainment Rates of White Students Who Started at  4-year vs. 2-year Institution
 
Figure 11.1.  Graduation Rates of Black Men by Adjusted High School GPA and Institutional Selectivity, 199 Entering Cohort
Figure 6-1.  Predictive Power of SAT/ACT Scores and High School GPA on  6-year Graduation Rates, Standardized Regression Coefficients
Figure 6-3.  Six-Year Graduation Rates by SAT/ACT Scores (Holding High School GPA Constant at 3.00-3.32) and by High School GPA (Holding SAT/ACT Scores Constant at 1100 and Above), 1999 Entering Cohort, State System SEL Bs
Figure 9-11a.  4-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Bottom Income Quartile
Figure 9-14b.  6-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Top Income Quartile
Table 2-2.  Bachelor's Degree Attainment Rates Over Time, by SES Class of 1972 Class of 1982 Class of 1992 First Gen Bottom Income Quartile 12.3% 11.1% 9.5% Second Income Quartile 20.2% 17.3% 17.4% Third Income Quartile 21.9% 21.3% 26.9% Top Income Quartile 27.9% 22.1% 32.1% Non-First Gen Bottom Income Quartile 31.7% 31.1% 28.9% Second Income Quartile 38.5% 43.8% 38.9% Third Income Quartile 44.2% 55.6% 46.0% Top Income Quartile 59.6% 60.9% 67.7%         Overall Average 25.8% 22.3% 28.2% Notes : "Attainment Rate" is defined as the percent of the subgroup that completed a bachelor's degree by Age 26. First generation students are those for whom neither parent has a bachelor's degree. Income quartiles are based on discrete survey responses. Percent in each income quartile (from bottom to top):1972: 26%, 22%, 26%, 25%; 1982: 23%, 28%, 31%, 19%; 1992: 24%, 24%, 20%, 32%. Sources : National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972 (NLS), High School and Beyond Study of 1980 Sophomores (HS&B), and the National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988 (NELS)
Figure 3-7.  Differences by Socioeconomic Status in 6-year Graduation Rates (Compared to Low SES) at Flagships, Unadjusted and Adjusted
Figure 3-8.  Differences by Parental Education in 6-year Graduation Rates (Compared to No College) at Flagships, Unadjusted and Adjusted
Figure 3-9.  Differences by Family Income in 6-year Graduation Rates (Compared to Bottom Quartile) at Flagships, Unadjusted and Adjusted
Figure 3-13a.  Differences by Race and Gender in 6-year Graduation Rates (Compared to White Males) at Flagships, Unadjusted and Adjusted
Figure 5-4.  Grid for Estimating "Presumptive Eligibility"  to Attend a SEL A University
Figure 6-3.  6-year Graduation Rates by SAT/ACT Scores, Holding HS GPA Constant at 3.00-3.33,  at State-System SEL Bs  and  6-year Graduation Rates by HS GPA, Holding SAT/ACT Scores Constant at 1100 and above,  at State-System SEL Bs
Figure 6-5.  Predictive Power of SAT/ACT Scores and High School GPA on  6-year Graduation Rates with High School Dummies Included, Standardized Regression Coefficients
Figure 7-6a.  Differences Between Transfers and Freshman in 6-year Graduation Rates at Flagships and State-System SEL As,  Unadjusted and Adjusted
Figure 7-6b.  Differences Between Transfers and Freshmen in 6-year Graduation  Rates at State-System SEL Bs, Unadjusted and Adjusted
Figure 8-5a. In-state Net Tuition and Fees at 4-year Public Colleges,  1992-1993 and 2003-2004
Figure 9-2.  Average Net Price at Flagships and State-System SEL As, among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen
Figure 9-11b.  6-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Bottom Income Quartile
Figure 9-12a.  4-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Second Income Quartile
Figure 9-12b.  6-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Second Income Quartile
Figure 9-13a.  4-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Third Income Quartile
Figure 9-13b.  6-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Third Income Quartile

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Keynote Presentation: Matthew Chingos

  • 1. Crossing the Finish Line: Completing College at America’s Public Universities by William G. Bowen, Matthew M. Chingos, Michael S. McPherson
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Figure 1-1. Years of Schooling by Birth Cohorts, U.S. Native Born: 1876-1975
  • 5. Figure 2-2. Bachelor’s Degree Attainment by Socioeconomic Status
  • 6. Figure 3-10. Cumulative Withdrawal Proportions by SES, Flagships
  • 7. Figure 5-5. Undermatch Rates by Family Income and Parental Education
  • 8. Figure 5-7. Comparison of Overall Graduation Rates for Students Who Undermatched to a SEL B Institution and Students Who Did Not Undermatch
  • 9. Figure 7-2. BA Attainment Rates of White Students Who Started at 4-year vs. 2-year Institution
  • 10.  
  • 11. Figure 11.1. Graduation Rates of Black Men by Adjusted High School GPA and Institutional Selectivity, 199 Entering Cohort
  • 12. Figure 6-1. Predictive Power of SAT/ACT Scores and High School GPA on 6-year Graduation Rates, Standardized Regression Coefficients
  • 13. Figure 6-3. Six-Year Graduation Rates by SAT/ACT Scores (Holding High School GPA Constant at 3.00-3.32) and by High School GPA (Holding SAT/ACT Scores Constant at 1100 and Above), 1999 Entering Cohort, State System SEL Bs
  • 14. Figure 9-11a. 4-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Bottom Income Quartile
  • 15. Figure 9-14b. 6-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Top Income Quartile
  • 16. Table 2-2. Bachelor's Degree Attainment Rates Over Time, by SES Class of 1972 Class of 1982 Class of 1992 First Gen Bottom Income Quartile 12.3% 11.1% 9.5% Second Income Quartile 20.2% 17.3% 17.4% Third Income Quartile 21.9% 21.3% 26.9% Top Income Quartile 27.9% 22.1% 32.1% Non-First Gen Bottom Income Quartile 31.7% 31.1% 28.9% Second Income Quartile 38.5% 43.8% 38.9% Third Income Quartile 44.2% 55.6% 46.0% Top Income Quartile 59.6% 60.9% 67.7%         Overall Average 25.8% 22.3% 28.2% Notes : "Attainment Rate" is defined as the percent of the subgroup that completed a bachelor's degree by Age 26. First generation students are those for whom neither parent has a bachelor's degree. Income quartiles are based on discrete survey responses. Percent in each income quartile (from bottom to top):1972: 26%, 22%, 26%, 25%; 1982: 23%, 28%, 31%, 19%; 1992: 24%, 24%, 20%, 32%. Sources : National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972 (NLS), High School and Beyond Study of 1980 Sophomores (HS&B), and the National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988 (NELS)
  • 17. Figure 3-7. Differences by Socioeconomic Status in 6-year Graduation Rates (Compared to Low SES) at Flagships, Unadjusted and Adjusted
  • 18. Figure 3-8. Differences by Parental Education in 6-year Graduation Rates (Compared to No College) at Flagships, Unadjusted and Adjusted
  • 19. Figure 3-9. Differences by Family Income in 6-year Graduation Rates (Compared to Bottom Quartile) at Flagships, Unadjusted and Adjusted
  • 20. Figure 3-13a. Differences by Race and Gender in 6-year Graduation Rates (Compared to White Males) at Flagships, Unadjusted and Adjusted
  • 21. Figure 5-4. Grid for Estimating "Presumptive Eligibility" to Attend a SEL A University
  • 22. Figure 6-3. 6-year Graduation Rates by SAT/ACT Scores, Holding HS GPA Constant at 3.00-3.33, at State-System SEL Bs and 6-year Graduation Rates by HS GPA, Holding SAT/ACT Scores Constant at 1100 and above, at State-System SEL Bs
  • 23. Figure 6-5. Predictive Power of SAT/ACT Scores and High School GPA on 6-year Graduation Rates with High School Dummies Included, Standardized Regression Coefficients
  • 24. Figure 7-6a. Differences Between Transfers and Freshman in 6-year Graduation Rates at Flagships and State-System SEL As, Unadjusted and Adjusted
  • 25. Figure 7-6b. Differences Between Transfers and Freshmen in 6-year Graduation Rates at State-System SEL Bs, Unadjusted and Adjusted
  • 26. Figure 8-5a. In-state Net Tuition and Fees at 4-year Public Colleges, 1992-1993 and 2003-2004
  • 27. Figure 9-2. Average Net Price at Flagships and State-System SEL As, among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen
  • 28. Figure 9-11b. 6-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Bottom Income Quartile
  • 29. Figure 9-12a. 4-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Second Income Quartile
  • 30. Figure 9-12b. 6-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Second Income Quartile
  • 31. Figure 9-13a. 4-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Third Income Quartile
  • 32. Figure 9-13b. 6-year Graduation Rate by Net Price among Full-time, Dependent, In-state Freshmen in the Third Income Quartile